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Designation: 2016 FZ12 · NASA id: 3748477
Estimated diameter: 12 – 26 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
9 kilotonnes – 346 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 441.6 days (1.21 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3001111332272374 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.13486267824254 AU |
| Inclination | 1.67894943756878° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7942777538178736 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.475447602667206 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00562 AU = 841,265 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 347.9529012249165° |
| Argument of perihelion | 108.0140209616167° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 63.93675563068099° / .8152468008006502°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.476 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2022-03-28 05:54:52 |
| Observed | 2016-03-28 to 2022-03-28 (2191 day arc, 67 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 144 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 118 of them were approaches to Earth, 14 of them were approaches to Venus, 10 of them were approaches to Mars and 2 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.794 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.475 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 441.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0056 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-06-28
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2184-03-29 | Earth | 43458.87 | 18,952,739 km 49.3 LD |
| 2183-07-12 | Earth | 31115.08 | 67,156,858 km 175 LD |
| 2182-09-14 | Earth | 76986.40 | 65,907,354 km 171 LD |
| 2167-03-10 | Venus | 17509.25 | 16,146,682 km 42.0 LD |
| 2165-12-18 | Venus | 19222.15 | 17,820,869 km 46.4 LD |
| 2160-06-07 | Earth | 30239.31 | 64,842,910 km 169 LD |
| 2159-10-07 | Earth | 30565.93 | 2,032,332 km 5.29 LD |
| 2155-11-26 | Mars | 22769.73 | 7,026,943 km 18.3 LD |
| 2155-04-06 | Earth | 60107.39 | 42,106,444 km 110 LD |
| 2154-07-01 | Earth | 31668.65 | 69,019,378 km 180 LD |
| 2153-09-20 | Earth | 64920.09 | 49,112,164 km 128 LD |
| 2149-03-17 | Earth | 24826.65 | 7,289,284 km 19.0 LD |
| 2148-07-27 | Earth | 29458.62 | 63,323,767 km 165 LD |
| 2143-05-11 | Earth | 24911.80 | 52,176,292 km 136 LD |
| 2142-12-14 | Earth | 27245.68 | 27,625,737 km 71.9 LD |
| 2142-09-07 | Earth | 19282.29 | 40,697,524 km 106 LD |
| 2137-06-13 | Earth | 30943.43 | 67,066,458 km 174 LD |
| 2136-10-02 | Earth | 39324.01 | 13,385,110 km 34.8 LD |
| 2132-03-29 | Earth | 45185.63 | 21,300,807 km 55.4 LD |
| 2131-07-13 | Earth | 31224.28 | 68,019,191 km 177 LD |
| 2130-09-13 | Earth | 80930.47 | 71,462,825 km 186 LD |
| 2129-08-30 | Venus | 21356.18 | 21,913,377 km 57.0 LD |
| 2128-06-07 | Venus | 13605.68 | 11,403,706 km 29.7 LD |
| 2126-04-16 | Earth | 17722.34 | 38,246,666 km 99.5 LD |
| 2126-01-19 | Earth | 26616.80 | 26,795,495 km 69.7 LD |
| 2125-08-16 | Earth | 25498.22 | 53,660,919 km 140 LD |
| 2120-05-31 | Earth | 29357.67 | 62,902,739 km 164 LD |
| 2119-10-14 | Earth | 23162.21 | 9,649,677 km 25.1 LD |
| 2118-02-13 | Mars | 19023.40 | 4,843,133 km 12.6 LD |
| 2115-04-08 | Earth | 64957.04 | 48,923,960 km 127 LD |
| 2114-06-28 | Earth | 31734.33 | 69,158,230 km 180 LD |
| 2113-09-21 | Earth | 60762.32 | 43,329,512 km 113 LD |
| 2109-03-18 | Earth | 26682.05 | 4,635,168 km 12.1 LD |
| 2108-07-26 | Earth | 29668.65 | 63,978,341 km 166 LD |
| 2103-05-15 | Earth | 25949.52 | 54,786,616 km 143 LD |
| 2102-12-04 | Earth | 25871.68 | 26,221,342 km 68.2 LD |
| 2102-09-17 | Earth | 16453.70 | 36,120,914 km 94.0 LD |
| 2101-05-13 | Mars | 23373.01 | 7,675,299 km 20.0 LD |
| 2098-04-12 | Earth | 77199.97 | 65,959,858 km 172 LD |
| 2097-06-19 | Earth | 31505.43 | 68,822,551 km 179 LD |
| 2096-09-25 | Earth | 50439.82 | 28,910,038 km 75.2 LD |
| 2092-03-20 | Moon | 28765.72 | 1,289,299 km 3.35 LD |
| 2092-03-20 | Earth | 30826.83 | 1,442,024 km 3.75 LD |
| 2091-07-20 | Earth | 30175.81 | 64,724,790 km 168 LD |
| 2088-06-10 | Venus | 20066.42 | 19,800,978 km 51.5 LD |
| 2087-03-20 | Venus | 17286.93 | 15,417,165 km 40.1 LD |
| 2086-02-02 | Earth | 24062.90 | 24,127,635 km 62.8 LD |
| 2085-08-07 | Earth | 27030.48 | 56,978,073 km 148 LD |
| 2080-05-06 | Earth | 24072.40 | 50,188,972 km 131 LD |
| 2079-12-19 | Earth | 27890.96 | 28,385,565 km 73.8 LD |
| 2079-08-31 | Earth | 21040.53 | 43,516,063 km 113 LD |
| 2074-05-26 | Earth | 28659.11 | 60,792,921 km 158 LD |
| 2073-10-23 | Earth | 19510.15 | 16,781,656 km 43.7 LD |
| 2068-06-10 | Earth | 30699.19 | 66,225,567 km 172 LD |
| 2067-10-01 | Earth | 37367.93 | 10,578,800 km 27.5 LD |
| 2067-06-11 | Mars | 18698.34 | 4,055,140 km 10.5 LD |
| 2063-04-05 | Earth | 62137.28 | 44,979,959 km 117 LD |
| 2062-06-27 | Earth | 31531.39 | 68,496,228 km 178 LD |
| 2061-09-20 | Earth | 60029.16 | 42,338,801 km 110 LD |
| 2057-03-25 | Earth | 38792.82 | 12,488,317 km 32.5 LD |
| 2057-01-24 | Venus | 16127.91 | 14,859,154 km 38.7 LD |
| 2056-07-13 | Earth | 30868.76 | 66,547,808 km 173 LD |
| 2055-11-04 | Venus | 21796.11 | 20,546,090 km 53.4 LD |
| 2055-09-10 | Earth | 82736.11 | 73,926,667 km 192 LD |
| 2051-02-28 | Earth | 19852.67 | 16,824,688 km 43.8 LD |
| 2050-07-30 | Earth | 28507.05 | 60,618,104 km 158 LD |
| 2050-05-18 | Mars | 20035.98 | 2,272,321 km 5.91 LD |
| 2045-04-27 | Earth | 21539.02 | 44,861,500 km 117 LD |
| 2045-01-02 | Earth | 28146.53 | 28,463,065 km 74.0 LD |
| 2044-08-21 | Earth | 23675.92 | 49,032,497 km 128 LD |
| 2039-05-21 | Earth | 27715.90 | 58,485,301 km 152 LD |
| 2038-11-12 | Earth | 22119.11 | 22,253,355 km 57.9 LD |
| 2033-06-08 | Earth | 30428.23 | 65,545,153 km 171 LD |
| 2032-10-02 | Earth | 33836.21 | 5,774,051 km 15.0 LD |
| 2028-04-04 | Earth | 60952.19 | 43,335,579 km 113 LD |
| 2027-06-28 next | Earth | 31620.92 | 68,766,698 km 179 LD |
| 2026-09-18 | Earth | 62773.96 | 46,169,202 km 120 LD |
| 2024-06-18 | Venus | 13760.91 | 11,445,610 km 29.8 LD |
| 2022-03-20 | Earth | 30839.06 | 1,436,491 km 3.74 LD |
| 2021-07-17 | Earth | 30138.22 | 64,394,450 km 168 LD |
| 2016-03-19 | Moon | 26873.49 | 1,236,982 km 3.22 LD |
| 2016-03-18 | Earth | 29630.35 | 1,018,073 km 2.65 LD |
| 2015-07-21 | Earth | 29988.96 | 64,388,961 km 168 LD |
| 2010-04-10 | Earth | 16619.60 | 36,309,113 km 94.5 LD |
| 2010-01-21 | Earth | 25974.21 | 26,295,372 km 68.4 LD |
| 2009-08-11 | Earth | 25995.05 | 54,536,275 km 142 LD |
| 2004-05-14 | Earth | 26342.88 | 55,343,449 km 144 LD |
| 2003-11-29 | Earth | 25345.05 | 25,960,473 km 67.5 LD |
| 2003-09-17 | Earth | 15648.93 | 34,747,201 km 90.4 LD |
| 2003-07-06 | Mars | 19211.47 | 2,483,836 km 6.46 LD |
| 1998-06-04 | Earth | 29996.02 | 64,516,722 km 168 LD |
| 1997-10-05 | Earth | 29555.74 | 1,986,137 km 5.17 LD |
| 1994-04-27 | Venus | 14144.76 | 12,645,227 km 32.9 LD |
| 1993-04-08 | Earth | 70550.95 | 56,801,794 km 148 LD |
| 1992-06-20 | Earth | 31366.32 | 68,169,815 km 177 LD |
| 1991-09-24 | Earth | 51681.70 | 30,644,254 km 79.7 LD |
| 1987-03-29 | Earth | 48249.65 | 25,677,703 km 66.8 LD |
| 1986-07-07 | Earth | 31291.68 | 67,754,204 km 176 LD |
| 1986-06-14 | Mars | 19097.15 | 4,316,928 km 11.2 LD |
| 1985-09-13 | Earth | 73555.90 | 61,207,812 km 159 LD |
| 1981-03-16 | Earth | 26569.31 | 4,803,446 km 12.5 LD |
| 1980-07-23 | Earth | 29601.38 | 63,613,070 km 165 LD |
| 1975-04-24 | Earth | 20669.57 | 43,391,478 km 113 LD |
| 1975-01-06 | Earth | 27788.77 | 28,189,523 km 73.3 LD |
| 1974-08-19 | Earth | 24072.91 | 50,028,803 km 130 LD |
| 1969-06-26 | Mars | 21412.13 | 3,882,683 km 10.1 LD |
| 1969-05-24 | Earth | 28422.65 | 60,578,931 km 158 LD |
| 1968-10-25 | Earth | 19445.11 | 17,388,123 km 45.2 LD |
| 1964-04-12 | Earth | 78974.22 | 68,475,675 km 178 LD |
| 1963-06-15 | Earth | 31136.92 | 67,558,972 km 176 LD |
| 1962-09-27 | Earth | 44455.07 | 20,482,422 km 53.3 LD |
| 1961-09-18 | Venus | 17362.05 | 17,416,533 km 45.3 LD |
| 1960-06-26 | Venus | 17477.69 | 15,672,712 km 40.8 LD |
| 1958-03-30 | Earth | 49651.31 | 27,568,037 km 71.7 LD |
| 1957-07-06 | Earth | 31313.26 | 68,106,289 km 177 LD |
| 1956-09-13 | Earth | 73698.71 | 61,479,545 km 160 LD |
| 1952-07-16 | Mars | 23666.30 | 7,630,758 km 19.9 LD |
| 1952-03-10 | Earth | 22076.05 | 11,296,446 km 29.4 LD |
| 1951-07-28 | Earth | 29083.17 | 62,149,166 km 162 LD |
| 1946-05-01 | Earth | 22863.78 | 47,597,691 km 124 LD |
| 1945-12-25 | Earth | 28115.79 | 28,554,342 km 74.3 LD |
| 1945-08-26 | Earth | 22265.18 | 46,321,024 km 121 LD |
| 1940-05-29 | Earth | 29300.12 | 62,802,300 km 163 LD |
| 1939-10-11 | Earth | 23401.13 | 9,374,508 km 24.4 LD |
| 1935-08-11 | Mars | 24751.50 | 9,609,332 km 25.0 LD |
| 1935-04-10 | Earth | 73321.72 | 60,558,248 km 158 LD |
| 1934-06-19 | Earth | 31362.67 | 68,151,442 km 177 LD |
| 1933-09-24 | Earth | 49747.82 | 27,949,360 km 72.7 LD |
| 1929-03-28 | Earth | 46617.60 | 23,381,694 km 60.8 LD |
| 1928-07-08 | Earth | 31204.82 | 67,796,913 km 176 LD |
| 1927-11-17 | Venus | 20277.89 | 21,180,953 km 55.1 LD |
| 1927-09-12 | Earth | 76289.66 | 64,971,571 km 169 LD |
| 1926-08-26 | Venus | 15688.25 | 13,526,529 km 35.2 LD |
| 1923-03-08 | Earth | 20730.00 | 13,549,497 km 35.2 LD |
| 1922-07-28 | Earth | 28881.55 | 61,559,839 km 160 LD |
| 1917-04-29 | Earth | 22378.06 | 46,650,325 km 121 LD |
| 1916-12-28 | Earth | 28107.42 | 28,601,499 km 74.4 LD |
| 1916-08-23 | Earth | 22835.34 | 47,311,741 km 123 LD |
| 1911-05-27 | Earth | 28779.09 | 61,311,206 km 159 LD |
| 1910-10-19 | Earth | 19916.66 | 15,155,498 km 39.4 LD |
| 1906-04-12 | Earth | 78327.41 | 67,619,667 km 176 LD |
| 1905-06-15 | Earth | 31087.32 | 67,538,929 km 176 LD |
| 1904-09-26 | Earth | 44494.90 | 20,531,141 km 53.4 LD |
| 1900-03-30 | Earth | 52112.66 | 31,027,314 km 80.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-12T10:32:37.557936+00:00.