Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2017 ST20)

Designation: 2017 ST20 · NASA id: 3782011

Estimated diameter: 79 – 177 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.63) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 87.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

3.3 megatonnes – 123.0 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period549.3 days (1.50 years)
Eccentricity.171688936987929 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.312679381066898 AU
Inclination15.42019420027231° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.08730685352555 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.538051908608247 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.22509 AU = 33,672,536 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude188.6365507263008°
Argument of perihelion268.5504303936551°
Mean anomaly / motion86.78775410904038° / .6553390971458375°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.918 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-10-17 07:41:12
Observed2014-09-23 to 2023-10-16 (3310 day arc, 121 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 82 total.

next approach: 2026-10-18

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2199-09-02 Earth 30175.32 72,292,422 km
188 LD
2196-09-08 Earth 30391.59 68,072,914 km
177 LD
2193-09-14 Earth 30501.05 63,620,945 km
166 LD
2190-09-20 Earth 30498.80 59,070,325 km
154 LD
2187-09-26 Earth 30390.66 54,482,427 km
142 LD
2184-09-30 Earth 30193.43 49,973,352 km
130 LD
2181-10-05 Earth 29942.27 45,746,063 km
119 LD
2178-10-10 Earth 29678.38 41,918,159 km
109 LD
2175-10-15 Earth 29455.42 38,732,963 km
101 LD
2172-10-18 Earth 29316.32 36,244,306 km
94.3 LD
2169-10-22 Earth 29297.52 34,709,527 km
90.3 LD
2167-02-11 Earth 33317.36 49,996,118 km
130 LD
2166-10-26 Earth 29431.72 34,078,919 km
88.7 LD
2164-02-16 Earth 32625.71 45,897,031 km
119 LD
2163-10-30 Earth 29726.98 34,410,442 km
89.5 LD
2161-02-19 Earth 31733.71 42,357,414 km
110 LD
2160-11-01 Earth 30220.09 35,562,330 km
92.5 LD
2158-02-22 Earth 30956.32 39,490,870 km
103 LD
2157-11-04 Earth 30884.35 37,517,614 km
97.6 LD
2155-02-26 Earth 30307.10 37,250,970 km
96.9 LD
2154-11-08 Earth 31757.61 40,154,281 km
104 LD
2152-02-29 Earth 29843.00 35,718,608 km
92.9 LD
2151-11-11 Earth 32774.43 43,423,915 km
113 LD
2149-03-04 Earth 29520.59 34,977,355 km
91.0 LD
2148-11-14 Earth 33977.41 47,377,884 km
123 LD
2146-03-08 Earth 29378.59 35,060,850 km
91.2 LD
2145-11-19 Earth 35020.41 51,916,478 km
135 LD
2143-03-12 Earth 29379.73 36,062,012 km
93.8 LD
2140-03-15 Earth 29506.89 37,881,531 km
98.5 LD
2137-03-19 Earth 29735.26 40,565,877 km
106 LD
2134-03-24 Earth 30013.23 43,851,215 km
114 LD
2131-03-29 Earth 30313.22 47,677,290 km
124 LD
2128-04-02 Earth 30570.68 51,803,185 km
135 LD
2125-04-08 Earth 30773.96 56,144,363 km
146 LD
2122-04-13 Earth 30875.69 60,511,015 km
157 LD
2119-04-19 Earth 30880.89 64,858,418 km
169 LD
2116-04-24 Earth 30757.15 69,056,214 km
180 LD
2113-04-30 Earth 30546.59 73,052,887 km
190 LD
2056-08-29 Earth 29912.88 73,832,148 km
192 LD
2053-09-04 Earth 30195.81 69,848,117 km
182 LD
2050-09-10 Earth 30384.69 65,665,973 km
171 LD
2047-09-16 Earth 30450.60 61,285,524 km
159 LD
2044-09-20 Earth 30412.77 56,853,153 km
148 LD
2041-09-26 Earth 30261.61 52,377,137 km
136 LD
2038-10-01 Earth 30047.61 48,093,522 km
125 LD
2035-10-06 Earth 29791.53 44,072,320 km
115 LD
2032-10-10 Earth 29550.37 40,524,494 km
105 LD
2029-10-14 Earth 29359.93 37,525,325 km
97.6 LD
2026-10-18 next Earth 29273.39 35,370,562 km
92.0 LD
2023-10-22 Earth 29322.45 34,047,603 km
88.6 LD
2021-02-08 Earth 32569.61 49,197,508 km
128 LD
2020-10-25 Earth 29521.26 33,666,464 km
87.6 LD
2018-02-14 Earth 31990.58 45,327,519 km
118 LD
2017-10-28 Earth 29906.04 34,157,498 km
88.9 LD
2015-02-18 Earth 31283.38 42,064,644 km
109 LD
2014-10-31 Earth 30454.14 35,493,540 km
92.3 LD
2012-02-21 Earth 30608.74 39,395,273 km
102 LD
2011-11-04 Earth 31207.47 37,597,063 km
97.8 LD
2009-02-24 Earth 30086.39 37,316,149 km
97.1 LD
2008-11-06 Earth 32145.35 40,357,769 km
105 LD
2006-02-28 Earth 29681.67 35,968,484 km
93.6 LD
2005-11-09 Earth 33315.30 43,859,966 km
114 LD
2003-03-03 Earth 29439.12 35,348,797 km
92.0 LD
2002-11-13 Earth 34620.08 47,953,032 km
125 LD
2000-03-06 Earth 29343.54 35,609,486 km
92.6 LD
1999-11-17 Earth 35903.30 52,768,499 km
137 LD
1997-03-10 Earth 29390.07 36,693,125 km
95.5 LD
1994-03-14 Earth 29556.35 38,694,450 km
101 LD
1991-03-19 Earth 29811.31 41,431,119 km
108 LD
1988-03-23 Earth 30108.47 44,815,855 km
117 LD
1985-03-28 Earth 30407.35 48,659,288 km
127 LD
1982-04-02 Earth 30671.43 52,806,866 km
137 LD
1979-04-07 Earth 30864.80 57,116,040 km
149 LD
1976-04-12 Earth 30969.49 61,478,461 km
160 LD
1973-04-18 Earth 30969.36 65,806,859 km
171 LD
1970-04-24 Earth 30865.53 69,944,392 km
182 LD
1967-04-30 Earth 30659.61 73,891,134 km
192 LD
1913-08-29 Earth 29820.92 73,553,314 km
191 LD
1910-09-04 Earth 30117.73 69,133,456 km
180 LD
1907-09-11 Earth 30285.33 64,489,795 km
168 LD
1904-09-16 Earth 30309.44 59,599,914 km
155 LD
1901-09-22 Earth 30215.91 54,672,271 km
142 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T14:41:28.986673+00:00.