Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 RV36)

Designation: 2015 RV36 · NASA id: 3727233

Estimated diameter: 64 – 143 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.1) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 34.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

3.3 megatonnes – 124.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period393.1 days (1.08 years)
Eccentricity.1389097888367217 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.050251737064265 AU
Inclination19.98377722403027° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9043614900432682 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.196141984085263 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.09006 AU = 13,472,889 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude172.6415539916957°
Argument of perihelion4.526934286985066°
Mean anomaly / motion344.980588997407° / .915722659960741°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.791 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 14:26:57
Observed2015-09-11 to 2016-08-05 (329 day arc, 60 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 106 total.

next approach: 2029-02-12

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-08-01 Earth 50489.04 67,354,853 km
175 LD
2200-05-25 Earth 53254.72 68,256,413 km
178 LD
2199-09-04 Earth 38147.62 31,329,883 km
81.5 LD
2199-03-18 Earth 41438.78 14,354,029 km
37.3 LD
2198-10-08 Earth 38002.76 40,622,575 km
106 LD
2198-01-28 Earth 60839.05 61,516,735 km
160 LD
2186-07-30 Earth 51680.27 69,131,300 km
180 LD
2186-05-31 Earth 52800.55 70,283,845 km
183 LD
2185-09-02 Earth 38308.54 32,058,736 km
83.4 LD
2185-03-19 Earth 41508.92 15,557,800 km
40.5 LD
2184-10-06 Earth 37999.44 39,394,063 km
102 LD
2184-01-31 Earth 59270.79 58,610,934 km
152 LD
2172-07-28 Earth 54509.39 73,258,503 km
191 LD
2171-08-31 Earth 38689.65 34,025,275 km
88.5 LD
2171-03-25 Earth 41907.57 19,199,262 km
49.9 LD
2170-10-03 Earth 37897.56 36,861,269 km
95.9 LD
2170-02-03 Earth 56206.51 52,682,347 km
137 LD
2157-08-26 Earth 39401.08 37,769,600 km
98.3 LD
2157-03-31 Earth 43075.52 26,123,362 km
68.0 LD
2156-09-27 Earth 37708.22 33,435,902 km
87.0 LD
2156-02-10 Earth 52029.41 43,883,705 km
114 LD
2143-08-21 Earth 40726.58 43,223,175 km
112 LD
2143-04-10 Earth 45219.88 35,463,489 km
92.3 LD
2142-09-22 Earth 37612.90 30,233,369 km
78.7 LD
2142-02-18 Earth 47776.29 33,612,455 km
87.4 LD
2129-08-14 Earth 42587.37 49,593,540 km
129 LD
2129-04-20 Earth 47934.66 45,246,444 km
118 LD
2128-09-16 Earth 37563.11 28,429,274 km
74.0 LD
2128-02-26 Earth 44454.73 23,894,801 km
62.2 LD
2127-10-28 Earth 37335.73 52,661,381 km
137 LD
2115-08-10 Earth 44776.82 55,678,918 km
145 LD
2115-04-30 Earth 50382.01 53,781,741 km
140 LD
2114-09-12 Earth 37639.96 28,309,768 km
73.6 LD
2114-03-05 Earth 42531.19 16,887,380 km
43.9 LD
2113-10-18 Earth 37995.80 48,056,591 km
125 LD
2101-08-05 Earth 46928.97 60,475,563 km
157 LD
2101-05-09 Earth 51975.44 60,039,311 km
156 LD
2100-09-08 Earth 37846.74 29,137,056 km
75.8 LD
2100-03-10 Earth 41729.63 13,760,249 km
35.8 LD
2099-10-13 Earth 38113.83 44,774,056 km
116 LD
2099-01-21 Earth 65692.82 70,174,692 km
183 LD
2087-08-02 Earth 48773.18 64,144,971 km
167 LD
2087-05-16 Earth 52853.01 64,577,264 km
168 LD
2086-09-05 Earth 38014.49 30,191,711 km
78.5 LD
2086-03-13 Earth 41458.21 13,407,896 km
34.9 LD
2085-10-09 Earth 38081.51 42,415,398 km
110 LD
2085-01-24 Earth 62849.43 65,127,833 km
169 LD
2073-07-30 Earth 50750.76 67,662,463 km
176 LD
2073-05-24 Earth 53040.95 68,707,147 km
179 LD
2072-09-02 Earth 38199.91 31,482,079 km
81.9 LD
2072-03-17 Earth 41448.30 14,802,966 km
38.5 LD
2071-10-06 Earth 38000.38 40,196,083 km
105 LD
2071-01-28 Earth 60153.75 60,192,974 km
157 LD
2059-07-28 Earth 53626.31 72,003,706 km
187 LD
2058-08-30 Earth 38560.85 33,438,486 km
87.0 LD
2058-03-22 Earth 41775.10 18,148,860 km
47.2 LD
2057-10-02 Earth 37942.75 37,592,191 km
97.8 LD
2057-02-01 Earth 57041.70 54,244,719 km
141 LD
2044-08-26 Earth 39146.42 36,309,466 km
94.5 LD
2044-03-27 Earth 42587.49 23,509,809 km
61.2 LD
2043-09-29 Earth 37830.53 34,736,223 km
90.4 LD
2043-02-07 Earth 53572.21 47,160,426 km
123 LD
2030-08-23 Earth 39893.00 39,918,066 km
104 LD
2030-04-03 Earth 43888.72 29,934,731 km
77.9 LD
2029-09-24 Earth 37678.41 32,140,997 km
83.6 LD
2029-02-12 next Earth 50265.66 39,787,687 km
104 LD
2016-08-19 Earth 40806.90 43,655,209 km
114 LD
2016-04-09 Earth 45399.34 36,113,358 km
93.9 LD
2015-09-21 Earth 37621.55 30,249,766 km
78.7 LD
2015-02-17 Earth 47642.21 33,257,300 km
86.5 LD
2002-08-16 Earth 41694.33 46,784,226 km
122 LD
2002-04-14 Earth 46702.14 40,925,620 km
106 LD
2001-09-17 Earth 37623.68 29,216,159 km
76.0 LD
2001-02-21 Earth 45915.58 28,436,388 km
74.0 LD
2000-11-04 Earth 35575.30 55,293,870 km
144 LD
1988-08-14 Earth 42236.85 48,653,118 km
127 LD
1988-04-17 Earth 47486.35 43,715,208 km
114 LD
1987-09-16 Earth 37610.72 28,856,726 km
75.1 LD
1987-02-23 Earth 45103.55 25,916,396 km
67.4 LD
1986-10-30 Earth 36713.52 53,933,232 km
140 LD
1974-08-14 Earth 42274.30 49,002,085 km
127 LD
1974-04-18 Earth 47583.05 44,083,871 km
115 LD
1973-09-16 Earth 37592.83 28,864,631 km
75.1 LD
1973-02-23 Earth 45028.92 25,692,848 km
66.8 LD
1972-10-29 Earth 36764.20 53,815,498 km
140 LD
1960-08-14 Earth 41896.01 47,879,175 km
125 LD
1960-04-15 Earth 47069.85 42,338,419 km
110 LD
1959-09-17 Earth 37590.89 29,161,975 km
75.9 LD
1959-02-22 Earth 45604.83 27,535,159 km
71.6 LD
1958-11-02 Earth 36027.58 54,831,894 km
143 LD
1946-08-17 Earth 41235.93 45,709,615 km
119 LD
1946-04-12 Earth 46153.65 38,890,280 km
101 LD
1945-09-19 Earth 37615.19 29,840,149 km
77.6 LD
1945-02-18 Earth 46817.39 31,091,094 km
80.9 LD
1932-08-19 Earth 40500.37 42,964,214 km
112 LD
1932-04-07 Earth 44986.56 34,373,461 km
89.4 LD
1931-09-22 Earth 37654.70 30,974,477 km
80.6 LD
1931-02-15 Earth 48650.69 35,892,741 km
93.4 LD
1918-08-22 Earth 39841.99 40,187,970 km
105 LD
1918-04-03 Earth 43841.58 29,611,606 km
77.0 LD
1917-09-24 Earth 37726.24 32,471,943 km
84.5 LD
1917-02-10 Earth 50748.77 40,997,505 km
107 LD
1904-08-24 Earth 39386.94 37,977,375 km
98.8 LD
1904-03-29 Earth 43054.71 25,742,407 km
67.0 LD
1903-09-27 Earth 37804.17 33,916,245 km
88.2 LD
1903-02-07 Earth 52635.15 45,336,808 km
118 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T23:01:20.374743+00:00.