Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 AG165)

Designation: 2016 AG165 · NASA id: 3740043

Estimated diameter: 174 – 389 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.92) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 102.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

41.0 megatonnes – 1,529 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period767.4 days (2.10 years)
Eccentricity.3515231472874686 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.640343878450208 AU
Inclination16.52647205689406° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.063725035663658 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.216962721236758 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.24434 AU = 36,552,295 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude311.1535095175942°
Argument of perihelion99.21682688877644°
Mean anomaly / motion283.574185549148° / .4691391974279141°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.180 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 15:53:31
Observed1995-02-01 to 2018-01-20 (8389 day arc, 107 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 42 total.

next approach: 2036-09-23

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2186-01-04 Earth 64690.66 71,004,267 km
185 LD
2185-08-29 Earth 30908.66 67,911,732 km
177 LD
2184-01-09 Earth 30889.20 47,224,881 km
123 LD
2183-09-25 Earth 43695.53 54,128,056 km
141 LD
2164-08-26 Earth 31658.75 71,939,723 km
187 LD
2163-01-06 Earth 31106.24 43,023,332 km
112 LD
2162-09-26 Earth 39612.71 50,028,994 km
130 LD
2142-01-04 Earth 31425.56 40,754,931 km
106 LD
2141-09-25 Earth 37302.70 47,683,842 km
124 LD
2121-01-02 Earth 31701.66 39,572,351 km
103 LD
2120-09-25 Earth 35948.54 46,513,330 km
121 LD
2100-01-02 Earth 31725.64 39,482,701 km
103 LD
2099-09-24 Earth 35880.27 46,187,858 km
120 LD
2079-01-02 Earth 31673.63 39,708,515 km
103 LD
2078-09-24 Earth 36217.53 46,270,240 km
120 LD
2058-01-02 Earth 31276.51 41,242,138 km
107 LD
2057-09-23 Earth 37860.39 47,439,979 km
123 LD
2038-08-24 Earth 31756.43 72,230,493 km
188 LD
2037-01-04 Earth 30889.13 43,795,963 km
114 LD
2036-09-23 next Earth 40481.53 49,649,283 km
129 LD
2018-01-02 Earth 64832.31 71,637,124 km
186 LD
2017-08-27 Earth 30978.01 67,938,383 km
177 LD
2016-01-07 Earth 30767.00 48,224,531 km
125 LD
2015-09-22 Earth 44840.85 53,973,015 km
140 LD
1996-12-31 Earth 59173.73 63,942,771 km
166 LD
1996-08-31 Earth 30016.47 62,709,381 km
163 LD
1995-01-11 Earth 30981.87 54,024,533 km
141 LD
1994-09-20 Earth 50478.20 59,978,637 km
156 LD
1975-12-30 Earth 53162.78 55,590,184 km
145 LD
1975-09-05 Earth 29198.94 57,018,312 km
148 LD
1974-01-15 Earth 31555.90 60,429,977 km
157 LD
1973-09-18 Earth 56621.48 67,536,288 km
176 LD
1954-12-28 Earth 48219.98 49,117,563 km
128 LD
1954-09-08 Earth 28583.72 52,341,986 km
136 LD
1953-01-18 Earth 32263.45 66,383,259 km
173 LD
1952-09-15 Earth 62421.99 74,668,413 km
194 LD
1933-12-27 Earth 44292.51 44,399,406 km
116 LD
1933-09-11 Earth 28429.71 48,723,963 km
127 LD
1932-01-22 Earth 32788.61 70,930,289 km
185 LD
1912-12-27 Earth 42029.80 41,944,226 km
109 LD
1912-09-13 Earth 28520.06 46,804,436 km
122 LD
1911-01-24 Earth 33270.10 74,201,062 km
193 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T13:13:05.759894+00:00.