Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2018 FM3)

Designation: 2018 FM3 · NASA id: 3802052

Estimated diameter: 10 – 22 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 7.8 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

4 kilotonnes – 156 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period372.8 days (1.02 years)
Eccentricity.08985556547741098 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.013778596679 AU
Inclination4.561834152910546° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.922684947605512 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.104872245752488 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01479 AU = 2,213,196 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude181.6935243424535°
Argument of perihelion255.7669528731367°
Mean anomaly / motion279.2389254070977° / .9655825240723359°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.009 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 20:24:54
Observed2018-03-20 to 2018-04-05 (16 day arc, 47 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 37 total.

next approach: 2062-08-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2074-03-22 Earth 56331.64 66,516,819 km
173 LD
2073-03-18 Earth 45845.23 51,713,054 km
135 LD
2072-03-13 Earth 35348.49 36,969,332 km
96.2 LD
2071-03-11 Earth 25385.61 22,570,875 km
58.7 LD
2070-03-09 Earth 16405.93 9,214,229 km
24.0 LD
2069-03-13 Earth 10831.36 3,642,111 km
9.47 LD
2067-06-10 Earth 8298.16 17,680,490 km
46.0 LD
2066-10-05 Earth 9511.52 8,451,281 km
22.0 LD
2065-09-14 Earth 13328.71 3,850,531 km
10.0 LD
2064-09-04 Earth 24194.67 20,861,487 km
54.3 LD
2063-08-28 Earth 36676.44 39,240,862 km
102 LD
2062-08-21 next Earth 49646.52 57,807,992 km
150 LD
2022-03-25 Earth 61056.28 72,921,450 km
190 LD
2021-03-19 Earth 47721.05 54,129,951 km
141 LD
2020-03-13 Earth 34288.53 35,283,502 km
91.8 LD
2019-03-09 Earth 21548.33 16,854,695 km
43.8 LD
2018-03-11 Earth 11397.67 3,373,754 km
8.78 LD
2017-04-24 Earth 9711.34 14,376,311 km
37.4 LD
2016-11-30 Earth 8812.82 14,305,425 km
37.2 LD
2016-06-27 Earth 7901.41 17,754,025 km
46.2 LD
2015-09-22 Earth 10552.67 3,574,508 km
9.30 LD
2014-09-11 Earth 17701.48 10,735,864 km
27.9 LD
2013-09-04 Earth 27923.25 26,122,601 km
68.0 LD
2012-08-29 Earth 38965.91 42,197,638 km
110 LD
2011-08-24 Earth 50398.73 58,456,810 km
152 LD
2010-08-18 Earth 61710.95 74,649,365 km
194 LD
1965-03-26 Earth 55366.19 64,671,534 km
168 LD
1964-03-21 Earth 43722.67 48,204,579 km
125 LD
1963-03-17 Earth 32066.51 31,807,361 km
82.7 LD
1962-03-13 Earth 21158.79 15,915,340 km
41.4 LD
1961-03-13 Earth 12219.70 2,982,099 km
7.76 LD
1960-03-30 Earth 9259.68 9,135,430 km
23.8 LD
1956-09-17 Earth 12595.64 3,001,300 km
7.81 LD
1955-09-08 Earth 22196.25 17,373,418 km
45.2 LD
1954-09-01 Earth 33496.93 33,951,590 km
88.3 LD
1953-08-26 Earth 45385.77 50,960,894 km
133 LD
1952-08-19 Earth 57393.55 68,014,889 km
177 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:13:28.675889+00:00.