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Designation: 2018 AG12 · NASA id: 3797689
Estimated diameter: 48 – 108 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
879 kilotonnes – 32.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 421.2 days (1.15 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3088609995446482 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.099679883520692 AU |
| Inclination | 8.621399955219822° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7600316555173489 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.439328111524035 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02551 AU = 3,815,942 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 305.9913886163228° |
| Argument of perihelion | 279.3950734024428° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 220.8180024496752° / .8546821878206154°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.596 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 20:18:13 |
| Observed | 2018-01-14 to 2019-08-29 (592 day arc, 70 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 147 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 141 of them were approaches to Earth and 6 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.760 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.439 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 421.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0255 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-08-29
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-09-09 | Earth | 23385.47 | 49,338,779 km 128 LD |
| 2199-06-08 | Earth | 32651.08 | 38,300,851 km 99.6 LD |
| 2198-12-10 | Earth | 32398.48 | 64,511,558 km 168 LD |
| 2198-01-21 | Earth | 75529.07 | 54,187,292 km 141 LD |
| 2192-08-16 | Earth | 47245.14 | 15,417,930 km 40.1 LD |
| 2191-11-04 | Earth | 33750.30 | 72,040,573 km 187 LD |
| 2191-02-09 | Earth | 29602.30 | 13,477,122 km 35.1 LD |
| 2184-09-17 | Earth | 25506.74 | 53,744,596 km 140 LD |
| 2184-05-28 | Earth | 33951.49 | 40,255,101 km 105 LD |
| 2183-12-15 | Earth | 31816.36 | 62,200,052 km 162 LD |
| 2183-01-20 | Earth | 80140.42 | 60,422,659 km 157 LD |
| 2177-08-15 | Earth | 45787.71 | 13,449,017 km 35.0 LD |
| 2176-11-04 | Earth | 33834.18 | 71,964,681 km 187 LD |
| 2176-02-09 | Earth | 30177.15 | 12,585,287 km 32.7 LD |
| 2169-09-12 | Earth | 24102.26 | 50,640,507 km 132 LD |
| 2169-06-04 | Earth | 33054.68 | 38,989,200 km 101 LD |
| 2168-12-10 | Earth | 32231.30 | 63,891,506 km 166 LD |
| 2168-01-22 | Earth | 75300.59 | 53,881,257 km 140 LD |
| 2162-08-19 | Earth | 53650.75 | 24,610,838 km 64.0 LD |
| 2161-10-29 | Earth | 33233.32 | 71,038,088 km 185 LD |
| 2161-02-09 | Earth | 23068.21 | 24,975,853 km 65.0 LD |
| 2154-06-26 | Earth | 29291.58 | 33,323,353 km 86.7 LD |
| 2153-12-02 | Earth | 33245.24 | 67,649,623 km 176 LD |
| 2153-01-25 | Earth | 64640.93 | 39,052,758 km 102 LD |
| 2147-08-24 | Earth | 63764.68 | 39,136,056 km 102 LD |
| 2146-10-20 | Earth | 32168.31 | 68,862,102 km 179 LD |
| 2146-03-30 | Earth | 28202.38 | 36,394,854 km 94.7 LD |
| 2146-01-20 | Earth | 24130.88 | 38,836,995 km 101 LD |
| 2139-07-20 | Earth | 25802.84 | 24,476,400 km 63.7 LD |
| 2138-11-25 | Earth | 33860.53 | 70,024,318 km 182 LD |
| 2138-01-29 | Earth | 55741.76 | 26,560,361 km 69.1 LD |
| 2132-08-26 | Earth | 70302.57 | 48,424,621 km 126 LD |
| 2131-10-15 | Earth | 31428.93 | 67,090,493 km 175 LD |
| 2131-04-13 | Earth | 31489.42 | 39,495,368 km 103 LD |
| 2131-01-10 | Earth | 26193.10 | 45,147,982 km 117 LD |
| 2124-07-26 | Earth | 26537.30 | 20,618,448 km 53.6 LD |
| 2123-11-23 | Earth | 34022.22 | 70,728,179 km 184 LD |
| 2123-01-30 | Earth | 53285.93 | 23,130,481 km 60.2 LD |
| 2117-08-26 | Earth | 69752.05 | 47,594,856 km 124 LD |
| 2116-10-15 | Earth | 31552.72 | 67,486,367 km 176 LD |
| 2116-04-09 | Earth | 30875.09 | 38,991,223 km 101 LD |
| 2116-01-12 | Earth | 25876.70 | 44,028,682 km 115 LD |
| 2109-07-15 | Earth | 26028.20 | 26,195,509 km 68.1 LD |
| 2108-11-26 | Earth | 33816.43 | 69,838,339 km 182 LD |
| 2108-01-28 | Earth | 58431.29 | 30,324,585 km 78.9 LD |
| 2102-08-23 | Earth | 63184.98 | 38,192,744 km 99.4 LD |
| 2101-10-21 | Earth | 32545.57 | 69,595,987 km 181 LD |
| 2101-03-23 | Earth | 26586.64 | 34,788,121 km 90.5 LD |
| 2101-01-24 | Earth | 23263.64 | 36,260,859 km 94.3 LD |
| 2094-06-23 | Earth | 29421.19 | 33,640,041 km 87.5 LD |
| 2093-12-02 | Earth | 33231.47 | 67,678,572 km 176 LD |
| 2093-01-23 | Earth | 66823.27 | 41,992,478 km 109 LD |
| 2087-08-19 | Earth | 55530.78 | 27,304,561 km 71.0 LD |
| 2086-10-27 | Earth | 33187.32 | 71,064,581 km 185 LD |
| 2086-02-08 | Earth | 22630.87 | 26,070,576 km 67.8 LD |
| 2079-09-02 | Earth | 22037.24 | 46,526,772 km 121 LD |
| 2079-06-12 | Earth | 31675.63 | 37,049,901 km 96.4 LD |
| 2078-12-06 | Earth | 32799.99 | 65,769,483 km 171 LD |
| 2078-04-11 | Venus | 43565.27 | 22,002,993 km 57.2 LD |
| 2078-01-21 | Earth | 71911.80 | 49,151,349 km 128 LD |
| 2072-08-17 | Earth | 53458.22 | 24,221,772 km 63.0 LD |
| 2071-10-28 | Earth | 33369.27 | 71,276,923 km 185 LD |
| 2071-02-09 | Earth | 23659.72 | 23,657,698 km 61.5 LD |
| 2069-01-17 | Venus | 40822.75 | 19,910,982 km 51.8 LD |
| 2064-08-26 | Earth | 20639.59 | 44,432,342 km 116 LD |
| 2064-06-15 | Earth | 30836.43 | 36,002,924 km 93.7 LD |
| 2063-12-04 | Earth | 32893.15 | 66,447,218 km 173 LD |
| 2063-01-23 | Earth | 69176.47 | 45,276,885 km 118 LD |
| 2059-10-27 | Venus | 43576.67 | 22,003,115 km 57.2 LD |
| 2057-08-20 | Earth | 58620.43 | 31,797,639 km 82.7 LD |
| 2056-10-23 | Earth | 32751.52 | 70,099,418 km 182 LD |
| 2056-03-11 | Earth | 23804.46 | 32,031,097 km 83.3 LD |
| 2056-01-30 | Earth | 22050.98 | 32,328,029 km 84.1 LD |
| 2049-07-06 | Earth | 26938.76 | 29,362,016 km 76.4 LD |
| 2048-11-26 | Earth | 33573.94 | 68,985,148 km 179 LD |
| 2048-01-26 | Earth | 59802.80 | 32,300,170 km 84.0 LD |
| 2042-08-25 | Earth | 68718.40 | 46,106,664 km 120 LD |
| 2041-10-14 | Earth | 31540.32 | 67,360,662 km 175 LD |
| 2041-04-08 | Earth | 30953.88 | 39,034,080 km 102 LD |
| 2041-01-10 | Earth | 25818.39 | 44,145,395 km 115 LD |
| 2034-07-31 | Earth | 28360.66 | 16,326,486 km 42.5 LD |
| 2033-11-18 | Earth | 34050.43 | 71,103,749 km 185 LD |
| 2033-01-30 | Earth | 49166.32 | 17,275,731 km 44.9 LD |
| 2027-08-29 next | Earth | 77190.33 | 58,141,479 km 151 LD |
| 2026-10-06 | Earth | 30200.54 | 64,143,759 km 167 LD |
| 2026-04-25 | Earth | 33704.05 | 41,425,237 km 108 LD |
| 2025-12-30 | Earth | 28194.39 | 51,302,230 km 133 LD |
| 2019-08-05 | Earth | 32505.69 | 9,511,559 km 24.7 LD |
| 2018-11-15 | Earth | 34119.37 | 71,822,198 km 187 LD |
| 2018-02-01 | Earth | 44810.52 | 11,184,968 km 29.1 LD |
| 2012-08-28 | Earth | 77204.38 | 58,104,613 km 151 LD |
| 2011-10-07 | Earth | 30314.80 | 64,629,112 km 168 LD |
| 2011-04-23 | Earth | 33425.43 | 41,178,597 km 107 LD |
| 2011-01-01 | Earth | 27956.64 | 50,448,115 km 131 LD |
| 2004-07-29 | Earth | 27707.70 | 17,609,364 km 45.8 LD |
| 2003-11-20 | Earth | 34045.52 | 71,090,287 km 185 LD |
| 2003-01-29 | Earth | 51833.31 | 21,046,266 km 54.8 LD |
| 1997-08-24 | Earth | 69059.83 | 46,719,129 km 122 LD |
| 1996-10-14 | Earth | 31746.73 | 67,822,383 km 176 LD |
| 1996-04-05 | Earth | 30222.04 | 38,248,718 km 99.5 LD |
| 1996-01-13 | Earth | 25247.68 | 42,645,580 km 111 LD |
| 1995-03-23 | Venus | 38408.13 | 18,517,997 km 48.2 LD |
| 1989-07-08 | Earth | 26498.30 | 28,501,489 km 74.1 LD |
| 1988-11-26 | Earth | 33581.50 | 69,280,008 km 180 LD |
| 1988-01-26 | Earth | 60933.00 | 33,932,028 km 88.3 LD |
| 1985-12-28 | Venus | 29770.56 | 15,595,830 km 40.6 LD |
| 1982-08-21 | Earth | 60896.84 | 34,965,326 km 91.0 LD |
| 1981-10-21 | Earth | 32718.66 | 70,041,760 km 182 LD |
| 1981-03-13 | Earth | 24436.70 | 32,454,342 km 84.4 LD |
| 1981-01-29 | Earth | 22144.17 | 32,994,726 km 85.8 LD |
| 1976-10-05 | Venus | 24433.96 | 20,347,718 km 52.9 LD |
| 1974-08-22 | Earth | 19696.54 | 43,149,827 km 112 LD |
| 1974-06-17 | Earth | 30315.40 | 35,379,827 km 92.0 LD |
| 1973-12-03 | Earth | 32952.69 | 66,775,959 km 174 LD |
| 1973-01-21 | Earth | 69799.64 | 46,198,652 km 120 LD |
| 1967-08-17 | Earth | 52170.10 | 22,384,447 km 58.2 LD |
| 1966-10-29 | Earth | 33445.77 | 71,662,574 km 186 LD |
| 1966-02-08 | Earth | 25691.93 | 19,881,667 km 51.7 LD |
| 1959-09-12 | Earth | 24859.77 | 52,000,298 km 135 LD |
| 1959-05-30 | Earth | 33350.00 | 39,715,926 km 103 LD |
| 1958-12-11 | Earth | 31996.55 | 63,219,055 km 164 LD |
| 1958-01-18 | Earth | 78766.61 | 58,516,737 km 152 LD |
| 1952-08-12 | Earth | 44632.67 | 11,587,352 km 30.1 LD |
| 1951-11-04 | Earth | 33887.04 | 72,170,241 km 188 LD |
| 1951-02-06 | Earth | 31922.12 | 9,814,442 km 25.5 LD |
| 1944-09-15 | Earth | 25735.37 | 53,669,589 km 140 LD |
| 1944-05-26 | Earth | 33788.24 | 40,426,092 km 105 LD |
| 1943-12-13 | Earth | 31616.64 | 62,237,822 km 162 LD |
| 1943-01-18 | Earth | 79828.37 | 60,066,162 km 156 LD |
| 1937-08-14 | Earth | 47912.66 | 16,183,982 km 42.1 LD |
| 1936-10-31 | Earth | 33598.36 | 71,758,416 km 187 LD |
| 1936-02-08 | Earth | 28006.00 | 15,941,343 km 41.5 LD |
| 1929-09-02 | Earth | 22573.35 | 46,998,734 km 122 LD |
| 1929-06-09 | Earth | 31706.30 | 37,481,227 km 97.5 LD |
| 1928-12-05 | Earth | 32639.52 | 65,550,852 km 171 LD |
| 1928-01-21 | Earth | 71384.96 | 48,340,450 km 126 LD |
| 1922-08-19 | Earth | 58036.22 | 30,865,908 km 80.3 LD |
| 1921-10-23 | Earth | 32817.07 | 70,151,440 km 182 LD |
| 1921-03-08 | Earth | 23367.87 | 31,449,991 km 81.8 LD |
| 1921-01-31 | Earth | 21803.77 | 31,686,139 km 82.4 LD |
| 1914-07-05 | Earth | 26911.02 | 29,554,429 km 76.9 LD |
| 1913-11-26 | Earth | 33583.11 | 69,002,866 km 180 LD |
| 1913-01-25 | Earth | 60142.17 | 32,669,316 km 85.0 LD |
| 1907-08-24 | Earth | 67490.03 | 44,384,571 km 115 LD |
| 1906-10-15 | Earth | 31810.15 | 67,811,520 km 176 LD |
| 1906-04-05 | Earth | 30268.86 | 38,312,907 km 99.7 LD |
| 1906-01-12 | Earth | 25187.09 | 42,754,492 km 111 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-01T11:19:31.370950+00:00.