Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 SJ7)

Designation: 2015 SJ7 · NASA id: 3728732

Estimated diameter: 21 – 47 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.5) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 2.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

237 kilotonnes – 8.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period229.6 days (0.63 years)
Eccentricity.4535586366088474 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.7337929880674531 AU
Inclination3.351273414138914° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.4009748408464469 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.066611135288459 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01680 AU = 2,512,706 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude6.174423113094668°
Argument of perihelion185.0133223753231°
Mean anomaly / motion156.0959742195335° / 1.56799162158566°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant7.759 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2457289.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 14:41:18
Observed2015-09-23 to 2015-09-30 (7 day arc, 31 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty8 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 54 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Merc? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 26 of them were approaches to Earth, 21 of them were approaches to Venus and 7 of them were approaches to Merc.

This one’s path runs from 0.401 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.067 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 229.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0168 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-05-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2048-03-19 Venus 84862.58 21,985,662 km
57.2 LD
2047-09-10 Earth 43859.63 10,842,252 km
28.2 LD
2047-08-04 Venus 71021.16 10,263,721 km
26.7 LD
2046-12-20 Venus 57979.95 1,104,216 km
2.87 LD
2046-05-08 Venus 43711.77 14,099,371 km
36.7 LD
2044-12-20 Merc 80400.78 10,422,795 km
27.1 LD
2044-10-23 Earth 80206.99 55,249,452 km
144 LD
2038-08-02 Venus 45823.79 12,850,532 km
33.4 LD
2037-12-18 Venus 61575.73 6,322,338 km
16.4 LD
2037-05-04 Venus 77875.39 17,119,756 km
44.5 LD
2036-11-08 Merc 76112.70 6,185,930 km
16.1 LD
2035-09-21 Earth 92987.12 69,667,188 km
181 LD
2032-10-27 Earth 35383.94 4,223,439 km
11.0 LD
2030-09-15 Earth 75818.55 49,228,690 km
128 LD
2030-07-13 Merc 54989.82 4,796,674 km
12.5 LD
2027-10-31 Earth 50322.12 19,350,145 km
50.3 LD
2027-06-21 Earth 44857.37 71,082,872 km
185 LD
2027-05-21 next Merc 94347.40 14,833,982 km
38.6 LD
2026-01-29 Earth 58946.54 74,312,084 km
193 LD
2025-09-10 Earth 58524.47 28,399,553 km
73.9 LD
2022-10-27 Earth 68086.02 40,632,710 km
106 LD
2022-05-29 Merc 85474.55 9,886,730 km
25.7 LD
2021-01-09 Earth 37335.07 64,990,110 km
169 LD
2020-09-09 Earth 41723.85 8,143,148 km
21.2 LD
2019-04-05 Merc 57910.34 1,291,906 km
3.36 LD
2017-10-22 Earth 85334.14 61,374,705 km
160 LD
2017-06-12 Venus 72010.66 11,135,002 km
29.0 LD
2016-10-28 Venus 56442.35 2,369,842 km
6.17 LD
2016-03-16 Venus 41358.43 16,583,659 km
43.1 LD
2016-02-04 Merc 50701.66 5,080,017 km
13.2 LD
2015-09-22 Earth 31761.35 7,534,554 km
19.6 LD
2009-01-20 Venus 46678.34 12,179,264 km
31.7 LD
2008-09-16 Earth 80460.70 54,720,483 km
142 LD
2008-06-07 Venus 63331.55 7,054,768 km
18.4 LD
2007-10-23 Venus 80621.41 19,300,796 km
50.2 LD
2005-10-31 Earth 47728.86 16,136,972 km
42.0 LD
2003-09-11 Earth 59683.54 29,693,419 km
77.2 LD
2000-10-27 Earth 68911.20 41,511,776 km
108 LD
1998-09-10 Earth 40091.70 6,171,153 km
16.1 LD
1989-02-25 Venus 83875.74 21,155,267 km
55.0 LD
1988-07-13 Venus 67406.96 7,198,445 km
18.7 LD
1987-11-28 Venus 51683.29 6,581,537 km
17.1 LD
1987-04-19 Venus 38654.50 20,363,302 km
53.0 LD
1986-09-16 Earth 80528.20 54,741,863 km
142 LD
1983-11-01 Earth 46932.72 15,170,978 km
39.5 LD
1983-06-25 Earth 40689.35 69,222,081 km
180 LD
1981-09-11 Earth 61152.20 31,413,046 km
81.7 LD
1980-02-21 Venus 46398.46 12,427,099 km
32.3 LD
1979-07-09 Venus 62752.05 6,812,490 km
17.7 LD
1978-11-23 Venus 79777.85 18,628,048 km
48.5 LD
1978-10-28 Earth 66235.13 38,245,888 km
99.5 LD
1976-09-09 Earth 42689.89 9,237,192 km
24.0 LD
1958-05-18 Venus 46955.22 10,892,365 km
28.3 LD
1956-10-29 Earth 58878.22 29,440,670 km
76.6 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:57:30.453785+00:00.