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Designation: 2017 UL44 · NASA id: 3788165
Estimated diameter: 46 – 103 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
3.6 megatonnes – 133.9 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 300.2 days (0.82 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3031350444847232 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8774925176847034 AU |
| Inclination | 27.94596651256939° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .611493784301339 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.143491251068068 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.03196 AU = 4,780,759 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 39.6527007170225° |
| Argument of perihelion | 138.0567175748087° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 175.931789528044° / 1.199054548740968°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.621 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 19:57:37 |
| Observed | 2017-10-29 to 2017-11-02 (4 day arc, 94 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 79 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 65 of them were approaches to Earth and 14 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.611 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.143 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 300.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0320 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-10-29
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2192-11-03 | Earth | 51259.34 | 22,467,571 km 58.4 LD |
| 2077-11-04 | Earth | 54732.03 | 6,134,167 km 16.0 LD |
| 2068-11-01 | Earth | 67841.60 | 27,545,511 km 71.7 LD |
| 2063-10-31 | Earth | 50874.03 | 30,502,350 km 79.4 LD |
| 2059-10-25 | Earth | 88354.37 | 61,182,653 km 159 LD |
| 2054-11-04 | Earth | 56636.34 | 5,288,247 km 13.8 LD |
| 2054-04-27 | Earth | 73479.96 | 54,021,248 km 141 LD |
| 2049-10-22 | Earth | 52030.20 | 49,223,627 km 128 LD |
| 2049-06-05 | Earth | 69745.29 | 54,690,439 km 142 LD |
| 2045-10-29 | Earth | 75279.51 | 40,478,546 km 105 LD |
| 2045-03-30 | Earth | 73419.80 | 64,314,046 km 167 LD |
| 2040-11-02 | Earth | 52060.62 | 16,526,634 km 43.0 LD |
| 2040-05-09 | Earth | 72246.12 | 51,473,087 km 134 LD |
| 2036-02-28 | Earth | 62541.08 | 74,633,226 km 194 LD |
| 2035-10-12 | Earth | 53502.06 | 63,138,388 km 164 LD |
| 2035-06-20 | Earth | 69269.87 | 60,746,605 km 158 LD |
| 2031-11-02 | Earth | 64297.81 | 20,707,706 km 53.9 LD |
| 2031-04-14 | Earth | 74088.65 | 58,418,417 km 152 LD |
| 2026-10-29 next | Earth | 50905.71 | 34,840,714 km 90.6 LD |
| 2026-05-24 | Earth | 70753.94 | 51,651,197 km 134 LD |
| 2022-10-26 | Earth | 85698.03 | 57,092,297 km 149 LD |
| 2022-03-18 | Earth | 70864.59 | 69,330,858 km 180 LD |
| 2021-07-06 | Earth | 70201.63 | 70,083,256 km 182 LD |
| 2017-11-03 | Earth | 55321.00 | 5,108,023 km 13.3 LD |
| 2017-04-29 | Earth | 73225.85 | 53,279,720 km 139 LD |
| 2012-10-18 | Earth | 52725.92 | 55,096,040 km 143 LD |
| 2012-06-11 | Earth | 69434.96 | 56,952,912 km 148 LD |
| 2009-12-07 | Venus | 76866.50 | 22,191,870 km 57.7 LD |
| 2008-10-31 | Earth | 68562.92 | 28,759,212 km 74.8 LD |
| 2008-04-08 | Earth | 74050.39 | 60,623,327 km 158 LD |
| 2007-06-21 | Venus | 75005.44 | 19,743,812 km 51.4 LD |
| 2005-01-02 | Venus | 73428.34 | 17,643,728 km 45.9 LD |
| 2003-10-31 | Earth | 50897.96 | 32,317,405 km 84.1 LD |
| 2002-07-17 | Venus | 72302.21 | 16,169,782 km 42.1 LD |
| 2000-01-29 | Venus | 71520.01 | 15,153,317 km 39.4 LD |
| 1999-10-27 | Earth | 84292.86 | 54,963,806 km 143 LD |
| 1999-03-20 | Earth | 71527.70 | 68,463,940 km 178 LD |
| 1998-07-09 | Earth | 70539.68 | 72,214,448 km 188 LD |
| 1997-08-13 | Venus | 70963.48 | 14,460,608 km 37.6 LD |
| 1995-02-26 | Venus | 70662.66 | 14,097,371 km 36.7 LD |
| 1994-11-03 | Earth | 53035.90 | 11,585,093 km 30.1 LD |
| 1994-05-06 | Earth | 72592.77 | 51,931,581 km 135 LD |
| 1992-09-10 | Venus | 70922.33 | 14,422,582 km 37.5 LD |
| 1990-10-21 | Earth | 97390.12 | 74,569,741 km 194 LD |
| 1990-03-27 | Venus | 71396.30 | 15,017,554 km 39.1 LD |
| 1987-10-11 | Venus | 72176.67 | 16,012,034 km 41.7 LD |
| 1985-11-03 | Earth | 57584.80 | 6,508,031 km 16.9 LD |
| 1985-04-26 | Venus | 73090.07 | 17,197,970 km 44.7 LD |
| 1982-11-10 | Venus | 73749.82 | 18,074,765 km 47.0 LD |
| 1980-10-17 | Earth | 52987.47 | 56,717,076 km 148 LD |
| 1980-05-26 | Venus | 74705.47 | 19,339,694 km 50.3 LD |
| 1977-12-10 | Venus | 76031.58 | 21,102,862 km 54.9 LD |
| 1976-11-01 | Earth | 63700.90 | 19,514,258 km 50.8 LD |
| 1971-10-24 | Earth | 51926.20 | 47,262,004 km 123 LD |
| 1967-10-31 | Earth | 69512.69 | 30,424,742 km 79.1 LD |
| 1967-04-08 | Earth | 74009.22 | 60,721,908 km 158 LD |
| 1962-10-27 | Earth | 51247.77 | 39,705,052 km 103 LD |
| 1962-05-29 | Earth | 70263.35 | 52,690,327 km 137 LD |
| 1958-10-30 | Earth | 74077.16 | 38,450,924 km 100 LD |
| 1958-04-02 | Earth | 73721.36 | 63,105,970 km 164 LD |
| 1953-10-29 | Earth | 50942.14 | 33,978,781 km 88.4 LD |
| 1953-05-24 | Earth | 70693.64 | 51,806,340 km 135 LD |
| 1949-10-28 | Earth | 77557.91 | 44,270,318 km 115 LD |
| 1949-03-29 | Earth | 73224.13 | 64,878,029 km 169 LD |
| 1944-10-30 | Earth | 50886.13 | 29,725,621 km 77.3 LD |
| 1944-05-20 | Earth | 71001.80 | 51,416,163 km 134 LD |
| 1940-10-27 | Earth | 80240.90 | 48,499,332 km 126 LD |
| 1940-03-25 | Earth | 72800.08 | 66,160,239 km 172 LD |
| 1935-11-01 | Earth | 51015.04 | 26,509,658 km 69.0 LD |
| 1935-05-19 | Earth | 71277.47 | 51,242,990 km 133 LD |
| 1931-10-27 | Earth | 82206.56 | 51,688,368 km 134 LD |
| 1931-03-24 | Earth | 72313.03 | 67,149,476 km 175 LD |
| 1926-11-01 | Earth | 51169.88 | 23,924,323 km 62.2 LD |
| 1926-05-16 | Earth | 71467.62 | 51,193,670 km 133 LD |
| 1922-10-26 | Earth | 83939.53 | 54,389,957 km 141 LD |
| 1917-11-01 | Earth | 51350.68 | 21,451,932 km 55.8 LD |
| 1913-10-25 | Earth | 85861.95 | 57,256,728 km 149 LD |
| 1908-11-02 | Earth | 51707.09 | 18,535,250 km 48.2 LD |
| 1904-10-24 | Earth | 88158.22 | 60,828,799 km 158 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-25T12:21:53.693856+00:00.