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Designation: 2015 RV36 · NASA id: 3727233
Estimated diameter: 64 – 143 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
3.3 megatonnes – 124.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 393.1 days (1.08 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1389097888367217 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.050251737064265 AU |
| Inclination | 19.98377722403027° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9043614900432682 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.196141984085263 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.09006 AU = 13,472,889 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 172.6415539916957° |
| Argument of perihelion | 4.526934286985066° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 344.980588997407° / .915722659960741°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.791 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 14:26:57 |
| Observed | 2015-09-11 to 2016-08-05 (329 day arc, 60 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 106 total.
next approach: 2029-02-12
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-08-01 | Earth | 50489.04 | 67,354,853 km 175 LD |
| 2200-05-25 | Earth | 53254.72 | 68,256,413 km 178 LD |
| 2199-09-04 | Earth | 38147.62 | 31,329,883 km 81.5 LD |
| 2199-03-18 | Earth | 41438.78 | 14,354,029 km 37.3 LD |
| 2198-10-08 | Earth | 38002.76 | 40,622,575 km 106 LD |
| 2198-01-28 | Earth | 60839.05 | 61,516,735 km 160 LD |
| 2186-07-30 | Earth | 51680.27 | 69,131,300 km 180 LD |
| 2186-05-31 | Earth | 52800.55 | 70,283,845 km 183 LD |
| 2185-09-02 | Earth | 38308.54 | 32,058,736 km 83.4 LD |
| 2185-03-19 | Earth | 41508.92 | 15,557,800 km 40.5 LD |
| 2184-10-06 | Earth | 37999.44 | 39,394,063 km 102 LD |
| 2184-01-31 | Earth | 59270.79 | 58,610,934 km 152 LD |
| 2172-07-28 | Earth | 54509.39 | 73,258,503 km 191 LD |
| 2171-08-31 | Earth | 38689.65 | 34,025,275 km 88.5 LD |
| 2171-03-25 | Earth | 41907.57 | 19,199,262 km 49.9 LD |
| 2170-10-03 | Earth | 37897.56 | 36,861,269 km 95.9 LD |
| 2170-02-03 | Earth | 56206.51 | 52,682,347 km 137 LD |
| 2157-08-26 | Earth | 39401.08 | 37,769,600 km 98.3 LD |
| 2157-03-31 | Earth | 43075.52 | 26,123,362 km 68.0 LD |
| 2156-09-27 | Earth | 37708.22 | 33,435,902 km 87.0 LD |
| 2156-02-10 | Earth | 52029.41 | 43,883,705 km 114 LD |
| 2143-08-21 | Earth | 40726.58 | 43,223,175 km 112 LD |
| 2143-04-10 | Earth | 45219.88 | 35,463,489 km 92.3 LD |
| 2142-09-22 | Earth | 37612.90 | 30,233,369 km 78.7 LD |
| 2142-02-18 | Earth | 47776.29 | 33,612,455 km 87.4 LD |
| 2129-08-14 | Earth | 42587.37 | 49,593,540 km 129 LD |
| 2129-04-20 | Earth | 47934.66 | 45,246,444 km 118 LD |
| 2128-09-16 | Earth | 37563.11 | 28,429,274 km 74.0 LD |
| 2128-02-26 | Earth | 44454.73 | 23,894,801 km 62.2 LD |
| 2127-10-28 | Earth | 37335.73 | 52,661,381 km 137 LD |
| 2115-08-10 | Earth | 44776.82 | 55,678,918 km 145 LD |
| 2115-04-30 | Earth | 50382.01 | 53,781,741 km 140 LD |
| 2114-09-12 | Earth | 37639.96 | 28,309,768 km 73.6 LD |
| 2114-03-05 | Earth | 42531.19 | 16,887,380 km 43.9 LD |
| 2113-10-18 | Earth | 37995.80 | 48,056,591 km 125 LD |
| 2101-08-05 | Earth | 46928.97 | 60,475,563 km 157 LD |
| 2101-05-09 | Earth | 51975.44 | 60,039,311 km 156 LD |
| 2100-09-08 | Earth | 37846.74 | 29,137,056 km 75.8 LD |
| 2100-03-10 | Earth | 41729.63 | 13,760,249 km 35.8 LD |
| 2099-10-13 | Earth | 38113.83 | 44,774,056 km 116 LD |
| 2099-01-21 | Earth | 65692.82 | 70,174,692 km 183 LD |
| 2087-08-02 | Earth | 48773.18 | 64,144,971 km 167 LD |
| 2087-05-16 | Earth | 52853.01 | 64,577,264 km 168 LD |
| 2086-09-05 | Earth | 38014.49 | 30,191,711 km 78.5 LD |
| 2086-03-13 | Earth | 41458.21 | 13,407,896 km 34.9 LD |
| 2085-10-09 | Earth | 38081.51 | 42,415,398 km 110 LD |
| 2085-01-24 | Earth | 62849.43 | 65,127,833 km 169 LD |
| 2073-07-30 | Earth | 50750.76 | 67,662,463 km 176 LD |
| 2073-05-24 | Earth | 53040.95 | 68,707,147 km 179 LD |
| 2072-09-02 | Earth | 38199.91 | 31,482,079 km 81.9 LD |
| 2072-03-17 | Earth | 41448.30 | 14,802,966 km 38.5 LD |
| 2071-10-06 | Earth | 38000.38 | 40,196,083 km 105 LD |
| 2071-01-28 | Earth | 60153.75 | 60,192,974 km 157 LD |
| 2059-07-28 | Earth | 53626.31 | 72,003,706 km 187 LD |
| 2058-08-30 | Earth | 38560.85 | 33,438,486 km 87.0 LD |
| 2058-03-22 | Earth | 41775.10 | 18,148,860 km 47.2 LD |
| 2057-10-02 | Earth | 37942.75 | 37,592,191 km 97.8 LD |
| 2057-02-01 | Earth | 57041.70 | 54,244,719 km 141 LD |
| 2044-08-26 | Earth | 39146.42 | 36,309,466 km 94.5 LD |
| 2044-03-27 | Earth | 42587.49 | 23,509,809 km 61.2 LD |
| 2043-09-29 | Earth | 37830.53 | 34,736,223 km 90.4 LD |
| 2043-02-07 | Earth | 53572.21 | 47,160,426 km 123 LD |
| 2030-08-23 | Earth | 39893.00 | 39,918,066 km 104 LD |
| 2030-04-03 | Earth | 43888.72 | 29,934,731 km 77.9 LD |
| 2029-09-24 | Earth | 37678.41 | 32,140,997 km 83.6 LD |
| 2029-02-12 next | Earth | 50265.66 | 39,787,687 km 104 LD |
| 2016-08-19 | Earth | 40806.90 | 43,655,209 km 114 LD |
| 2016-04-09 | Earth | 45399.34 | 36,113,358 km 93.9 LD |
| 2015-09-21 | Earth | 37621.55 | 30,249,766 km 78.7 LD |
| 2015-02-17 | Earth | 47642.21 | 33,257,300 km 86.5 LD |
| 2002-08-16 | Earth | 41694.33 | 46,784,226 km 122 LD |
| 2002-04-14 | Earth | 46702.14 | 40,925,620 km 106 LD |
| 2001-09-17 | Earth | 37623.68 | 29,216,159 km 76.0 LD |
| 2001-02-21 | Earth | 45915.58 | 28,436,388 km 74.0 LD |
| 2000-11-04 | Earth | 35575.30 | 55,293,870 km 144 LD |
| 1988-08-14 | Earth | 42236.85 | 48,653,118 km 127 LD |
| 1988-04-17 | Earth | 47486.35 | 43,715,208 km 114 LD |
| 1987-09-16 | Earth | 37610.72 | 28,856,726 km 75.1 LD |
| 1987-02-23 | Earth | 45103.55 | 25,916,396 km 67.4 LD |
| 1986-10-30 | Earth | 36713.52 | 53,933,232 km 140 LD |
| 1974-08-14 | Earth | 42274.30 | 49,002,085 km 127 LD |
| 1974-04-18 | Earth | 47583.05 | 44,083,871 km 115 LD |
| 1973-09-16 | Earth | 37592.83 | 28,864,631 km 75.1 LD |
| 1973-02-23 | Earth | 45028.92 | 25,692,848 km 66.8 LD |
| 1972-10-29 | Earth | 36764.20 | 53,815,498 km 140 LD |
| 1960-08-14 | Earth | 41896.01 | 47,879,175 km 125 LD |
| 1960-04-15 | Earth | 47069.85 | 42,338,419 km 110 LD |
| 1959-09-17 | Earth | 37590.89 | 29,161,975 km 75.9 LD |
| 1959-02-22 | Earth | 45604.83 | 27,535,159 km 71.6 LD |
| 1958-11-02 | Earth | 36027.58 | 54,831,894 km 143 LD |
| 1946-08-17 | Earth | 41235.93 | 45,709,615 km 119 LD |
| 1946-04-12 | Earth | 46153.65 | 38,890,280 km 101 LD |
| 1945-09-19 | Earth | 37615.19 | 29,840,149 km 77.6 LD |
| 1945-02-18 | Earth | 46817.39 | 31,091,094 km 80.9 LD |
| 1932-08-19 | Earth | 40500.37 | 42,964,214 km 112 LD |
| 1932-04-07 | Earth | 44986.56 | 34,373,461 km 89.4 LD |
| 1931-09-22 | Earth | 37654.70 | 30,974,477 km 80.6 LD |
| 1931-02-15 | Earth | 48650.69 | 35,892,741 km 93.4 LD |
| 1918-08-22 | Earth | 39841.99 | 40,187,970 km 105 LD |
| 1918-04-03 | Earth | 43841.58 | 29,611,606 km 77.0 LD |
| 1917-09-24 | Earth | 37726.24 | 32,471,943 km 84.5 LD |
| 1917-02-10 | Earth | 50748.77 | 40,997,505 km 107 LD |
| 1904-08-24 | Earth | 39386.94 | 37,977,375 km 98.8 LD |
| 1904-03-29 | Earth | 43054.71 | 25,742,407 km 67.0 LD |
| 1903-09-27 | Earth | 37804.17 | 33,916,245 km 88.2 LD |
| 1903-02-07 | Earth | 52635.15 | 45,336,808 km 118 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T23:01:20.374743+00:00.