Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2018 ER1)

Designation: 2018 ER1 · NASA id: 3799826

Estimated diameter: 19 – 43 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.72) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 6.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

36 kilotonnes – 1.4 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period370.9 days (1.02 years)
Eccentricity.09247892687803762 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.010240538140689 AU
Inclination6.386323552753449° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9168145772847471 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.103666498996632 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01290 AU = 1,929,857 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude187.8103733582995°
Argument of perihelion101.335170319599°
Mean anomaly / motion105.6822561546659° / .9706594489430473°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.023 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-09-30 06:19:32
Observed2018-03-08 to 2018-04-05 (28 day arc, 63 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 66 total.

next approach: 2026-10-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2185-10-22 Earth 51067.07 52,426,590 km
136 LD
2179-04-05 Earth 26391.83 16,862,644 km
43.9 LD
2178-03-31 Earth 39722.84 36,601,238 km
95.2 LD
2177-03-26 Earth 53825.26 56,598,297 km
147 LD
2139-10-27 Earth 60961.33 66,319,125 km
173 LD
2138-10-22 Earth 46565.00 46,140,151 km
120 LD
2137-10-15 Earth 32689.45 25,998,358 km
67.6 LD
2136-10-08 Earth 20082.54 6,412,473 km
16.7 LD
2135-09-24 Earth 12876.11 10,885,958 km
28.3 LD
2134-12-20 Earth 11587.79 24,671,462 km
64.2 LD
2134-07-18 Earth 12250.94 21,310,181 km
55.4 LD
2134-02-08 Earth 13003.04 22,823,369 km
59.4 LD
2132-04-05 Earth 19921.85 6,696,568 km
17.4 LD
2131-04-03 Earth 32259.80 25,715,171 km
66.9 LD
2130-03-29 Earth 46077.76 45,642,428 km
119 LD
2129-03-24 Earth 60147.41 65,568,545 km
171 LD
2091-10-25 Earth 57435.42 61,468,394 km
160 LD
2090-10-19 Earth 43223.46 41,388,718 km
108 LD
2089-10-13 Earth 29613.24 21,382,902 km
55.6 LD
2088-10-05 Earth 17732.94 2,518,341 km
6.55 LD
2087-09-21 Earth 12725.23 11,904,840 km
31.0 LD
2086-12-11 Earth 11213.14 23,998,365 km
62.4 LD
2086-07-25 Earth 12468.44 21,075,776 km
54.8 LD
2086-01-26 Earth 12546.36 23,879,731 km
62.1 LD
2085-03-12 Earth 12615.87 16,331,983 km
42.5 LD
2084-04-02 Earth 15381.24 3,714,192 km
9.66 LD
2083-04-03 Earth 21523.80 9,142,256 km
23.8 LD
2082-04-01 Earth 30125.43 22,562,867 km
58.7 LD
2081-03-29 Earth 39774.79 36,693,347 km
95.5 LD
2080-03-25 Earth 49738.31 51,015,611 km
133 LD
2079-03-22 Earth 60018.29 65,428,016 km
170 LD
2027-10-26 Earth 56796.90 60,757,166 km
158 LD
2026-10-21 next Earth 46586.50 46,282,382 km
120 LD
2025-10-17 Earth 36537.69 31,867,610 km
82.9 LD
2024-10-12 Earth 27164.36 17,786,736 km
46.3 LD
2023-10-08 Earth 19059.63 4,798,556 km
12.5 LD
2022-10-02 Earth 14497.97 5,638,460 km
14.7 LD
2021-09-04 Earth 12826.67 16,264,344 km
42.3 LD
2020-12-25 Earth 11337.56 24,497,885 km
63.7 LD
2020-07-16 Earth 12086.31 21,753,973 km
56.6 LD
2020-02-02 Earth 12566.62 23,118,364 km
60.1 LD
2019-03-12 Earth 12710.16 16,438,611 km
42.8 LD
2018-04-02 Earth 14297.19 5,960,687 km
15.5 LD
2017-04-04 Earth 18878.93 4,878,123 km
12.7 LD
2016-04-02 Earth 26919.84 17,693,340 km
46.0 LD
2015-03-31 Earth 36211.34 31,698,028 km
82.5 LD
2014-03-27 Earth 46237.76 46,089,582 km
120 LD
2013-03-23 Earth 56387.03 60,566,922 km
158 LD
1961-10-26 Earth 57356.12 61,659,493 km
160 LD
1960-10-21 Earth 47062.17 47,038,787 km
122 LD
1959-10-18 Earth 36941.63 32,528,608 km
84.6 LD
1958-10-13 Earth 27484.87 18,369,631 km
47.8 LD
1957-10-08 Earth 19315.60 5,148,829 km
13.4 LD
1956-10-02 Earth 14515.58 5,527,431 km
14.4 LD
1955-09-04 Earth 12872.40 16,523,026 km
43.0 LD
1954-12-28 Earth 11387.00 24,594,889 km
64.0 LD
1954-07-13 Earth 11853.67 21,869,304 km
56.9 LD
1954-02-06 Earth 12619.15 22,707,098 km
59.1 LD
1953-03-18 Earth 12707.30 15,043,321 km
39.1 LD
1952-04-03 Earth 15057.92 4,219,756 km
11.0 LD
1951-04-05 Earth 19774.78 6,320,228 km
16.4 LD
1950-04-03 Earth 27190.58 18,255,308 km
47.5 LD
1949-03-31 Earth 35811.84 31,204,305 km
81.2 LD
1948-03-28 Earth 45034.83 44,523,625 km
116 LD
1947-03-25 Earth 54491.13 58,019,308 km
151 LD
1946-03-22 Earth 64154.45 71,545,360 km
186 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T16:54:50.244677+00:00.