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Designation: 2016 TR54 · NASA id: 3760684
Estimated diameter: 102 – 229 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
22.7 megatonnes – 844.4 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 351.0 days (0.96 years) |
| Eccentricity | .4498531916792221 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9738751743649433 AU |
| Inclination | 7.593256133549991° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5357743188797146 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.411976029850172 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01873 AU = 2,802,372 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 101.5131299930256° |
| Argument of perihelion | 109.2687978387115° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 320.3888153582769° / 1.025531799001956°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.109 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-02-20 08:07:29 |
| Observed | 2016-09-27 to 2021-12-13 (1903 day arc, 100 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 196 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 159 of them were approaches to Earth and 37 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.536 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.412 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 351.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0187 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2037-06-09
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2166-01-05 | Venus | 61822.08 | 6,231,907 km 16.2 LD |
| 2165-12-13 | Earth | 90482.08 | 52,534,643 km 137 LD |
| 2164-12-23 | Earth | 63696.67 | 16,919,022 km 44.0 LD |
| 2163-12-29 | Earth | 38968.97 | 19,293,598 km 50.2 LD |
| 2141-12-10 | Earth | 98568.91 | 63,069,987 km 164 LD |
| 2140-12-20 | Earth | 71342.92 | 27,238,552 km 70.9 LD |
| 2139-12-28 | Earth | 45058.06 | 9,768,050 km 25.4 LD |
| 2138-12-11 | Earth | 35026.41 | 42,614,613 km 111 LD |
| 2137-05-20 | Venus | 59547.84 | 4,023,923 km 10.5 LD |
| 2133-08-21 | Earth | 44914.78 | 17,742,308 km 46.2 LD |
| 2132-08-31 | Earth | 71535.54 | 32,302,388 km 84.0 LD |
| 2131-09-12 | Earth | 98726.49 | 66,491,890 km 173 LD |
| 2118-12-07 | Earth | 106750.90 | 73,526,626 km 191 LD |
| 2118-01-11 | Venus | 58997.05 | 3,960,702 km 10.3 LD |
| 2117-12-17 | Earth | 78498.58 | 36,662,430 km 95.4 LD |
| 2116-12-26 | Earth | 51475.32 | 2,560,186 km 6.66 LD |
| 2115-12-19 | Earth | 34063.29 | 35,910,679 km 93.4 LD |
| 2115-03-09 | Earth | 53343.63 | 62,327,915 km 162 LD |
| 2114-11-22 | Earth | 38924.12 | 56,936,817 km 148 LD |
| 2114-04-06 | Earth | 67149.71 | 70,087,140 km 182 LD |
| 2113-11-01 | Earth | 41047.85 | 65,279,883 km 170 LD |
| 2113-05-01 | Earth | 69772.71 | 71,342,986 km 186 LD |
| 2112-10-12 | Earth | 39993.24 | 64,156,996 km 167 LD |
| 2112-05-27 | Earth | 61902.42 | 66,951,374 km 174 LD |
| 2111-09-19 | Earth | 35241.79 | 52,798,940 km 137 LD |
| 2111-06-29 | Earth | 43680.76 | 54,958,080 km 143 LD |
| 2110-08-20 | Earth | 36462.27 | 26,414,488 km 68.7 LD |
| 2109-08-27 | Earth | 61794.61 | 21,282,092 km 55.4 LD |
| 2108-09-07 | Earth | 88211.84 | 52,917,225 km 138 LD |
| 2104-10-11 | Venus | 58911.52 | 3,507,060 km 9.12 LD |
| 2096-02-24 | Venus | 44630.44 | 9,309,663 km 24.2 LD |
| 2094-12-12 | Earth | 89898.30 | 51,792,353 km 135 LD |
| 2094-01-23 | Venus | 38807.19 | 15,058,869 km 39.2 LD |
| 2093-12-22 | Earth | 61700.91 | 14,304,265 km 37.2 LD |
| 2092-12-25 | Earth | 36526.09 | 23,941,222 km 62.3 LD |
| 2092-02-25 | Earth | 45484.00 | 57,561,764 km 150 LD |
| 2091-11-29 | Earth | 37342.16 | 51,619,159 km 134 LD |
| 2091-03-28 | Earth | 64236.59 | 68,528,761 km 178 LD |
| 2090-11-06 | Earth | 40654.37 | 63,673,752 km 166 LD |
| 2090-04-23 | Earth | 70076.95 | 71,583,329 km 186 LD |
| 2089-10-17 | Earth | 40499.19 | 65,195,546 km 170 LD |
| 2089-05-20 | Earth | 64924.41 | 68,688,008 km 179 LD |
| 2088-09-24 | Earth | 36782.67 | 56,477,607 km 147 LD |
| 2088-06-19 | Earth | 48924.90 | 58,726,299 km 153 LD |
| 2087-08-20 | Earth | 32057.19 | 32,790,204 km 85.3 LD |
| 2087-06-27 | Venus | 39872.89 | 22,087,122 km 57.5 LD |
| 2086-08-25 | Earth | 56960.46 | 17,274,937 km 44.9 LD |
| 2085-09-04 | Earth | 83991.88 | 47,650,841 km 124 LD |
| 2085-06-04 | Venus | 55213.16 | 1,914,218 km 4.98 LD |
| 2076-10-17 | Venus | 78216.92 | 20,094,656 km 52.3 LD |
| 2072-03-07 | Venus | 73127.28 | 15,862,697 km 41.3 LD |
| 2071-12-09 | Earth | 97335.33 | 61,429,717 km 160 LD |
| 2070-12-20 | Earth | 69176.62 | 24,297,444 km 63.2 LD |
| 2069-12-27 | Earth | 42283.36 | 13,949,553 km 36.3 LD |
| 2069-02-12 | Earth | 36708.30 | 52,133,100 km 136 LD |
| 2068-12-05 | Earth | 35785.77 | 46,030,718 km 120 LD |
| 2068-03-20 | Earth | 60564.65 | 66,504,106 km 173 LD |
| 2067-11-12 | Earth | 40168.30 | 61,574,560 km 160 LD |
| 2067-04-16 | Earth | 69567.51 | 71,363,302 km 186 LD |
| 2066-10-23 | Earth | 40939.76 | 65,802,466 km 171 LD |
| 2066-05-12 | Earth | 67445.09 | 70,112,931 km 182 LD |
| 2065-10-01 | Earth | 38327.10 | 60,164,073 km 157 LD |
| 2065-06-09 | Earth | 54601.70 | 62,480,192 km 163 LD |
| 2064-08-31 | Earth | 31317.09 | 41,683,535 km 108 LD |
| 2063-08-22 | Earth | 49330.54 | 15,394,194 km 40.0 LD |
| 2063-07-22 | Venus | 54152.55 | 1,282,545 km 3.34 LD |
| 2062-08-31 | Earth | 74711.83 | 35,876,546 km 93.3 LD |
| 2061-09-11 | Earth | 100525.31 | 68,549,192 km 178 LD |
| 2061-06-21 | Venus | 37503.80 | 18,188,131 km 47.3 LD |
| 2052-10-21 | Venus | 75520.79 | 17,775,946 km 46.2 LD |
| 2048-03-07 | Venus | 64994.44 | 8,767,589 km 22.8 LD |
| 2047-12-10 | Earth | 96793.15 | 60,615,856 km 158 LD |
| 2046-12-19 | Earth | 69641.38 | 24,817,170 km 64.6 LD |
| 2045-12-27 | Earth | 43586.24 | 12,097,359 km 31.5 LD |
| 2045-02-07 | Earth | 33171.49 | 50,089,774 km 130 LD |
| 2044-12-08 | Earth | 35313.96 | 44,098,857 km 115 LD |
| 2044-03-16 | Earth | 58742.33 | 65,450,528 km 170 LD |
| 2043-11-15 | Earth | 39836.97 | 60,538,861 km 157 LD |
| 2043-04-13 | Earth | 68985.67 | 71,039,224 km 185 LD |
| 2042-10-26 | Earth | 41040.82 | 65,998,242 km 172 LD |
| 2042-05-07 | Earth | 68627.13 | 70,743,188 km 184 LD |
| 2041-10-06 | Earth | 39141.85 | 62,319,377 km 162 LD |
| 2041-06-03 | Earth | 58156.63 | 64,715,980 km 168 LD |
| 2040-09-09 | Earth | 33400.87 | 47,734,984 km 124 LD |
| 2040-07-08 | Earth | 36669.97 | 49,904,975 km 130 LD |
| 2039-08-20 | Earth | 42364.42 | 19,752,740 km 51.4 LD |
| 2039-07-07 | Venus | 38252.76 | 20,082,664 km 52.2 LD |
| 2038-08-29 | Earth | 67755.65 | 27,534,552 km 71.6 LD |
| 2037-09-08 | Earth | 93876.06 | 60,061,001 km 156 LD |
| 2037-06-09 next | Venus | 55961.45 | 1,995,158 km 5.19 LD |
| 2024-02-23 | Venus | 37746.27 | 17,871,851 km 46.5 LD |
| 2022-12-15 | Earth | 82119.96 | 41,386,417 km 108 LD |
| 2022-01-22 | Venus | 55472.43 | 1,843,986 km 4.80 LD |
| 2021-12-24 | Earth | 55908.70 | 6,469,567 km 16.8 LD |
| 2020-12-23 | Earth | 34788.41 | 28,317,997 km 73.7 LD |
| 2020-02-26 | Earth | 46080.70 | 57,862,919 km 151 LD |
| 2019-11-28 | Earth | 37510.22 | 52,306,353 km 136 LD |
| 2019-03-26 | Earth | 63287.81 | 67,950,074 km 177 LD |
| 2018-11-08 | Earth | 40688.28 | 63,657,752 km 166 LD |
| 2018-04-19 | Earth | 69739.21 | 71,397,853 km 186 LD |
| 2017-10-21 | Earth | 41022.26 | 66,401,733 km 173 LD |
| 2017-06-06 | Venus | 74006.00 | 16,649,715 km 43.3 LD |
| 2017-05-12 | Earth | 67164.77 | 69,921,524 km 182 LD |
| 2016-10-01 | Earth | 38595.17 | 61,103,683 km 159 LD |
| 2016-06-07 | Earth | 55623.42 | 63,109,781 km 164 LD |
| 2015-09-06 | Earth | 32480.62 | 45,578,838 km 119 LD |
| 2015-07-14 | Earth | 33561.84 | 47,542,344 km 124 LD |
| 2014-08-19 | Earth | 43344.49 | 18,806,668 km 48.9 LD |
| 2013-08-28 | Earth | 67363.98 | 27,015,070 km 70.3 LD |
| 2012-09-06 | Earth | 92021.90 | 57,666,964 km 150 LD |
| 2006-08-30 | Venus | 79280.71 | 21,010,643 km 54.7 LD |
| 2002-01-11 | Venus | 50655.85 | 4,019,334 km 10.5 LD |
| 1999-12-04 | Venus | 44614.95 | 9,319,066 km 24.2 LD |
| 1997-12-08 | Earth | 99607.97 | 64,298,818 km 167 LD |
| 1996-12-17 | Earth | 74346.62 | 31,136,393 km 81.0 LD |
| 1995-12-26 | Earth | 49676.97 | 4,105,783 km 10.7 LD |
| 1994-12-17 | Earth | 33924.28 | 36,229,574 km 94.2 LD |
| 1994-03-06 | Earth | 52149.18 | 61,592,849 km 160 LD |
| 1993-11-22 | Earth | 38664.81 | 56,438,537 km 147 LD |
| 1993-04-01 | Earth | 66199.67 | 69,530,742 km 181 LD |
| 1992-11-02 | Earth | 41017.73 | 65,212,970 km 170 LD |
| 1992-04-25 | Earth | 69962.58 | 71,502,684 km 186 LD |
| 1991-10-16 | Earth | 40552.83 | 65,618,377 km 171 LD |
| 1991-05-20 | Earth | 64558.66 | 68,494,452 km 178 LD |
| 1990-09-25 | Earth | 37141.46 | 57,556,804 km 150 LD |
| 1990-06-16 | Earth | 50222.36 | 59,546,872 km 155 LD |
| 1989-08-24 | Earth | 30772.60 | 37,477,395 km 97.5 LD |
| 1988-08-21 | Earth | 50946.77 | 14,949,488 km 38.9 LD |
| 1987-09-01 | Earth | 75427.33 | 36,519,796 km 95.0 LD |
| 1986-09-10 | Earth | 100349.48 | 68,140,579 km 177 LD |
| 1984-07-10 | Venus | 67242.07 | 10,672,573 km 27.8 LD |
| 1979-11-23 | Venus | 61741.05 | 5,978,506 km 15.6 LD |
| 1977-10-26 | Venus | 38969.66 | 21,088,801 km 54.9 LD |
| 1971-12-14 | Earth | 84997.41 | 45,154,212 km 117 LD |
| 1970-12-23 | Earth | 58954.50 | 10,433,579 km 27.1 LD |
| 1969-12-25 | Earth | 36108.95 | 24,882,614 km 64.7 LD |
| 1969-02-21 | Earth | 43811.66 | 56,419,591 km 147 LD |
| 1968-11-29 | Earth | 36993.96 | 50,750,931 km 132 LD |
| 1968-03-23 | Earth | 62312.06 | 67,444,972 km 175 LD |
| 1967-11-09 | Earth | 40488.52 | 63,070,045 km 164 LD |
| 1967-04-17 | Earth | 69640.46 | 71,344,058 km 186 LD |
| 1966-10-22 | Earth | 41016.99 | 66,399,590 km 173 LD |
| 1966-05-11 | Earth | 67560.74 | 70,181,324 km 183 LD |
| 1965-10-03 | Earth | 38787.00 | 61,630,979 km 160 LD |
| 1965-06-05 | Earth | 56557.71 | 63,715,478 km 166 LD |
| 1964-09-07 | Earth | 33002.43 | 46,760,929 km 122 LD |
| 1964-07-10 | Earth | 35223.51 | 48,825,660 km 127 LD |
| 1964-07-02 | Venus | 48655.06 | 5,787,340 km 15.1 LD |
| 1963-08-19 | Earth | 41805.14 | 20,247,052 km 52.7 LD |
| 1962-08-27 | Earth | 65401.73 | 24,655,826 km 64.1 LD |
| 1962-05-25 | Venus | 45029.21 | 8,940,132 km 23.3 LD |
| 1961-09-06 | Earth | 89920.19 | 54,897,837 km 143 LD |
| 1946-12-30 | Venus | 68440.48 | 11,684,169 km 30.4 LD |
| 1946-12-08 | Earth | 98731.12 | 63,100,533 km 164 LD |
| 1945-12-18 | Earth | 73257.80 | 29,636,252 km 77.1 LD |
| 1944-12-25 | Earth | 48440.47 | 5,588,429 km 14.5 LD |
| 1943-12-16 | Earth | 34064.28 | 37,751,879 km 98.2 LD |
| 1943-03-07 | Earth | 53200.82 | 62,224,082 km 162 LD |
| 1942-11-21 | Earth | 38831.79 | 57,186,421 km 149 LD |
| 1942-05-14 | Venus | 62367.40 | 6,498,120 km 16.9 LD |
| 1942-04-03 | Earth | 66729.35 | 69,818,103 km 182 LD |
| 1941-11-01 | Earth | 41015.73 | 65,411,261 km 170 LD |
| 1941-04-27 | Earth | 69886.99 | 71,516,048 km 186 LD |
| 1940-10-13 | Earth | 40346.20 | 65,204,736 km 170 LD |
| 1940-05-22 | Earth | 63706.70 | 68,021,767 km 177 LD |
| 1940-04-19 | Venus | 40294.58 | 22,382,636 km 58.2 LD |
| 1939-09-22 | Earth | 36508.65 | 55,966,105 km 146 LD |
| 1939-06-20 | Earth | 47910.49 | 58,064,941 km 151 LD |
| 1938-08-20 | Earth | 31828.66 | 33,410,904 km 86.9 LD |
| 1937-08-23 | Earth | 54725.83 | 15,587,576 km 40.6 LD |
| 1936-09-01 | Earth | 79868.22 | 42,108,624 km 110 LD |
| 1935-09-12 | Earth | 105335.88 | 74,516,651 km 194 LD |
| 1931-08-12 | Venus | 75803.72 | 17,978,178 km 46.8 LD |
| 1926-12-26 | Venus | 60133.47 | 4,605,672 km 12.0 LD |
| 1924-12-02 | Venus | 40195.16 | 22,305,095 km 58.0 LD |
| 1921-12-09 | Earth | 95053.29 | 58,410,708 km 152 LD |
| 1920-12-19 | Earth | 67981.08 | 22,688,328 km 59.0 LD |
| 1919-12-27 | Earth | 42165.22 | 14,298,664 km 37.2 LD |
| 1919-02-10 | Earth | 35684.34 | 51,346,258 km 134 LD |
| 1918-12-06 | Earth | 35630.30 | 45,467,848 km 118 LD |
| 1918-03-17 | Earth | 59478.56 | 65,893,606 km 171 LD |
| 1917-11-13 | Earth | 40050.73 | 61,164,466 km 159 LD |
| 1917-04-12 | Earth | 69241.34 | 71,184,256 km 185 LD |
| 1916-10-24 | Earth | 41115.85 | 66,162,821 km 172 LD |
| 1916-05-07 | Earth | 68356.35 | 70,707,157 km 184 LD |
| 1916-03-28 | Venus | 64374.95 | 8,163,180 km 21.2 LD |
| 1915-10-05 | Earth | 39135.46 | 62,265,045 km 162 LD |
| 1915-06-03 | Earth | 57864.59 | 64,574,127 km 168 LD |
| 1914-09-09 | Earth | 33323.25 | 47,746,641 km 124 LD |
| 1914-07-08 | Earth | 36732.04 | 49,907,159 km 130 LD |
| 1913-08-18 | Earth | 41840.87 | 20,089,081 km 52.3 LD |
| 1912-08-27 | Earth | 66725.30 | 26,097,433 km 67.9 LD |
| 1911-09-07 | Earth | 92369.63 | 57,978,153 km 151 LD |
| 1911-08-14 | Venus | 75829.85 | 18,195,562 km 47.3 LD |
| 1902-12-14 | Venus | 37711.78 | 17,636,852 km 45.9 LD |
| 1900-11-13 | Venus | 53931.36 | 1,900,122 km 4.94 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-07T14:08:09.085790+00:00.