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Designation: 2017 QY2 · NASA id: 3780786
Estimated diameter: 149 – 333 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
61.0 megatonnes – 2,274 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 421.0 days (1.15 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3076515784200438 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.099394638677835 AU |
| Inclination | 24.60701853068852° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7611641427820655 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.437625134573605 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.24170 AU = 36,158,254 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 214.754229370457° |
| Argument of perihelion | 348.0779008178174° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 141.0562979138342° / .8550148383865002°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.528 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-10-23 06:24:16 |
| Observed | 2016-10-10 to 2024-10-22 (2934 day arc, 74 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 149 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 129 of them were approaches to Earth, 12 of them were approaches to Venus and 8 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.761 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.438 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 421.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.2417 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-05-15
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2197-09-07 | Earth | 41076.74 | 71,548,081 km 186 LD |
| 2197-05-21 | Earth | 61697.59 | 40,649,366 km 106 LD |
| 2196-11-02 | Earth | 50362.17 | 63,848,591 km 166 LD |
| 2195-12-26 | Earth | 59180.67 | 68,966,135 km 179 LD |
| 2189-10-08 | Earth | 49211.38 | 70,013,872 km 182 LD |
| 2189-04-03 | Earth | 61507.50 | 42,107,319 km 110 LD |
| 2188-11-25 | Earth | 48088.18 | 58,234,044 km 151 LD |
| 2182-08-22 | Earth | 33547.15 | 71,114,991 km 185 LD |
| 2182-05-29 | Earth | 61748.84 | 44,350,734 km 115 LD |
| 2181-10-30 | Earth | 50519.68 | 64,951,874 km 169 LD |
| 2180-12-24 | Earth | 53050.88 | 64,632,644 km 168 LD |
| 2174-10-05 | Earth | 48581.94 | 70,568,082 km 184 LD |
| 2174-04-10 | Earth | 61698.12 | 39,364,446 km 102 LD |
| 2173-11-21 | Earth | 48511.43 | 58,793,014 km 153 LD |
| 2167-06-05 | Earth | 61877.96 | 47,539,019 km 124 LD |
| 2167-05-21 | Venus | 65257.08 | 21,656,009 km 56.3 LD |
| 2166-10-28 | Earth | 50590.04 | 65,782,637 km 171 LD |
| 2165-12-22 | Earth | 50047.80 | 62,297,634 km 162 LD |
| 2165-09-03 | Mars | 42309.96 | 9,620,548 km 25.0 LD |
| 2159-10-03 | Earth | 48143.18 | 70,927,350 km 185 LD |
| 2159-04-15 | Earth | 61780.41 | 37,993,572 km 98.8 LD |
| 2158-11-19 | Earth | 48864.77 | 59,238,228 km 154 LD |
| 2158-02-27 | Venus | 65110.12 | 21,065,618 km 54.8 LD |
| 2152-06-07 | Earth | 62005.07 | 49,385,140 km 128 LD |
| 2151-10-26 | Earth | 50529.50 | 66,235,728 km 172 LD |
| 2151-02-06 | Earth | 49922.67 | 62,641,507 km 163 LD |
| 2150-12-20 | Earth | 48908.31 | 61,218,733 km 159 LD |
| 2148-12-05 | Venus | 65352.63 | 22,061,835 km 57.4 LD |
| 2144-10-01 | Earth | 47962.39 | 71,116,988 km 185 LD |
| 2144-04-16 | Earth | 61816.80 | 37,504,093 km 97.6 LD |
| 2143-11-19 | Earth | 48920.63 | 59,474,479 km 155 LD |
| 2137-06-08 | Earth | 62033.47 | 49,781,700 km 130 LD |
| 2136-10-25 | Earth | 50618.38 | 66,395,380 km 173 LD |
| 2136-02-08 | Earth | 50621.70 | 62,438,987 km 162 LD |
| 2135-12-20 | Earth | 48771.04 | 61,055,641 km 159 LD |
| 2129-12-11 | Mars | 45390.29 | 10,009,419 km 26.0 LD |
| 2129-10-01 | Earth | 47970.31 | 71,202,528 km 185 LD |
| 2129-04-15 | Earth | 61784.10 | 37,709,318 km 98.1 LD |
| 2128-11-18 | Earth | 48934.22 | 59,389,425 km 154 LD |
| 2122-06-06 | Earth | 61968.65 | 48,638,714 km 127 LD |
| 2121-10-26 | Earth | 50540.14 | 66,183,176 km 172 LD |
| 2120-12-20 | Earth | 49458.62 | 61,649,592 km 160 LD |
| 2114-10-03 | Earth | 48317.73 | 71,060,895 km 185 LD |
| 2114-04-13 | Earth | 61761.31 | 38,535,335 km 100 LD |
| 2113-11-20 | Earth | 48701.29 | 59,074,762 km 154 LD |
| 2107-06-03 | Earth | 61894.12 | 46,812,529 km 122 LD |
| 2106-10-28 | Earth | 50614.13 | 65,815,530 km 171 LD |
| 2105-12-22 | Earth | 50915.16 | 62,745,069 km 163 LD |
| 2099-10-04 | Earth | 48570.13 | 70,916,973 km 184 LD |
| 2099-04-08 | Earth | 61709.72 | 39,615,991 km 103 LD |
| 2098-11-20 | Earth | 48573.94 | 58,718,663 km 153 LD |
| 2092-05-29 | Earth | 61793.59 | 45,060,752 km 117 LD |
| 2091-10-28 | Earth | 50525.27 | 65,383,266 km 170 LD |
| 2090-12-22 | Earth | 52599.56 | 63,966,047 km 166 LD |
| 2084-10-04 | Earth | 48832.73 | 70,747,816 km 184 LD |
| 2084-04-05 | Earth | 61610.70 | 40,599,833 km 106 LD |
| 2083-11-22 | Earth | 48345.53 | 58,464,414 km 152 LD |
| 2079-02-28 | Mars | 45486.55 | 10,525,196 km 27.4 LD |
| 2077-05-27 | Earth | 61784.53 | 44,038,839 km 115 LD |
| 2076-10-28 | Earth | 50581.38 | 65,122,756 km 169 LD |
| 2075-12-23 | Earth | 53901.44 | 64,812,618 km 169 LD |
| 2073-11-24 | Venus | 71204.02 | 22,314,094 km 58.0 LD |
| 2069-10-05 | Earth | 48886.56 | 70,685,016 km 184 LD |
| 2069-04-04 | Earth | 61582.91 | 41,090,073 km 107 LD |
| 2068-11-22 | Earth | 48337.27 | 58,259,811 km 152 LD |
| 2064-09-01 | Venus | 69627.27 | 19,074,879 km 49.6 LD |
| 2062-05-27 | Earth | 61768.79 | 43,937,868 km 114 LD |
| 2061-10-29 | Earth | 50490.74 | 65,046,007 km 169 LD |
| 2060-12-22 | Earth | 53816.89 | 64,676,386 km 168 LD |
| 2055-06-10 | Venus | 69118.63 | 17,990,530 km 46.8 LD |
| 2054-10-04 | Earth | 48795.19 | 70,735,858 km 184 LD |
| 2054-04-06 | Earth | 61608.61 | 40,479,132 km 105 LD |
| 2053-11-21 | Earth | 48408.18 | 58,330,878 km 152 LD |
| 2047-05-31 | Earth | 61848.10 | 45,666,800 km 119 LD |
| 2046-10-27 | Earth | 50593.22 | 65,485,466 km 170 LD |
| 2046-03-19 | Venus | 69567.63 | 18,920,275 km 49.2 LD |
| 2045-12-21 | Earth | 51765.35 | 63,039,366 km 164 LD |
| 2039-10-02 | Earth | 48243.82 | 71,094,490 km 185 LD |
| 2039-04-11 | Earth | 61739.17 | 38,663,735 km 101 LD |
| 2038-11-18 | Earth | 48755.28 | 58,768,476 km 153 LD |
| 2036-12-26 | Venus | 70977.54 | 21,831,523 km 56.8 LD |
| 2032-06-06 | Earth | 62044.70 | 49,402,641 km 129 LD |
| 2031-10-24 | Earth | 50536.33 | 66,306,228 km 172 LD |
| 2031-02-06 | Earth | 50126.67 | 62,319,672 km 162 LD |
| 2030-12-17 | Earth | 49018.39 | 60,582,196 km 158 LD |
| 2028-05-15 next | Mars | 42219.73 | 10,358,440 km 26.9 LD |
| 2024-09-27 | Earth | 47390.95 | 71,510,948 km 186 LD |
| 2024-04-19 | Earth | 61813.38 | 36,709,384 km 95.5 LD |
| 2023-11-15 | Earth | 49269.25 | 59,670,840 km 155 LD |
| 2017-06-16 | Earth | 62671.05 | 55,156,564 km 143 LD |
| 2016-10-20 | Earth | 50418.60 | 67,450,425 km 175 LD |
| 2016-02-25 | Earth | 56602.99 | 57,647,951 km 150 LD |
| 2015-12-11 | Earth | 47499.65 | 58,459,945 km 152 LD |
| 2009-09-21 | Earth | 45933.41 | 71,949,533 km 187 LD |
| 2009-04-29 | Earth | 61753.79 | 35,937,884 km 93.5 LD |
| 2008-11-09 | Earth | 49705.05 | 60,953,364 km 159 LD |
| 2002-06-28 | Earth | 64201.78 | 62,377,918 km 162 LD |
| 2001-10-15 | Earth | 50184.50 | 68,628,622 km 179 LD |
| 2001-03-10 | Earth | 59468.05 | 51,976,467 km 135 LD |
| 2000-12-03 | Earth | 47262.27 | 57,410,008 km 149 LD |
| 1994-09-14 | Earth | 43755.76 | 72,167,304 km 188 LD |
| 1994-05-09 | Earth | 61697.72 | 37,274,076 km 97.0 LD |
| 1993-11-05 | Earth | 50138.90 | 62,453,852 km 162 LD |
| 1992-08-20 | Mars | 42088.59 | 11,541,411 km 30.0 LD |
| 1987-07-10 | Earth | 67227.96 | 70,040,584 km 182 LD |
| 1986-10-11 | Earth | 49684.47 | 69,721,204 km 181 LD |
| 1986-03-22 | Earth | 60829.31 | 46,653,097 km 121 LD |
| 1985-11-28 | Earth | 47648.29 | 57,262,086 km 149 LD |
| 1979-09-04 | Earth | 40393.30 | 72,081,037 km 188 LD |
| 1979-05-19 | Earth | 61685.20 | 40,369,645 km 105 LD |
| 1978-11-01 | Earth | 50440.80 | 63,899,636 km 166 LD |
| 1977-12-22 | Earth | 59330.44 | 68,343,201 km 178 LD |
| 1971-10-06 | Earth | 49063.23 | 70,570,762 km 184 LD |
| 1971-04-01 | Earth | 61437.93 | 42,411,128 km 110 LD |
| 1970-11-23 | Earth | 48222.68 | 57,755,750 km 150 LD |
| 1964-05-26 | Earth | 61796.65 | 43,915,992 km 114 LD |
| 1964-05-15 | Venus | 64484.45 | 18,840,044 km 49.0 LD |
| 1963-10-28 | Earth | 50515.42 | 65,127,391 km 169 LD |
| 1962-12-21 | Earth | 53791.14 | 64,148,688 km 167 LD |
| 1956-11-25 | Mars | 42483.24 | 8,152,398 km 21.2 LD |
| 1956-10-03 | Earth | 48620.34 | 71,097,571 km 185 LD |
| 1956-04-07 | Earth | 61653.59 | 40,018,112 km 104 LD |
| 1955-11-20 | Earth | 48575.13 | 58,273,844 km 152 LD |
| 1955-02-22 | Venus | 64165.58 | 17,060,107 km 44.4 LD |
| 1949-05-31 | Earth | 61893.98 | 46,220,498 km 120 LD |
| 1948-10-26 | Earth | 50576.84 | 65,783,290 km 171 LD |
| 1947-12-20 | Earth | 51254.37 | 62,230,833 km 162 LD |
| 1945-11-30 | Venus | 64166.95 | 17,040,619 km 44.3 LD |
| 1941-10-01 | Earth | 48296.08 | 71,412,904 km 186 LD |
| 1941-04-10 | Earth | 61754.72 | 39,067,629 km 102 LD |
| 1940-11-18 | Earth | 48729.06 | 58,630,674 km 153 LD |
| 1936-09-07 | Venus | 64508.36 | 19,141,051 km 49.8 LD |
| 1934-06-02 | Earth | 61946.60 | 46,870,547 km 122 LD |
| 1933-10-25 | Earth | 50588.57 | 66,053,606 km 172 LD |
| 1932-12-18 | Earth | 50931.51 | 61,859,167 km 161 LD |
| 1926-10-02 | Earth | 48360.98 | 71,492,588 km 186 LD |
| 1926-04-09 | Earth | 61695.13 | 39,284,471 km 102 LD |
| 1925-11-18 | Earth | 48735.63 | 58,550,344 km 152 LD |
| 1921-03-03 | Mars | 46231.86 | 13,489,445 km 35.1 LD |
| 1919-05-31 | Earth | 61875.32 | 45,740,605 km 119 LD |
| 1918-10-26 | Earth | 50578.53 | 65,790,060 km 171 LD |
| 1917-12-19 | Earth | 51922.26 | 62,685,625 km 163 LD |
| 1911-10-03 | Earth | 48648.85 | 71,328,272 km 186 LD |
| 1911-04-06 | Earth | 61631.62 | 40,538,832 km 105 LD |
| 1910-11-20 | Earth | 48489.52 | 58,196,972 km 151 LD |
| 1906-02-12 | Mars | 41826.57 | 14,136,616 km 36.8 LD |
| 1904-05-26 | Earth | 61815.71 | 43,546,818 km 113 LD |
| 1903-10-28 | Earth | 50553.68 | 65,250,523 km 170 LD |
| 1902-12-21 | Earth | 54687.66 | 64,596,635 km 168 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T22:00:34.510169+00:00.