Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 SY16)

Designation: 2015 SY16 · NASA id: 3728857 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 128 – 287 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.58) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 4.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

41.1 megatonnes – 1,531 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period506.2 days (1.39 years)
Eccentricity.4988671575622107 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.243037887675866 AU
Inclination5.26619225182677° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6229271099088722 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.86314866544286 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.04424 AU = 6,618,195 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude294.4632997678974°
Argument of perihelion305.7949199511814°
Mean anomaly / motion177.9754734479946° / .7111767084700148°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.030 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-03-01 06:03:08
Observed2015-09-23 to 2022-09-29 (2563 day arc, 81 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 142 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 100 of them were approaches to Earth, 36 of them were approaches to Venus and 6 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.623 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.863 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 506.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0442 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2029-05-04

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2198-08-03 Earth 37557.89 38,546,561 km
100 LD
2195-08-23 Venus 51076.54 15,615,308 km
40.6 LD
2194-03-26 Earth 38746.09 43,469,986 km
113 LD
2191-09-16 Earth 85454.82 41,287,770 km
107 LD
2190-02-11 Venus 45582.18 15,587,297 km
40.5 LD
2187-06-06 Earth 60071.61 58,299,914 km
152 LD
2184-08-05 Venus 42270.36 16,567,817 km
43.1 LD
2183-02-09 Earth 68014.12 16,852,209 km
43.8 LD
2180-08-24 Earth 43295.28 21,857,148 km
56.9 LD
2179-01-26 Venus 41794.80 17,244,727 km
44.9 LD
2176-04-13 Earth 49158.04 51,323,110 km
134 LD
2176-02-04 Earth 32004.49 61,377,347 km
160 LD
2173-09-20 Earth 95996.67 55,363,862 km
144 LD
2173-07-16 Venus 41864.54 17,545,098 km
45.6 LD
2169-06-15 Earth 57743.43 56,608,056 km
147 LD
2168-01-04 Venus 42169.56 17,862,659 km
46.5 LD
2165-02-12 Earth 60236.99 8,350,816 km
21.7 LD
2162-08-29 Earth 49338.42 14,533,303 km
37.8 LD
2162-06-22 Venus 42164.89 17,875,215 km
46.5 LD
2158-04-20 Earth 52100.05 53,321,355 km
139 LD
2158-01-30 Earth 34051.03 66,257,209 km
172 LD
2156-12-04 Venus 41759.97 17,423,051 km
45.3 LD
2156-08-01 Mars 44109.83 1,972,382 km
5.13 LD
2155-09-21 Earth 98939.37 59,323,502 km
154 LD
2151-06-16 Earth 57586.43 56,536,134 km
147 LD
2151-05-17 Venus 42223.24 16,508,926 km
42.9 LD
2147-02-11 Earth 63047.47 10,985,474 km
28.6 LD
2145-10-27 Venus 45660.37 15,534,830 km
40.4 LD
2144-08-25 Earth 44960.62 19,600,036 km
51.0 LD
2140-04-08 Earth 46569.11 49,388,054 km
128 LD
2140-04-07 Venus 55709.65 16,660,412 km
43.3 LD
2140-02-08 Earth 29907.02 57,323,254 km
149 LD
2137-09-16 Earth 89186.75 46,192,392 km
120 LD
2133-06-01 Earth 60491.19 58,570,055 km
152 LD
2130-04-03 Mars 44727.54 3,347,904 km
8.71 LD
2129-02-04 Earth 80124.60 32,663,129 km
85.0 LD
2126-07-28 Earth 39617.87 41,153,559 km
107 LD
2122-02-24 Earth 37559.49 27,851,620 km
72.5 LD
2119-09-07 Earth 67436.55 17,811,382 km
46.3 LD
2115-05-07 Earth 58381.32 57,368,144 km
149 LD
2112-09-25 Earth 110121.13 74,096,420 km
193 LD
2111-01-26 Earth 103616.82 63,835,333 km
166 LD
2108-09-19 Earth 32955.47 72,760,981 km
189 LD
2108-06-24 Earth 54517.83 54,242,181 km
141 LD
2104-02-13 Earth 58657.39 7,207,082 km
18.7 LD
2102-12-16 Venus 73963.84 21,027,455 km
54.7 LD
2101-08-27 Earth 47606.34 16,400,400 km
42.7 LD
2097-05-27 Venus 59075.96 8,362,816 km
21.8 LD
2097-04-08 Earth 47039.06 49,780,485 km
130 LD
2097-02-05 Earth 30384.96 58,145,401 km
151 LD
2094-09-16 Earth 90260.26 47,633,152 km
124 LD
2091-11-08 Venus 50185.01 4,186,767 km
10.9 LD
2090-06-01 Earth 60240.74 58,408,813 km
152 LD
2086-04-17 Venus 43993.57 9,779,259 km
25.4 LD
2086-02-04 Earth 77040.23 28,523,027 km
74.2 LD
2083-08-03 Earth 37260.83 37,718,052 km
98.1 LD
2080-09-17 Venus 43552.17 16,284,611 km
42.4 LD
2079-02-28 Earth 33345.69 33,753,382 km
87.8 LD
2076-09-07 Earth 72070.29 23,529,795 km
61.2 LD
2075-02-17 Venus 42857.63 18,210,306 km
47.4 LD
2072-05-10 Earth 59625.16 58,187,365 km
151 LD
2069-07-19 Venus 42378.26 16,358,719 km
42.6 LD
2068-01-27 Earth 98496.06 57,008,354 km
148 LD
2065-09-12 Earth 30202.46 67,497,346 km
176 LD
2065-06-29 Earth 51772.59 52,238,701 km
136 LD
2063-12-25 Venus 53755.71 16,110,393 km
41.9 LD
2061-02-13 Earth 54385.34 7,637,876 km
19.9 LD
2058-08-29 Earth 51901.88 11,952,596 km
31.1 LD
2054-04-14 Earth 49939.56 51,831,840 km
135 LD
2054-02-01 Earth 32447.93 62,705,008 km
163 LD
2051-09-17 Earth 92541.14 50,696,063 km
132 LD
2047-06-01 Earth 60346.78 58,469,144 km
152 LD
2045-08-11 Mars 39047.89 12,226,436 km
31.8 LD
2043-02-03 Earth 80212.46 32,629,339 km
84.9 LD
2040-07-24 Earth 39990.54 41,527,842 km
108 LD
2036-02-22 Earth 38478.24 26,667,592 km
69.4 LD
2033-09-05 Earth 66577.03 16,761,100 km
43.6 LD
2029-05-04 next Earth 58111.34 57,262,825 km
149 LD
2026-09-24 Earth 109886.51 73,848,077 km
192 LD
2026-08-29 Venus 63462.88 11,895,488 km
30.9 LD
2025-01-24 Earth 103201.15 63,180,870 km
164 LD
2022-09-16 Earth 32215.38 71,116,766 km
185 LD
2022-06-25 Earth 53593.49 53,650,440 km
140 LD
2021-02-10 Venus 54996.21 5,224,010 km
13.6 LD
2019-04-13 Mars 43451.94 1,824,344 km
4.75 LD
2018-02-13 Earth 53578.61 8,072,758 km
21.0 LD
2015-08-31 Earth 56028.85 9,621,459 km
25.0 LD
2015-07-29 Venus 53441.99 4,344,584 km
11.3 LD
2011-05-01 Earth 56990.90 56,647,269 km
147 LD
2010-01-16 Venus 58575.35 7,813,309 km
20.3 LD
2007-01-26 Earth 97434.61 55,744,190 km
145 LD
2004-07-09 Earth 47056.35 48,477,352 km
126 LD
2004-07-09 Venus 69389.79 16,966,145 km
44.1 LD
2000-02-24 Earth 34958.85 31,338,708 km
81.5 LD
1997-09-09 Earth 77810.63 31,065,201 km
80.8 LD
1993-05-29 Earth 60497.34 58,672,235 km
153 LD
1989-02-07 Earth 67264.41 15,773,822 km
41.0 LD
1986-08-25 Earth 46674.11 17,240,664 km
44.9 LD
1982-04-22 Earth 53915.07 54,675,061 km
142 LD
1982-01-25 Earth 35452.22 69,795,456 km
182 LD
1979-09-22 Earth 106805.53 69,824,861 km
182 LD
1978-01-23 Earth 103104.16 63,221,930 km
164 LD
1975-09-10 Earth 28971.84 65,063,696 km
169 LD
1975-07-02 Earth 50476.44 51,301,966 km
133 LD
1971-02-19 Earth 41055.43 23,066,470 km
60.0 LD
1968-09-06 Earth 71224.28 22,504,353 km
58.5 LD
1964-05-20 Earth 60832.56 58,966,166 km
153 LD
1964-04-24 Venus 58266.09 17,516,166 km
45.6 LD
1960-02-03 Earth 77834.68 29,597,410 km
77.0 LD
1958-10-17 Venus 47307.94 15,420,966 km
40.1 LD
1957-08-13 Earth 36943.22 31,573,631 km
82.1 LD
1953-04-11 Venus 41888.26 16,659,365 km
43.3 LD
1953-04-03 Earth 44871.38 48,224,581 km
125 LD
1953-02-08 Earth 28680.76 54,815,392 km
143 LD
1951-07-27 Mars 44728.43 4,489,980 km
11.7 LD
1950-09-16 Earth 92348.72 50,463,522 km
131 LD
1947-10-08 Venus 41796.14 18,044,949 km
46.9 LD
1946-06-11 Earth 58144.94 56,989,185 km
148 LD
1942-04-03 Venus 43177.93 18,402,454 km
47.9 LD
1942-02-10 Earth 59718.39 7,452,393 km
19.4 LD
1939-08-28 Earth 51295.25 12,230,732 km
31.8 LD
1936-09-22 Venus 43419.60 18,206,972 km
47.4 LD
1935-04-22 Earth 54125.90 54,738,676 km
142 LD
1935-01-25 Earth 35428.78 70,120,422 km
182 LD
1932-09-20 Earth 104413.45 66,684,078 km
173 LD
1931-03-14 Venus 43540.70 17,956,250 km
46.7 LD
1931-01-22 Earth 107207.06 68,589,714 km
178 LD
1928-09-16 Earth 32889.04 72,235,763 km
188 LD
1928-06-22 Earth 54114.65 54,110,153 km
141 LD
1925-08-31 Venus 43571.13 17,722,298 km
46.1 LD
1924-02-14 Earth 52092.94 9,189,256 km
23.9 LD
1921-08-31 Earth 58602.26 9,723,547 km
25.3 LD
1920-02-21 Venus 43490.03 16,986,794 km
44.2 LD
1917-05-02 Earth 57938.51 57,237,712 km
149 LD
1914-08-14 Venus 43124.14 15,416,690 km
40.1 LD
1913-01-25 Earth 96997.09 55,026,775 km
143 LD
1910-07-07 Earth 47859.07 49,225,804 km
128 LD
1909-02-03 Venus 42878.53 13,776,324 km
35.8 LD
1906-02-19 Earth 40665.49 23,602,027 km
61.4 LD
1904-07-17 Mars 48261.65 13,202,279 km
34.3 LD
1903-09-06 Earth 69485.01 20,218,324 km
52.6 LD
1903-07-26 Venus 42938.06 12,388,885 km
32.2 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-19T17:15:37.577402+00:00.