Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 LN1)

Designation: 2016 LN1 · NASA id: 3753695 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 281 – 628 meters

≈ the Burj Khalifa
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 19.88) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 17.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

512.7 megatonnes – 19,106 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period1,232.3 days (3.37 years)
Eccentricity.5617932038150022 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis2.249485726332788 AU
Inclination6.321918756033121° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9857399332001736 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance3.513231519465402 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00424 AU = 634,268 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude320.9038900675247°
Argument of perihelion25.33508515987527°
Mean anomaly / motion269.9766931481041° / .2921320532986568°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant3.394 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 17:08:47
Observed2016-06-02 to 2019-07-07 (1130 day arc, 82 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 25 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Juptr? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 21 of them were approaches to Earth and 4 of them were approaches to Juptr.

This one’s path runs from 0.986 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 3.513 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 1232.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0042 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2188-10-17 Earth 42263.37 21,496,283 km
55.9 LD
2178-07-11 Earth 75551.77 60,771,722 km
158 LD
2170-01-15 Juptr 8327.09 292,410,263 km
761 LD
2161-10-21 Earth 46715.91 26,854,857 km
69.9 LD
2151-07-13 Earth 71840.59 55,739,850 km
145 LD
2146-06-18 Juptr 8304.72 289,837,988 km
754 LD
2134-10-26 Earth 52939.10 33,742,647 km
87.8 LD
2124-07-16 Earth 64854.50 46,263,639 km
120 LD
2122-11-21 Juptr 8321.34 290,301,009 km
755 LD
2107-11-03 Earth 67553.42 53,303,650 km
139 LD
2099-05-01 Juptr 8356.97 294,953,908 km
767 LD
2097-07-20 Earth 56528.63 34,080,080 km
88.7 LD
2070-08-07 Earth 37355.96 6,630,937 km
17.3 LD
2053-11-06 Earth 77486.72 66,444,669 km
173 LD
2043-07-19 Earth 56513.63 33,247,290 km
86.5 LD
2026-10-21 next Earth 50814.45 30,294,985 km
78.8 LD
2016-07-09 Earth 71285.54 53,743,585 km
140 LD
1999-10-18 Earth 46386.60 24,705,035 km
64.3 LD
1989-07-09 Earth 70863.89 54,129,345 km
141 LD
1972-10-27 Earth 60427.41 41,890,024 km
109 LD
1962-07-17 Earth 57392.12 34,465,372 km
89.7 LD
1945-11-07 Earth 80443.92 68,394,515 km
178 LD
1935-07-26 Earth 46243.14 19,290,661 km
50.2 LD
1918-11-05 Earth 77363.88 65,819,787 km
171 LD
1908-07-17 Earth 56229.72 32,388,635 km
84.3 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-17T21:06:14.948202+00:00.