Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 WZ12)

Designation: 2015 WZ12 · NASA id: 3735598

Estimated diameter: 15 – 33 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 2.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

76 kilotonnes – 2.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period223.8 days (0.61 years)
Eccentricity.4126380573261925 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.7214886755532604 AU
Inclination3.637787834667152° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.4237749900901154 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.019202361016405 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00466 AU = 696,655 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude250.9392608825977°
Argument of perihelion346.4981466843209°
Mean anomaly / motion297.6937503271984° / 1.608273091392689°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant7.889 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 15:21:37
Observed2015-11-30 to 2015-12-06 (6 day arc, 71 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 228 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus, Merc and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 110 of them were approaches to Earth, 62 of them were approaches to Venus, 54 of them were approaches to Merc and 2 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.424 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.019 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 223.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0047 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-30

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-11-04 Earth 69582.41 47,256,089 km
123 LD
2198-03-21 Merc 62884.25 7,024,483 km
18.3 LD
2197-11-07 Earth 30071.16 3,870,960 km
10.1 LD
2196-12-19 Merc 93679.85 11,927,647 km
31.0 LD
2194-12-14 Earth 48690.12 22,556,336 km
58.7 LD
2194-08-20 Earth 31625.23 63,678,785 km
166 LD
2191-07-02 Merc 73121.20 9,263,835 km
24.1 LD
2190-03-28 Merc 69818.74 3,861,915 km
10.0 LD
2190-03-04 Earth 42273.87 66,931,602 km
174 LD
2189-10-31 Earth 54423.15 29,476,156 km
76.7 LD
2187-12-08 Venus 35772.97 22,017,258 km
57.3 LD
2187-04-26 Venus 37403.77 20,041,775 km
52.1 LD
2186-09-12 Venus 40053.68 17,983,596 km
46.8 LD
2186-01-30 Venus 43076.30 16,158,704 km
42.0 LD
2185-06-20 Venus 46258.23 14,688,278 km
38.2 LD
2184-11-07 Venus 49529.50 13,671,437 km
35.6 LD
2184-10-07 Merc 89699.24 13,738,761 km
35.7 LD
2184-03-28 Venus 52847.16 13,218,689 km
34.4 LD
2183-12-11 Earth 66402.85 43,408,075 km
113 LD
2183-08-17 Venus 56216.77 13,388,194 km
34.8 LD
2183-01-05 Venus 59648.10 14,172,461 km
36.9 LD
2182-05-26 Venus 63182.73 15,519,455 km
40.4 LD
2181-11-07 Earth 81091.20 60,645,386 km
158 LD
2181-10-14 Venus 66839.10 17,344,506 km
45.1 LD
2181-03-04 Venus 70617.64 19,558,306 km
50.9 LD
2180-07-23 Venus 74491.72 22,064,256 km
57.4 LD
2178-10-31 Earth 38711.58 11,627,139 km
30.2 LD
2175-12-14 Earth 35878.82 7,425,623 km
19.3 LD
2172-12-07 Earth 78015.13 57,280,030 km
149 LD
2171-03-20 Earth 57626.84 74,080,730 km
193 LD
2170-11-04 Earth 70126.60 47,872,310 km
125 LD
2167-11-06 Earth 30589.70 4,138,923 km
10.8 LD
2164-12-14 Earth 46803.07 20,236,414 km
52.6 LD
2164-08-23 Earth 28678.53 62,385,600 km
162 LD
2162-02-11 Merc 71453.25 8,769,086 km
22.8 LD
2161-12-03 Earth 89889.00 71,354,000 km
186 LD
2160-11-08 Merc 69864.41 3,955,560 km
10.3 LD
2160-03-07 Earth 46246.28 68,853,425 km
179 LD
2159-11-01 Earth 58062.66 33,715,624 km
87.7 LD
2156-11-23 Earth 27785.46 4,745,058 km
12.3 LD
2154-02-20 Merc 62578.44 6,573,023 km
17.1 LD
2153-12-12 Earth 60063.10 35,851,929 km
93.3 LD
2153-08-06 Earth 45259.86 70,078,577 km
182 LD
2152-11-21 Merc 101814.56 14,948,906 km
38.9 LD
2151-11-09 Earth 87648.07 68,262,995 km
178 LD
2149-02-17 Earth 27699.75 60,300,932 km
157 LD
2148-10-30 Earth 44020.15 17,493,602 km
45.5 LD
2147-06-03 Merc 68316.79 8,154,094 km
21.2 LD
2146-02-27 Merc 73891.73 4,958,992 km
12.9 LD
2145-12-11 Earth 32936.76 3,715,942 km
9.67 LD
2142-12-07 Earth 77844.30 57,031,365 km
148 LD
2141-03-17 Earth 55884.20 73,243,717 km
191 LD
2140-11-02 Earth 67918.58 45,264,513 km
118 LD
2140-09-05 Merc 70950.57 8,657,609 km
22.5 LD
2139-06-01 Merc 74877.49 5,354,894 km
13.9 LD
2137-11-13 Earth 28472.81 4,603,634 km
12.0 LD
2134-12-13 Earth 56928.20 32,116,862 km
83.6 LD
2134-08-09 Earth 42161.22 68,514,439 km
178 LD
2133-12-07 Merc 69175.23 8,280,793 km
21.5 LD
2132-11-08 Earth 88596.52 69,393,161 km
181 LD
2132-09-01 Merc 78116.81 6,440,919 km
16.8 LD
2130-02-14 Earth 23338.39 58,609,640 km
152 LD
2129-10-30 Earth 41870.24 15,097,812 km
39.3 LD
2127-03-10 Merc 67560.81 7,974,099 km
20.7 LD
2126-12-14 Earth 36941.68 8,526,973 km
22.2 LD
2125-12-03 Merc 81707.29 7,743,834 km
20.1 LD
2123-12-06 Earth 83917.55 64,252,899 km
167 LD
2122-03-11 Earth 49722.66 70,404,570 km
183 LD
2121-11-01 Earth 61301.66 37,516,244 km
97.6 LD
2120-06-08 Merc 63888.03 7,303,816 km
19.0 LD
2119-03-06 Merc 91847.95 11,427,654 km
29.7 LD
2115-12-12 Earth 63969.68 40,488,138 km
105 LD
2115-08-02 Earth 49148.21 71,865,799 km
187 LD
2113-11-07 Earth 81857.78 61,547,124 km
160 LD
2112-06-06 Merc 93137.97 11,879,647 km
30.9 LD
2110-10-31 Earth 36440.66 9,198,474 km
23.9 LD
2107-12-15 Earth 41264.86 13,655,499 km
35.5 LD
2106-12-14 Merc 65339.48 7,571,777 km
19.7 LD
2105-09-09 Merc 83430.30 8,320,039 km
21.6 LD
2104-12-04 Earth 86599.26 67,458,486 km
175 LD
2103-03-10 Earth 48348.52 69,802,643 km
182 LD
2102-11-01 Earth 60040.97 36,042,295 km
93.8 LD
2100-03-20 Merc 71457.58 8,695,514 km
22.6 LD
2099-11-22 Earth 27756.32 4,853,594 km
12.6 LD
2098-12-14 Merc 70751.83 4,186,815 km
10.9 LD
2096-12-10 Earth 60713.13 36,633,088 km
95.3 LD
2096-08-04 Earth 45924.81 70,356,308 km
183 LD
2094-11-07 Earth 86532.53 67,010,674 km
174 LD
2093-06-25 Merc 89025.62 13,388,966 km
34.8 LD
2092-03-23 Merc 62820.77 5,155,920 km
13.4 LD
2092-02-14 Earth 24669.81 59,119,270 km
154 LD
2091-10-29 Earth 42608.50 15,971,598 km
41.5 LD
2088-12-10 Earth 34012.12 5,024,492 km
13.1 LD
2085-12-05 Earth 78562.56 57,941,607 km
151 LD
2085-07-01 Merc 62441.84 6,720,194 km
17.5 LD
2084-03-15 Earth 55535.90 73,098,061 km
190 LD
2083-11-02 Earth 67611.83 44,936,975 km
117 LD
2080-11-11 Earth 28409.76 4,655,641 km
12.1 LD
2080-06-24 Venus 76249.79 21,422,859 km
55.7 LD
2079-11-12 Venus 73796.40 19,641,463 km
51.1 LD
2079-04-02 Venus 71416.81 17,957,617 km
46.7 LD
2078-10-02 Merc 62264.34 6,560,081 km
17.1 LD
2078-08-21 Venus 69162.45 16,428,046 km
42.7 LD
2078-01-08 Venus 67034.99 15,057,089 km
39.2 LD
2077-12-11 Earth 57718.47 33,011,555 km
85.9 LD
2077-08-07 Earth 43117.91 68,919,225 km
179 LD
2077-05-29 Venus 65131.21 13,914,543 km
36.2 LD
2076-10-17 Venus 63400.82 12,950,962 km
33.7 LD
2076-03-06 Venus 61805.25 12,147,920 km
31.6 LD
2075-11-07 Earth 86428.85 66,867,399 km
174 LD
2075-07-26 Venus 60348.02 11,502,473 km
29.9 LD
2074-12-13 Venus 59033.99 11,007,866 km
28.6 LD
2074-05-03 Venus 57845.96 10,640,848 km
27.7 LD
2073-09-20 Venus 56798.04 10,389,430 km
27.0 LD
2073-03-31 Merc 81458.83 11,194,637 km
29.1 LD
2073-02-07 Venus 55858.58 10,225,533 km
26.6 LD
2072-10-29 Earth 36616.85 9,396,201 km
24.4 LD
2072-06-28 Venus 54765.04 10,078,838 km
26.2 LD
2071-12-24 Merc 70451.73 4,249,636 km
11.1 LD
2071-11-16 Venus 53580.24 10,060,390 km
26.2 LD
2071-04-06 Venus 52460.51 10,142,156 km
26.4 LD
2070-08-24 Venus 51388.46 10,309,143 km
26.8 LD
2070-01-11 Venus 50335.58 10,555,292 km
27.5 LD
2069-12-13 Earth 46435.36 19,589,287 km
51.0 LD
2069-08-21 Earth 28983.31 62,291,700 km
162 LD
2069-06-01 Venus 49446.04 10,821,717 km
28.2 LD
2068-10-19 Venus 48556.69 11,146,423 km
29.0 LD
2068-03-08 Venus 47621.98 11,544,435 km
30.0 LD
2067-07-28 Venus 46644.29 12,020,070 km
31.3 LD
2066-12-15 Venus 45621.67 12,580,066 km
32.7 LD
2066-06-20 Merc 62108.75 6,283,380 km
16.3 LD
2066-05-04 Venus 44559.39 13,230,217 km
34.4 LD
2065-09-22 Venus 43477.84 13,962,363 km
36.3 LD
2065-02-20 Earth 31795.84 61,899,897 km
161 LD
2065-02-09 Venus 42379.34 14,784,719 km
38.5 LD
2064-10-28 Earth 46097.36 19,966,626 km
51.9 LD
2064-06-29 Venus 41220.81 15,772,415 km
41.0 LD
2063-11-17 Venus 40072.42 16,901,597 km
44.0 LD
2063-04-05 Venus 39049.90 18,133,806 km
47.2 LD
2062-08-23 Venus 38234.01 19,422,492 km
50.5 LD
2062-01-09 Venus 37670.06 20,761,149 km
54.0 LD
2061-12-11 Earth 35245.35 6,366,435 km
16.6 LD
2061-05-29 Venus 37389.34 21,679,805 km
56.4 LD
2060-12-18 Merc 83212.13 11,650,445 km
30.3 LD
2059-09-12 Merc 67586.22 3,817,005 km
9.93 LD
2058-12-04 Earth 83887.81 64,228,803 km
167 LD
2057-03-09 Earth 48901.87 70,002,751 km
182 LD
2056-10-30 Earth 60526.52 36,743,682 km
95.6 LD
2054-03-17 Merc 67316.10 7,714,856 km
20.1 LD
2053-11-25 Earth 27828.94 4,517,085 km
11.8 LD
2052-12-11 Merc 80558.26 7,520,871 km
19.6 LD
2050-12-09 Earth 65675.32 42,550,449 km
111 LD
2050-07-30 Earth 50631.12 72,504,999 km
189 LD
2048-11-05 Earth 80216.01 59,746,954 km
155 LD
2047-06-19 Merc 66805.80 7,635,231 km
19.9 LD
2046-03-14 Merc 80857.17 7,614,594 km
19.8 LD
2045-10-30 Earth 35150.35 8,218,202 km
21.4 LD
2042-12-13 Earth 42615.66 15,230,540 km
39.6 LD
2042-08-29 Earth 20357.76 59,113,699 km
154 LD
2040-09-23 Merc 73156.10 8,901,001 km
23.2 LD
2039-12-03 Earth 88039.96 69,177,224 km
180 LD
2039-06-19 Merc 70675.39 4,377,457 km
11.4 LD
2038-03-07 Earth 46620.24 68,990,097 km
179 LD
2037-10-30 Earth 58466.04 34,348,733 km
89.4 LD
2034-11-25 Earth 27799.55 4,560,781 km
11.9 LD
2033-12-28 Merc 81656.21 11,087,097 km
28.8 LD
2032-09-23 Merc 64867.14 4,009,420 km
10.4 LD
2031-12-10 Earth 63814.11 40,279,141 km
105 LD
2031-08-01 Earth 48939.23 71,726,360 km
187 LD
2029-11-06 Earth 82654.67 62,531,806 km
163 LD
2027-04-02 Merc 88196.28 13,049,831 km
33.9 LD
2026-10-30 next Earth 37219.96 10,266,782 km
26.7 LD
2025-12-27 Merc 63329.61 4,650,994 km
12.1 LD
2024-04-14 Venus 36046.95 21,220,618 km
55.2 LD
2023-12-14 Earth 41231.45 13,495,892 km
35.1 LD
2023-09-03 Earth 14829.64 57,979,621 km
151 LD
2023-09-02 Venus 37698.51 19,567,825 km
50.9 LD
2023-01-20 Venus 39581.75 18,149,058 km
47.2 LD
2022-06-09 Venus 41606.96 16,863,721 km
43.9 LD
2021-10-27 Venus 43705.07 15,727,350 km
40.9 LD
2021-03-17 Venus 45809.27 14,779,609 km
38.4 LD
2020-12-02 Earth 88668.35 69,803,463 km
182 LD
2020-08-04 Venus 47912.90 14,032,118 km
36.5 LD
2020-07-03 Merc 85412.03 12,170,450 km
31.7 LD
2019-12-24 Venus 50021.67 13,502,459 km
35.1 LD
2019-05-13 Venus 52141.81 13,209,257 km
34.4 LD
2019-03-29 Merc 65133.63 3,933,314 km
10.2 LD
2019-03-05 Earth 44644.98 68,041,458 km
177 LD
2018-10-30 Earth 56408.22 31,849,851 km
82.9 LD
2018-10-01 Venus 54323.55 13,167,452 km
34.3 LD
2018-02-19 Venus 56659.29 13,415,125 km
34.9 LD
2017-07-09 Venus 59085.78 13,971,909 km
36.3 LD
2016-11-27 Venus 61621.03 14,842,236 km
38.6 LD
2016-04-17 Venus 64239.53 15,993,519 km
41.6 LD
2015-12-01 Earth 28408.74 3,391,704 km
8.82 LD
2015-09-06 Venus 67372.70 17,590,978 km
45.8 LD
2015-01-25 Venus 70691.64 19,559,760 km
50.9 LD
2014-06-15 Venus 74102.95 21,765,858 km
56.6 LD
2013-10-05 Merc 86624.16 12,411,891 km
32.3 LD
2012-12-09 Earth 66323.67 43,202,770 km
112 LD
2012-07-29 Earth 51205.27 72,828,778 km
189 LD
2012-07-03 Merc 63086.76 4,936,299 km
12.8 LD
2010-11-06 Earth 81421.38 61,101,314 km
159 LD
2007-10-30 Earth 38536.94 11,729,186 km
30.5 LD
2005-10-16 Merc 64295.23 7,192,587 km
18.7 LD
2004-12-12 Earth 36875.33 8,322,663 km
21.7 LD
2004-07-14 Merc 82492.95 8,151,377 km
21.2 LD
2001-12-05 Earth 80345.82 59,946,777 km
156 LD
2000-03-15 Earth 54908.71 72,880,182 km
190 LD
1999-11-02 Earth 67037.36 44,304,101 km
115 LD
1999-01-24 Merc 77830.31 9,896,526 km
25.7 LD
1997-10-20 Merc 65982.12 3,941,054 km
10.3 LD
1996-11-09 Earth 28762.04 4,809,717 km
12.5 LD
1993-12-12 Earth 53363.35 27,790,733 km
72.3 LD
1993-08-12 Earth 38005.09 66,496,978 km
173 LD
1991-01-28 Merc 62342.76 5,616,754 km
14.6 LD
1989-02-22 Earth 34453.53 63,207,436 km
164 LD
1988-10-28 Earth 48156.84 22,369,878 km
58.2 LD
1985-12-08 Earth 31323.03 1,151,699 km
3.00 LD
1985-12-08 Moon 27547.81 881,490 km
2.29 LD
1984-04-27 Merc 63228.33 4,138,942 km
10.8 LD
1982-12-04 Earth 82481.78 62,550,049 km
163 LD
1981-03-07 Earth 47208.00 69,125,866 km
180 LD
1980-10-29 Earth 58688.03 34,663,968 km
90.2 LD
1978-10-16 Merc 61820.78 5,181,213 km
13.5 LD
1977-12-06 Earth 30165.23 838,126 km
2.18 LD
1977-12-05 Moon 27120.39 1,136,869 km
2.96 LD
1974-12-08 Earth 72790.74 50,926,021 km
132 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-25T13:07:54.204252+00:00.