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Designation: 2017 TF2 · NASA id: 3785689
Estimated diameter: 232 – 518 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
225.7 megatonnes – 8,413 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 221.2 days (0.61 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3747342507520511 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .7157878902764837 AU |
| Inclination | 13.85871317857837° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .4475576515163343 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | .9840181290366331 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.09144 AU = 13,679,723 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 326.9640155695142° |
| Argument of perihelion | 217.6678926178425° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 350.4530048203274° / 1.62752457074401°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 7.937 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 19:53:04 |
| Observed | 2017-10-09 to 2020-10-13 (1100 day arc, 68 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 185 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 149 of them were approaches to Earth and 36 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.448 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 0.984 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 221.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0914 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-01-19
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-09-07 | Earth | 31830.59 | 15,692,472 km 40.8 LD |
| 2195-09-25 | Earth | 31529.57 | 30,317,276 km 78.9 LD |
| 2192-10-08 | Earth | 47783.09 | 45,935,379 km 119 LD |
| 2189-10-07 | Earth | 66527.24 | 64,579,969 km 168 LD |
| 2189-06-12 | Earth | 41840.11 | 71,724,926 km 187 LD |
| 2188-02-10 | Earth | 71428.48 | 74,289,922 km 193 LD |
| 2185-01-24 | Earth | 60225.00 | 69,028,171 km 180 LD |
| 2184-09-17 | Earth | 76266.73 | 59,757,566 km 155 LD |
| 2182-01-05 | Earth | 45159.19 | 62,324,981 km 162 LD |
| 2181-09-11 | Earth | 58960.10 | 37,994,251 km 98.8 LD |
| 2178-09-07 | Earth | 42830.13 | 18,755,774 km 48.8 LD |
| 2178-01-03 | Venus | 45579.86 | 14,856,106 km 38.6 LD |
| 2177-05-22 | Venus | 52843.12 | 7,195,354 km 18.7 LD |
| 2176-10-10 | Venus | 62452.43 | 8,903,890 km 23.2 LD |
| 2176-03-01 | Venus | 73331.98 | 17,840,957 km 46.4 LD |
| 2175-09-08 | Earth | 30632.01 | 17,213,444 km 44.8 LD |
| 2172-09-28 | Earth | 32835.30 | 32,000,826 km 83.2 LD |
| 2169-10-09 | Earth | 49915.37 | 47,915,926 km 125 LD |
| 2169-07-08 | Earth | 24773.88 | 61,404,994 km 160 LD |
| 2166-10-06 | Earth | 69053.61 | 67,347,498 km 175 LD |
| 2166-06-09 | Earth | 44348.89 | 72,947,198 km 190 LD |
| 2165-02-07 | Earth | 69800.07 | 73,528,847 km 191 LD |
| 2162-01-21 | Earth | 57737.23 | 67,885,354 km 177 LD |
| 2161-09-16 | Earth | 72920.53 | 55,560,997 km 145 LD |
| 2159-01-01 | Earth | 41196.66 | 60,601,759 km 158 LD |
| 2158-09-10 | Earth | 55191.41 | 33,337,533 km 86.7 LD |
| 2155-09-07 | Earth | 39492.01 | 15,696,950 km 40.8 LD |
| 2152-09-09 | Earth | 29487.81 | 19,944,786 km 51.9 LD |
| 2149-10-02 | Earth | 35694.27 | 34,924,112 km 90.9 LD |
| 2146-10-09 | Earth | 53857.64 | 51,679,332 km 134 LD |
| 2146-06-30 | Earth | 29189.89 | 64,444,387 km 168 LD |
| 2143-10-05 | Earth | 72819.00 | 71,322,493 km 186 LD |
| 2143-06-05 | Earth | 47554.75 | 74,505,442 km 194 LD |
| 2142-02-04 | Earth | 67987.85 | 72,625,211 km 189 LD |
| 2141-09-21 | Earth | 88017.01 | 74,253,381 km 193 LD |
| 2140-06-27 | Venus | 42879.79 | 21,602,710 km 56.2 LD |
| 2139-11-12 | Venus | 46697.35 | 13,222,263 km 34.4 LD |
| 2139-03-31 | Venus | 54326.80 | 6,617,289 km 17.2 LD |
| 2139-01-18 | Earth | 55261.98 | 66,744,919 km 174 LD |
| 2138-09-15 | Earth | 69724.70 | 51,551,112 km 134 LD |
| 2138-08-20 | Venus | 63960.40 | 10,144,476 km 26.4 LD |
| 2138-01-09 | Venus | 74746.22 | 19,156,376 km 49.8 LD |
| 2135-12-28 | Earth | 37759.42 | 59,271,043 km 154 LD |
| 2135-09-10 | Earth | 52621.74 | 30,032,636 km 78.1 LD |
| 2132-09-05 | Earth | 37561.46 | 14,445,040 km 37.6 LD |
| 2129-09-11 | Earth | 29182.21 | 22,222,245 km 57.8 LD |
| 2126-10-05 | Earth | 38685.04 | 37,675,768 km 98.0 LD |
| 2123-10-08 | Earth | 57730.37 | 55,505,190 km 144 LD |
| 2123-06-24 | Earth | 33223.91 | 67,043,311 km 174 LD |
| 2119-01-31 | Earth | 65393.27 | 71,404,738 km 186 LD |
| 2118-09-20 | Earth | 83847.48 | 69,062,258 km 180 LD |
| 2116-01-14 | Earth | 52011.49 | 65,365,812 km 170 LD |
| 2115-09-14 | Earth | 66038.95 | 46,955,728 km 122 LD |
| 2112-12-22 | Earth | 33083.90 | 57,498,115 km 150 LD |
| 2112-09-08 | Earth | 49348.38 | 26,104,238 km 67.9 LD |
| 2109-09-05 | Earth | 35096.88 | 13,789,299 km 35.9 LD |
| 2106-09-16 | Earth | 29406.21 | 25,240,256 km 65.7 LD |
| 2103-10-07 | Earth | 41711.52 | 40,402,899 km 105 LD |
| 2102-05-05 | Venus | 43432.51 | 19,626,081 km 51.1 LD |
| 2101-09-20 | Venus | 48318.26 | 11,249,468 km 29.3 LD |
| 2101-02-07 | Venus | 56621.22 | 6,468,238 km 16.8 LD |
| 2100-10-07 | Earth | 61011.22 | 58,811,803 km 153 LD |
| 2100-06-29 | Venus | 66688.12 | 12,411,904 km 32.3 LD |
| 2100-06-18 | Earth | 36638.26 | 68,984,522 km 179 LD |
| 2099-11-18 | Venus | 77683.35 | 21,773,954 km 56.6 LD |
| 2096-01-28 | Earth | 63853.27 | 70,722,473 km 184 LD |
| 2095-09-18 | Earth | 81427.18 | 66,178,172 km 172 LD |
| 2093-01-10 | Earth | 50123.12 | 64,516,768 km 168 LD |
| 2092-09-11 | Earth | 63858.83 | 44,174,431 km 115 LD |
| 2089-12-16 | Earth | 28879.55 | 56,063,474 km 146 LD |
| 2089-09-06 | Earth | 47071.14 | 23,256,294 km 60.5 LD |
| 2086-09-05 | Earth | 33196.64 | 14,311,314 km 37.2 LD |
| 2083-09-20 | Earth | 30501.67 | 28,173,332 km 73.3 LD |
| 2080-10-06 | Earth | 45655.23 | 43,877,388 km 114 LD |
| 2077-10-05 | Earth | 64538.57 | 62,534,597 km 163 LD |
| 2077-06-13 | Earth | 40044.19 | 70,866,978 km 184 LD |
| 2076-02-10 | Earth | 72334.00 | 74,733,762 km 194 LD |
| 2073-01-24 | Earth | 61639.75 | 69,667,157 km 181 LD |
| 2072-09-16 | Earth | 78191.60 | 62,088,959 km 162 LD |
| 2070-01-06 | Earth | 46775.70 | 63,113,918 km 164 LD |
| 2069-09-10 | Earth | 60476.83 | 39,921,640 km 104 LD |
| 2066-12-07 | Earth | 19348.35 | 54,071,240 km 141 LD |
| 2066-09-06 | Earth | 44214.35 | 20,081,647 km 52.2 LD |
| 2064-03-12 | Venus | 44041.02 | 18,063,542 km 47.0 LD |
| 2063-09-06 | Earth | 31572.28 | 15,694,591 km 40.8 LD |
| 2063-07-29 | Venus | 49776.41 | 9,808,717 km 25.5 LD |
| 2062-12-17 | Venus | 58575.92 | 7,069,144 km 18.4 LD |
| 2062-05-08 | Venus | 69014.06 | 14,412,167 km 37.5 LD |
| 2060-09-24 | Earth | 32057.97 | 30,543,241 km 79.5 LD |
| 2057-10-07 | Earth | 48098.60 | 46,166,070 km 120 LD |
| 2054-10-05 | Earth | 67084.85 | 65,195,440 km 170 LD |
| 2054-06-10 | Earth | 42376.84 | 72,112,997 km 188 LD |
| 2053-02-07 | Earth | 70988.83 | 74,056,126 km 193 LD |
| 2050-01-21 | Earth | 59291.10 | 68,647,890 km 179 LD |
| 2049-09-15 | Earth | 74935.09 | 58,129,140 km 151 LD |
| 2047-01-02 | Earth | 43309.96 | 61,634,665 km 160 LD |
| 2046-09-10 | Earth | 57183.42 | 35,727,965 km 92.9 LD |
| 2043-09-05 | Earth | 41072.10 | 16,785,087 km 43.7 LD |
| 2040-09-06 | Earth | 30122.37 | 18,203,424 km 47.4 LD |
| 2037-09-28 | Earth | 34294.66 | 33,258,223 km 86.5 LD |
| 2034-10-07 | Earth | 51687.95 | 49,505,206 km 129 LD |
| 2034-07-03 | Earth | 26512.33 | 62,904,050 km 164 LD |
| 2031-10-04 | Earth | 70710.94 | 69,116,820 km 180 LD |
| 2031-06-06 | Earth | 45790.67 | 73,736,606 km 192 LD |
| 2030-02-04 | Earth | 69096.60 | 73,171,194 km 190 LD |
| 2027-01-19 next | Earth | 57135.22 | 67,637,662 km 176 LD |
| 2026-09-15 | Earth | 72108.84 | 54,500,564 km 142 LD |
| 2026-01-19 | Venus | 44824.62 | 16,416,147 km 42.7 LD |
| 2025-06-07 | Venus | 51184.61 | 8,641,981 km 22.5 LD |
| 2024-10-26 | Venus | 60207.41 | 7,958,912 km 20.7 LD |
| 2024-03-16 | Venus | 70659.66 | 15,889,117 km 41.3 LD |
| 2023-12-29 | Earth | 40004.26 | 60,277,125 km 157 LD |
| 2023-09-09 | Earth | 54335.58 | 32,175,456 km 83.7 LD |
| 2020-09-04 | Earth | 39064.39 | 15,128,174 km 39.4 LD |
| 2017-09-08 | Earth | 29513.21 | 19,956,727 km 51.9 LD |
| 2014-10-01 | Earth | 36357.33 | 35,306,230 km 91.8 LD |
| 2011-10-07 | Earth | 54767.39 | 52,563,602 km 137 LD |
| 2011-06-27 | Earth | 29994.77 | 65,244,086 km 170 LD |
| 2008-10-02 | Earth | 74125.68 | 72,768,419 km 189 LD |
| 2007-02-01 | Earth | 67148.53 | 72,202,412 km 188 LD |
| 2006-09-19 | Earth | 86517.60 | 72,370,498 km 188 LD |
| 2004-01-15 | Earth | 54228.39 | 66,393,168 km 173 LD |
| 2003-09-13 | Earth | 68522.79 | 50,100,858 km 130 LD |
| 2000-12-24 | Earth | 36329.82 | 58,887,182 km 153 LD |
| 2000-09-07 | Earth | 51683.51 | 28,846,673 km 75.0 LD |
| 1997-09-04 | Earth | 37076.44 | 13,913,414 km 36.2 LD |
| 1994-09-11 | Earth | 29309.24 | 22,368,546 km 58.2 LD |
| 1991-10-03 | Earth | 38808.54 | 37,536,246 km 97.6 LD |
| 1988-10-06 | Earth | 57184.95 | 54,923,602 km 143 LD |
| 1988-07-13 | Venus | 43192.98 | 20,944,267 km 54.5 LD |
| 1988-06-22 | Earth | 32475.36 | 66,769,887 km 174 LD |
| 1987-11-28 | Venus | 47269.14 | 12,695,189 km 33.0 LD |
| 1987-04-17 | Venus | 55079.19 | 6,889,873 km 17.9 LD |
| 1986-09-05 | Venus | 64882.35 | 11,268,375 km 29.3 LD |
| 1986-01-25 | Venus | 75770.20 | 20,343,721 km 52.9 LD |
| 1984-01-31 | Earth | 65945.39 | 71,698,577 km 187 LD |
| 1983-09-19 | Earth | 84650.78 | 70,125,447 km 182 LD |
| 1981-01-13 | Earth | 53059.50 | 65,895,868 km 171 LD |
| 1980-09-12 | Earth | 67197.10 | 48,315,061 km 126 LD |
| 1977-12-22 | Earth | 34361.15 | 58,132,947 km 151 LD |
| 1977-09-07 | Earth | 50243.27 | 27,067,392 km 70.4 LD |
| 1974-09-04 | Earth | 35577.72 | 13,462,283 km 35.0 LD |
| 1971-09-14 | Earth | 29534.41 | 24,497,172 km 63.7 LD |
| 1968-10-04 | Earth | 41516.21 | 40,040,604 km 104 LD |
| 1965-10-05 | Earth | 60263.07 | 58,118,016 km 151 LD |
| 1965-06-18 | Earth | 35812.53 | 68,689,033 km 179 LD |
| 1961-01-28 | Earth | 64472.65 | 70,975,696 km 185 LD |
| 1960-09-17 | Earth | 82281.53 | 67,196,837 km 175 LD |
| 1958-01-10 | Earth | 50906.05 | 64,964,131 km 169 LD |
| 1957-09-11 | Earth | 64706.44 | 45,274,595 km 118 LD |
| 1954-12-18 | Earth | 30513.85 | 56,862,674 km 148 LD |
| 1954-09-07 | Earth | 48131.42 | 24,450,201 km 63.6 LD |
| 1951-09-05 | Earth | 34358.47 | 13,532,359 km 35.2 LD |
| 1950-05-21 | Venus | 44421.49 | 17,463,903 km 45.4 LD |
| 1949-10-06 | Venus | 50422.06 | 9,428,383 km 24.5 LD |
| 1949-02-24 | Venus | 59434.89 | 7,805,630 km 20.3 LD |
| 1948-09-16 | Earth | 29981.86 | 26,234,173 km 68.2 LD |
| 1948-07-15 | Venus | 70014.35 | 15,527,039 km 40.4 LD |
| 1945-10-05 | Earth | 43140.12 | 41,412,386 km 108 LD |
| 1942-10-05 | Earth | 61602.30 | 59,406,474 km 155 LD |
| 1942-06-16 | Earth | 36950.63 | 69,409,411 km 181 LD |
| 1938-01-26 | Earth | 63313.04 | 70,482,398 km 183 LD |
| 1937-09-17 | Earth | 80562.47 | 65,079,732 km 169 LD |
| 1935-01-08 | Earth | 48951.13 | 64,147,484 km 167 LD |
| 1934-09-11 | Earth | 62724.70 | 42,669,480 km 111 LD |
| 1931-12-13 | Earth | 25759.10 | 55,476,656 km 144 LD |
| 1931-09-06 | Earth | 45935.59 | 21,849,113 km 56.8 LD |
| 1928-09-04 | Earth | 32707.89 | 14,259,595 km 37.1 LD |
| 1925-09-19 | Earth | 30903.89 | 28,141,580 km 73.2 LD |
| 1922-10-05 | Earth | 45341.21 | 43,513,393 km 113 LD |
| 1919-10-05 | Earth | 64091.68 | 62,095,591 km 162 LD |
| 1919-06-13 | Earth | 39609.65 | 70,782,282 km 184 LD |
| 1918-02-09 | Earth | 72460.57 | 74,769,209 km 195 LD |
| 1915-01-24 | Earth | 61789.29 | 69,768,877 km 182 LD |
| 1914-09-16 | Earth | 78318.38 | 62,296,749 km 162 LD |
| 1912-11-12 | Venus | 43047.10 | 22,111,197 km 57.5 LD |
| 1912-03-28 | Venus | 46414.20 | 13,965,692 km 36.3 LD |
| 1912-01-06 | Earth | 46930.82 | 63,243,093 km 165 LD |
| 1911-09-10 | Earth | 60525.07 | 39,973,462 km 104 LD |
| 1911-08-16 | Venus | 53737.96 | 7,451,626 km 19.4 LD |
| 1911-01-04 | Venus | 63313.43 | 10,294,638 km 26.8 LD |
| 1910-05-26 | Venus | 74109.22 | 19,055,453 km 49.6 LD |
| 1908-09-05 | Earth | 44185.90 | 19,791,684 km 51.5 LD |
| 1905-09-05 | Earth | 31864.26 | 15,056,351 km 39.2 LD |
| 1902-09-22 | Earth | 31857.22 | 29,709,970 km 77.3 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T07:05:42.206511+00:00.