Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2018 PK21)

Designation: 2018 PK21 · NASA id: 3826775

Estimated diameter: 18 – 40 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.88) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 2.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

14 kilotonnes – 531 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period356.1 days (0.98 years)
Eccentricity.08089279200637162 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.983264258735201 AU
Inclination1.223172697213138° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9037252675660352 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.062803249904367 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00464 AU = 693,762 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude302.6155254472216°
Argument of perihelion227.3801158190268°
Mean anomaly / motion305.0198692112829° / 1.010877882190484°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.158 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-10-12 07:44:03
Observed2018-08-11 to 2020-11-21 (833 day arc, 132 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 53 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 51 of them were approaches to Earth and 2 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.904 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.063 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 356.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0046 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2055-07-26

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2101-12-07 Earth 7240.61 3,221,943 km
8.38 LD
2100-04-15 Earth 7890.85 12,287,786 km
32.0 LD
2099-07-06 Moon 10612.75 1,115,740 km
2.90 LD
2099-07-04 Earth 7872.11 1,434,407 km
3.73 LD
2098-07-05 Moon 6258.17 1,262,873 km
3.29 LD
2098-07-05 Earth 9583.49 1,571,130 km
4.09 LD
2097-07-08 Earth 24014.00 22,543,847 km
58.6 LD
2096-07-14 Earth 39449.97 44,386,151 km
115 LD
2095-07-21 Earth 54991.50 66,233,376 km
172 LD
2062-11-13 Earth 54471.90 63,906,909 km
166 LD
2061-11-20 Earth 38109.59 41,450,090 km
108 LD
2060-11-27 Earth 21815.23 19,090,692 km
49.7 LD
2059-12-04 Earth 6564.75 3,468,892 km
9.02 LD
2059-03-16 Earth 9628.63 13,965,509 km
36.3 LD
2058-07-29 Earth 5803.63 5,494,343 km
14.3 LD
2057-07-13 Earth 18792.30 15,050,557 km
39.2 LD
2056-07-19 Earth 34629.35 37,413,976 km
97.3 LD
2055-07-26 next Earth 50619.01 59,894,968 km
156 LD
2023-11-17 Earth 61264.91 72,999,259 km
190 LD
2022-11-24 Earth 44516.12 50,022,429 km
130 LD
2021-12-01 Earth 27664.32 26,914,504 km
70.0 LD
2020-12-08 Earth 11261.95 4,681,180 km
12.2 LD
2020-02-01 Earth 7405.69 10,308,551 km
26.8 LD
2019-10-15 Earth 6825.69 9,123,921 km
23.7 LD
2019-04-02 Earth 9074.56 13,150,548 km
34.2 LD
2018-07-30 Earth 5671.93 5,994,247 km
15.6 LD
2017-07-11 Earth 13599.70 7,740,866 km
20.1 LD
2016-07-15 Earth 25951.01 25,225,494 km
65.6 LD
2015-07-20 Earth 38773.28 43,290,763 km
113 LD
2014-07-25 Earth 51656.67 61,423,106 km
160 LD
1974-11-23 Earth 55381.68 64,953,750 km
169 LD
1973-11-29 Earth 41757.44 46,259,037 km
120 LD
1972-12-04 Earth 28214.43 27,673,733 km
72.0 LD
1971-12-10 Earth 15071.50 9,705,903 km
25.2 LD
1970-11-26 Earth 5077.21 6,286,320 km
16.4 LD
1970-03-18 Earth 9289.26 13,110,721 km
34.1 LD
1969-09-01 Earth 6820.06 8,628,708 km
22.4 LD
1969-05-21 Earth 6530.93 10,590,287 km
27.6 LD
1968-07-14 Earth 11555.69 4,790,166 km
12.5 LD
1967-07-20 Earth 27324.98 27,134,972 km
70.6 LD
1966-07-26 Earth 43575.56 49,947,740 km
130 LD
1965-08-01 Earth 59797.38 72,631,213 km
189 LD
1934-11-21 Earth 59733.57 70,826,076 km
184 LD
1933-11-28 Earth 42585.53 47,368,356 km
123 LD
1932-12-05 Earth 25415.03 23,894,095 km
62.2 LD
1931-12-12 Earth 8987.82 2,447,852 km
6.37 LD
1931-02-12 Earth 7910.96 10,959,992 km
28.5 LD
1930-10-11 Earth 7176.42 9,434,077 km
24.5 LD
1930-04-06 Earth 9084.32 12,918,722 km
33.6 LD
1928-07-12 Earth 12322.78 6,021,266 km
15.7 LD
1927-07-17 Earth 24672.54 23,454,906 km
61.0 LD
1926-07-22 Earth 37637.22 41,643,415 km
108 LD
1925-07-27 Earth 50713.65 59,956,575 km
156 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T22:01:13.904320+00:00.