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Designation: 2017 UA45 · NASA id: 3788891
· Sentry Object
Estimated diameter: 16 – 36 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
20 kilotonnes – 764 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 323.6 days (0.89 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1672704016186067 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .922352354538361 AU |
| Inclination | 4.207954207399359° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7680701057608619 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.07663460331586 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00242 AU = 362,260 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 202.0125371653947° |
| Argument of perihelion | 50.53643901488901° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 168.7980618080261° / 1.112650539316584°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.469 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 19:57:39 |
| Observed | 2017-10-27 to 2017-12-11 (45 day arc, 39 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 78 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 64 of them were approaches to Earth, 12 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.768 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.077 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 323.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0024 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2029-01-02
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2129-10-12 | Earth | 21049.80 | 1,834,899 km 4.77 LD |
| 2107-10-14 | Earth | 31954.94 | 17,587,177 km 45.8 LD |
| 2102-03-25 | Venus | 23790.62 | 21,606,540 km 56.2 LD |
| 2102-01-15 | Earth | 69802.09 | 69,103,917 km 180 LD |
| 2101-04-20 | Earth | 23781.00 | 33,220,916 km 86.4 LD |
| 2096-01-25 | Venus | 21394.25 | 20,139,523 km 52.4 LD |
| 2092-10-25 | Earth | 72730.45 | 72,728,700 km 189 LD |
| 2089-11-30 | Venus | 20859.70 | 19,243,000 km 50.1 LD |
| 2087-01-29 | Earth | 29978.27 | 18,537,899 km 48.2 LD |
| 2085-10-19 | Earth | 52472.70 | 45,661,690 km 119 LD |
| 2080-01-22 | Earth | 50534.59 | 44,246,378 km 115 LD |
| 2078-10-13 | Earth | 32980.37 | 19,160,196 km 49.8 LD |
| 2073-01-15 | Earth | 66981.40 | 65,748,664 km 171 LD |
| 2072-04-25 | Earth | 24542.51 | 34,088,888 km 88.7 LD |
| 2071-10-14 | Moon | 22111.14 | 1,063,158 km 2.77 LD |
| 2071-10-14 | Earth | 18587.88 | 1,434,698 km 3.73 LD |
| 2065-04-20 | Venus | 27497.92 | 17,880,755 km 46.5 LD |
| 2065-01-30 | Earth | 34374.25 | 23,645,021 km 61.5 LD |
| 2064-06-12 | Earth | 26796.61 | 37,849,037 km 98.5 LD |
| 2063-10-16 | Earth | 42558.26 | 32,444,067 km 84.4 LD |
| 2057-04-17 | Venus | 17575.59 | 19,204,502 km 50.0 LD |
| 2057-01-21 | Earth | 12753.04 | 13,518,861 km 35.2 LD |
| 2056-07-23 | Earth | 20925.82 | 33,556,405 km 87.3 LD |
| 2055-10-24 | Earth | 65610.95 | 63,456,345 km 165 LD |
| 2050-01-19 | Earth | 65215.91 | 63,419,154 km 165 LD |
| 2049-04-23 | Earth | 23331.32 | 32,512,844 km 84.6 LD |
| 2048-10-19 | Earth | 15368.78 | 7,030,872 km 18.3 LD |
| 2043-02-27 | Venus | 16262.88 | 7,900,185 km 20.6 LD |
| 2042-01-27 | Earth | 45704.61 | 38,179,887 km 99.3 LD |
| 2041-05-25 | Earth | 26835.67 | 37,086,077 km 96.5 LD |
| 2040-10-13 | Earth | 31434.79 | 17,192,372 km 44.7 LD |
| 2034-02-03 | Earth | 23430.81 | 12,173,802 km 31.7 LD |
| 2033-07-01 | Earth | 24931.00 | 36,716,840 km 95.5 LD |
| 2032-10-19 | Earth | 52882.11 | 46,548,738 km 121 LD |
| 2029-01-02 next | Venus | 29614.34 | 20,569,542 km 53.5 LD |
| 2026-03-06 | Earth | 12495.03 | 20,839,106 km 54.2 LD |
| 2025-12-22 | Earth | 14631.12 | 16,317,682 km 42.4 LD |
| 2025-08-06 | Earth | 17651.27 | 30,610,260 km 79.6 LD |
| 2024-10-25 | Earth | 70622.48 | 70,268,444 km 183 LD |
| 2021-01-04 | Venus | 15896.77 | 9,981,849 km 26.0 LD |
| 2019-01-19 | Earth | 65057.50 | 63,463,826 km 165 LD |
| 2018-04-23 | Earth | 23151.52 | 32,271,081 km 84.0 LD |
| 2017-10-20 | Earth | 15293.27 | 7,142,767 km 18.6 LD |
| 2011-01-26 | Earth | 49318.79 | 42,875,893 km 112 LD |
| 2010-05-20 | Earth | 26383.90 | 36,337,686 km 94.5 LD |
| 2009-10-13 | Earth | 27470.43 | 11,870,502 km 30.9 LD |
| 2003-02-01 | Earth | 30351.52 | 19,091,432 km 49.7 LD |
| 2002-06-19 | Earth | 26242.38 | 37,436,643 km 97.4 LD |
| 2001-10-17 | Earth | 45857.44 | 37,028,000 km 96.3 LD |
| 1998-11-12 | Venus | 16435.89 | 7,781,937 km 20.2 LD |
| 1995-01-28 | Earth | 13200.14 | 12,566,984 km 32.7 LD |
| 1994-07-20 | Earth | 21455.83 | 33,914,432 km 88.2 LD |
| 1993-10-23 | Earth | 63453.29 | 60,761,443 km 158 LD |
| 1988-01-17 | Earth | 72507.12 | 73,180,218 km 190 LD |
| 1987-04-08 | Earth | 20066.07 | 28,740,091 km 74.8 LD |
| 1986-11-13 | Earth | 14815.66 | 13,786,166 km 35.9 LD |
| 1980-01-24 | Earth | 55012.52 | 50,407,937 km 131 LD |
| 1979-05-10 | Earth | 25619.76 | 35,166,798 km 91.5 LD |
| 1978-10-13 | Earth | 22396.30 | 4,593,908 km 12.0 LD |
| 1976-09-19 | Venus | 16046.34 | 8,990,346 km 23.4 LD |
| 1972-02-02 | Earth | 21766.27 | 11,288,111 km 29.4 LD |
| 1971-07-05 | Earth | 24405.24 | 36,345,059 km 94.6 LD |
| 1970-10-21 | Earth | 56609.05 | 51,725,074 km 135 LD |
| 1965-01-16 | Earth | 70044.25 | 70,079,675 km 182 LD |
| 1964-04-14 | Earth | 21660.92 | 30,655,691 km 79.7 LD |
| 1963-10-31 | Earth | 14525.02 | 10,601,603 km 27.6 LD |
| 1957-01-28 | Earth | 39849.01 | 30,872,232 km 80.3 LD |
| 1956-06-04 | Earth | 26981.27 | 37,626,402 km 97.9 LD |
| 1956-05-31 | Venus | 30826.43 | 21,864,406 km 56.9 LD |
| 1955-10-15 | Earth | 38432.01 | 27,035,743 km 70.3 LD |
| 1949-01-18 | Earth | 12865.97 | 13,645,136 km 35.5 LD |
| 1948-07-24 | Earth | 20573.58 | 33,245,162 km 86.5 LD |
| 1947-10-25 | Earth | 66628.72 | 65,080,898 km 169 LD |
| 1942-04-07 | Venus | 27322.10 | 17,955,527 km 46.7 LD |
| 1942-01-20 | Earth | 60513.21 | 57,595,404 km 150 LD |
| 1941-05-02 | Earth | 24704.49 | 34,099,897 km 88.7 LD |
| 1940-10-14 | Moon | 19858.02 | 518,371 km 1.35 LD |
| 1940-10-13 | Earth | 19423.30 | 668,170 km 1.74 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T19:40:54.929356+00:00.