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Designation: 2017 WP28 · NASA id: 3790060
Estimated diameter: 174 – 389 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
430.4 megatonnes – 16,039 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 465.7 days (1.27 years) |
| Eccentricity | .8010365019832141 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.175789263391634 AU |
| Inclination | 10.08392410286371° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .2339391447749796 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.117639382008289 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.10588 AU = 15,838,824 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 263.0121179166331° |
| Argument of perihelion | 6.558891842658082° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 138.1186951840993° / .7730540124545694°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.986 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-03-01 06:04:53 |
| Observed | 2017-11-17 to 2020-02-27 (832 day arc, 57 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 97 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 80 of them were approaches to Earth, 9 of them were approaches to Venus, 5 of them were approaches to Mars and 3 of them were approaches to Merc.
This one’s path runs from 0.234 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.118 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 465.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1059 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-11-02
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-11-18 | Earth | 122147.02 | 31,386,205 km 81.6 LD |
| 2196-02-07 | Earth | 96267.59 | 21,433,097 km 55.8 LD |
| 2193-11-04 | Earth | 68668.13 | 59,253,850 km 154 LD |
| 2187-05-19 | Venus | 108190.02 | 21,173,509 km 55.1 LD |
| 2184-11-12 | Earth | 108347.30 | 17,969,790 km 46.7 LD |
| 2182-02-01 | Earth | 109921.63 | 23,325,769 km 60.7 LD |
| 2173-02-10 | Earth | 68630.49 | 59,208,248 km 154 LD |
| 2170-11-08 | Earth | 95098.69 | 17,988,819 km 46.8 LD |
| 2168-01-28 | Earth | 123979.39 | 35,996,487 km 93.6 LD |
| 2162-01-22 | Mars | 62690.73 | 13,769,654 km 35.8 LD |
| 2161-11-26 | Earth | 144860.96 | 57,536,355 km 150 LD |
| 2159-02-11 | Earth | 77339.77 | 41,426,052 km 108 LD |
| 2156-11-04 | Earth | 81851.88 | 33,080,644 km 86.1 LD |
| 2154-01-21 | Earth | 139835.66 | 53,531,569 km 139 LD |
| 2149-01-11 | Merc | 168971.76 | 14,698,692 km 38.2 LD |
| 2147-11-20 | Earth | 129038.26 | 39,263,582 km 102 LD |
| 2145-02-07 | Earth | 90286.52 | 25,523,452 km 66.4 LD |
| 2142-11-03 | Earth | 71248.37 | 52,062,754 km 135 LD |
| 2140-01-16 | Earth | 156135.01 | 71,674,583 km 186 LD |
| 2133-11-14 | Earth | 113956.18 | 22,857,091 km 59.5 LD |
| 2131-02-03 | Earth | 104471.54 | 20,658,683 km 53.7 LD |
| 2128-11-05 | Earth | 66378.40 | 69,574,352 km 181 LD |
| 2122-02-10 | Earth | 66959.84 | 65,092,738 km 169 LD |
| 2119-11-10 | Earth | 99649.78 | 15,868,371 km 41.3 LD |
| 2117-04-05 | Venus | 131121.74 | 22,091,867 km 57.5 LD |
| 2117-01-28 | Earth | 118998.34 | 30,921,532 km 80.4 LD |
| 2110-11-28 | Earth | 150229.76 | 63,834,658 km 166 LD |
| 2108-02-11 | Earth | 73756.73 | 47,528,271 km 124 LD |
| 2105-11-05 | Earth | 86154.77 | 27,294,394 km 71.0 LD |
| 2103-01-23 | Earth | 134250.47 | 47,201,284 km 123 LD |
| 2099-05-30 | Venus | 122829.55 | 19,692,900 km 51.2 LD |
| 2096-11-20 | Earth | 134962.60 | 46,081,511 km 120 LD |
| 2094-02-08 | Earth | 85301.52 | 30,651,829 km 79.7 LD |
| 2091-11-02 | Earth | 74624.93 | 45,006,092 km 117 LD |
| 2089-01-16 | Earth | 149974.80 | 64,851,738 km 169 LD |
| 2086-10-29 | Mars | 66991.06 | 11,602,914 km 30.2 LD |
| 2082-11-15 | Earth | 120006.07 | 29,199,234 km 76.0 LD |
| 2081-07-26 | Venus | 115295.74 | 19,567,998 km 50.9 LD |
| 2080-02-04 | Earth | 98230.95 | 20,581,673 km 53.5 LD |
| 2077-11-02 | Earth | 67824.30 | 62,153,318 km 162 LD |
| 2075-02-02 | Merc | 162215.19 | 14,933,145 km 38.8 LD |
| 2071-02-07 | Earth | 65763.55 | 72,302,906 km 188 LD |
| 2068-11-10 | Earth | 106019.31 | 16,884,230 km 43.9 LD |
| 2066-01-30 | Earth | 111986.00 | 24,713,289 km 64.3 LD |
| 2063-09-21 | Venus | 109554.40 | 20,901,533 km 54.4 LD |
| 2059-11-29 | Earth | 157849.23 | 72,450,085 km 188 LD |
| 2057-02-09 | Earth | 69622.56 | 56,243,924 km 146 LD |
| 2054-11-06 | Earth | 92780.64 | 20,139,395 km 52.4 LD |
| 2052-01-25 | Earth | 126584.66 | 38,723,903 km 101 LD |
| 2047-04-29 | Mars | 63033.14 | 13,360,505 km 34.8 LD |
| 2045-11-23 | Earth | 142920.12 | 55,465,281 km 144 LD |
| 2043-02-09 | Earth | 78858.59 | 39,103,907 km 102 LD |
| 2040-11-02 | Earth | 80068.32 | 35,859,215 km 93.3 LD |
| 2038-01-19 | Earth | 142103.70 | 56,007,244 km 146 LD |
| 2031-11-18 | Earth | 127087.72 | 37,071,574 km 96.4 LD |
| 2029-02-05 | Earth | 92025.45 | 23,977,619 km 62.4 LD |
| 2026-11-02 next | Earth | 70459.70 | 54,032,009 km 141 LD |
| 2024-01-13 | Earth | 158279.86 | 74,052,823 km 193 LD |
| 2022-10-27 | Merc | 171694.71 | 14,825,178 km 38.6 LD |
| 2017-11-12 | Earth | 111757.03 | 21,040,732 km 54.7 LD |
| 2015-02-01 | Earth | 106207.87 | 21,156,878 km 55.0 LD |
| 2012-11-04 | Earth | 66121.17 | 71,684,201 km 186 LD |
| 2006-02-08 | Earth | 67498.58 | 62,694,688 km 163 LD |
| 2003-11-07 | Earth | 97715.61 | 16,760,158 km 43.6 LD |
| 2001-01-26 | Earth | 121244.40 | 33,069,991 km 86.0 LD |
| 1994-11-25 | Earth | 148166.81 | 61,531,710 km 160 LD |
| 1993-08-08 | Venus | 131420.52 | 22,432,493 km 58.4 LD |
| 1992-02-09 | Earth | 74975.00 | 45,132,119 km 117 LD |
| 1989-11-03 | Earth | 84334.07 | 29,908,991 km 77.8 LD |
| 1987-01-20 | Earth | 136923.79 | 50,130,485 km 130 LD |
| 1980-11-18 | Earth | 132458.59 | 43,381,579 km 113 LD |
| 1978-02-06 | Earth | 87134.44 | 28,564,227 km 74.3 LD |
| 1975-11-01 | Earth | 73332.65 | 47,624,122 km 124 LD |
| 1975-10-04 | Venus | 122855.08 | 19,941,757 km 51.9 LD |
| 1973-01-14 | Earth | 152220.90 | 67,340,726 km 175 LD |
| 1972-02-04 | Mars | 67193.45 | 12,354,834 km 32.1 LD |
| 1966-11-13 | Earth | 117492.36 | 26,592,620 km 69.2 LD |
| 1964-02-02 | Earth | 100866.85 | 20,009,746 km 52.1 LD |
| 1961-11-02 | Earth | 67222.98 | 64,890,614 km 169 LD |
| 1957-11-29 | Venus | 116101.65 | 19,718,429 km 51.3 LD |
| 1955-02-07 | Earth | 66050.50 | 69,993,049 km 182 LD |
| 1952-11-08 | Earth | 103533.05 | 16,245,979 km 42.3 LD |
| 1950-01-28 | Earth | 114631.03 | 26,794,217 km 69.7 LD |
| 1943-11-28 | Earth | 155568.10 | 69,909,002 km 182 LD |
| 1941-02-08 | Earth | 70735.71 | 53,457,293 km 139 LD |
| 1940-01-25 | Venus | 109970.47 | 20,979,088 km 54.6 LD |
| 1938-11-04 | Earth | 90776.86 | 22,204,888 km 57.8 LD |
| 1936-01-23 | Earth | 129112.70 | 41,384,127 km 108 LD |
| 1932-08-04 | Mars | 63154.59 | 13,434,125 km 34.9 LD |
| 1929-11-21 | Earth | 139913.54 | 52,070,867 km 135 LD |
| 1927-02-08 | Earth | 80840.17 | 36,102,747 km 93.9 LD |
| 1924-11-01 | Earth | 78371.20 | 38,715,416 km 101 LD |
| 1922-01-17 | Earth | 144516.31 | 58,655,185 km 153 LD |
| 1915-11-16 | Earth | 124502.34 | 34,330,893 km 89.3 LD |
| 1913-02-03 | Earth | 94389.07 | 22,192,988 km 57.7 LD |
| 1910-11-01 | Earth | 69371.09 | 57,165,825 km 149 LD |
| 1901-11-10 | Earth | 109775.22 | 19,586,019 km 51.0 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-27T14:19:33.312764+00:00.