Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2017 ED)

Designation: 2017 ED · NASA id: 3770289

Estimated diameter: 15 – 33 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 5.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

23 kilotonnes – 872 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period672.9 days (1.84 years)
Eccentricity.3315740820104102 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.502821626095772 AU
Inclination4.41158997368505° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.004524924997674 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.001118327193869 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01223 AU = 1,829,567 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude161.7975313198694°
Argument of perihelion2.957483776584796°
Mean anomaly / motion262.5980704392081° / .5349866191591245°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.473 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 18:44:29
Observed2017-03-02 to 2017-03-09 (7 day arc, 72 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 36 total.

next approach: 2027-12-24

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2196-04-26 Earth 43766.93 38,382,356 km
99.9 LD
2196-01-06 Earth 8713.56 57,131,750 km
149 LD
2185-01-28 Earth 42292.17 35,426,968 km
92.2 LD
2172-04-03 Earth 22531.99 10,740,992 km
27.9 LD
2161-05-31 Earth 14862.74 67,605,274 km
176 LD
2161-01-20 Earth 55313.55 53,318,132 km
139 LD
2148-03-30 Earth 21084.31 8,812,338 km
22.9 LD
2137-05-13 Earth 5878.96 57,390,258 km
149 LD
2137-01-26 Earth 44666.40 38,745,176 km
101 LD
2124-04-24 Earth 43222.50 37,449,235 km
97.4 LD
2124-01-06 Earth 7925.46 56,479,785 km
147 LD
2113-02-12 Earth 24333.49 11,381,961 km
29.6 LD
2100-04-28 Earth 48847.34 45,155,087 km
117 LD
2099-12-25 Earth 13160.62 62,451,387 km
162 LD
2089-02-02 Earth 32191.17 21,739,754 km
56.6 LD
2076-04-14 Earth 32779.62 23,438,590 km
61.0 LD
2065-05-26 Earth 13427.43 65,578,947 km
171 LD
2065-01-19 Earth 52889.90 49,923,454 km
130 LD
2052-03-09 Earth 17902.55 2,539,947 km
6.61 LD
2041-05-14 Earth 7766.39 58,980,826 km
153 LD
2041-01-22 Earth 46190.47 40,745,455 km
106 LD
2028-04-25 Earth 48469.28 44,550,899 km
116 LD
2027-12-24 next Earth 13068.40 62,056,215 km
161 LD
2017-03-02 Earth 18060.74 2,056,508 km
5.35 LD
2004-04-26 Earth 51486.03 48,548,045 km
126 LD
2003-12-20 Earth 14960.76 64,984,908 km
169 LD
1993-01-28 Earth 36695.99 27,915,431 km
72.6 LD
1980-03-30 Earth 22702.49 10,318,225 km
26.8 LD
1969-05-30 Earth 16413.47 70,491,353 km
183 LD
1969-01-14 Earth 58406.30 57,536,989 km
150 LD
1956-03-14 Earth 18296.64 3,602,333 km
9.37 LD
1945-01-28 Earth 34804.70 25,430,675 km
66.2 LD
1934-01-10 Earth 66026.29 68,200,309 km
177 LD
1932-05-04 Earth 66907.59 70,261,781 km
183 LD
1921-04-14 Earth 34880.95 25,945,047 km
67.5 LD
1910-02-16 Earth 20435.41 6,291,116 km
16.4 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:13:11.050893+00:00.