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Designation: 2015 TM143 · NASA id: 3729284
Estimated diameter: 52 – 116 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
726 kilotonnes – 27.1 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 442.7 days (1.21 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2559052168272512 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.136797211473947 AU |
| Inclination | 7.754624845276355° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .845884874583092 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.427709548364802 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02812 AU = 4,207,365 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 208.9818652711333° |
| Argument of perihelion | 269.7777547854002° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 50.11382835415267° / .8131666793083702°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.473 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-09-01 05:53:02 |
| Observed | 2015-10-10 to 2022-05-25 (2419 day arc, 123 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 126 total.
next approach: 2027-07-30
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-05-09 | Earth | 19129.83 | 39,448,518 km 103 LD |
| 2199-01-18 | Earth | 21678.06 | 27,672,084 km 72.0 LD |
| 2198-10-11 | Earth | 18888.52 | 36,314,384 km 94.5 LD |
| 2193-06-24 | Earth | 26398.75 | 61,045,026 km 159 LD |
| 2192-10-30 | Earth | 38017.75 | 15,665,105 km 40.8 LD |
| 2188-04-26 | Earth | 62092.60 | 50,576,074 km 132 LD |
| 2187-07-30 | Earth | 28092.95 | 65,941,187 km 172 LD |
| 2186-10-13 | Earth | 76718.89 | 70,932,952 km 185 LD |
| 2182-04-08 | Earth | 25429.49 | 6,322,553 km 16.4 LD |
| 2181-09-05 | Earth | 24979.72 | 55,061,720 km 143 LD |
| 2176-06-03 | Earth | 23655.58 | 52,615,067 km 137 LD |
| 2175-11-10 | Earth | 21165.28 | 13,253,325 km 34.5 LD |
| 2170-07-14 | Earth | 27962.60 | 65,740,122 km 171 LD |
| 2169-10-21 | Earth | 59455.61 | 46,459,855 km 121 LD |
| 2165-04-15 | Earth | 39777.41 | 18,068,599 km 47.0 LD |
| 2164-08-20 | Earth | 26903.78 | 61,503,433 km 160 LD |
| 2159-05-04 | Earth | 18351.52 | 37,177,100 km 96.7 LD |
| 2159-01-25 | Earth | 21677.24 | 27,621,779 km 71.9 LD |
| 2158-10-07 | Earth | 19567.11 | 38,512,922 km 100 LD |
| 2153-06-24 | Earth | 26462.88 | 61,179,854 km 159 LD |
| 2152-10-30 | Earth | 38346.16 | 16,191,972 km 42.1 LD |
| 2148-04-25 | Earth | 60001.54 | 47,530,388 km 124 LD |
| 2147-08-01 | Earth | 28077.22 | 65,841,069 km 171 LD |
| 2146-10-12 | Earth | 79398.14 | 74,759,095 km 194 LD |
| 2142-04-04 | Earth | 21355.39 | 12,625,979 km 32.8 LD |
| 2141-09-11 | Earth | 24052.85 | 52,349,268 km 136 LD |
| 2136-06-09 | Earth | 24604.36 | 55,638,306 km 145 LD |
| 2135-11-06 | Earth | 25894.37 | 6,502,377 km 16.9 LD |
| 2131-05-02 | Earth | 74008.07 | 67,646,143 km 176 LD |
| 2130-07-19 | Earth | 28005.87 | 66,124,732 km 172 LD |
| 2129-10-18 | Earth | 64873.38 | 54,241,146 km 141 LD |
| 2125-04-13 | Earth | 34755.80 | 10,791,464 km 28.1 LD |
| 2124-08-25 | Earth | 26259.05 | 59,666,452 km 155 LD |
| 2119-05-11 | Earth | 19644.57 | 40,442,210 km 105 LD |
| 2119-01-14 | Earth | 21496.64 | 27,529,881 km 71.6 LD |
| 2118-10-14 | Earth | 18487.40 | 35,082,167 km 91.3 LD |
| 2113-06-25 | Earth | 26495.37 | 61,459,606 km 160 LD |
| 2112-10-29 | Earth | 39353.14 | 17,636,935 km 45.9 LD |
| 2108-04-25 | Earth | 60971.40 | 49,012,704 km 128 LD |
| 2107-07-31 | Earth | 28009.40 | 65,861,004 km 171 LD |
| 2106-10-12 | Earth | 77843.63 | 72,541,832 km 189 LD |
| 2102-04-06 | Earth | 24085.11 | 8,214,492 km 21.4 LD |
| 2101-09-07 | Earth | 24617.77 | 54,311,953 km 141 LD |
| 2096-06-03 | Earth | 23767.85 | 53,031,803 km 138 LD |
| 2095-11-08 | Earth | 21811.45 | 12,069,232 km 31.4 LD |
| 2090-07-13 | Earth | 27862.95 | 65,693,434 km 171 LD |
| 2089-10-20 | Earth | 59353.57 | 46,307,477 km 120 LD |
| 2085-04-15 | Earth | 40477.54 | 19,233,958 km 50.0 LD |
| 2084-08-17 | Earth | 26873.60 | 61,791,838 km 161 LD |
| 2079-04-30 | Earth | 17907.92 | 35,412,509 km 92.1 LD |
| 2079-01-29 | Earth | 21529.55 | 27,460,391 km 71.4 LD |
| 2078-10-03 | Earth | 20125.52 | 40,089,136 km 104 LD |
| 2073-06-21 | Earth | 26152.84 | 60,394,636 km 157 LD |
| 2072-10-30 | Earth | 36288.38 | 13,151,093 km 34.2 LD |
| 2068-04-24 | Earth | 62202.67 | 50,836,802 km 132 LD |
| 2067-07-29 | Earth | 28051.99 | 66,053,009 km 172 LD |
| 2066-10-12 | Earth | 77180.52 | 71,502,973 km 186 LD |
| 2062-04-04 | Earth | 22876.36 | 10,097,628 km 26.3 LD |
| 2061-09-07 | Earth | 24415.43 | 53,540,608 km 139 LD |
| 2056-06-07 | Earth | 24486.68 | 55,025,183 km 143 LD |
| 2055-11-06 | Earth | 24959.17 | 7,506,056 km 19.5 LD |
| 2051-05-01 | Earth | 74681.05 | 68,741,719 km 179 LD |
| 2050-07-17 | Earth | 28087.93 | 66,102,323 km 172 LD |
| 2049-10-17 | Earth | 64266.60 | 53,237,941 km 138 LD |
| 2045-04-12 | Earth | 35099.51 | 11,417,826 km 29.7 LD |
| 2044-08-23 | Earth | 26388.68 | 59,884,456 km 156 LD |
| 2039-05-10 | Earth | 19658.16 | 40,568,763 km 106 LD |
| 2039-01-12 | Earth | 21563.65 | 27,488,804 km 71.5 LD |
| 2038-10-13 | Earth | 18261.31 | 34,946,065 km 90.9 LD |
| 2033-06-25 | Earth | 26672.14 | 61,698,578 km 161 LD |
| 2032-10-28 | Earth | 40227.07 | 18,723,984 km 48.7 LD |
| 2028-04-23 | Earth | 60082.26 | 47,760,155 km 124 LD |
| 2027-07-30 next | Earth | 28050.64 | 65,766,953 km 171 LD |
| 2026-10-11 | Earth | 78724.50 | 73,712,838 km 192 LD |
| 2022-04-05 | Earth | 23043.59 | 9,929,515 km 25.8 LD |
| 2021-09-07 | Earth | 24467.83 | 53,644,736 km 140 LD |
| 2016-06-04 | Earth | 24109.24 | 53,690,481 km 140 LD |
| 2015-11-07 | Earth | 22937.87 | 10,314,366 km 26.8 LD |
| 2011-05-03 | Earth | 78402.57 | 73,988,458 km 192 LD |
| 2010-07-13 | Earth | 27960.89 | 65,715,682 km 171 LD |
| 2009-10-19 | Earth | 60021.21 | 47,233,515 km 123 LD |
| 2005-04-14 | Earth | 40360.80 | 19,021,400 km 49.5 LD |
| 2004-08-17 | Earth | 26914.95 | 61,730,223 km 161 LD |
| 1999-04-28 | Earth | 17723.13 | 34,980,378 km 91.0 LD |
| 1999-01-30 | Earth | 21533.16 | 27,407,542 km 71.3 LD |
| 1998-10-02 | Earth | 20100.93 | 40,405,015 km 105 LD |
| 1993-06-20 | Earth | 26160.83 | 60,058,736 km 156 LD |
| 1992-10-30 | Earth | 35537.59 | 12,120,564 km 31.5 LD |
| 1988-04-25 | Earth | 63394.74 | 52,505,626 km 137 LD |
| 1987-07-27 | Earth | 28118.41 | 66,074,097 km 172 LD |
| 1986-10-12 | Earth | 75826.41 | 69,708,277 km 181 LD |
| 1982-04-05 | Earth | 24073.49 | 8,418,437 km 21.9 LD |
| 1981-09-06 | Earth | 24610.10 | 54,322,046 km 141 LD |
| 1976-06-05 | Earth | 24300.64 | 54,397,469 km 142 LD |
| 1975-11-06 | Earth | 24064.66 | 8,565,880 km 22.3 LD |
| 1971-05-01 | Earth | 75686.75 | 70,097,162 km 182 LD |
| 1970-07-16 | Earth | 27978.22 | 66,030,558 km 172 LD |
| 1969-10-18 | Earth | 63255.59 | 51,903,818 km 135 LD |
| 1965-04-12 | Earth | 35954.48 | 12,649,451 km 32.9 LD |
| 1964-08-22 | Earth | 26363.76 | 60,218,953 km 157 LD |
| 1959-05-10 | Earth | 19745.90 | 40,389,468 km 105 LD |
| 1959-01-12 | Earth | 21486.51 | 27,478,809 km 71.5 LD |
| 1958-10-13 | Earth | 18326.54 | 35,041,327 km 91.2 LD |
| 1953-06-25 | Earth | 26652.88 | 61,852,440 km 161 LD |
| 1952-10-27 | Earth | 40788.02 | 19,621,929 km 51.0 LD |
| 1948-04-23 | Earth | 59112.88 | 46,398,497 km 121 LD |
| 1947-07-31 | Earth | 27934.78 | 65,682,442 km 171 LD |
| 1942-04-03 | Earth | 21839.09 | 11,872,814 km 30.9 LD |
| 1941-09-08 | Earth | 24103.11 | 52,888,402 km 138 LD |
| 1936-06-06 | Earth | 24342.41 | 54,576,145 km 142 LD |
| 1935-11-06 | Earth | 24355.55 | 8,106,311 km 21.1 LD |
| 1931-05-02 | Earth | 77217.27 | 72,352,194 km 188 LD |
| 1930-07-14 | Earth | 27912.59 | 65,782,405 km 171 LD |
| 1929-10-18 | Earth | 61072.85 | 48,730,030 km 127 LD |
| 1925-04-14 | Earth | 39767.53 | 18,303,437 km 47.6 LD |
| 1924-08-17 | Earth | 26769.31 | 61,596,727 km 160 LD |
| 1919-04-28 | Earth | 17839.18 | 34,760,226 km 90.4 LD |
| 1919-01-30 | Earth | 21420.06 | 27,424,745 km 71.3 LD |
| 1918-10-02 | Earth | 20198.63 | 40,635,305 km 106 LD |
| 1913-06-18 | Earth | 25978.41 | 59,688,129 km 155 LD |
| 1912-10-30 | Earth | 34751.05 | 10,859,033 km 28.2 LD |
| 1908-04-25 | Earth | 64471.39 | 54,173,019 km 141 LD |
| 1907-07-26 | Earth | 28037.66 | 66,136,043 km 172 LD |
| 1906-10-12 | Earth | 74679.90 | 67,964,374 km 177 LD |
| 1902-04-06 | Earth | 25382.87 | 6,708,341 km 17.5 LD |
| 1901-09-04 | Earth | 24840.37 | 55,252,929 km 144 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:42:08.791583+00:00.