← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived
Designation: 2016 UW80 · NASA id: 3762440
Estimated diameter: 44 – 98 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
449 kilotonnes – 16.7 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 459.1 days (1.26 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1693763711405043 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.164614597506466 AU |
| Inclination | 12.98723435434779° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9673564032035618 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.36187279180937 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.05557 AU = 8,313,169 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 37.38992565148838° |
| Argument of perihelion | 108.5465678572999° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 346.1389104454828° / .7842070276313923°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.377 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2022-12-20 14:11:42 |
| Observed | 2011-10-25 to 2021-10-14 (3642 day arc, 121 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 104 total.
next approach: 2027-05-02
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-06-26 | Earth | 19899.30 | 56,947,628 km 148 LD |
| 2197-12-05 | Earth | 53562.17 | 58,176,435 km 151 LD |
| 2193-07-28 | Earth | 20803.92 | 63,600,379 km 165 LD |
| 2188-08-22 | Earth | 23804.92 | 64,366,774 km 167 LD |
| 2183-09-13 | Earth | 26276.66 | 60,713,269 km 158 LD |
| 2179-05-08 | Earth | 65959.65 | 69,533,720 km 181 LD |
| 2178-10-02 | Earth | 27516.24 | 53,700,639 km 140 LD |
| 2174-05-01 | Earth | 50349.83 | 45,136,752 km 117 LD |
| 2173-10-20 | Earth | 27535.39 | 44,188,769 km 115 LD |
| 2169-04-25 | Earth | 36903.50 | 22,397,291 km 58.3 LD |
| 2168-11-05 | Earth | 26749.40 | 33,701,961 km 87.7 LD |
| 2164-04-21 | Earth | 27996.16 | 8,100,105 km 21.1 LD |
| 2163-11-19 | Earth | 26387.73 | 25,811,808 km 67.1 LD |
| 2159-04-23 | Earth | 24261.67 | 19,497,621 km 50.7 LD |
| 2158-11-29 | Earth | 28490.03 | 24,588,972 km 64.0 LD |
| 2154-05-09 | Earth | 24129.84 | 38,474,279 km 100 LD |
| 2153-12-05 | Earth | 36378.35 | 34,347,010 km 89.4 LD |
| 2149-06-16 | Earth | 20596.52 | 54,141,905 km 141 LD |
| 2148-12-05 | Earth | 49683.64 | 52,543,839 km 137 LD |
| 2144-07-19 | Earth | 20130.97 | 62,384,765 km 162 LD |
| 2143-12-01 | Earth | 65506.49 | 74,274,254 km 193 LD |
| 2139-08-14 | Earth | 22677.71 | 64,716,911 km 168 LD |
| 2134-09-05 | Earth | 25293.50 | 62,685,646 km 163 LD |
| 2129-09-24 | Earth | 27056.39 | 57,130,819 km 149 LD |
| 2125-05-03 | Earth | 56830.76 | 55,388,309 km 144 LD |
| 2124-10-11 | Earth | 27660.59 | 48,648,361 km 127 LD |
| 2120-04-27 | Earth | 42356.09 | 31,934,306 km 83.1 LD |
| 2119-10-29 | Earth | 27117.27 | 38,305,692 km 99.7 LD |
| 2115-04-23 | Earth | 31000.04 | 11,814,288 km 30.7 LD |
| 2114-11-13 | Earth | 26294.20 | 28,414,572 km 73.9 LD |
| 2110-04-21 | Earth | 25302.18 | 12,547,682 km 32.6 LD |
| 2109-11-24 | Earth | 27067.39 | 23,867,030 km 62.1 LD |
| 2105-04-28 | Earth | 24148.97 | 30,596,072 km 79.6 LD |
| 2104-12-03 | Earth | 32376.49 | 28,794,517 km 74.9 LD |
| 2100-06-01 | Earth | 22053.22 | 49,134,250 km 128 LD |
| 2099-12-05 | Earth | 44443.24 | 45,174,663 km 118 LD |
| 2095-07-08 | Earth | 19858.00 | 60,403,672 km 157 LD |
| 2094-12-01 | Earth | 60379.02 | 67,130,967 km 175 LD |
| 2090-08-06 | Earth | 21820.61 | 64,596,353 km 168 LD |
| 2085-08-29 | Earth | 24704.08 | 63,588,707 km 165 LD |
| 2080-09-18 | Earth | 26788.94 | 58,512,385 km 152 LD |
| 2076-05-03 | Earth | 59372.51 | 59,398,992 km 155 LD |
| 2075-10-08 | Earth | 27605.13 | 50,293,904 km 131 LD |
| 2071-04-27 | Earth | 44217.38 | 35,128,220 km 91.4 LD |
| 2070-10-26 | Earth | 27180.28 | 39,821,179 km 104 LD |
| 2066-04-22 | Earth | 31958.95 | 13,591,874 km 35.4 LD |
| 2065-11-10 | Earth | 26308.27 | 29,248,890 km 76.1 LD |
| 2061-04-20 | Earth | 25505.51 | 11,849,876 km 30.8 LD |
| 2060-11-22 | Earth | 26947.17 | 23,808,779 km 61.9 LD |
| 2056-04-27 | Earth | 24106.61 | 30,699,706 km 79.9 LD |
| 2055-12-02 | Earth | 32458.43 | 28,728,638 km 74.7 LD |
| 2051-06-02 | Earth | 21916.99 | 49,731,595 km 129 LD |
| 2050-12-04 | Earth | 45145.81 | 45,984,430 km 120 LD |
| 2046-07-09 | Earth | 19953.01 | 60,806,737 km 158 LD |
| 2045-11-30 | Earth | 61473.80 | 68,479,651 km 178 LD |
| 2041-08-07 | Earth | 22038.52 | 64,741,088 km 168 LD |
| 2036-08-31 | Earth | 24902.16 | 63,317,671 km 165 LD |
| 2031-09-21 | Earth | 26903.25 | 57,756,628 km 150 LD |
| 2027-05-02 next | Earth | 56935.60 | 55,626,115 km 145 LD |
| 2026-10-10 | Earth | 27577.59 | 48,924,375 km 127 LD |
| 2022-04-25 | Earth | 41730.14 | 30,954,086 km 80.5 LD |
| 2021-10-28 | Earth | 27003.45 | 37,910,441 km 98.6 LD |
| 2017-04-21 | Earth | 30230.26 | 10,792,660 km 28.1 LD |
| 2016-11-13 | Earth | 26220.78 | 27,594,340 km 71.8 LD |
| 2012-04-20 | Earth | 24830.27 | 14,740,247 km 38.3 LD |
| 2011-11-25 | Earth | 27443.96 | 23,487,653 km 61.1 LD |
| 2007-05-02 | Earth | 24108.99 | 33,966,122 km 88.4 LD |
| 2006-12-02 | Earth | 34065.18 | 30,636,552 km 79.7 LD |
| 2002-06-08 | Earth | 21453.23 | 51,640,935 km 134 LD |
| 2001-12-03 | Earth | 47260.66 | 48,709,460 km 127 LD |
| 1997-07-13 | Earth | 20102.08 | 61,610,684 km 160 LD |
| 1996-11-29 | Earth | 63655.46 | 71,345,653 km 186 LD |
| 1992-08-09 | Earth | 22312.90 | 64,839,321 km 169 LD |
| 1987-09-02 | Earth | 25028.01 | 63,068,351 km 164 LD |
| 1982-09-22 | Earth | 26909.22 | 57,438,378 km 149 LD |
| 1978-05-01 | Earth | 56281.43 | 54,613,661 km 142 LD |
| 1977-10-10 | Earth | 27529.00 | 48,629,206 km 127 LD |
| 1973-04-25 | Earth | 41541.13 | 30,667,348 km 79.8 LD |
| 1972-10-28 | Earth | 26942.83 | 37,817,951 km 98.4 LD |
| 1968-04-20 | Earth | 30296.04 | 10,977,550 km 28.6 LD |
| 1967-11-13 | Earth | 26209.84 | 27,626,859 km 71.9 LD |
| 1963-04-21 | Earth | 24928.94 | 14,229,278 km 37.0 LD |
| 1962-11-24 | Earth | 27320.98 | 23,312,131 km 60.6 LD |
| 1958-04-30 | Earth | 24054.64 | 32,392,488 km 84.3 LD |
| 1957-12-01 | Earth | 33293.76 | 29,394,379 km 76.5 LD |
| 1953-06-03 | Earth | 21886.76 | 50,022,602 km 130 LD |
| 1952-12-02 | Earth | 45671.77 | 46,348,645 km 121 LD |
| 1948-07-08 | Earth | 20110.25 | 60,719,680 km 158 LD |
| 1947-11-30 | Earth | 61561.51 | 68,324,916 km 178 LD |
| 1943-08-06 | Earth | 21916.46 | 64,721,307 km 168 LD |
| 1938-08-28 | Earth | 24615.33 | 63,731,929 km 166 LD |
| 1933-09-18 | Earth | 26624.20 | 58,772,615 km 153 LD |
| 1929-05-02 | Earth | 59464.87 | 59,590,300 km 155 LD |
| 1928-10-06 | Earth | 27424.99 | 50,716,044 km 132 LD |
| 1924-04-26 | Earth | 44767.21 | 36,113,566 km 93.9 LD |
| 1923-10-24 | Earth | 27085.29 | 40,505,316 km 105 LD |
| 1919-04-22 | Earth | 32714.36 | 15,136,237 km 39.4 LD |
| 1918-11-09 | Earth | 26311.66 | 29,922,948 km 77.8 LD |
| 1914-04-20 | Earth | 25965.93 | 10,713,516 km 27.9 LD |
| 1913-11-20 | Earth | 26681.60 | 23,656,154 km 61.5 LD |
| 1909-04-26 | Earth | 23955.15 | 27,633,102 km 71.9 LD |
| 1908-11-29 | Earth | 31172.93 | 26,452,318 km 68.8 LD |
| 1904-05-24 | Earth | 22718.67 | 46,561,859 km 121 LD |
| 1903-12-03 | Earth | 42507.24 | 41,780,665 km 109 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:13:22.114263+00:00.