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Designation: 2016 UW40 · NASA id: 3761740
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 115 – 257 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
13.9 megatonnes – 519.2 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 563.1 days (1.54 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3007349997983945 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.334448338392262 AU |
| Inclination | 14.51295936226663° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9331330176148974 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.735763659169627 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.04593 AU = 6,870,417 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 43.7197656111762° |
| Argument of perihelion | 244.5418803510432° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 19.10663299213627° / .6393687798785014°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.834 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-08-28 06:22:46 |
| Observed | 2013-08-05 to 2019-02-06 (2011 day arc, 78 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 65 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 62 of them were approaches to Earth and 3 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.933 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.736 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 563.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0459 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2030-04-22
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-10-29 | Earth | 33705.74 | 66,118,264 km 172 LD |
| 2198-05-07 | Earth | 48822.06 | 20,649,227 km 53.7 LD |
| 2184-09-29 | Earth | 54750.64 | 45,211,555 km 118 LD |
| 2181-10-15 | Earth | 30420.00 | 51,569,348 km 134 LD |
| 2181-05-15 | Earth | 35287.49 | 10,284,426 km 26.8 LD |
| 2178-04-21 | Earth | 81923.63 | 72,384,989 km 188 LD |
| 2167-10-07 | Earth | 76054.16 | 72,170,827 km 188 LD |
| 2164-09-27 | Earth | 30769.36 | 33,410,212 km 86.9 LD |
| 2161-05-01 | Earth | 59720.73 | 38,242,997 km 99.5 LD |
| 2152-07-30 | Mars | 27633.70 | 8,466,153 km 22.0 LD |
| 2147-09-28 | Earth | 49374.98 | 39,539,342 km 103 LD |
| 2144-10-18 | Earth | 31173.81 | 55,034,630 km 143 LD |
| 2144-05-13 | Earth | 38047.97 | 7,513,657 km 19.5 LD |
| 2130-10-07 | Earth | 77159.12 | 73,806,985 km 192 LD |
| 2127-09-26 | Earth | 31721.78 | 32,533,641 km 84.6 LD |
| 2124-11-03 | Earth | 35224.74 | 72,482,350 km 189 LD |
| 2124-05-02 | Earth | 56555.83 | 33,184,474 km 86.3 LD |
| 2110-09-30 | Earth | 56557.30 | 47,664,911 km 124 LD |
| 2107-10-12 | Earth | 29832.56 | 48,167,986 km 125 LD |
| 2107-05-18 | Earth | 32949.60 | 14,600,677 km 38.0 LD |
| 2104-04-22 | Earth | 76107.71 | 63,606,149 km 165 LD |
| 2090-09-24 | Earth | 38847.28 | 32,122,908 km 83.6 LD |
| 2090-04-28 | Earth | 26552.05 | 61,827,906 km 161 LD |
| 2087-10-26 | Earth | 33395.75 | 64,319,564 km 167 LD |
| 2087-05-06 | Earth | 47049.13 | 17,781,464 km 46.3 LD |
| 2073-09-30 | Earth | 63005.71 | 55,587,933 km 145 LD |
| 2070-10-05 | Earth | 29130.09 | 43,202,267 km 112 LD |
| 2070-05-22 | Earth | 30067.66 | 22,512,544 km 58.6 LD |
| 2067-04-24 | Earth | 71630.25 | 56,830,741 km 148 LD |
| 2053-09-23 | Earth | 39248.80 | 32,455,336 km 84.4 LD |
| 2053-04-26 | Earth | 26480.52 | 62,533,043 km 163 LD |
| 2050-10-25 | Earth | 33374.69 | 64,449,526 km 168 LD |
| 2050-05-06 | Earth | 47147.67 | 17,823,406 km 46.4 LD |
| 2041-08-09 | Mars | 25662.75 | 8,285,214 km 21.6 LD |
| 2036-09-29 | Earth | 61192.66 | 53,468,481 km 139 LD |
| 2033-10-06 | Earth | 29258.42 | 45,015,363 km 117 LD |
| 2033-05-19 | Earth | 31015.54 | 19,593,040 km 51.0 LD |
| 2030-04-22 next | Earth | 73728.58 | 59,997,845 km 156 LD |
| 2016-09-23 | Earth | 38142.09 | 32,215,563 km 83.8 LD |
| 2013-10-26 | Earth | 33603.29 | 65,245,404 km 170 LD |
| 2013-05-05 | Earth | 48095.07 | 19,312,574 km 50.2 LD |
| 1999-09-30 | Earth | 63308.92 | 56,375,526 km 147 LD |
| 1996-10-03 | Earth | 28999.20 | 42,359,957 km 110 LD |
| 1996-05-22 | Earth | 29687.99 | 24,031,271 km 62.5 LD |
| 1993-04-24 | Earth | 69621.34 | 53,829,890 km 140 LD |
| 1979-09-24 | Earth | 45516.26 | 36,873,926 km 95.9 LD |
| 1979-04-09 | Earth | 26695.08 | 71,230,349 km 185 LD |
| 1976-10-18 | Earth | 31846.24 | 57,530,104 km 150 LD |
| 1976-05-09 | Earth | 40359.43 | 7,879,645 km 20.5 LD |
| 1962-10-02 | Earth | 71066.81 | 66,394,897 km 173 LD |
| 1959-09-28 | Earth | 29230.37 | 37,325,838 km 97.1 LD |
| 1959-06-08 | Earth | 28613.14 | 33,240,916 km 86.5 LD |
| 1956-04-26 | Earth | 64562.84 | 45,911,478 km 119 LD |
| 1947-07-26 | Mars | 27742.90 | 7,895,458 km 20.5 LD |
| 1942-09-23 | Earth | 42834.06 | 35,111,744 km 91.3 LD |
| 1942-04-14 | Earth | 26413.20 | 68,062,343 km 177 LD |
| 1939-10-22 | Earth | 32746.61 | 61,498,945 km 160 LD |
| 1939-05-07 | Earth | 44219.36 | 12,991,299 km 33.8 LD |
| 1925-09-27 | Earth | 59271.86 | 51,680,573 km 134 LD |
| 1922-10-09 | Earth | 29710.73 | 48,036,748 km 125 LD |
| 1922-05-17 | Earth | 32844.11 | 14,691,630 km 38.2 LD |
| 1919-04-20 | Earth | 77920.79 | 66,424,874 km 173 LD |
| 1905-09-23 | Earth | 31625.74 | 33,375,346 km 86.8 LD |
| 1902-11-01 | Earth | 35582.45 | 73,250,209 km 191 LD |
| 1902-04-29 | Earth | 57747.21 | 35,039,316 km 91.2 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-11T03:59:23.477471+00:00.