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Designation: 2017 SL16 · NASA id: 3781897
Estimated diameter: 17 – 39 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
20 kilotonnes – 749 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 363.0 days (0.99 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1520459996726819 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9958366689192173 AU |
| Inclination | 8.802956581626262° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .8444236870826813 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.147249650755753 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01807 AU = 2,702,785 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 182.124051490886° |
| Argument of perihelion | 68.46318297893789° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 159.3862184226437° / .9917949737139647°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.080 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-10-16 06:03:17 |
| Observed | 2017-09-24 to 2021-10-05 (1472 day arc, 76 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 103 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 101 of them were approaches to Earth and 2 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.844 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.147 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 363.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0181 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-10-19
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2157-10-05 | Earth | 69262.85 | 68,915,144 km 179 LD |
| 2156-10-03 | Earth | 63558.74 | 60,951,772 km 159 LD |
| 2155-10-01 | Earth | 58071.18 | 53,019,794 km 138 LD |
| 2154-09-29 | Earth | 52543.43 | 45,183,241 km 118 LD |
| 2153-09-27 | Earth | 47306.65 | 37,459,690 km 97.4 LD |
| 2152-09-25 | Earth | 42134.42 | 29,856,143 km 77.7 LD |
| 2151-09-24 | Earth | 37349.60 | 22,562,390 km 58.7 LD |
| 2150-09-22 | Earth | 33032.73 | 15,804,581 km 41.1 LD |
| 2149-09-21 | Earth | 29246.13 | 9,782,519 km 25.4 LD |
| 2148-09-20 | Earth | 26472.10 | 5,149,707 km 13.4 LD |
| 2147-09-21 | Earth | 24887.58 | 3,013,252 km 7.84 LD |
| 2146-09-21 | Earth | 24652.90 | 2,790,171 km 7.26 LD |
| 2145-09-21 | Earth | 25513.02 | 3,686,823 km 9.59 LD |
| 2144-09-21 | Earth | 27697.46 | 7,151,406 km 18.6 LD |
| 2143-09-22 | Earth | 31077.34 | 12,561,849 km 32.7 LD |
| 2142-09-23 | Earth | 35239.76 | 19,082,629 km 49.6 LD |
| 2141-09-25 | Earth | 39805.84 | 26,143,262 km 68.0 LD |
| 2140-09-26 | Earth | 44798.70 | 33,540,386 km 87.3 LD |
| 2139-09-29 | Earth | 50057.61 | 41,146,672 km 107 LD |
| 2138-09-30 | Earth | 55405.61 | 48,914,220 km 127 LD |
| 2137-10-02 | Earth | 60882.30 | 56,733,823 km 148 LD |
| 2136-10-04 | Earth | 66506.83 | 64,565,685 km 168 LD |
| 2135-10-07 | Earth | 72109.81 | 72,424,084 km 188 LD |
| 2089-11-23 | Venus | 21969.68 | 21,714,195 km 56.5 LD |
| 2049-02-05 | Earth | 72989.19 | 73,268,707 km 191 LD |
| 2048-02-08 | Earth | 67304.07 | 65,407,153 km 170 LD |
| 2047-02-11 | Earth | 61584.19 | 57,609,156 km 150 LD |
| 2046-02-13 | Earth | 55969.89 | 49,860,428 km 130 LD |
| 2045-02-15 | Earth | 50520.54 | 42,159,268 km 110 LD |
| 2044-02-19 | Earth | 45219.68 | 34,655,818 km 90.2 LD |
| 2043-02-21 | Earth | 40129.67 | 27,486,109 km 71.5 LD |
| 2042-02-24 | Earth | 35478.92 | 20,841,312 km 54.2 LD |
| 2041-02-27 | Earth | 31361.72 | 14,981,611 km 39.0 LD |
| 2040-03-02 | Earth | 27814.56 | 10,451,864 km 27.2 LD |
| 2039-03-06 | Earth | 25043.16 | 8,263,802 km 21.5 LD |
| 2038-03-10 | Earth | 22950.01 | 8,740,448 km 22.7 LD |
| 2037-03-14 | Earth | 21357.28 | 11,206,483 km 29.2 LD |
| 2036-03-21 | Earth | 20422.53 | 14,764,850 km 38.4 LD |
| 2035-03-31 | Earth | 20288.48 | 18,612,550 km 48.4 LD |
| 2034-04-11 | Earth | 20675.33 | 22,314,424 km 58.1 LD |
| 2033-04-22 | Earth | 21160.02 | 25,628,165 km 66.7 LD |
| 2033-01-04 | Earth | 14886.04 | 32,467,848 km 84.5 LD |
| 2032-05-04 | Earth | 21455.41 | 28,413,143 km 73.9 LD |
| 2031-12-19 | Earth | 16351.05 | 33,582,934 km 87.4 LD |
| 2031-05-16 | Earth | 21418.82 | 30,551,592 km 79.5 LD |
| 2030-12-05 | Earth | 17343.44 | 33,602,952 km 87.4 LD |
| 2030-05-27 | Earth | 21001.85 | 32,010,435 km 83.3 LD |
| 2029-11-23 | Earth | 18024.32 | 32,730,398 km 85.1 LD |
| 2029-06-08 | Earth | 20183.56 | 32,755,733 km 85.2 LD |
| 2028-11-11 | Earth | 18443.27 | 31,035,785 km 80.7 LD |
| 2028-06-21 | Earth | 18943.99 | 32,710,327 km 85.1 LD |
| 2028-05-11 | Venus | 22348.23 | 22,136,113 km 57.6 LD |
| 2027-10-31 | Earth | 18525.21 | 28,496,629 km 74.1 LD |
| 2027-07-07 | Earth | 17279.92 | 31,698,484 km 82.5 LD |
| 2026-10-19 next | Earth | 18304.22 | 25,200,605 km 65.6 LD |
| 2026-07-28 | Earth | 15283.59 | 29,382,304 km 76.4 LD |
| 2025-10-07 | Earth | 18004.83 | 21,187,667 km 55.1 LD |
| 2024-09-28 | Earth | 18152.43 | 16,651,546 km 43.3 LD |
| 2023-09-23 | Earth | 19086.27 | 12,009,549 km 31.2 LD |
| 2022-09-21 | Earth | 20538.85 | 7,919,074 km 20.6 LD |
| 2021-09-20 | Earth | 22018.34 | 4,893,362 km 12.7 LD |
| 2020-09-20 | Earth | 23030.23 | 3,398,629 km 8.84 LD |
| 2019-09-21 | Earth | 23297.05 | 3,031,711 km 7.89 LD |
| 2018-09-20 | Earth | 23115.25 | 3,262,337 km 8.49 LD |
| 2017-09-20 | Earth | 22171.14 | 4,580,421 km 11.9 LD |
| 2016-09-21 | Earth | 20594.42 | 7,559,718 km 19.7 LD |
| 2015-09-23 | Earth | 19013.90 | 11,657,139 km 30.3 LD |
| 2014-09-27 | Earth | 17882.71 | 16,414,752 km 42.7 LD |
| 2013-10-07 | Earth | 17698.81 | 21,218,003 km 55.2 LD |
| 2012-10-19 | Earth | 18044.35 | 25,474,155 km 66.3 LD |
| 2012-07-29 | Earth | 15590.96 | 28,667,596 km 74.6 LD |
| 2011-10-31 | Earth | 18345.28 | 28,893,457 km 75.2 LD |
| 2011-07-09 | Earth | 17404.93 | 30,959,404 km 80.5 LD |
| 2010-11-11 | Earth | 18452.11 | 31,564,875 km 82.1 LD |
| 2010-06-24 | Earth | 18835.03 | 31,975,832 km 83.2 LD |
| 2009-11-22 | Earth | 18325.38 | 33,479,886 km 87.1 LD |
| 2009-06-11 | Earth | 19835.36 | 32,020,763 km 83.3 LD |
| 2008-12-04 | Earth | 17962.63 | 34,625,057 km 90.1 LD |
| 2008-05-29 | Earth | 20389.87 | 31,219,507 km 81.2 LD |
| 2007-12-16 | Earth | 17361.03 | 34,977,617 km 91.0 LD |
| 2007-05-17 | Earth | 20555.99 | 29,611,575 km 77.0 LD |
| 2006-12-29 | Earth | 16497.74 | 34,471,650 km 89.7 LD |
| 2006-05-05 | Earth | 20403.11 | 27,213,650 km 70.8 LD |
| 2006-01-13 | Earth | 15377.82 | 32,930,165 km 85.7 LD |
| 2005-04-21 | Earth | 19936.77 | 24,053,032 km 62.6 LD |
| 2004-04-08 | Earth | 19375.56 | 20,222,369 km 52.6 LD |
| 2003-03-29 | Earth | 19287.49 | 15,878,395 km 41.3 LD |
| 2002-03-21 | Earth | 20208.75 | 11,578,092 km 30.1 LD |
| 2001-03-16 | Earth | 21873.42 | 8,053,872 km 21.0 LD |
| 2000-03-13 | Earth | 23667.86 | 6,153,424 km 16.0 LD |
| 1999-03-11 | Earth | 25885.62 | 6,611,189 km 17.2 LD |
| 1998-03-08 | Earth | 28785.35 | 9,967,762 km 25.9 LD |
| 1997-03-05 | Earth | 32634.43 | 15,374,630 km 40.0 LD |
| 1996-03-02 | Earth | 37013.56 | 21,867,075 km 56.9 LD |
| 1995-02-28 | Earth | 41970.60 | 29,033,979 km 75.5 LD |
| 1994-02-25 | Earth | 47189.66 | 36,588,360 km 95.2 LD |
| 1993-02-23 | Earth | 52669.52 | 44,345,260 km 115 LD |
| 1992-02-21 | Earth | 58378.00 | 52,354,991 km 136 LD |
| 1991-02-18 | Earth | 64165.63 | 60,463,123 km 157 LD |
| 1990-02-15 | Earth | 70079.80 | 68,598,161 km 178 LD |
| 1902-10-07 | Earth | 71972.74 | 71,800,962 km 187 LD |
| 1901-10-04 | Earth | 66170.55 | 63,780,461 km 166 LD |
| 1900-10-02 | Earth | 60596.44 | 55,818,325 km 145 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T09:52:37.266532+00:00.