Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 EF156)

Designation: 2016 EF156 · NASA id: 3746623

Estimated diameter: 31 – 68 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.7) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 5.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1.0 megatonnes – 37.3 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period338.8 days (0.93 years)
Eccentricity.4503799374168985 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9510746854898631 AU
Inclination22.07358452847702° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5227297281601422 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.379419642819584 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01599 AU = 2,391,666 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude354.8156673621926°
Argument of perihelion305.0860961492588°
Mean anomaly / motion84.58251630159755° / 1.062630165724888°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.179 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 16:38:32
Observed2016-03-08 to 2016-03-17 (9 day arc, 90 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 42 total.

next approach: 2028-03-08

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2145-03-11 Earth 87184.11 36,942,527 km
96.1 LD
2144-03-19 Earth 50402.15 26,857,582 km
69.9 LD
2093-03-17 Earth 63449.18 2,702,175 km
7.03 LD
2081-03-03 Earth 104737.04 61,163,028 km
159 LD
2080-03-17 Earth 62504.49 3,059,942 km
7.96 LD
2079-03-02 Earth 47105.47 57,582,004 km
150 LD
2067-03-18 Earth 59618.64 7,093,523 km
18.5 LD
2055-03-07 Earth 93542.90 45,903,634 km
119 LD
2054-03-19 Earth 53926.45 18,052,922 km
47.0 LD
2042-03-11 Earth 81300.62 28,337,010 km
73.7 LD
2041-03-16 Earth 48116.03 35,018,236 km
91.1 LD
2030-02-27 Earth 114420.93 74,028,394 km
193 LD
2029-03-15 Earth 69760.80 10,897,786 km
28.4 LD
2028-03-08 next Earth 46726.70 49,490,633 km
129 LD
2026-08-19 Earth 78760.01 73,046,158 km
190 LD
2025-10-05 Earth 64048.87 51,388,713 km
134 LD
2024-11-16 Earth 79561.11 52,600,573 km
137 LD
2017-03-02 Earth 105800.76 62,632,031 km
163 LD
2016-03-17 Earth 62937.53 2,573,012 km
6.69 LD
2015-05-12 Earth 37919.65 71,663,025 km
186 LD
2015-03-02 Earth 46992.44 57,442,195 km
149 LD
2013-08-27 Earth 76770.11 69,780,104 km
182 LD
2012-10-14 Earth 62612.14 47,793,896 km
124 LD
2011-11-21 Earth 86684.90 59,131,518 km
154 LD
2004-03-05 Earth 96908.79 50,534,633 km
131 LD
2003-03-19 Earth 56168.85 13,479,552 km
35.1 LD
1998-11-26 Earth 95852.02 68,472,092 km
178 LD
1991-03-10 Earth 85275.71 34,029,295 km
88.5 LD
1990-03-17 Earth 49466.00 29,877,433 km
77.7 LD
1978-03-15 Earth 70394.96 11,851,204 km
30.8 LD
1966-03-04 Earth 101726.16 57,140,169 km
149 LD
1965-03-18 Earth 59445.51 7,300,877 km
19.0 LD
1953-03-09 Earth 86777.70 36,167,462 km
94.1 LD
1952-03-17 Earth 50100.01 27,854,751 km
72.5 LD
1951-02-13 Earth 47699.00 72,299,399 km
188 LD
1949-09-16 Earth 69754.43 60,067,903 km
156 LD
1948-11-03 Earth 67578.77 44,707,285 km
116 LD
1940-03-13 Earth 74087.96 17,476,182 km
45.5 LD
1939-03-12 Earth 46856.21 44,445,304 km
116 LD
1935-11-13 Earth 76412.22 49,870,229 km
130 LD
1928-03-01 Earth 106674.27 63,776,425 km
166 LD
1927-03-17 Earth 63292.57 2,196,365 km
5.71 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T15:14:33.660227+00:00.