Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 KB57)

Designation: 2015 KB57 · NASA id: 3719730

Estimated diameter: 92 – 206 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 30.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

34.7 megatonnes – 1,292 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period335.3 days (0.92 years)
Eccentricity.6074630962899754 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9445868820763894 AU
Inclination29.67235232904356° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.370785209975372 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.518388554177407 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.14029 AU = 20,987,684 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude239.6108307347766°
Argument of perihelion208.8361856613935°
Mean anomaly / motion249.8386970188349° / 1.073596801229536°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.097 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 13:44:46
Observed2015-05-20 to 2016-06-10 (387 day arc, 32 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 86 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Merc? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 73 of them were approaches to Earth and 13 of them were approaches to Merc.

This one’s path runs from 0.371 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.518 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 335.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1403 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-05-19

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2195-05-17 Earth 62437.98 52,768,384 km
137 LD
2194-05-11 Earth 82968.11 22,442,737 km
58.4 LD
2187-08-19 Earth 68523.88 74,535,171 km
194 LD
2184-05-20 Earth 62221.36 61,104,148 km
159 LD
2183-05-10 Earth 75224.46 20,850,220 km
54.2 LD
2183-03-01 Merc 141755.28 13,728,996 km
35.7 LD
2182-05-23 Earth 119313.89 65,107,312 km
169 LD
2173-05-25 Earth 62350.98 68,480,603 km
178 LD
2172-05-09 Earth 69042.29 27,049,959 km
70.4 LD
2171-05-20 Earth 108802.66 51,870,688 km
135 LD
2168-06-21 Merc 140069.34 12,902,752 km
33.6 LD
2161-05-11 Earth 64920.38 36,962,744 km
96.2 LD
2160-05-15 Earth 98309.90 38,729,606 km
101 LD
2153-10-12 Merc 138514.76 12,257,901 km
31.9 LD
2150-05-14 Earth 62998.50 46,527,748 km
121 LD
2149-05-12 Earth 89025.87 27,999,494 km
72.8 LD
2139-05-18 Earth 62317.64 55,317,361 km
144 LD
2139-02-02 Merc 135365.70 11,625,004 km
30.2 LD
2138-05-10 Earth 80563.41 21,295,637 km
55.4 LD
2137-05-26 Earth 126621.17 74,277,022 km
193 LD
2131-08-16 Earth 71028.12 74,616,240 km
194 LD
2128-05-21 Earth 62274.17 63,340,450 km
165 LD
2127-05-09 Earth 73206.41 22,247,699 km
57.9 LD
2126-05-22 Earth 116130.44 61,185,478 km
159 LD
2124-05-25 Merc 133948.91 11,978,692 km
31.2 LD
2117-05-26 Earth 62492.25 70,336,377 km
183 LD
2116-05-09 Earth 67689.85 29,766,251 km
77.4 LD
2115-05-18 Earth 105731.04 48,160,178 km
125 LD
2109-09-15 Merc 133192.53 12,497,406 km
32.5 LD
2105-05-11 Earth 64250.38 39,857,548 km
104 LD
2104-05-14 Earth 95329.72 35,396,774 km
92.1 LD
2095-01-05 Merc 132592.81 13,219,312 km
34.4 LD
2094-05-14 Earth 62767.17 49,520,390 km
129 LD
2093-05-10 Earth 86021.76 25,361,081 km
66.0 LD
2083-05-18 Earth 62353.21 57,780,178 km
150 LD
2082-05-09 Earth 78191.54 20,906,573 km
54.4 LD
2081-05-23 Earth 123443.38 70,584,000 km
184 LD
2072-05-21 Earth 62391.68 65,283,597 km
170 LD
2071-05-08 Earth 71513.76 24,032,769 km
62.5 LD
2070-05-19 Earth 113281.54 57,808,490 km
150 LD
2061-05-26 Earth 62570.13 71,960,883 km
187 LD
2060-05-08 Earth 66588.81 32,425,857 km
84.4 LD
2059-05-16 Earth 103004.05 44,890,928 km
117 LD
2049-05-11 Earth 63725.19 42,504,940 km
111 LD
2048-05-12 Earth 92778.27 32,587,305 km
84.8 LD
2038-05-15 Earth 62547.15 52,053,549 km
135 LD
2037-05-09 Earth 83527.70 23,542,466 km
61.2 LD
2031-09-01 Merc 142233.31 13,896,108 km
36.2 LD
2027-05-19 next Earth 62283.25 59,907,541 km
156 LD
2026-05-08 Earth 76121.21 21,218,745 km
55.2 LD
2025-05-22 Earth 120560.82 67,117,703 km
175 LD
2016-12-22 Merc 137819.66 12,041,552 km
31.3 LD
2016-05-22 Earth 62384.87 67,049,856 km
174 LD
2015-05-08 Earth 69944.68 26,077,327 km
67.8 LD
2014-05-18 Earth 110391.11 54,415,888 km
142 LD
2005-05-27 Earth 62616.53 73,501,799 km
191 LD
2004-05-09 Earth 65575.66 35,144,555 km
91.4 LD
2003-05-15 Earth 100122.92 41,597,738 km
108 LD
2002-04-14 Merc 136329.57 11,742,347 km
30.5 LD
1993-05-12 Earth 63294.40 45,034,613 km
117 LD
1992-05-11 Earth 90294.34 30,062,417 km
78.2 LD
1987-08-05 Merc 135545.85 11,754,527 km
30.6 LD
1982-05-16 Earth 62458.09 54,418,748 km
142 LD
1981-05-08 Earth 81242.67 22,346,253 km
58.1 LD
1974-08-14 Earth 70017.28 74,798,123 km
195 LD
1972-11-25 Merc 134008.87 12,229,990 km
31.8 LD
1971-05-20 Earth 62383.36 62,221,206 km
162 LD
1970-05-08 Earth 74050.64 22,273,933 km
57.9 LD
1969-05-20 Earth 117398.58 63,295,632 km
165 LD
1960-05-23 Earth 62552.74 68,902,494 km
179 LD
1959-05-08 Earth 68572.81 28,527,113 km
74.2 LD
1958-05-17 Earth 107501.68 50,936,720 km
133 LD
1958-03-18 Merc 132397.13 14,309,801 km
37.2 LD
1948-05-09 Earth 64865.53 37,915,716 km
98.6 LD
1947-05-13 Earth 97290.57 38,398,277 km
99.9 LD
1937-05-12 Earth 63046.24 47,660,731 km
124 LD
1936-05-10 Earth 87618.14 27,610,432 km
71.8 LD
1926-05-16 Earth 62449.77 56,598,171 km
147 LD
1925-05-08 Earth 79028.65 21,752,063 km
56.6 LD
1924-05-22 Earth 124429.63 72,299,180 km
188 LD
1915-05-21 Earth 62421.58 64,246,926 km
167 LD
1914-05-07 Earth 72164.32 23,822,441 km
62.0 LD
1913-05-19 Earth 114285.78 59,607,376 km
155 LD
1904-05-24 Earth 62582.75 70,626,415 km
184 LD
1903-05-08 Earth 67280.60 31,097,763 km
80.9 LD
1902-05-15 Earth 104593.66 47,457,798 km
123 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:01:27.179996+00:00.