Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2018 CO2)

Designation: 2018 CO2 · NASA id: 3799282

Estimated diameter: 346 – 773 meters

≈ the Burj Khalifa
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 19.43) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 5.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1,694 megatonnes – 63,114 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period940.0 days (2.57 years)
Eccentricity.6837279257351355 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.877956270036731 AU
Inclination14.83144348380386° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5939451249032248 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance3.161967415170237 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.16571 AU = 24,789,863 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude32.42265763636247°
Argument of perihelion225.671183074177°
Mean anomaly / motion337.9739000867868° / .3829797940358599°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant3.618 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-11-17 05:32:42
Observed2005-10-24 to 2023-11-17 (6598 day arc, 153 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 55 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 46 of them were approaches to Earth and 9 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.594 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 3.162 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 940.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1657 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2028-09-30

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2193-09-20 Earth 84115.32 24,568,859 km
63.9 LD
2188-06-30 Venus 72556.30 20,064,831 km
52.2 LD
2188-05-26 Earth 77065.81 63,931,583 km
166 LD
2183-02-24 Earth 117024.90 58,995,387 km
153 LD
2175-08-21 Earth 47725.52 51,761,385 km
135 LD
2170-04-12 Earth 62640.74 42,281,265 km
110 LD
2162-10-03 Earth 114114.26 56,282,370 km
146 LD
2159-12-25 Venus 77082.60 5,084,083 km
13.2 LD
2157-06-23 Earth 76610.76 67,418,389 km
175 LD
2152-03-07 Earth 93658.83 31,623,172 km
82.3 LD
2147-01-26 Venus 70559.33 2,164,052 km
5.63 LD
2144-09-12 Earth 68672.68 27,467,845 km
71.5 LD
2139-05-10 Earth 71868.17 57,508,876 km
150 LD
2126-08-01 Earth 55891.83 58,766,185 km
153 LD
2121-04-03 Earth 63900.89 35,350,999 km
92.0 LD
2113-10-01 Earth 109721.26 51,294,819 km
133 LD
2108-06-26 Earth 75949.45 67,533,977 km
176 LD
2103-03-13 Earth 84671.98 25,292,459 km
65.8 LD
2095-09-17 Earth 81065.79 25,429,292 km
66.2 LD
2092-12-08 Venus 66271.18 5,804,246 km
15.1 LD
2090-05-28 Earth 78306.96 64,652,979 km
168 LD
2085-02-27 Earth 105423.89 45,626,846 km
119 LD
2077-09-08 Earth 64674.13 31,660,670 km
82.4 LD
2072-05-09 Earth 72807.36 57,961,133 km
151 LD
2067-02-18 Earth 125304.99 70,729,546 km
184 LD
2059-08-14 Earth 48717.44 53,977,230 km
140 LD
2054-04-16 Earth 64608.30 45,807,960 km
119 LD
2051-10-01 Venus 57296.37 18,128,839 km
47.2 LD
2041-07-17 Earth 64339.52 63,133,714 km
164 LD
2036-03-26 Earth 67147.39 31,415,268 km
81.7 LD
2028-09-30 next Earth 112503.27 55,779,281 km
145 LD
2023-06-29 Earth 74349.80 66,692,491 km
173 LD
2023-05-28 Venus 80131.95 8,111,474 km
21.1 LD
2018-03-14 Earth 80937.08 25,271,401 km
65.7 LD
2010-09-20 Earth 89901.14 32,244,596 km
83.9 LD
2005-06-01 Earth 78697.36 65,065,678 km
169 LD
2000-02-27 Earth 106784.73 48,391,216 km
126 LD
1992-09-08 Earth 66141.07 31,843,179 km
82.8 LD
1987-05-09 Earth 72729.90 57,056,587 km
148 LD
1982-03-05 Venus 92592.65 19,709,111 km
51.3 LD
1974-08-04 Earth 52781.16 57,091,106 km
149 LD
1969-04-22 Venus 58481.53 15,577,957 km
40.5 LD
1969-04-06 Earth 64300.63 39,405,718 km
103 LD
1961-10-01 Earth 115936.56 61,200,879 km
159 LD
1956-06-29 Earth 73551.23 66,345,546 km
173 LD
1951-03-16 Earth 78354.19 25,855,277 km
67.3 LD
1943-09-21 Earth 92262.73 35,439,392 km
92.2 LD
1938-06-05 Earth 79334.21 65,676,948 km
171 LD
1933-03-02 Earth 99209.95 40,656,040 km
106 LD
1928-01-29 Venus 61722.72 10,212,975 km
26.6 LD
1925-09-11 Earth 72347.70 29,542,718 km
76.9 LD
1920-05-14 Earth 75271.55 59,572,240 km
155 LD
1915-02-21 Earth 118309.51 63,534,442 km
165 LD
1907-09-01 Earth 55613.07 42,182,001 km
110 LD
1902-04-25 Earth 68525.16 50,637,510 km
132 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T22:00:49.663804+00:00.