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Designation: 2018 PZ21 · NASA id: 3826795
· Sentry Object
Estimated diameter: 12 – 27 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
17 kilotonnes – 622 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 289.3 days (0.79 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2568545552553038 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8559865878172456 AU |
| Inclination | 3.146541907902775° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6361225334989419 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.075850642135549 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00116 AU = 173,809 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 308.5422887262285° |
| Argument of perihelion | 215.2274780420722° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 205.2613022279516° / 1.244525025507542°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.862 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 20:35:32 |
| Observed | 2018-08-11 to 2018-09-05 (25 day arc, 19 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 86 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 68 of them were approaches to Earth, 17 of them were approaches to Venus and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.636 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.076 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 289.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0012 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
an approach today (2026-10-17) — next after that: 2026-12-09
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2119-07-30 | Earth | 22537.64 | 678,936 km 1.77 LD |
| 2119-07-30 | Moon | 25249.05 | 370,904 km 0.96 LD — closer than the Moon |
| 2116-01-08 | Earth | 29227.51 | 42,766,774 km 111 LD |
| 2115-07-29 | Earth | 25041.25 | 3,281,380 km 8.54 LD |
| 2112-01-24 | Earth | 35858.82 | 47,703,071 km 124 LD |
| 2111-07-29 | Earth | 36709.88 | 19,165,529 km 49.9 LD |
| 2111-05-13 | Venus | 23005.06 | 15,374,489 km 40.0 LD |
| 2108-02-09 | Earth | 40550.06 | 51,137,142 km 133 LD |
| 2107-08-01 | Earth | 49776.06 | 36,584,848 km 95.2 LD |
| 2105-08-31 | Venus | 39085.51 | 7,051,107 km 18.3 LD |
| 2104-02-24 | Earth | 42863.95 | 52,961,037 km 138 LD |
| 2103-08-05 | Earth | 61904.89 | 52,576,802 km 137 LD |
| 2100-10-06 | Earth | 73007.43 | 67,714,544 km 176 LD |
| 2100-03-09 | Earth | 43233.14 | 53,570,330 km 139 LD |
| 2099-08-08 | Earth | 73133.63 | 67,502,193 km 176 LD |
| 2096-10-09 | Earth | 61645.99 | 52,846,304 km 137 LD |
| 2096-03-21 | Earth | 42005.88 | 53,166,973 km 138 LD |
| 2092-10-13 | Earth | 50109.21 | 37,962,397 km 98.8 LD |
| 2092-04-03 | Earth | 39219.01 | 51,726,857 km 135 LD |
| 2092-02-13 | Venus | 49705.16 | 16,592,039 km 43.2 LD |
| 2089-12-01 | Venus | 45414.06 | 15,734,238 km 40.9 LD |
| 2088-10-16 | Earth | 39620.94 | 24,601,163 km 64.0 LD |
| 2088-04-16 | Earth | 35259.04 | 49,364,425 km 128 LD |
| 2084-10-18 | Earth | 29368.68 | 12,635,683 km 32.9 LD |
| 2084-04-30 | Earth | 29943.59 | 45,877,974 km 119 LD |
| 2080-10-14 | Earth | 21122.89 | 7,944,966 km 20.7 LD |
| 2080-05-15 | Earth | 23627.36 | 41,541,125 km 108 LD |
| 2076-09-26 | Earth | 18146.30 | 11,428,826 km 29.7 LD |
| 2076-06-04 | Earth | 14520.99 | 35,802,158 km 93.1 LD |
| 2076-05-09 | Venus | 21155.34 | 11,779,971 km 30.6 LD |
| 2072-09-03 | Earth | 18262.71 | 12,337,619 km 32.1 LD |
| 2070-08-04 | Venus | 45293.46 | 12,796,523 km 33.3 LD |
| 2068-12-14 | Earth | 19182.52 | 35,838,639 km 93.2 LD |
| 2068-08-13 | Earth | 18244.90 | 9,316,885 km 24.2 LD |
| 2068-05-21 | Venus | 46398.00 | 16,684,670 km 43.4 LD |
| 2064-12-27 | Earth | 25106.55 | 39,846,892 km 104 LD |
| 2064-08-01 | Earth | 20419.07 | 3,611,275 km 9.39 LD |
| 2062-08-12 | Venus | 30534.10 | 752,258 km 1.96 LD |
| 2061-01-13 | Earth | 31720.62 | 44,774,712 km 116 LD |
| 2060-07-29 | Earth | 30717.81 | 11,714,366 km 30.5 LD |
| 2057-02-15 | Earth | 41603.18 | 51,990,972 km 135 LD |
| 2057-01-22 | Venus | 42798.58 | 10,682,922 km 27.8 LD |
| 2056-08-04 | Earth | 56204.75 | 45,715,948 km 119 LD |
| 2053-10-07 | Earth | 69330.71 | 63,509,452 km 165 LD |
| 2053-03-16 | Earth | 42614.99 | 53,482,456 km 139 LD |
| 2049-10-16 | Earth | 44311.42 | 31,129,816 km 81.0 LD |
| 2049-04-15 | Earth | 36337.22 | 50,107,560 km 130 LD |
| 2045-10-14 | Earth | 20312.37 | 7,989,338 km 20.8 LD |
| 2045-05-23 | Earth | 21162.88 | 39,980,369 km 104 LD |
| 2043-10-11 | Venus | 37306.66 | 10,552,328 km 27.5 LD |
| 2041-12-18 | Earth | 20061.57 | 36,592,243 km 95.2 LD |
| 2041-08-09 | Earth | 18630.84 | 6,110,864 km 15.9 LD |
| 2038-03-17 | Venus | 19634.90 | 12,635,546 km 32.9 LD |
| 2038-01-23 | Earth | 35480.30 | 47,414,889 km 123 LD |
| 2037-07-30 | Earth | 37586.93 | 20,983,973 km 54.6 LD |
| 2034-02-21 | Earth | 42151.80 | 52,467,248 km 136 LD |
| 2033-08-06 | Earth | 60263.59 | 51,092,575 km 133 LD |
| 2032-07-20 | Venus | 24818.60 | 14,635,705 km 38.1 LD |
| 2030-10-09 | Earth | 66388.60 | 59,849,489 km 156 LD |
| 2030-03-20 | Earth | 42250.26 | 53,246,942 km 139 LD |
| 2026-12-09 next | Venus | 27344.02 | 3,741,790 km 9.73 LD |
| 2026-10-17 today | Earth | 42636.38 | 29,282,896 km 76.2 LD |
| 2026-04-18 | Earth | 35313.67 | 49,561,969 km 129 LD |
| 2022-10-06 | Earth | 18063.17 | 9,517,667 km 24.8 LD |
| 2022-06-04 | Earth | 15753.69 | 36,562,984 km 95.1 LD |
| 2021-05-22 | Venus | 34880.92 | 3,607,791 km 9.39 LD |
| 2018-12-26 | Earth | 23708.37 | 38,975,030 km 101 LD |
| 2018-08-03 | Earth | 20506.03 | 2,623,725 km 6.83 LD |
| 2015-01-18 | Earth | 33078.31 | 45,611,781 km 119 LD |
| 2014-07-30 | Earth | 32693.56 | 14,319,904 km 37.3 LD |
| 2013-08-17 | Venus | 33216.63 | 9,035,967 km 23.5 LD |
| 2011-02-08 | Earth | 39528.74 | 50,333,389 km 131 LD |
| 2010-08-02 | Earth | 48532.91 | 35,604,499 km 92.6 LD |
| 2007-02-28 | Earth | 42589.60 | 52,789,326 km 137 LD |
| 2006-08-08 | Earth | 65344.06 | 57,917,753 km 151 LD |
| 2003-10-10 | Earth | 65427.85 | 58,606,372 km 152 LD |
| 2003-03-21 | Earth | 41946.71 | 52,984,908 km 138 LD |
| 2002-04-23 | Venus | 44164.33 | 12,218,795 km 31.8 LD |
| 1999-10-16 | Earth | 48632.58 | 36,800,536 km 95.7 LD |
| 1999-04-10 | Earth | 37890.15 | 50,903,867 km 132 LD |
| 1995-10-20 | Earth | 32326.48 | 16,527,708 km 43.0 LD |
| 1995-05-01 | Earth | 30557.65 | 46,310,261 km 120 LD |
| 1991-10-13 | Earth | 19223.36 | 8,545,535 km 22.2 LD |
| 1991-05-26 | Earth | 20130.76 | 39,056,845 km 102 LD |
| 1988-10-15 | Venus | 31778.98 | 883,565 km 2.30 LD |
| 1923-10-14 | Earth | 51552.83 | 39,640,561 km 103 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-12T15:27:37.865283+00:00.