Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2018 TJ3)

Designation: 2018 TJ3 · NASA id: 3831612

Estimated diameter: 29 – 65 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.8) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 23.4 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

451 kilotonnes – 16.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period339.1 days (0.93 years)
Eccentricity.3487920013662908 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.951585528036605 AU
Inclination10.28042360770259° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6196801072415189 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.283490948831691 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.05893 AU = 8,815,294 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude11.68214863997952°
Argument of perihelion138.4847444503531°
Mean anomaly / motion139.0748521988416° / 1.061774598109959°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.257 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 20:43:22
Observed2018-10-06 to 2018-10-18 (12 day arc, 27 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 89 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 78 of them were approaches to Earth and 11 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.620 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.283 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 339.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0589 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2028-07-01

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2198-06-25 Earth 51435.33 33,007,965 km
85.9 LD
2188-10-22 Earth 46869.31 14,797,273 km
38.5 LD
2176-10-07 Earth 91297.75 73,381,631 km
191 LD
2175-10-23 Earth 44903.36 12,656,242 km
32.9 LD
2172-06-27 Earth 57657.61 38,826,746 km
101 LD
2163-10-08 Earth 90381.81 72,229,425 km
188 LD
2163-02-03 Venus 57224.66 19,753,147 km
51.4 LD
2162-10-23 Earth 44032.08 11,748,074 km
30.6 LD
2159-06-28 Earth 59831.74 41,219,334 km
107 LD
2151-10-23 Venus 37441.00 17,124,246 km
44.5 LD
2150-10-10 Earth 85741.84 66,010,662 km
172 LD
2149-12-09 Venus 50088.39 20,837,287 km
54.2 LD
2149-10-23 Earth 39983.82 9,156,763 km
23.8 LD
2149-01-15 Earth 42670.36 53,805,127 km
140 LD
2148-09-10 Earth 32505.83 42,200,750 km
110 LD
2148-03-11 Earth 52200.89 54,880,845 km
143 LD
2147-07-07 Earth 24029.54 38,097,098 km
99.1 LD
2147-05-17 Earth 30682.99 36,520,387 km
95.0 LD
2146-06-29 Earth 63011.93 44,729,308 km
116 LD
2137-10-08 Earth 88525.37 69,642,233 km
181 LD
2136-10-23 Earth 42874.78 10,646,829 km
27.7 LD
2136-01-10 Earth 39985.36 52,571,204 km
137 LD
2135-09-15 Earth 32286.40 40,778,204 km
106 LD
2135-03-07 Earth 52723.21 55,540,415 km
144 LD
2134-07-19 Earth 26664.51 40,853,020 km
106 LD
2134-05-07 Earth 33836.38 39,441,860 km
103 LD
2133-06-27 Earth 58100.00 39,359,613 km
102 LD
2123-10-22 Earth 50153.44 18,668,375 km
48.6 LD
2120-06-23 Earth 50373.73 32,059,788 km
83.4 LD
2110-10-20 Earth 54816.12 24,743,153 km
64.4 LD
2107-06-22 Earth 47352.43 29,813,581 km
77.6 LD
2097-10-18 Earth 59706.84 31,157,978 km
81.1 LD
2094-06-17 Earth 40918.12 26,612,443 km
69.2 LD
2093-07-08 Earth 85702.74 72,144,189 km
188 LD
2084-10-14 Earth 68914.68 43,464,986 km
113 LD
2080-07-04 Earth 76952.46 61,245,595 km
159 LD
2071-10-12 Earth 75430.66 52,188,035 km
136 LD
2070-10-20 Earth 32796.67 15,043,464 km
39.1 LD
2067-07-03 Earth 74016.76 57,737,842 km
150 LD
2058-10-13 Earth 73485.55 49,521,133 km
129 LD
2057-10-18 Earth 31982.49 17,022,298 km
44.3 LD
2054-07-03 Earth 74735.62 58,511,514 km
152 LD
2045-10-12 Earth 76356.07 53,363,218 km
139 LD
2044-10-20 Earth 33493.33 13,928,978 km
36.2 LD
2043-08-31 Earth 32559.71 44,790,746 km
117 LD
2043-03-21 Earth 50223.00 53,024,561 km
138 LD
2041-07-02 Earth 71625.40 54,683,203 km
142 LD
2032-10-11 Earth 78571.18 56,380,874 km
147 LD
2031-10-21 Earth 34713.09 11,968,631 km
31.1 LD
2031-01-23 Earth 46512.14 55,484,173 km
144 LD
2030-09-02 Earth 32572.73 44,366,840 km
115 LD
2030-03-19 Earth 50700.68 53,446,061 km
139 LD
2029-06-01 Earth 28077.47 31,367,992 km
81.6 LD
2028-07-01 next Earth 70443.49 53,287,959 km
139 LD
2022-10-28 Venus 54656.70 17,659,118 km
45.9 LD
2020-12-16 Venus 44017.98 10,855,145 km
28.2 LD
2019-10-12 Earth 75021.70 51,675,352 km
134 LD
2019-02-02 Venus 38163.67 10,421,202 km
27.1 LD
2018-10-19 Earth 32249.46 16,148,381 km
42.0 LD
2018-01-29 Earth 48844.68 56,307,618 km
146 LD
2017-08-26 Earth 32364.48 45,203,503 km
118 LD
2017-03-25 Earth 48909.16 51,971,868 km
135 LD
2017-03-18 Venus 37674.68 13,349,174 km
34.7 LD
2016-06-10 Earth 31878.28 27,618,878 km
71.8 LD
2015-07-05 Earth 77392.33 61,902,222 km
161 LD
2015-05-02 Venus 38159.78 15,938,745 km
41.5 LD
2013-06-13 Venus 36883.47 17,272,183 km
44.9 LD
2009-09-07 Venus 42373.74 18,100,320 km
47.1 LD
2006-10-16 Earth 65289.75 38,480,951 km
100 LD
2005-10-09 Earth 30398.20 25,791,143 km
67.1 LD
2005-02-09 Earth 51509.55 56,993,552 km
148 LD
2004-08-16 Earth 31694.44 45,876,136 km
119 LD
2003-06-16 Earth 39105.35 26,316,126 km
68.5 LD
2002-07-08 Earth 84823.78 71,030,719 km
185 LD
1993-10-17 Earth 61538.25 33,443,863 km
87.0 LD
1990-06-18 Earth 42043.37 27,017,780 km
70.3 LD
1989-07-09 Earth 87803.33 74,722,142 km
194 LD
1980-10-18 Earth 58468.10 29,369,153 km
76.4 LD
1977-06-19 Earth 45262.54 28,470,267 km
74.1 LD
1968-01-28 Venus 57884.37 20,042,830 km
52.1 LD
1967-10-20 Earth 53002.14 22,078,498 km
57.4 LD
1964-06-22 Earth 52688.80 34,092,570 km
88.7 LD
1955-10-08 Earth 87673.74 68,427,813 km
178 LD
1954-10-22 Earth 41082.02 9,045,317 km
23.5 LD
1951-06-29 Earth 64228.07 46,112,392 km
120 LD
1942-10-09 Earth 83063.06 62,255,675 km
162 LD
1941-10-21 Earth 37896.87 8,980,406 km
23.4 LD
1938-06-29 Earth 66357.79 48,465,375 km
126 LD
1928-10-21 Earth 37176.56 9,350,444 km
24.3 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:12:15.723294+00:00.