Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2016 VH2)

Designation: 2016 VH2 · NASA id: 3763421

Estimated diameter: 25 – 56 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.13) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 25.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

112 kilotonnes – 4.2 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period726.1 days (1.99 years)
Eccentricity.3436133850290127 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.581028126944727 AU
Inclination7.131716422950737° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.03776570041917 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.124290553470285 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.06412 AU = 9,592,440 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude237.1635427735802°
Argument of perihelion149.9363024408716°
Mean anomaly / motion201.2882941941026° / .4957864801043939°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.318 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2024-09-27 06:21:04
Observed2016-11-06 to 2024-09-26 (2881 day arc, 56 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 35 total.

next approach: 2028-09-09

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2177-08-30 Earth 64666.99 74,250,899 km
193 LD
2175-12-30 Earth 15374.43 69,658,661 km
181 LD
2175-09-05 Earth 55678.60 62,015,684 km
161 LD
2173-09-11 Earth 46331.52 49,785,427 km
130 LD
2171-09-19 Earth 37798.70 38,716,365 km
101 LD
2169-09-28 Earth 29460.74 28,817,472 km
75.0 LD
2167-10-11 Earth 22539.72 20,159,828 km
52.4 LD
2165-10-24 Earth 19446.44 13,709,401 km
35.7 LD
2163-11-02 Earth 19800.89 10,116,656 km
26.3 LD
2161-11-07 Earth 21943.88 9,703,990 km
25.2 LD
2159-11-13 Earth 25643.43 13,288,458 km
34.6 LD
2157-11-18 Earth 31402.54 21,303,626 km
55.4 LD
2155-11-23 Earth 38783.77 32,024,291 km
83.3 LD
2153-11-27 Earth 46983.22 43,756,280 km
114 LD
2151-12-02 Earth 55512.51 56,337,343 km
147 LD
2151-08-09 Earth 12135.12 68,264,549 km
178 LD
2149-12-06 Earth 64783.31 69,592,209 km
181 LD
2032-08-28 Earth 62928.62 71,730,186 km
187 LD
2030-12-24 Earth 14749.40 67,490,002 km
176 LD
2030-09-03 Earth 53514.21 59,052,671 km
154 LD
2028-09-09 next Earth 44784.47 47,480,263 km
124 LD
2026-09-17 Earth 35748.32 36,432,856 km
94.8 LD
2024-09-27 Earth 27503.13 26,547,432 km
69.1 LD
2022-10-11 Earth 21334.10 18,649,108 km
48.5 LD
2020-10-24 Earth 19071.77 12,757,213 km
33.2 LD
2018-11-02 Earth 20286.26 9,787,322 km
25.5 LD
2016-11-06 Earth 22919.43 10,485,579 km
27.3 LD
2014-11-12 Earth 27589.04 15,993,387 km
41.6 LD
2012-11-17 Earth 34314.52 25,307,185 km
65.8 LD
2010-11-22 Earth 41967.07 36,313,832 km
94.5 LD
2008-11-26 Earth 50444.76 48,765,636 km
127 LD
2008-08-14 Earth 6885.57 63,100,964 km
164 LD
2006-12-02 Earth 59588.07 61,788,940 km
161 LD
2006-07-31 Earth 15106.47 71,822,617 km
187 LD
2004-12-05 Earth 68448.41 74,661,973 km
194 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-11T06:26:23.632145+00:00.