Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2017 HE49)

Designation: 2017 HE49 · NASA id: 3774363

Estimated diameter: 48 – 108 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.7) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 32.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

415 kilotonnes – 15.5 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period468.2 days (1.28 years)
Eccentricity.1276467114694371 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.1800098776756 AU
Inclination8.017248480557624° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.029385497288857 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.330634258062343 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.08326 AU = 12,455,668 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude221.7998420259179°
Argument of perihelion115.0587139323219°
Mean anomaly / motion137.2770573023482° / .768910178242676°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.345 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 19:03:16
Observed2017-04-27 to 2017-05-21 (24 day arc, 17 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 39 total.

next approach: 2031-02-17

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2176-10-13 Earth 21120.10 14,905,196 km
38.8 LD
2126-10-13 Earth 22493.75 16,987,783 km
44.2 LD
2117-10-14 Earth 36787.28 38,981,102 km
101 LD
2108-10-19 Earth 54757.31 65,888,960 km
171 LD
2094-07-09 Earth 24482.70 31,024,077 km
80.7 LD
2085-10-16 Earth 16731.72 12,816,042 km
33.3 LD
2076-10-11 Earth 24040.41 19,298,493 km
50.2 LD
2067-10-14 Earth 38962.17 42,248,396 km
110 LD
2058-10-18 Earth 57001.82 69,240,717 km
180 LD
2053-07-03 Earth 40084.19 50,387,105 km
131 LD
2044-07-07 Earth 23001.45 29,057,487 km
75.6 LD
2040-03-04 Earth 22418.73 55,001,637 km
143 LD
2035-10-15 Earth 17156.23 12,571,604 km
32.7 LD
2035-06-26 Earth 14839.59 21,231,062 km
55.2 LD
2031-02-17 next Earth 21955.05 55,991,243 km
146 LD
2026-10-11 Earth 25273.82 21,280,369 km
55.4 LD
2026-06-01 Earth 15909.41 25,541,099 km
66.4 LD
2022-01-29 Earth 20820.72 54,596,626 km
142 LD
2017-10-13 Earth 40582.39 44,847,377 km
117 LD
2017-05-05 Earth 19111.87 35,903,067 km
93.4 LD
2013-01-05 Earth 18940.77 49,386,908 km
128 LD
2012-06-25 Earth 56960.60 73,548,697 km
191 LD
2008-10-18 Earth 58704.13 71,773,985 km
187 LD
2008-04-10 Earth 21407.70 45,493,580 km
118 LD
2003-12-06 Earth 16877.50 38,803,683 km
101 LD
2003-07-03 Earth 38438.66 48,109,409 km
125 LD
1999-03-21 Earth 22386.12 51,983,535 km
135 LD
1994-11-01 Earth 15472.33 22,771,314 km
59.2 LD
1994-07-07 Earth 21848.42 27,590,703 km
71.8 LD
1990-03-03 Earth 22395.46 55,227,580 km
144 LD
1985-10-14 Earth 17481.73 12,557,679 km
32.7 LD
1976-10-11 Earth 26169.39 22,751,632 km
59.2 LD
1967-10-14 Earth 41802.03 46,565,118 km
121 LD
1962-06-25 Earth 55913.17 71,803,332 km
187 LD
1958-10-19 Earth 59927.39 73,483,108 km
191 LD
1953-07-02 Earth 37551.06 46,665,377 km
121 LD
1944-07-05 Earth 21377.67 26,710,902 km
69.5 LD
1935-10-14 Earth 17683.82 12,665,222 km
32.9 LD
1926-10-11 Earth 26720.76 23,620,117 km
61.4 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:42:16.708604+00:00.