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Designation: 2016 VK · NASA id: 3763232
Estimated diameter: 84 – 188 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
38.4 megatonnes – 1,430 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 852.3 days (2.33 years) |
| Eccentricity | .7735165308441942 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.75925229962273 AU |
| Inclination | 5.911241465171372° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .3984415639388849 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 3.120063035306575 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.04123 AU = 6,168,339 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 210.5592955541031° |
| Argument of perihelion | 315.6274682623394° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 288.7180439350226° / .422388302833214°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 3.691 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-11-14 06:01:44 |
| Observed | 2016-11-02 to 2023-11-13 (2567 day arc, 56 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 85 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 51 of them were approaches to Earth, 16 of them were approaches to Venus, 9 of them were approaches to Merc, 7 of them were approaches to Juptr and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.398 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 3.120 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 852.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0412 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2030-11-22
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-05-22 | Juptr | 20787.53 | 286,486,199 km 745 LD |
| 2180-07-24 | Earth | 141131.50 | 69,147,828 km 180 LD |
| 2173-07-18 | Earth | 126947.52 | 50,743,669 km 132 LD |
| 2173-03-18 | Mars | 84258.87 | 6,586,771 km 17.1 LD |
| 2171-03-02 | Venus | 112068.19 | 14,878,666 km 38.7 LD |
| 2171-01-14 | Earth | 74675.55 | 72,700,507 km 189 LD |
| 2166-07-14 | Earth | 117705.99 | 39,153,816 km 102 LD |
| 2164-01-01 | Earth | 59750.16 | 65,797,041 km 171 LD |
| 2159-07-12 | Earth | 112016.27 | 31,813,402 km 82.8 LD |
| 2159-06-25 | Venus | 117227.83 | 18,303,486 km 47.6 LD |
| 2156-12-23 | Earth | 52984.53 | 62,280,040 km 162 LD |
| 2152-07-10 | Earth | 109545.02 | 28,605,965 km 74.4 LD |
| 2152-06-07 | Merc | 101589.35 | 11,792,792 km 30.7 LD |
| 2149-12-23 | Earth | 52531.40 | 62,216,763 km 162 LD |
| 2145-07-12 | Earth | 111871.18 | 31,466,877 km 81.9 LD |
| 2145-06-05 | Merc | 69302.22 | 4,480,464 km 11.7 LD |
| 2142-12-29 | Earth | 57701.63 | 64,798,904 km 169 LD |
| 2138-07-14 | Earth | 115874.36 | 36,198,874 km 94.2 LD |
| 2138-06-02 | Merc | 77541.71 | 13,482,089 km 35.1 LD |
| 2136-01-07 | Earth | 66638.50 | 69,327,513 km 180 LD |
| 2131-07-16 | Earth | 120051.68 | 41,505,402 km 108 LD |
| 2129-01-13 | Earth | 74982.47 | 73,221,123 km 190 LD |
| 2129-01-05 | Venus | 97146.04 | 8,851,998 km 23.0 LD |
| 2124-07-17 | Earth | 125695.50 | 48,495,566 km 126 LD |
| 2117-07-20 | Earth | 130618.62 | 54,788,635 km 143 LD |
| 2115-03-07 | Venus | 106616.70 | 11,261,576 km 29.3 LD |
| 2114-11-22 | Mars | 89729.68 | 7,078,128 km 18.4 LD |
| 2110-07-22 | Earth | 135007.80 | 60,508,573 km 157 LD |
| 2103-07-24 | Earth | 139044.87 | 66,079,035 km 172 LD |
| 2096-07-23 | Earth | 141033.02 | 68,478,505 km 178 LD |
| 2094-02-23 | Merc | 104382.41 | 13,367,551 km 34.8 LD |
| 2089-07-23 | Earth | 140540.56 | 68,138,489 km 177 LD |
| 2087-02-14 | Merc | 68085.68 | 10,960,937 km 28.5 LD |
| 2084-09-13 | Venus | 116840.23 | 17,528,567 km 45.6 LD |
| 2082-07-22 | Earth | 138677.88 | 65,713,922 km 171 LD |
| 2075-07-19 | Earth | 131291.97 | 56,310,580 km 146 LD |
| 2073-01-07 | Venus | 109452.94 | 12,391,488 km 32.2 LD |
| 2069-08-16 | Juptr | 20523.19 | 285,046,346 km 742 LD |
| 2068-07-14 | Earth | 122238.42 | 44,818,479 km 117 LD |
| 2066-01-06 | Earth | 66784.48 | 68,710,082 km 179 LD |
| 2061-07-10 | Earth | 113791.34 | 34,168,759 km 88.9 LD |
| 2061-04-30 | Venus | 112663.36 | 14,554,093 km 37.9 LD |
| 2058-12-17 | Earth | 50421.33 | 59,891,744 km 156 LD |
| 2057-12-02 | Juptr | 20315.87 | 283,418,414 km 737 LD |
| 2054-07-06 | Earth | 103256.96 | 21,756,071 km 56.6 LD |
| 2051-12-02 | Earth | 60398.94 | 44,729,776 km 116 LD |
| 2049-08-20 | Venus | 116296.08 | 17,067,098 km 44.4 LD |
| 2047-07-02 | Earth | 95752.97 | 15,755,554 km 41.0 LD |
| 2047-05-22 | Merc | 63428.87 | 8,733,621 km 22.7 LD |
| 2046-03-20 | Juptr | 21124.67 | 293,727,987 km 764 LD |
| 2044-11-26 | Earth | 70234.81 | 31,340,204 km 81.5 LD |
| 2040-06-28 | Earth | 88102.80 | 15,747,556 km 41.0 LD |
| 2037-12-13 | Venus | 111106.71 | 12,943,522 km 33.7 LD |
| 2037-11-24 | Earth | 75209.37 | 24,612,462 km 64.0 LD |
| 2033-06-25 | Earth | 81576.23 | 21,167,397 km 55.1 LD |
| 2030-11-22 next | Earth | 80131.99 | 18,220,068 km 47.4 LD |
| 2026-06-25 | Earth | 80194.37 | 22,664,438 km 59.0 LD |
| 2026-04-10 | Venus | 94454.50 | 8,553,346 km 22.3 LD |
| 2024-01-15 | Merc | 67725.16 | 5,153,622 km 13.4 LD |
| 2023-11-22 | Earth | 81256.75 | 16,640,016 km 43.3 LD |
| 2019-06-25 | Earth | 80880.59 | 21,963,571 km 57.1 LD |
| 2016-11-22 | Earth | 78900.08 | 20,150,822 km 52.4 LD |
| 2012-06-26 | Earth | 84628.81 | 18,336,743 km 47.7 LD |
| 2012-06-06 | Venus | 99853.11 | 8,212,740 km 21.4 LD |
| 2009-11-24 | Earth | 74207.43 | 26,665,392 km 69.4 LD |
| 2005-06-30 | Earth | 91225.79 | 14,588,751 km 38.0 LD |
| 2002-11-28 | Earth | 65937.45 | 38,082,257 km 99.1 LD |
| 1998-07-04 | Earth | 99519.06 | 17,208,127 km 44.8 LD |
| 1995-12-04 | Earth | 55031.31 | 52,785,524 km 137 LD |
| 1993-08-26 | Venus | 117638.65 | 16,765,375 km 43.6 LD |
| 1991-07-09 | Earth | 110309.98 | 28,523,064 km 74.2 LD |
| 1988-12-29 | Earth | 60603.32 | 66,292,718 km 172 LD |
| 1984-07-13 | Earth | 121265.93 | 42,317,561 km 110 LD |
| 1982-01-14 | Earth | 78851.59 | 74,785,330 km 195 LD |
| 1979-11-01 | Venus | 107801.86 | 10,633,740 km 27.7 LD |
| 1977-07-18 | Earth | 132268.78 | 56,413,110 km 147 LD |
| 1970-07-23 | Earth | 143775.65 | 71,383,068 km 186 LD |
| 1961-01-21 | Venus | 100434.56 | 6,968,782 km 18.1 LD |
| 1947-03-22 | Venus | 101352.23 | 7,804,106 km 20.3 LD |
| 1939-01-10 | Juptr | 20961.74 | 293,202,719 km 763 LD |
| 1930-11-05 | Merc | 88219.14 | 8,191,195 km 21.3 LD |
| 1927-05-07 | Juptr | 20229.92 | 283,800,189 km 738 LD |
| 1923-10-28 | Merc | 72538.66 | 13,439,079 km 35.0 LD |
| 1915-08-30 | Juptr | 20819.68 | 290,304,073 km 755 LD |
| 1905-01-28 | Venus | 98158.49 | 6,330,169 km 16.5 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:00:39.154184+00:00.