Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 TW237)

Designation: 2015 TW237 · NASA id: 3730575

Estimated diameter: 61 – 136 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 16.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1.2 megatonnes – 43.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period673.7 days (1.84 years)
Eccentricity.3082205522795862 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.503953546303704 AU
Inclination7.611844829658767° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.040404153659134 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.967502938948273 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.09260 AU = 13,852,329 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude49.031896703026°
Argument of perihelion46.8255907276525°
Mean anomaly / motion131.2208802858249° / .5343827625326719°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.474 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 14:54:33
Observed2015-10-13 to 2015-12-20 (68 day arc, 142 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 40 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 37 of them were approaches to Earth and 3 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 1.040 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.968 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 673.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0926 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-02-04

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2195-03-07 Earth 12358.10 55,724,698 km
145 LD
2194-11-21 Earth 47040.84 48,819,551 km
127 LD
2181-12-26 Earth 19421.92 27,651,916 km
71.9 LD
2171-03-08 Earth 12974.86 56,518,719 km
147 LD
2170-11-20 Earth 47940.63 50,114,001 km
130 LD
2146-11-25 Earth 38508.24 36,487,371 km
94.9 LD
2134-01-26 Earth 41818.94 51,715,995 km
135 LD
2122-12-02 Earth 25575.60 18,865,618 km
49.1 LD
2121-07-27 Mars 31009.87 8,196,557 km
21.3 LD
2110-02-04 Earth 54692.08 67,652,780 km
176 LD
2109-10-16 Earth 17104.25 64,414,895 km
168 LD
2098-12-05 Earth 19507.32 14,001,358 km
36.4 LD
2088-03-22 Earth 20295.68 68,744,701 km
179 LD
2087-11-12 Earth 62602.89 71,332,237 km
186 LD
2085-10-05 Earth 19582.97 72,355,668 km
188 LD
2074-12-12 Earth 16264.49 18,835,906 km
49.0 LD
2064-03-05 Earth 12553.40 56,420,245 km
147 LD
2063-11-19 Earth 47717.10 49,932,464 km
130 LD
2051-01-19 Earth 35985.47 45,060,590 km
117 LD
2039-11-30 Earth 26674.46 20,105,026 km
52.3 LD
2029-03-27 Earth 22409.39 73,471,956 km
191 LD
2027-02-04 next Earth 57697.11 71,830,671 km
187 LD
2026-10-11 Earth 17922.32 67,180,123 km
175 LD
2025-08-24 Mars 33642.28 6,280,655 km
16.3 LD
2015-12-09 Earth 16821.37 16,103,944 km
41.9 LD
2005-03-07 Earth 13508.99 57,675,261 km
150 LD
2004-11-17 Earth 49011.00 51,863,976 km
135 LD
1992-01-18 Earth 35368.66 44,363,974 km
115 LD
1980-11-29 Earth 26795.43 20,168,196 km
52.5 LD
1970-03-27 Earth 22454.47 73,663,507 km
192 LD
1968-02-03 Earth 57576.24 71,609,619 km
186 LD
1967-10-11 Earth 17768.31 67,099,584 km
175 LD
1956-12-07 Earth 17082.16 15,536,265 km
40.4 LD
1946-03-09 Earth 14628.43 59,499,009 km
155 LD
1945-11-16 Earth 51035.10 54,726,816 km
142 LD
1933-01-11 Earth 31176.28 39,789,548 km
104 LD
1931-08-10 Mars 35492.25 9,395,783 km
24.4 LD
1921-11-26 Earth 30216.10 24,712,646 km
64.3 LD
1909-01-30 Earth 53679.48 66,592,823 km
173 LD
1908-10-14 Earth 16639.01 63,789,633 km
166 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:41:48.474942+00:00.