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Designation: 2015 SJ7 · NASA id: 3728732
Estimated diameter: 21 – 47 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
237 kilotonnes – 8.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 229.6 days (0.63 years) |
| Eccentricity | .4535586366088474 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .7337929880674531 AU |
| Inclination | 3.351273414138914° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .4009748408464469 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.066611135288459 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01680 AU = 2,512,706 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 6.174423113094668° |
| Argument of perihelion | 185.0133223753231° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 156.0959742195335° / 1.56799162158566°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 7.759 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2457289.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 14:41:18 |
| Observed | 2015-09-23 to 2015-09-30 (7 day arc, 31 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 8 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 54 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 26 of them were approaches to Earth, 21 of them were approaches to Venus and 7 of them were approaches to Merc.
This one’s path runs from 0.401 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.067 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 229.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0168 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-05-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2048-03-19 | Venus | 84862.58 | 21,985,662 km 57.2 LD |
| 2047-09-10 | Earth | 43859.63 | 10,842,252 km 28.2 LD |
| 2047-08-04 | Venus | 71021.16 | 10,263,721 km 26.7 LD |
| 2046-12-20 | Venus | 57979.95 | 1,104,216 km 2.87 LD |
| 2046-05-08 | Venus | 43711.77 | 14,099,371 km 36.7 LD |
| 2044-12-20 | Merc | 80400.78 | 10,422,795 km 27.1 LD |
| 2044-10-23 | Earth | 80206.99 | 55,249,452 km 144 LD |
| 2038-08-02 | Venus | 45823.79 | 12,850,532 km 33.4 LD |
| 2037-12-18 | Venus | 61575.73 | 6,322,338 km 16.4 LD |
| 2037-05-04 | Venus | 77875.39 | 17,119,756 km 44.5 LD |
| 2036-11-08 | Merc | 76112.70 | 6,185,930 km 16.1 LD |
| 2035-09-21 | Earth | 92987.12 | 69,667,188 km 181 LD |
| 2032-10-27 | Earth | 35383.94 | 4,223,439 km 11.0 LD |
| 2030-09-15 | Earth | 75818.55 | 49,228,690 km 128 LD |
| 2030-07-13 | Merc | 54989.82 | 4,796,674 km 12.5 LD |
| 2027-10-31 | Earth | 50322.12 | 19,350,145 km 50.3 LD |
| 2027-06-21 | Earth | 44857.37 | 71,082,872 km 185 LD |
| 2027-05-21 next | Merc | 94347.40 | 14,833,982 km 38.6 LD |
| 2026-01-29 | Earth | 58946.54 | 74,312,084 km 193 LD |
| 2025-09-10 | Earth | 58524.47 | 28,399,553 km 73.9 LD |
| 2022-10-27 | Earth | 68086.02 | 40,632,710 km 106 LD |
| 2022-05-29 | Merc | 85474.55 | 9,886,730 km 25.7 LD |
| 2021-01-09 | Earth | 37335.07 | 64,990,110 km 169 LD |
| 2020-09-09 | Earth | 41723.85 | 8,143,148 km 21.2 LD |
| 2019-04-05 | Merc | 57910.34 | 1,291,906 km 3.36 LD |
| 2017-10-22 | Earth | 85334.14 | 61,374,705 km 160 LD |
| 2017-06-12 | Venus | 72010.66 | 11,135,002 km 29.0 LD |
| 2016-10-28 | Venus | 56442.35 | 2,369,842 km 6.17 LD |
| 2016-03-16 | Venus | 41358.43 | 16,583,659 km 43.1 LD |
| 2016-02-04 | Merc | 50701.66 | 5,080,017 km 13.2 LD |
| 2015-09-22 | Earth | 31761.35 | 7,534,554 km 19.6 LD |
| 2009-01-20 | Venus | 46678.34 | 12,179,264 km 31.7 LD |
| 2008-09-16 | Earth | 80460.70 | 54,720,483 km 142 LD |
| 2008-06-07 | Venus | 63331.55 | 7,054,768 km 18.4 LD |
| 2007-10-23 | Venus | 80621.41 | 19,300,796 km 50.2 LD |
| 2005-10-31 | Earth | 47728.86 | 16,136,972 km 42.0 LD |
| 2003-09-11 | Earth | 59683.54 | 29,693,419 km 77.2 LD |
| 2000-10-27 | Earth | 68911.20 | 41,511,776 km 108 LD |
| 1998-09-10 | Earth | 40091.70 | 6,171,153 km 16.1 LD |
| 1989-02-25 | Venus | 83875.74 | 21,155,267 km 55.0 LD |
| 1988-07-13 | Venus | 67406.96 | 7,198,445 km 18.7 LD |
| 1987-11-28 | Venus | 51683.29 | 6,581,537 km 17.1 LD |
| 1987-04-19 | Venus | 38654.50 | 20,363,302 km 53.0 LD |
| 1986-09-16 | Earth | 80528.20 | 54,741,863 km 142 LD |
| 1983-11-01 | Earth | 46932.72 | 15,170,978 km 39.5 LD |
| 1983-06-25 | Earth | 40689.35 | 69,222,081 km 180 LD |
| 1981-09-11 | Earth | 61152.20 | 31,413,046 km 81.7 LD |
| 1980-02-21 | Venus | 46398.46 | 12,427,099 km 32.3 LD |
| 1979-07-09 | Venus | 62752.05 | 6,812,490 km 17.7 LD |
| 1978-11-23 | Venus | 79777.85 | 18,628,048 km 48.5 LD |
| 1978-10-28 | Earth | 66235.13 | 38,245,888 km 99.5 LD |
| 1976-09-09 | Earth | 42689.89 | 9,237,192 km 24.0 LD |
| 1958-05-18 | Venus | 46955.22 | 10,892,365 km 28.3 LD |
| 1956-10-29 | Earth | 58878.22 | 29,440,670 km 76.6 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:57:30.453785+00:00.