Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2017 TO2)

Designation: 2017 TO2 · NASA id: 3785695

Estimated diameter: 52 – 115 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.56) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 3.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1.7 megatonnes – 62.0 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period505.3 days (1.38 years)
Eccentricity.4175849963717601 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.241502867848076 AU
Inclination9.055586983530603° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7230698972822073 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.759935838413945 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00602 AU = 900,461 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude211.1366426569758°
Argument of perihelion263.5449637870283°
Mean anomaly / motion263.0428317566725° / .7124960864774571°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.068 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2022-05-01 05:56:51
Observed2017-10-10 to 2022-04-30 (1663 day arc, 98 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 79 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 77 of them were approaches to Earth, 1 of them were approaches to Venus and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.723 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.760 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 505.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0060 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2028-10-03

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-10-03 Earth 88840.85 62,084,247 km
162 LD
2195-04-17 Earth 50545.67 7,928,811 km
20.6 LD
2190-10-29 Earth 38955.39 10,313,952 km
26.8 LD
2184-04-28 Earth 25598.86 56,099,756 km
146 LD
2184-02-07 Earth 38943.41 42,123,041 km
110 LD
2179-10-07 Earth 80209.90 50,021,478 km
130 LD
2177-04-22 Earth 61314.71 23,413,099 km
60.9 LD
2172-11-17 Earth 30390.39 28,646,013 km
74.5 LD
2166-03-10 Earth 30548.11 33,569,404 km
87.3 LD
2161-10-14 Earth 65551.79 28,970,396 km
75.4 LD
2159-04-29 Earth 75932.98 44,336,618 km
115 LD
2154-12-21 Earth 37912.88 39,905,705 km
104 LD
2148-04-06 Earth 34285.88 17,635,025 km
45.9 LD
2143-10-19 Earth 55246.48 14,105,344 km
36.7 LD
2141-05-03 Earth 84258.54 56,200,741 km
146 LD
2136-12-30 Earth 39791.16 41,980,195 km
109 LD
2136-10-08 Earth 25179.15 58,544,009 km
152 LD
2130-04-07 Earth 34461.66 17,380,457 km
45.2 LD
2125-10-17 Earth 58300.54 18,461,882 km
48.0 LD
2123-05-01 Earth 79746.77 49,707,433 km
129 LD
2118-12-17 Earth 37033.73 38,910,416 km
101 LD
2112-03-15 Earth 29305.49 31,740,842 km
82.6 LD
2107-10-12 Earth 70368.49 35,873,514 km
93.3 LD
2105-04-25 Earth 67400.33 32,079,429 km
83.5 LD
2100-11-16 Earth 30535.75 27,973,881 km
72.8 LD
2094-04-18 Earth 22855.04 51,152,074 km
133 LD
2094-02-12 Earth 37247.53 40,664,123 km
106 LD
2089-10-05 Earth 81804.03 52,213,582 km
136 LD
2087-04-19 Earth 56743.76 16,827,076 km
43.8 LD
2082-10-31 Earth 35359.87 16,021,381 km
41.7 LD
2076-04-27 Earth 25991.08 56,515,891 km
147 LD
2076-02-04 Earth 39053.44 42,266,224 km
110 LD
2071-10-04 Earth 83094.42 54,114,998 km
141 LD
2069-04-19 Earth 57326.38 17,677,381 km
46.0 LD
2064-11-04 Earth 32427.99 21,232,159 km
55.2 LD
2058-02-20 Earth 35167.90 38,808,193 km
101 LD
2053-10-09 Earth 72520.20 39,018,221 km
102 LD
2051-04-25 Earth 69173.12 34,709,209 km
90.3 LD
2046-12-07 Earth 34830.25 36,166,242 km
94.1 LD
2040-03-31 Earth 30557.59 23,578,124 km
61.3 LD
2035-10-16 Earth 57479.59 17,393,100 km
45.2 LD
2033-05-01 Earth 83599.13 55,224,874 km
144 LD
2029-01-01 Earth 40373.38 42,519,690 km
111 LD
2028-10-03 next Earth 26268.17 60,961,463 km
159 LD
2022-04-10 Earth 41060.09 7,850,438 km
20.4 LD
2017-10-20 Earth 49261.56 5,339,089 km
13.9 LD
2015-05-03 Earth 88204.65 61,812,154 km
161 LD
2010-12-30 Earth 39935.91 42,042,458 km
109 LD
2010-10-06 Earth 25492.14 59,325,723 km
154 LD
2004-03-31 Earth 30863.51 23,135,722 km
60.2 LD
1999-10-13 Earth 64606.40 27,758,690 km
72.2 LD
1997-04-25 Earth 72544.43 39,594,565 km
103 LD
1992-11-27 Earth 32452.04 32,735,167 km
85.2 LD
1986-02-19 Earth 35220.89 38,817,493 km
101 LD
1981-10-06 Earth 78276.26 47,353,979 km
123 LD
1979-04-20 Earth 60271.19 22,059,470 km
57.4 LD
1974-11-04 Earth 32419.50 21,330,739 km
55.5 LD
1968-04-18 Earth 23157.21 51,073,982 km
133 LD
1968-02-12 Earth 37265.39 40,705,523 km
106 LD
1963-10-06 Earth 78046.38 46,995,493 km
122 LD
1961-04-21 Earth 62831.04 25,646,472 km
66.7 LD
1956-11-18 Earth 31091.30 29,602,354 km
77.0 LD
1950-03-12 Earth 29180.15 32,275,701 km
84.0 LD
1945-10-12 Earth 63033.46 25,604,719 km
66.6 LD
1943-04-29 Earth 79131.51 49,117,287 km
128 LD
1938-12-28 Earth 39690.04 41,730,756 km
109 LD
1938-10-07 Earth 24716.85 58,234,648 km
151 LD
1932-04-10 Earth 42596.65 6,014,899 km
15.6 LD
1927-10-23 Moon 43977.34 1,393,356 km
3.62 LD
1927-10-23 Earth 45199.77 1,428,689 km
3.72 LD
1921-02-15 Earth 36335.74 39,943,467 km
104 LD
1916-10-10 Earth 66872.19 31,106,683 km
80.9 LD
1914-04-28 Earth 78820.92 48,532,852 km
126 LD
1910-05-15 Earth 32227.18 73,086,657 km
190 LD
1910-01-05 Earth 40903.24 43,129,035 km
112 LD
1909-09-28 Earth 27666.00 64,229,225 km
167 LD
1905-09-29 Earth 90920.56 65,153,379 km
169 LD
1904-06-13 Venus 50652.36 18,754,503 km
48.8 LD
1903-04-17 Earth 54467.83 13,826,693 km
36.0 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:13:13.091735+00:00.