Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2018 TZ1)

Designation: 2018 TZ1 · NASA id: 3831212

Estimated diameter: 27 – 59 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.0) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 14.1 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

88 kilotonnes – 3.3 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period420.2 days (1.15 years)
Eccentricity.1441346285893031 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.097869065289389 AU
Inclination9.696741050292713° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9396281153242173 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.25611001525456 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.03735 AU = 5,586,927 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude12.22884669204908°
Argument of perihelion279.0480720776109°
Mean anomaly / motion136.9301501861872° / .8567976205378343°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.636 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 20:43:16
Observed2018-10-05 to 2018-10-30 (25 day arc, 33 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 31 total.

next approach: 2033-04-19

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2095-09-27 Earth 24205.50 5,404,273 km
14.1 LD
2087-11-06 Earth 18490.22 36,604,345 km
95.2 LD
2087-04-18 Earth 22439.63 11,330,837 km
29.5 LD
2080-10-10 Earth 59845.74 58,513,892 km
152 LD
2079-04-16 Earth 45106.31 38,407,171 km
99.9 LD
2049-10-05 Earth 46842.30 39,132,043 km
102 LD
2048-04-11 Earth 58127.56 57,355,607 km
149 LD
2041-09-26 Earth 22796.18 6,271,958 km
16.3 LD
2033-11-18 Earth 18854.05 40,667,081 km
106 LD
2033-04-19 next Earth 25616.06 11,317,081 km
29.4 LD
2026-10-06 Earth 49783.07 43,654,128 km
114 LD
2026-01-18 Earth 20921.23 48,994,375 km
127 LD
2025-04-12 Earth 55894.20 54,117,497 km
141 LD
2018-09-26 Earth 21444.77 8,469,369 km
22.0 LD
2018-03-17 Earth 20389.35 32,723,580 km
85.1 LD
2010-12-07 Earth 19457.42 45,635,671 km
119 LD
2010-04-19 Earth 32604.43 19,965,844 km
51.9 LD
2003-10-01 Earth 36696.82 23,472,073 km
61.1 LD
2003-02-11 Earth 21218.30 45,239,297 km
118 LD
2002-04-07 Earth 70258.00 74,688,593 km
194 LD
1995-04-15 Earth 20423.08 14,896,189 km
38.8 LD
1988-10-08 Earth 57307.55 54,777,131 km
143 LD
1988-01-07 Earth 20503.78 49,494,619 km
129 LD
1987-04-15 Earth 48939.79 43,952,097 km
114 LD
1980-09-26 Earth 24000.73 5,725,297 km
14.9 LD
1972-04-19 Earth 27271.88 12,710,143 km
33.1 LD
1934-04-18 Earth 22662.71 10,714,396 km
27.9 LD
1927-10-08 Earth 55220.67 51,654,201 km
134 LD
1927-01-08 Earth 20606.37 49,421,519 km
129 LD
1926-04-14 Earth 50292.31 45,807,769 km
119 LD
1919-09-27 Earth 25457.79 6,537,115 km
17.0 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-01T06:53:51.134436+00:00.