Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 RZ17)

Designation: 2016 RZ17 · NASA id: 3759244

Estimated diameter: 21 – 47 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.5) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 8.8 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

254 kilotonnes – 9.5 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period377.4 days (1.03 years)
Eccentricity.05787580935745656 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.021999501996641 AU
Inclination29.05264807262172° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9628504536556677 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.081148550337614 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01459 AU = 2,182,154 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude164.4649789902175°
Argument of perihelion281.0004840412832°
Mean anomaly / motion233.4763734222172° / .9539553492595391°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.865 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 17:39:32
Observed2016-09-05 to 2016-09-09 (4 day arc, 54 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 32 total.

next approach: 2045-08-26

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2114-03-16 Earth 67948.58 51,089,737 km
133 LD
2113-09-16 Earth 64769.78 60,589,939 km
158 LD
2113-03-10 Earth 57656.87 21,890,318 km
56.9 LD
2112-09-12 Earth 55929.51 32,318,275 km
84.1 LD
2112-03-04 Earth 54046.49 7,720,466 km
20.1 LD
2111-09-09 Earth 53122.93 4,706,070 km
12.2 LD
2111-03-01 Earth 58039.13 36,395,246 km
94.7 LD
2110-09-04 Earth 57467.94 25,026,979 km
65.1 LD
2110-02-25 Earth 67848.71 64,948,487 km
169 LD
2109-08-30 Earth 67733.81 53,377,899 km
139 LD
2051-03-19 Earth 77132.08 70,208,005 km
183 LD
2050-03-12 Earth 63707.69 40,689,719 km
106 LD
2049-09-13 Earth 60906.23 50,364,690 km
131 LD
2047-09-06 Earth 53898.71 7,749,417 km
20.2 LD
2046-09-01 Earth 61052.51 36,544,066 km
95.1 LD
2045-08-26 next Earth 73477.99 65,725,097 km
171 LD
2019-03-14 Earth 66757.57 48,234,163 km
125 LD
2018-09-14 Earth 63518.05 57,533,184 km
150 LD
2018-03-08 Earth 56847.37 18,353,915 km
47.7 LD
2017-09-11 Earth 55143.63 28,686,999 km
74.6 LD
2017-03-03 Earth 54174.25 11,701,820 km
30.4 LD
2016-09-07 Earth 53313.81 3,370,451 km
8.77 LD
2016-02-27 Earth 59363.06 41,302,065 km
107 LD
2015-09-02 Earth 59068.74 30,631,910 km
79.7 LD
2015-02-23 Earth 70495.71 71,156,615 km
185 LD
2014-08-27 Earth 70843.00 60,289,977 km
157 LD
1985-09-06 Earth 53963.00 8,108,726 km
21.1 LD
1985-02-25 Earth 61484.56 48,232,264 km
125 LD
1984-08-31 Earth 61412.04 37,685,510 km
98.0 LD
1983-08-26 Earth 74372.57 67,573,053 km
176 LD
1926-03-04 Earth 54121.45 3,719,003 km
9.67 LD
1924-02-24 Earth 68260.18 65,938,525 km
172 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:16:25.345428+00:00.