Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 LC9)

Designation: 2016 LC9 · NASA id: 3753797

Estimated diameter: 11 – 24 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.0) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 4.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

3 kilotonnes – 124 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period331.6 days (0.91 years)
Eccentricity.1214346034460078 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9376304681990945 AU
Inclination5.966500578029959° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8237696841144428 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.051491252283746 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00729 AU = 1,091,086 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude73.88045914921678°
Argument of perihelion35.54678576382378°
Mean anomaly / motion287.8107374433813° / 1.085566685597076°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.388 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 17:09:10
Observed2016-06-06 to 2016-06-10 (4 day arc, 31 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 42 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 35 of them were approaches to Earth and 7 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.824 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.051 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 331.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0073 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

an approach today (2026-10-17) — next after that: 2028-10-15

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2092-10-25 Earth 14798.91 19,685,692 km
51.2 LD
2074-11-06 Venus 8026.32 21,246,913 km
55.3 LD
2074-08-27 Earth 17290.28 19,049,194 km
49.6 LD
2073-06-03 Earth 50803.17 56,103,831 km
146 LD
2065-08-21 Earth 40398.08 45,602,061 km
119 LD
2064-12-22 Earth 19672.40 24,510,255 km
63.8 LD
2064-05-27 Earth 28775.65 24,666,525 km
64.2 LD
2061-05-16 Venus 5289.56 15,456,231 km
40.2 LD
2056-08-11 Earth 61307.42 73,527,878 km
191 LD
2055-11-01 Earth 15084.06 18,759,417 km
48.8 LD
2055-06-05 Earth 13000.05 3,335,651 km
8.68 LD
2046-08-24 Earth 40985.97 46,354,386 km
121 LD
2046-01-09 Venus 4394.79 16,176,028 km
42.1 LD
2045-12-19 Earth 19282.87 23,658,506 km
61.5 LD
2045-05-28 Earth 25985.31 20,532,008 km
53.4 LD
2036-08-30 Earth 19988.09 21,419,524 km
55.7 LD
2036-02-08 Earth 16189.13 26,063,348 km
67.8 LD
2035-06-03 Earth 45973.05 49,439,394 km
129 LD
2028-10-15 next Venus 4799.30 15,830,407 km
41.2 LD
2026-10-17 today Earth 13007.01 16,990,663 km
44.2 LD
2026-06-22 Earth 12332.86 9,447,842 km
24.6 LD
2025-06-09 Earth 61427.19 71,193,948 km
185 LD
2017-08-18 Earth 54400.92 64,293,226 km
167 LD
2016-11-15 Earth 16586.97 19,423,084 km
50.5 LD
2016-05-31 Earth 14633.34 1,748,152 km
4.55 LD
2011-06-30 Venus 6878.29 19,455,318 km
50.6 LD
2008-08-11 Earth 62202.56 74,392,520 km
194 LD
2007-11-03 Earth 15263.27 19,397,150 km
50.5 LD
2007-06-05 Earth 13269.30 2,425,088 km
6.31 LD
1998-08-30 Earth 28117.91 29,688,154 km
77.2 LD
1998-01-07 Venus 4900.89 15,332,841 km
39.9 LD
1997-06-01 Earth 39049.92 39,281,569 km
102 LD
1989-08-16 Earth 60635.89 72,298,876 km
188 LD
1979-08-24 Earth 47324.75 54,342,279 km
141 LD
1978-05-29 Earth 19620.42 10,630,273 km
27.7 LD
1969-09-01 Earth 25450.49 26,584,128 km
69.2 LD
1968-06-02 Earth 40957.01 41,985,164 km
109 LD
1963-07-06 Venus 7368.74 20,433,226 km
53.2 LD
1958-06-10 Earth 59713.35 68,552,000 km
178 LD
1950-08-22 Earth 52119.24 60,874,282 km
158 LD
1902-10-16 Earth 12428.45 17,032,281 km
44.3 LD
1901-06-11 Earth 62348.37 72,205,914 km
188 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-12T16:53:41.167545+00:00.