Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 FX2)

Designation: 2016 FX2 · NASA id: 3747991

Estimated diameter: 50 – 111 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.64) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 11.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

499 kilotonnes – 18.6 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period492.4 days (1.35 years)
Eccentricity.1721726485411731 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.220284656631736 AU
Inclination6.765376113955541° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.010185015325294 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.430384297938178 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.04993 AU = 7,469,915 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude17.48336147811248°
Argument of perihelion130.2589937803357°
Mean anomaly / motion85.10657170282572° / .7311598715974662°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.211 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 16:46:19
Observed2016-03-17 to 2020-01-24 (1408 day arc, 246 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 108 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 103 of them were approaches to Earth and 5 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 1.010 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.430 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 492.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0499 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-09-14

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-09-21 Earth 25794.13 60,891,611 km
158 LD
2194-04-19 Earth 59892.19 71,648,446 km
186 LD
2193-10-22 Earth 22452.18 49,833,197 km
130 LD
2190-04-02 Earth 26431.85 22,013,707 km
57.3 LD
2189-12-10 Earth 11030.87 31,224,263 km
81.2 LD
2186-02-26 Earth 20372.47 28,525,801 km
74.2 LD
2182-06-30 Earth 18480.59 54,524,376 km
142 LD
2178-08-05 Earth 23968.03 63,726,534 km
166 LD
2174-09-03 Earth 26051.47 64,172,844 km
167 LD
2170-10-02 Earth 24985.95 57,442,654 km
149 LD
2167-04-13 Earth 46896.29 52,741,692 km
137 LD
2166-11-05 Earth 19678.56 43,697,162 km
114 LD
2163-03-27 Earth 16673.36 7,766,434 km
20.2 LD
2159-05-21 Earth 12647.44 39,913,623 km
104 LD
2159-01-27 Earth 33970.17 43,034,129 km
112 LD
2155-07-09 Earth 20040.62 57,498,178 km
150 LD
2151-08-09 Earth 24483.88 64,159,665 km
167 LD
2150-06-17 Mars 16681.84 5,149,335 km
13.4 LD
2147-09-05 Earth 25979.35 63,761,177 km
166 LD
2143-10-01 Earth 24980.54 57,490,781 km
150 LD
2140-04-14 Earth 50453.51 57,806,281 km
150 LD
2139-11-01 Earth 20578.65 45,429,293 km
118 LD
2136-03-29 Earth 21423.00 14,105,075 km
36.7 LD
2132-04-15 Earth 13091.90 29,630,715 km
77.1 LD
2132-02-19 Earth 21731.98 29,656,612 km
77.2 LD
2128-06-23 Earth 17525.95 52,454,841 km
136 LD
2128-01-10 Earth 55461.73 70,377,430 km
183 LD
2124-07-26 Earth 22796.84 62,069,514 km
161 LD
2120-08-22 Earth 25515.30 64,601,157 km
168 LD
2116-09-15 Earth 25817.96 61,558,999 km
160 LD
2112-10-12 Earth 23689.24 53,274,040 km
139 LD
2109-04-08 Earth 39969.23 42,281,474 km
110 LD
2108-11-13 Earth 17759.84 39,748,572 km
103 LD
2105-03-25 Earth 15628.73 7,490,062 km
19.5 LD
2101-05-18 Earth 12544.72 39,139,383 km
102 LD
2101-01-25 Earth 33223.02 41,859,859 km
109 LD
2097-07-03 Earth 19438.49 56,232,983 km
146 LD
2093-08-02 Earth 23805.39 63,452,313 km
165 LD
2089-08-27 Earth 25758.34 64,350,224 km
167 LD
2085-09-20 Earth 25571.05 60,008,970 km
156 LD
2082-04-19 Earth 62164.37 74,758,982 km
194 LD
2081-10-17 Earth 22726.02 50,682,532 km
132 LD
2078-12-27 Mars 16923.24 4,387,539 km
11.4 LD
2078-04-05 Earth 34154.06 33,581,171 km
87.4 LD
2077-11-20 Earth 15772.32 36,267,992 km
94.3 LD
2074-03-22 Earth 13799.99 10,347,214 km
26.9 LD
2070-06-01 Earth 14182.16 44,541,911 km
116 LD
2070-01-16 Earth 40893.26 51,092,325 km
133 LD
2066-07-13 Earth 21103.56 59,395,971 km
155 LD
2062-08-11 Earth 24876.09 64,704,235 km
168 LD
2058-09-07 Earth 25974.60 63,309,038 km
165 LD
2054-10-04 Earth 24514.28 55,925,610 km
145 LD
2051-04-10 Earth 45002.87 49,599,300 km
129 LD
2050-11-05 Earth 19272.06 42,609,098 km
111 LD
2047-03-26 Earth 17387.62 8,471,500 km
22.0 LD
2043-05-06 Earth 12113.15 35,195,815 km
91.6 LD
2043-01-28 Earth 28641.82 36,198,910 km
94.2 LD
2039-06-27 Earth 18438.67 54,184,137 km
141 LD
2035-07-27 Earth 23165.81 62,632,327 km
163 LD
2031-08-22 Earth 25534.17 64,696,574 km
168 LD
2027-09-14 next Earth 25720.51 61,572,073 km
160 LD
2023-10-09 Earth 23769.44 53,589,459 km
139 LD
2020-04-08 Earth 41803.10 44,805,708 km
117 LD
2019-11-09 Earth 18378.18 40,729,118 km
106 LD
2016-03-25 Earth 17450.50 8,542,115 km
22.2 LD
2012-04-22 Earth 12315.45 31,121,306 km
81.0 LD
2012-02-04 Earth 24146.37 31,299,344 km
81.4 LD
2008-06-16 Earth 16849.06 50,824,189 km
132 LD
2008-01-07 Earth 52490.71 65,889,450 km
171 LD
2007-06-01 Mars 15289.64 13,669,213 km
35.6 LD
2004-07-17 Earth 21840.48 60,408,526 km
157 LD
2000-08-09 Earth 24632.81 64,289,873 km
167 LD
1998-02-10 Mars 17041.81 4,286,229 km
11.2 LD
1996-08-31 Earth 25761.83 63,744,974 km
166 LD
1992-09-21 Earth 25322.49 59,318,847 km
154 LD
1988-10-14 Earth 22954.03 51,154,948 km
133 LD
1988-09-26 Mars 22454.55 10,657,379 km
27.7 LD
1985-04-06 Earth 38863.39 40,385,238 km
105 LD
1984-11-11 Earth 17515.70 38,960,776 km
101 LD
1981-03-26 Earth 17592.26 8,730,576 km
22.7 LD
1977-04-02 Earth 13843.78 26,804,791 km
69.7 LD
1977-02-22 Earth 18972.49 26,837,974 km
69.8 LD
1973-06-07 Earth 15443.65 47,244,074 km
123 LD
1973-01-09 Earth 45932.48 57,220,954 km
149 LD
1969-07-07 Earth 20408.90 57,862,228 km
151 LD
1965-07-31 Earth 23681.03 63,151,656 km
164 LD
1961-08-20 Earth 25356.43 64,403,976 km
168 LD
1957-09-09 Earth 25661.77 62,095,031 km
162 LD
1953-09-29 Earth 24552.11 56,444,606 km
147 LD
1950-04-14 Earth 55197.20 64,384,625 km
167 LD
1949-10-22 Earth 21591.16 47,484,712 km
124 LD
1946-04-03 Earth 32931.44 31,574,446 km
82.1 LD
1945-11-20 Earth 15360.56 35,181,511 km
91.5 LD
1942-03-24 Earth 15353.39 7,831,729 km
20.4 LD
1938-04-29 Earth 12139.10 32,865,843 km
85.5 LD
1938-01-27 Earth 26354.05 33,343,955 km
86.7 LD
1934-06-15 Earth 16867.78 50,443,870 km
131 LD
1934-01-05 Earth 52119.48 65,059,154 km
169 LD
1930-07-14 Earth 21383.55 59,742,471 km
155 LD
1926-08-05 Earth 24297.48 63,959,663 km
166 LD
1922-08-26 Earth 25627.57 64,164,103 km
167 LD
1918-09-15 Earth 25486.88 60,815,663 km
158 LD
1914-10-06 Earth 23797.83 54,061,053 km
141 LD
1911-04-10 Earth 47859.58 53,568,561 km
139 LD
1910-10-30 Earth 20034.08 43,822,091 km
114 LD
1907-03-30 Earth 25972.40 20,974,805 km
54.6 LD
1906-12-05 Earth 11664.02 30,224,694 km
78.6 LD
1903-03-21 Earth 13132.22 13,474,949 km
35.1 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:13:36.072695+00:00.