Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 GC221)

Designation: 2016 GC221 · NASA id: 3751828

Estimated diameter: 29 – 65 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.8) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 8.0 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

470 kilotonnes – 17.5 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period382.6 days (1.05 years)
Eccentricity.1647754999795539 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.031401101317534 AU
Inclination25.25741686608178° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.861451469168475 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.201350733466593 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01951 AU = 2,918,355 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude23.50190978722224°
Argument of perihelion279.8500442151103°
Mean anomaly / motion340.1804859607789° / .940941639266991°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.839 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 16:59:44
Observed2016-04-13 to 2016-04-15 (2 day arc, 71 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 44 total.

next approach: 2037-04-06

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2084-10-02 Earth 50186.36 50,036,368 km
130 LD
2084-04-16 Earth 46343.82 37,732,142 km
98.2 LD
2083-04-14 Earth 51197.14 5,459,792 km
14.2 LD
2082-04-06 Earth 69883.72 46,063,508 km
120 LD
2037-04-06 next Earth 68968.73 44,374,415 km
115 LD
2019-10-31 Earth 70610.12 45,185,020 km
118 LD
2018-10-18 Earth 51738.82 3,222,691 km
8.38 LD
2017-10-05 Earth 48598.50 41,598,996 km
108 LD
2017-04-16 Earth 47162.58 44,829,832 km
117 LD
2016-04-15 Earth 49240.86 5,147,158 km
13.4 LD
2015-04-08 Earth 65757.62 38,372,303 km
99.8 LD
1996-10-27 Earth 64517.50 33,611,513 km
87.4 LD
1995-10-15 Earth 49252.30 9,302,181 km
24.2 LD
1994-10-02 Earth 50679.30 51,666,780 km
134 LD
1994-04-17 Earth 46265.49 35,146,846 km
91.4 LD
1993-04-13 Earth 52111.41 7,753,948 km
20.2 LD
1992-04-05 Earth 71508.72 49,122,277 km
128 LD
1974-10-31 Earth 71955.99 47,807,378 km
124 LD
1973-10-19 Earth 52588.79 5,298,313 km
13.8 LD
1972-10-06 Earth 48165.11 38,112,041 km
99.1 LD
1972-04-15 Earth 47693.96 48,038,305 km
125 LD
1971-04-16 Earth 48396.46 8,044,553 km
20.9 LD
1970-04-08 Earth 63609.13 34,201,598 km
89.0 LD
1969-03-30 Earth 86581.98 74,578,087 km
194 LD
1951-10-30 Earth 70304.10 44,724,254 km
116 LD
1950-10-18 Earth 52133.23 4,024,383 km
10.5 LD
1949-10-06 Earth 48215.12 38,286,614 km
99.6 LD
1949-04-15 Earth 47762.58 48,170,037 km
125 LD
1948-04-15 Earth 48075.02 9,408,625 km
24.5 LD
1947-04-09 Earth 62162.26 31,181,259 km
81.1 LD
1946-03-31 Earth 84020.52 70,330,463 km
183 LD
1928-11-07 Earth 86392.18 72,347,727 km
188 LD
1927-10-27 Earth 64006.40 32,561,799 km
84.7 LD
1926-10-15 Earth 49433.83 8,545,113 km
22.2 LD
1925-10-03 Earth 50114.10 49,138,855 km
128 LD
1925-04-16 Earth 46518.42 37,779,916 km
98.3 LD
1924-04-13 Earth 50712.47 4,316,441 km
11.2 LD
1923-04-06 Earth 68247.30 43,123,212 km
112 LD
1904-10-28 Earth 67858.72 40,291,987 km
105 LD
1903-10-17 Earth 50935.75 3,088,858 km
8.04 LD
1902-10-05 Earth 49098.88 43,949,358 km
114 LD
1902-04-16 Earth 46928.50 41,814,366 km
109 LD
1901-04-14 Earth 49961.84 3,943,608 km
10.3 LD
1900-04-06 Earth 66955.99 40,933,152 km
106 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T23:04:53.807193+00:00.