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Designation: 2017 SV14 · NASA id: 3781886
Estimated diameter: 59 – 132 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
2.1 megatonnes – 79.4 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU
| Orbital period | 546.5 days (1.50 years) |
| Eccentricity | .08705533664593544 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.308114282622582 AU |
| Inclination | 19.7255532891905° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.194235953377517 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.421992611867647 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.20448 AU = 30,589,623 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 189.4484349944152° |
| Argument of perihelion | 148.3686192840134° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 187.1142805930989° / .6587726229522004°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.918 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 19:37:17 |
| Observed | 2017-09-24 to 2017-11-26 (63 day arc, 33 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 73 total.
next approach: 2029-10-13
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2186-10-03 | Earth | 36130.35 | 32,621,081 km 84.9 LD |
| 2183-10-02 | Earth | 36183.66 | 31,185,661 km 81.1 LD |
| 2180-09-29 | Earth | 36308.52 | 30,555,764 km 79.5 LD |
| 2177-09-28 | Earth | 36527.89 | 30,703,859 km 79.9 LD |
| 2174-09-26 | Earth | 36820.26 | 31,626,603 km 82.3 LD |
| 2171-09-25 | Earth | 37185.24 | 33,303,570 km 86.6 LD |
| 2168-09-22 | Earth | 37629.41 | 35,652,666 km 92.7 LD |
| 2165-09-20 | Earth | 38205.10 | 38,683,212 km 101 LD |
| 2162-09-19 | Earth | 38852.93 | 42,242,994 km 110 LD |
| 2159-09-17 | Earth | 39566.63 | 46,340,773 km 121 LD |
| 2156-09-13 | Earth | 40269.94 | 50,815,648 km 132 LD |
| 2153-09-11 | Earth | 40921.82 | 55,713,180 km 145 LD |
| 2135-05-05 | Earth | 34580.08 | 61,658,185 km 160 LD |
| 2132-04-30 | Earth | 35463.02 | 60,587,471 km 158 LD |
| 2129-04-26 | Earth | 36235.44 | 59,725,920 km 155 LD |
| 2126-04-23 | Earth | 36868.29 | 59,048,838 km 154 LD |
| 2123-04-20 | Earth | 37372.69 | 58,636,217 km 153 LD |
| 2120-04-15 | Earth | 37756.55 | 58,451,827 km 152 LD |
| 2117-04-12 | Earth | 38114.31 | 58,547,449 km 152 LD |
| 2114-04-09 | Earth | 38440.43 | 58,883,587 km 153 LD |
| 2111-04-06 | Earth | 38670.96 | 59,489,119 km 155 LD |
| 2108-04-02 | Earth | 38795.21 | 60,320,622 km 157 LD |
| 2105-03-30 | Earth | 38872.13 | 61,388,582 km 160 LD |
| 2102-03-27 | Earth | 38919.18 | 62,646,319 km 163 LD |
| 2099-03-22 | Earth | 38907.91 | 64,089,569 km 167 LD |
| 2096-03-18 | Earth | 38746.58 | 65,672,518 km 171 LD |
| 2093-03-15 | Earth | 38485.64 | 67,382,139 km 175 LD |
| 2090-03-11 | Earth | 38156.55 | 69,178,042 km 180 LD |
| 2087-03-08 | Earth | 37731.36 | 71,033,668 km 185 LD |
| 2084-03-03 | Earth | 37119.16 | 72,900,713 km 190 LD |
| 2081-02-27 | Earth | 36289.64 | 74,754,045 km 194 LD |
| 2044-11-09 | Earth | 31796.74 | 70,789,909 km 184 LD |
| 2041-11-01 | Earth | 34112.31 | 66,021,790 km 172 LD |
| 2038-10-26 | Earth | 35407.13 | 61,144,967 km 159 LD |
| 2035-10-21 | Earth | 36071.69 | 56,212,192 km 146 LD |
| 2032-10-16 | Earth | 36340.64 | 51,460,685 km 134 LD |
| 2029-10-13 next | Earth | 36405.68 | 46,898,492 km 122 LD |
| 2026-10-10 | Earth | 36367.73 | 42,766,098 km 111 LD |
| 2023-10-08 | Earth | 36269.83 | 39,071,870 km 102 LD |
| 2020-10-04 | Earth | 36172.59 | 35,992,946 km 93.6 LD |
| 2017-10-02 | Earth | 36148.92 | 33,521,221 km 87.2 LD |
| 2014-10-01 | Earth | 36184.23 | 31,815,069 km 82.8 LD |
| 2011-09-29 | Earth | 36297.51 | 30,859,752 km 80.3 LD |
| 2008-09-26 | Earth | 36471.44 | 30,706,992 km 79.9 LD |
| 2005-09-25 | Earth | 36714.70 | 31,335,058 km 81.5 LD |
| 2002-09-23 | Earth | 37043.53 | 32,709,766 km 85.1 LD |
| 1999-09-22 | Earth | 37502.36 | 34,825,968 km 90.6 LD |
| 1996-09-19 | Earth | 38035.62 | 37,580,533 km 97.8 LD |
| 1993-09-18 | Earth | 38658.45 | 40,968,257 km 107 LD |
| 1990-09-16 | Earth | 39328.68 | 44,820,451 km 117 LD |
| 1987-09-14 | Earth | 40047.48 | 49,188,091 km 128 LD |
| 1984-09-10 | Earth | 40761.50 | 53,891,675 km 140 LD |
| 1981-09-07 | Earth | 41352.15 | 58,938,775 km 153 LD |
| 1978-09-03 | Earth | 41491.43 | 64,144,195 km 167 LD |
| 1972-05-14 | Earth | 31530.94 | 64,086,185 km 167 LD |
| 1969-05-09 | Earth | 33152.60 | 62,762,520 km 163 LD |
| 1966-05-04 | Earth | 34330.90 | 61,501,745 km 160 LD |
| 1963-04-30 | Earth | 35310.79 | 60,409,104 km 157 LD |
| 1960-04-26 | Earth | 36087.66 | 59,477,873 km 155 LD |
| 1957-04-22 | Earth | 36701.13 | 58,790,418 km 153 LD |
| 1954-04-19 | Earth | 37187.67 | 58,318,711 km 152 LD |
| 1951-04-16 | Earth | 37638.47 | 58,120,327 km 151 LD |
| 1948-04-11 | Earth | 38037.11 | 58,154,115 km 151 LD |
| 1945-04-08 | Earth | 38328.97 | 58,472,065 km 152 LD |
| 1942-04-05 | Earth | 38529.66 | 59,044,544 km 154 LD |
| 1939-04-02 | Earth | 38698.56 | 59,875,318 km 156 LD |
| 1936-03-29 | Earth | 38833.48 | 60,918,232 km 158 LD |
| 1933-03-26 | Earth | 38909.81 | 62,180,711 km 162 LD |
| 1930-03-23 | Earth | 38849.72 | 63,625,642 km 166 LD |
| 1927-03-19 | Earth | 38713.76 | 65,240,654 km 170 LD |
| 1924-03-15 | Earth | 38526.46 | 66,967,870 km 174 LD |
| 1921-03-12 | Earth | 38248.24 | 68,784,393 km 179 LD |
| 1918-03-08 | Earth | 37809.18 | 70,667,457 km 184 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:41:44.561921+00:00.