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Designation: 2016 VH2 · NASA id: 3763421
Estimated diameter: 25 – 56 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
112 kilotonnes – 4.2 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU
| Orbital period | 726.1 days (1.99 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3436133850290127 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.581028126944727 AU |
| Inclination | 7.131716422950737° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.03776570041917 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.124290553470285 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.06412 AU = 9,592,440 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 237.1635427735802° |
| Argument of perihelion | 149.9363024408716° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 201.2882941941026° / .4957864801043939°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.318 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-09-27 06:21:04 |
| Observed | 2016-11-06 to 2024-09-26 (2881 day arc, 56 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 35 total.
next approach: 2028-09-09
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2177-08-30 | Earth | 64666.99 | 74,250,899 km 193 LD |
| 2175-12-30 | Earth | 15374.43 | 69,658,661 km 181 LD |
| 2175-09-05 | Earth | 55678.60 | 62,015,684 km 161 LD |
| 2173-09-11 | Earth | 46331.52 | 49,785,427 km 130 LD |
| 2171-09-19 | Earth | 37798.70 | 38,716,365 km 101 LD |
| 2169-09-28 | Earth | 29460.74 | 28,817,472 km 75.0 LD |
| 2167-10-11 | Earth | 22539.72 | 20,159,828 km 52.4 LD |
| 2165-10-24 | Earth | 19446.44 | 13,709,401 km 35.7 LD |
| 2163-11-02 | Earth | 19800.89 | 10,116,656 km 26.3 LD |
| 2161-11-07 | Earth | 21943.88 | 9,703,990 km 25.2 LD |
| 2159-11-13 | Earth | 25643.43 | 13,288,458 km 34.6 LD |
| 2157-11-18 | Earth | 31402.54 | 21,303,626 km 55.4 LD |
| 2155-11-23 | Earth | 38783.77 | 32,024,291 km 83.3 LD |
| 2153-11-27 | Earth | 46983.22 | 43,756,280 km 114 LD |
| 2151-12-02 | Earth | 55512.51 | 56,337,343 km 147 LD |
| 2151-08-09 | Earth | 12135.12 | 68,264,549 km 178 LD |
| 2149-12-06 | Earth | 64783.31 | 69,592,209 km 181 LD |
| 2032-08-28 | Earth | 62928.62 | 71,730,186 km 187 LD |
| 2030-12-24 | Earth | 14749.40 | 67,490,002 km 176 LD |
| 2030-09-03 | Earth | 53514.21 | 59,052,671 km 154 LD |
| 2028-09-09 next | Earth | 44784.47 | 47,480,263 km 124 LD |
| 2026-09-17 | Earth | 35748.32 | 36,432,856 km 94.8 LD |
| 2024-09-27 | Earth | 27503.13 | 26,547,432 km 69.1 LD |
| 2022-10-11 | Earth | 21334.10 | 18,649,108 km 48.5 LD |
| 2020-10-24 | Earth | 19071.77 | 12,757,213 km 33.2 LD |
| 2018-11-02 | Earth | 20286.26 | 9,787,322 km 25.5 LD |
| 2016-11-06 | Earth | 22919.43 | 10,485,579 km 27.3 LD |
| 2014-11-12 | Earth | 27589.04 | 15,993,387 km 41.6 LD |
| 2012-11-17 | Earth | 34314.52 | 25,307,185 km 65.8 LD |
| 2010-11-22 | Earth | 41967.07 | 36,313,832 km 94.5 LD |
| 2008-11-26 | Earth | 50444.76 | 48,765,636 km 127 LD |
| 2008-08-14 | Earth | 6885.57 | 63,100,964 km 164 LD |
| 2006-12-02 | Earth | 59588.07 | 61,788,940 km 161 LD |
| 2006-07-31 | Earth | 15106.47 | 71,822,617 km 187 LD |
| 2004-12-05 | Earth | 68448.41 | 74,661,973 km 194 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-11T06:26:23.632145+00:00.