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Designation: 2017 YD8 · NASA id: 3795154
Estimated diameter: 112 – 251 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
26.6 megatonnes – 992.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 551.1 days (1.51 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3215848730114665 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.315538186505679 AU |
| Inclination | 24.54025996895728° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .8924810058565149 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.738595367154842 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.05072 AU = 7,587,963 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 97.38271706811446° |
| Argument of perihelion | 293.8669885721862° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 120.5409619700689° / .6532040749889959°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.822 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-01-12 05:59:48 |
| Observed | 2014-06-21 to 2024-01-11 (3491 day arc, 177 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 79 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 77 of them were approaches to Earth and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.892 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.739 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 551.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0507 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-01-07
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2193-01-12 | Earth | 85625.36 | 60,360,996 km 157 LD |
| 2190-01-07 | Earth | 75734.11 | 43,433,095 km 113 LD |
| 2187-01-03 | Earth | 66828.61 | 27,197,113 km 70.8 LD |
| 2186-07-02 | Earth | 46321.48 | 72,641,692 km 189 LD |
| 2183-12-30 | Earth | 59378.65 | 12,517,678 km 32.6 LD |
| 2183-07-07 | Earth | 45946.19 | 64,288,243 km 167 LD |
| 2180-12-26 | Earth | 53833.54 | 8,289,285 km 21.6 LD |
| 2180-07-10 | Earth | 45808.96 | 56,643,468 km 147 LD |
| 2177-12-22 | Earth | 49474.22 | 20,717,863 km 53.9 LD |
| 2177-07-15 | Earth | 46118.87 | 48,923,932 km 127 LD |
| 2174-12-19 | Earth | 47060.89 | 36,039,066 km 93.8 LD |
| 2174-07-18 | Earth | 47362.60 | 42,049,131 km 109 LD |
| 2171-12-18 | Earth | 46955.96 | 52,011,841 km 135 LD |
| 2171-07-21 | Earth | 50046.44 | 37,941,065 km 98.7 LD |
| 2168-12-19 | Earth | 48311.47 | 67,961,063 km 177 LD |
| 2168-07-21 | Earth | 54547.71 | 38,523,944 km 100 LD |
| 2165-07-21 | Earth | 60872.30 | 44,302,909 km 115 LD |
| 2162-07-20 | Earth | 68845.86 | 54,368,515 km 141 LD |
| 2159-07-17 | Earth | 78149.04 | 67,097,237 km 175 LD |
| 2113-01-13 | Earth | 90606.69 | 68,501,345 km 178 LD |
| 2110-01-09 | Earth | 80138.33 | 51,157,105 km 133 LD |
| 2107-01-04 | Earth | 70641.45 | 34,225,501 km 89.0 LD |
| 2103-12-31 | Earth | 62370.81 | 18,432,766 km 48.0 LD |
| 2103-07-05 | Earth | 46084.98 | 67,938,760 km 177 LD |
| 2100-12-27 | Earth | 55759.90 | 7,499,451 km 19.5 LD |
| 2100-07-08 | Earth | 45810.25 | 59,717,470 km 155 LD |
| 2097-12-23 | Earth | 50934.20 | 15,199,531 km 39.5 LD |
| 2097-07-12 | Earth | 45881.45 | 51,955,579 km 135 LD |
| 2094-12-19 | Earth | 47709.01 | 29,720,310 km 77.3 LD |
| 2094-07-16 | Earth | 46640.20 | 44,551,882 km 116 LD |
| 2091-12-17 | Earth | 46619.91 | 45,100,063 km 117 LD |
| 2091-07-19 | Earth | 48613.69 | 38,945,061 km 101 LD |
| 2088-12-17 | Earth | 47469.59 | 60,857,103 km 158 LD |
| 2088-07-20 | Earth | 52209.36 | 37,096,941 km 96.5 LD |
| 2085-07-20 | Earth | 57649.51 | 40,418,619 km 105 LD |
| 2082-07-19 | Earth | 64780.79 | 48,423,864 km 126 LD |
| 2079-07-17 | Earth | 73291.78 | 59,868,690 km 156 LD |
| 2076-07-14 | Earth | 82673.76 | 73,086,163 km 190 LD |
| 2074-11-14 | Mars | 41647.16 | 13,293,313 km 34.6 LD |
| 2030-01-11 | Earth | 87757.85 | 63,709,399 km 166 LD |
| 2027-01-07 next | Earth | 77587.04 | 46,665,249 km 121 LD |
| 2024-01-02 | Earth | 68377.11 | 30,107,678 km 78.3 LD |
| 2023-06-29 | Earth | 46282.08 | 74,784,802 km 195 LD |
| 2020-12-28 | Earth | 60571.79 | 15,027,936 km 39.1 LD |
| 2020-07-04 | Earth | 45870.23 | 66,062,373 km 172 LD |
| 2017-12-25 | Earth | 54518.56 | 7,876,248 km 20.5 LD |
| 2017-07-08 | Earth | 45667.69 | 58,023,960 km 151 LD |
| 2014-12-22 | Earth | 49855.09 | 18,987,256 km 49.4 LD |
| 2014-07-13 | Earth | 45882.20 | 49,892,738 km 130 LD |
| 2011-12-19 | Earth | 47082.53 | 34,220,731 km 89.0 LD |
| 2011-07-17 | Earth | 46960.71 | 42,511,102 km 111 LD |
| 2008-12-16 | Earth | 46585.72 | 49,957,871 km 130 LD |
| 2008-07-18 | Earth | 49439.22 | 37,561,622 km 97.7 LD |
| 2005-12-19 | Earth | 47670.98 | 66,009,512 km 172 LD |
| 2005-07-20 | Earth | 53694.65 | 37,099,094 km 96.5 LD |
| 2002-07-20 | Earth | 59853.19 | 42,203,264 km 110 LD |
| 1999-07-18 | Earth | 67706.43 | 51,815,995 km 135 LD |
| 1996-07-15 | Earth | 76854.61 | 64,425,382 km 168 LD |
| 1952-08-11 | Mars | 42933.90 | 14,027,616 km 36.5 LD |
| 1950-01-13 | Earth | 92874.99 | 72,070,082 km 187 LD |
| 1947-01-09 | Earth | 82396.50 | 54,837,643 km 143 LD |
| 1944-01-04 | Earth | 72741.94 | 38,036,378 km 98.9 LD |
| 1940-12-30 | Earth | 64132.35 | 21,941,278 km 57.1 LD |
| 1940-07-01 | Earth | 46042.12 | 70,464,908 km 183 LD |
| 1937-12-26 | Earth | 57071.58 | 9,153,535 km 23.8 LD |
| 1937-07-06 | Earth | 45724.29 | 61,822,276 km 161 LD |
| 1934-12-23 | Earth | 51900.05 | 12,527,451 km 32.6 LD |
| 1934-07-10 | Earth | 45688.05 | 53,983,455 km 140 LD |
| 1931-12-20 | Earth | 48175.50 | 26,311,917 km 68.4 LD |
| 1931-07-15 | Earth | 46244.37 | 46,029,370 km 120 LD |
| 1928-12-17 | Earth | 46496.57 | 41,551,724 km 108 LD |
| 1928-07-17 | Earth | 47863.78 | 39,537,804 km 103 LD |
| 1925-12-17 | Earth | 46818.17 | 57,082,882 km 148 LD |
| 1925-07-19 | Earth | 51062.89 | 36,278,578 km 94.4 LD |
| 1922-12-24 | Earth | 47562.44 | 72,773,239 km 189 LD |
| 1922-07-20 | Earth | 56089.90 | 38,055,981 km 99.0 LD |
| 1919-07-19 | Earth | 62948.23 | 45,195,601 km 118 LD |
| 1916-07-16 | Earth | 71254.48 | 56,114,993 km 146 LD |
| 1913-07-14 | Earth | 80532.13 | 69,280,782 km 180 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:12:58.632954+00:00.