Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 TM143)

Designation: 2015 TM143 · NASA id: 3729284

Estimated diameter: 52 – 116 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.54) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 16.4 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

726 kilotonnes – 27.1 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period442.7 days (1.21 years)
Eccentricity.2559052168272512 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.136797211473947 AU
Inclination7.754624845276355° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.845884874583092 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.427709548364802 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02812 AU = 4,207,365 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude208.9818652711333°
Argument of perihelion269.7777547854002°
Mean anomaly / motion50.11382835415267° / .8131666793083702°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.473 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-09-01 05:53:02
Observed2015-10-10 to 2022-05-25 (2419 day arc, 123 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 126 total.

next approach: 2027-07-30

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2199-05-09 Earth 19129.83 39,448,518 km
103 LD
2199-01-18 Earth 21678.06 27,672,084 km
72.0 LD
2198-10-11 Earth 18888.52 36,314,384 km
94.5 LD
2193-06-24 Earth 26398.75 61,045,026 km
159 LD
2192-10-30 Earth 38017.75 15,665,105 km
40.8 LD
2188-04-26 Earth 62092.60 50,576,074 km
132 LD
2187-07-30 Earth 28092.95 65,941,187 km
172 LD
2186-10-13 Earth 76718.89 70,932,952 km
185 LD
2182-04-08 Earth 25429.49 6,322,553 km
16.4 LD
2181-09-05 Earth 24979.72 55,061,720 km
143 LD
2176-06-03 Earth 23655.58 52,615,067 km
137 LD
2175-11-10 Earth 21165.28 13,253,325 km
34.5 LD
2170-07-14 Earth 27962.60 65,740,122 km
171 LD
2169-10-21 Earth 59455.61 46,459,855 km
121 LD
2165-04-15 Earth 39777.41 18,068,599 km
47.0 LD
2164-08-20 Earth 26903.78 61,503,433 km
160 LD
2159-05-04 Earth 18351.52 37,177,100 km
96.7 LD
2159-01-25 Earth 21677.24 27,621,779 km
71.9 LD
2158-10-07 Earth 19567.11 38,512,922 km
100 LD
2153-06-24 Earth 26462.88 61,179,854 km
159 LD
2152-10-30 Earth 38346.16 16,191,972 km
42.1 LD
2148-04-25 Earth 60001.54 47,530,388 km
124 LD
2147-08-01 Earth 28077.22 65,841,069 km
171 LD
2146-10-12 Earth 79398.14 74,759,095 km
194 LD
2142-04-04 Earth 21355.39 12,625,979 km
32.8 LD
2141-09-11 Earth 24052.85 52,349,268 km
136 LD
2136-06-09 Earth 24604.36 55,638,306 km
145 LD
2135-11-06 Earth 25894.37 6,502,377 km
16.9 LD
2131-05-02 Earth 74008.07 67,646,143 km
176 LD
2130-07-19 Earth 28005.87 66,124,732 km
172 LD
2129-10-18 Earth 64873.38 54,241,146 km
141 LD
2125-04-13 Earth 34755.80 10,791,464 km
28.1 LD
2124-08-25 Earth 26259.05 59,666,452 km
155 LD
2119-05-11 Earth 19644.57 40,442,210 km
105 LD
2119-01-14 Earth 21496.64 27,529,881 km
71.6 LD
2118-10-14 Earth 18487.40 35,082,167 km
91.3 LD
2113-06-25 Earth 26495.37 61,459,606 km
160 LD
2112-10-29 Earth 39353.14 17,636,935 km
45.9 LD
2108-04-25 Earth 60971.40 49,012,704 km
128 LD
2107-07-31 Earth 28009.40 65,861,004 km
171 LD
2106-10-12 Earth 77843.63 72,541,832 km
189 LD
2102-04-06 Earth 24085.11 8,214,492 km
21.4 LD
2101-09-07 Earth 24617.77 54,311,953 km
141 LD
2096-06-03 Earth 23767.85 53,031,803 km
138 LD
2095-11-08 Earth 21811.45 12,069,232 km
31.4 LD
2090-07-13 Earth 27862.95 65,693,434 km
171 LD
2089-10-20 Earth 59353.57 46,307,477 km
120 LD
2085-04-15 Earth 40477.54 19,233,958 km
50.0 LD
2084-08-17 Earth 26873.60 61,791,838 km
161 LD
2079-04-30 Earth 17907.92 35,412,509 km
92.1 LD
2079-01-29 Earth 21529.55 27,460,391 km
71.4 LD
2078-10-03 Earth 20125.52 40,089,136 km
104 LD
2073-06-21 Earth 26152.84 60,394,636 km
157 LD
2072-10-30 Earth 36288.38 13,151,093 km
34.2 LD
2068-04-24 Earth 62202.67 50,836,802 km
132 LD
2067-07-29 Earth 28051.99 66,053,009 km
172 LD
2066-10-12 Earth 77180.52 71,502,973 km
186 LD
2062-04-04 Earth 22876.36 10,097,628 km
26.3 LD
2061-09-07 Earth 24415.43 53,540,608 km
139 LD
2056-06-07 Earth 24486.68 55,025,183 km
143 LD
2055-11-06 Earth 24959.17 7,506,056 km
19.5 LD
2051-05-01 Earth 74681.05 68,741,719 km
179 LD
2050-07-17 Earth 28087.93 66,102,323 km
172 LD
2049-10-17 Earth 64266.60 53,237,941 km
138 LD
2045-04-12 Earth 35099.51 11,417,826 km
29.7 LD
2044-08-23 Earth 26388.68 59,884,456 km
156 LD
2039-05-10 Earth 19658.16 40,568,763 km
106 LD
2039-01-12 Earth 21563.65 27,488,804 km
71.5 LD
2038-10-13 Earth 18261.31 34,946,065 km
90.9 LD
2033-06-25 Earth 26672.14 61,698,578 km
161 LD
2032-10-28 Earth 40227.07 18,723,984 km
48.7 LD
2028-04-23 Earth 60082.26 47,760,155 km
124 LD
2027-07-30 next Earth 28050.64 65,766,953 km
171 LD
2026-10-11 Earth 78724.50 73,712,838 km
192 LD
2022-04-05 Earth 23043.59 9,929,515 km
25.8 LD
2021-09-07 Earth 24467.83 53,644,736 km
140 LD
2016-06-04 Earth 24109.24 53,690,481 km
140 LD
2015-11-07 Earth 22937.87 10,314,366 km
26.8 LD
2011-05-03 Earth 78402.57 73,988,458 km
192 LD
2010-07-13 Earth 27960.89 65,715,682 km
171 LD
2009-10-19 Earth 60021.21 47,233,515 km
123 LD
2005-04-14 Earth 40360.80 19,021,400 km
49.5 LD
2004-08-17 Earth 26914.95 61,730,223 km
161 LD
1999-04-28 Earth 17723.13 34,980,378 km
91.0 LD
1999-01-30 Earth 21533.16 27,407,542 km
71.3 LD
1998-10-02 Earth 20100.93 40,405,015 km
105 LD
1993-06-20 Earth 26160.83 60,058,736 km
156 LD
1992-10-30 Earth 35537.59 12,120,564 km
31.5 LD
1988-04-25 Earth 63394.74 52,505,626 km
137 LD
1987-07-27 Earth 28118.41 66,074,097 km
172 LD
1986-10-12 Earth 75826.41 69,708,277 km
181 LD
1982-04-05 Earth 24073.49 8,418,437 km
21.9 LD
1981-09-06 Earth 24610.10 54,322,046 km
141 LD
1976-06-05 Earth 24300.64 54,397,469 km
142 LD
1975-11-06 Earth 24064.66 8,565,880 km
22.3 LD
1971-05-01 Earth 75686.75 70,097,162 km
182 LD
1970-07-16 Earth 27978.22 66,030,558 km
172 LD
1969-10-18 Earth 63255.59 51,903,818 km
135 LD
1965-04-12 Earth 35954.48 12,649,451 km
32.9 LD
1964-08-22 Earth 26363.76 60,218,953 km
157 LD
1959-05-10 Earth 19745.90 40,389,468 km
105 LD
1959-01-12 Earth 21486.51 27,478,809 km
71.5 LD
1958-10-13 Earth 18326.54 35,041,327 km
91.2 LD
1953-06-25 Earth 26652.88 61,852,440 km
161 LD
1952-10-27 Earth 40788.02 19,621,929 km
51.0 LD
1948-04-23 Earth 59112.88 46,398,497 km
121 LD
1947-07-31 Earth 27934.78 65,682,442 km
171 LD
1942-04-03 Earth 21839.09 11,872,814 km
30.9 LD
1941-09-08 Earth 24103.11 52,888,402 km
138 LD
1936-06-06 Earth 24342.41 54,576,145 km
142 LD
1935-11-06 Earth 24355.55 8,106,311 km
21.1 LD
1931-05-02 Earth 77217.27 72,352,194 km
188 LD
1930-07-14 Earth 27912.59 65,782,405 km
171 LD
1929-10-18 Earth 61072.85 48,730,030 km
127 LD
1925-04-14 Earth 39767.53 18,303,437 km
47.6 LD
1924-08-17 Earth 26769.31 61,596,727 km
160 LD
1919-04-28 Earth 17839.18 34,760,226 km
90.4 LD
1919-01-30 Earth 21420.06 27,424,745 km
71.3 LD
1918-10-02 Earth 20198.63 40,635,305 km
106 LD
1913-06-18 Earth 25978.41 59,688,129 km
155 LD
1912-10-30 Earth 34751.05 10,859,033 km
28.2 LD
1908-04-25 Earth 64471.39 54,173,019 km
141 LD
1907-07-26 Earth 28037.66 66,136,043 km
172 LD
1906-10-12 Earth 74679.90 67,964,374 km
177 LD
1902-04-06 Earth 25382.87 6,708,341 km
17.5 LD
1901-09-04 Earth 24840.37 55,252,929 km
144 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:42:08.791583+00:00.