Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2017 UA45)

Designation: 2017 UA45 · NASA id: 3788891 · Sentry Object

Estimated diameter: 16 – 36 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.1) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
On a monitored risk list
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 1.3 lunar distances.
  • It is on the Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance above zero — 2,207 of them. Being listed is not by itself a warning.
  • The computed chance is about 1 in 115,074, over the window 2099–2121.
  • Palermo -5.97 — below zero, meaning less than the background risk from everything not yet found.
  • Torino 0.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

20 kilotonnes – 764 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period323.6 days (0.89 years)
Eccentricity.1672704016186067 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.922352354538361 AU
Inclination4.207954207399359° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7680701057608619 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.07663460331586 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00242 AU = 362,260 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude202.0125371653947°
Argument of perihelion50.53643901488901°
Mean anomaly / motion168.7980618080261° / 1.112650539316584°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.469 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 19:57:39
Observed2017-10-27 to 2017-12-11 (45 day arc, 39 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 78 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 64 of them were approaches to Earth, 12 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.768 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.077 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 323.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0024 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2029-01-02

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2129-10-12 Earth 21049.80 1,834,899 km
4.77 LD
2107-10-14 Earth 31954.94 17,587,177 km
45.8 LD
2102-03-25 Venus 23790.62 21,606,540 km
56.2 LD
2102-01-15 Earth 69802.09 69,103,917 km
180 LD
2101-04-20 Earth 23781.00 33,220,916 km
86.4 LD
2096-01-25 Venus 21394.25 20,139,523 km
52.4 LD
2092-10-25 Earth 72730.45 72,728,700 km
189 LD
2089-11-30 Venus 20859.70 19,243,000 km
50.1 LD
2087-01-29 Earth 29978.27 18,537,899 km
48.2 LD
2085-10-19 Earth 52472.70 45,661,690 km
119 LD
2080-01-22 Earth 50534.59 44,246,378 km
115 LD
2078-10-13 Earth 32980.37 19,160,196 km
49.8 LD
2073-01-15 Earth 66981.40 65,748,664 km
171 LD
2072-04-25 Earth 24542.51 34,088,888 km
88.7 LD
2071-10-14 Moon 22111.14 1,063,158 km
2.77 LD
2071-10-14 Earth 18587.88 1,434,698 km
3.73 LD
2065-04-20 Venus 27497.92 17,880,755 km
46.5 LD
2065-01-30 Earth 34374.25 23,645,021 km
61.5 LD
2064-06-12 Earth 26796.61 37,849,037 km
98.5 LD
2063-10-16 Earth 42558.26 32,444,067 km
84.4 LD
2057-04-17 Venus 17575.59 19,204,502 km
50.0 LD
2057-01-21 Earth 12753.04 13,518,861 km
35.2 LD
2056-07-23 Earth 20925.82 33,556,405 km
87.3 LD
2055-10-24 Earth 65610.95 63,456,345 km
165 LD
2050-01-19 Earth 65215.91 63,419,154 km
165 LD
2049-04-23 Earth 23331.32 32,512,844 km
84.6 LD
2048-10-19 Earth 15368.78 7,030,872 km
18.3 LD
2043-02-27 Venus 16262.88 7,900,185 km
20.6 LD
2042-01-27 Earth 45704.61 38,179,887 km
99.3 LD
2041-05-25 Earth 26835.67 37,086,077 km
96.5 LD
2040-10-13 Earth 31434.79 17,192,372 km
44.7 LD
2034-02-03 Earth 23430.81 12,173,802 km
31.7 LD
2033-07-01 Earth 24931.00 36,716,840 km
95.5 LD
2032-10-19 Earth 52882.11 46,548,738 km
121 LD
2029-01-02 next Venus 29614.34 20,569,542 km
53.5 LD
2026-03-06 Earth 12495.03 20,839,106 km
54.2 LD
2025-12-22 Earth 14631.12 16,317,682 km
42.4 LD
2025-08-06 Earth 17651.27 30,610,260 km
79.6 LD
2024-10-25 Earth 70622.48 70,268,444 km
183 LD
2021-01-04 Venus 15896.77 9,981,849 km
26.0 LD
2019-01-19 Earth 65057.50 63,463,826 km
165 LD
2018-04-23 Earth 23151.52 32,271,081 km
84.0 LD
2017-10-20 Earth 15293.27 7,142,767 km
18.6 LD
2011-01-26 Earth 49318.79 42,875,893 km
112 LD
2010-05-20 Earth 26383.90 36,337,686 km
94.5 LD
2009-10-13 Earth 27470.43 11,870,502 km
30.9 LD
2003-02-01 Earth 30351.52 19,091,432 km
49.7 LD
2002-06-19 Earth 26242.38 37,436,643 km
97.4 LD
2001-10-17 Earth 45857.44 37,028,000 km
96.3 LD
1998-11-12 Venus 16435.89 7,781,937 km
20.2 LD
1995-01-28 Earth 13200.14 12,566,984 km
32.7 LD
1994-07-20 Earth 21455.83 33,914,432 km
88.2 LD
1993-10-23 Earth 63453.29 60,761,443 km
158 LD
1988-01-17 Earth 72507.12 73,180,218 km
190 LD
1987-04-08 Earth 20066.07 28,740,091 km
74.8 LD
1986-11-13 Earth 14815.66 13,786,166 km
35.9 LD
1980-01-24 Earth 55012.52 50,407,937 km
131 LD
1979-05-10 Earth 25619.76 35,166,798 km
91.5 LD
1978-10-13 Earth 22396.30 4,593,908 km
12.0 LD
1976-09-19 Venus 16046.34 8,990,346 km
23.4 LD
1972-02-02 Earth 21766.27 11,288,111 km
29.4 LD
1971-07-05 Earth 24405.24 36,345,059 km
94.6 LD
1970-10-21 Earth 56609.05 51,725,074 km
135 LD
1965-01-16 Earth 70044.25 70,079,675 km
182 LD
1964-04-14 Earth 21660.92 30,655,691 km
79.7 LD
1963-10-31 Earth 14525.02 10,601,603 km
27.6 LD
1957-01-28 Earth 39849.01 30,872,232 km
80.3 LD
1956-06-04 Earth 26981.27 37,626,402 km
97.9 LD
1956-05-31 Venus 30826.43 21,864,406 km
56.9 LD
1955-10-15 Earth 38432.01 27,035,743 km
70.3 LD
1949-01-18 Earth 12865.97 13,645,136 km
35.5 LD
1948-07-24 Earth 20573.58 33,245,162 km
86.5 LD
1947-10-25 Earth 66628.72 65,080,898 km
169 LD
1942-04-07 Venus 27322.10 17,955,527 km
46.7 LD
1942-01-20 Earth 60513.21 57,595,404 km
150 LD
1941-05-02 Earth 24704.49 34,099,897 km
88.7 LD
1940-10-14 Moon 19858.02 518,371 km
1.35 LD
1940-10-13 Earth 19423.30 668,170 km
1.74 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T19:40:54.929356+00:00.