Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2016 WS3)

Designation: 2016 WS3 · NASA id: 3764721

Estimated diameter: 114 – 256 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.83) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 60.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

21.5 megatonnes – 802.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period632.0 days (1.73 years)
Eccentricity.3181442998227849 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.441322044318609 AU
Inclination18.72628384561243° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9827736517097203 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.899870436927498 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.15637 AU = 23,392,619 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude71.18080758080502°
Argument of perihelion261.0251643191916°
Mean anomaly / motion124.6996337141428° / .5695902287018894°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.555 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 18:15:00
Observed2016-11-23 to 2017-01-01 (39 day arc, 57 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 36 total.

next approach: 2035-06-16

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2132-06-10 Earth 72062.67 61,177,546 km
159 LD
2125-06-21 Earth 37684.47 28,960,598 km
75.3 LD
2118-11-10 Earth 72695.63 68,944,400 km
179 LD
2106-06-19 Earth 48481.95 27,193,281 km
70.7 LD
2099-11-04 Earth 54675.75 45,697,156 km
119 LD
2087-06-12 Earth 65212.44 50,588,959 km
132 LD
2080-11-03 Earth 40836.06 36,120,537 km
94.0 LD
2080-06-18 Earth 35558.18 35,843,979 km
93.2 LD
2061-11-10 Earth 36502.25 46,926,779 km
122 LD
2061-06-19 Earth 43942.78 23,819,485 km
62.0 LD
2054-11-05 Earth 60638.25 53,194,271 km
138 LD
2054-06-01 Earth 34813.10 68,315,992 km
178 LD
2042-11-23 Earth 37739.76 65,585,946 km
171 LD
2042-06-14 Earth 59425.10 41,662,913 km
108 LD
2035-11-02 Earth 44444.77 36,943,728 km
96.1 LD
2035-06-16 next Earth 34498.35 43,499,115 km
113 LD
2023-06-07 Earth 77741.63 69,751,611 km
181 LD
2016-11-07 Earth 37004.82 42,210,734 km
110 LD
2016-06-19 Earth 40393.84 24,552,937 km
63.9 LD
2009-11-06 Earth 66464.13 61,014,230 km
159 LD
1997-11-18 Earth 37083.37 59,404,382 km
155 LD
1997-06-16 Earth 53829.50 33,386,450 km
86.9 LD
1990-11-02 Earth 48868.81 40,357,244 km
105 LD
1990-06-12 Earth 34195.59 51,560,493 km
134 LD
1978-06-09 Earth 71669.06 60,345,425 km
157 LD
1971-11-05 Earth 38299.09 38,658,104 km
101 LD
1971-06-20 Earth 37594.30 28,695,575 km
74.7 LD
1964-11-07 Earth 72805.84 69,747,571 km
181 LD
1952-11-14 Earth 36638.60 53,068,937 km
138 LD
1952-06-17 Earth 48621.78 26,696,770 km
69.5 LD
1945-11-02 Earth 54324.98 46,196,970 km
120 LD
1933-06-11 Earth 65658.28 50,880,588 km
132 LD
1926-11-02 Earth 40620.00 36,942,443 km
96.1 LD
1926-06-18 Earth 35611.52 35,060,646 km
91.2 LD
1907-06-19 Earth 44552.06 23,350,096 km
60.7 LD
1900-11-03 Earth 59529.35 52,666,418 km
137 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:13:42.736481+00:00.