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Designation: 2018 TJ3 · NASA id: 3831612
Estimated diameter: 29 – 65 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
451 kilotonnes – 16.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 339.1 days (0.93 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3487920013662908 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .951585528036605 AU |
| Inclination | 10.28042360770259° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6196801072415189 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.283490948831691 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.05893 AU = 8,815,294 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 11.68214863997952° |
| Argument of perihelion | 138.4847444503531° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 139.0748521988416° / 1.061774598109959°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.257 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 20:43:22 |
| Observed | 2018-10-06 to 2018-10-18 (12 day arc, 27 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 89 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 78 of them were approaches to Earth and 11 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.620 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.283 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 339.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0589 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-07-01
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-06-25 | Earth | 51435.33 | 33,007,965 km 85.9 LD |
| 2188-10-22 | Earth | 46869.31 | 14,797,273 km 38.5 LD |
| 2176-10-07 | Earth | 91297.75 | 73,381,631 km 191 LD |
| 2175-10-23 | Earth | 44903.36 | 12,656,242 km 32.9 LD |
| 2172-06-27 | Earth | 57657.61 | 38,826,746 km 101 LD |
| 2163-10-08 | Earth | 90381.81 | 72,229,425 km 188 LD |
| 2163-02-03 | Venus | 57224.66 | 19,753,147 km 51.4 LD |
| 2162-10-23 | Earth | 44032.08 | 11,748,074 km 30.6 LD |
| 2159-06-28 | Earth | 59831.74 | 41,219,334 km 107 LD |
| 2151-10-23 | Venus | 37441.00 | 17,124,246 km 44.5 LD |
| 2150-10-10 | Earth | 85741.84 | 66,010,662 km 172 LD |
| 2149-12-09 | Venus | 50088.39 | 20,837,287 km 54.2 LD |
| 2149-10-23 | Earth | 39983.82 | 9,156,763 km 23.8 LD |
| 2149-01-15 | Earth | 42670.36 | 53,805,127 km 140 LD |
| 2148-09-10 | Earth | 32505.83 | 42,200,750 km 110 LD |
| 2148-03-11 | Earth | 52200.89 | 54,880,845 km 143 LD |
| 2147-07-07 | Earth | 24029.54 | 38,097,098 km 99.1 LD |
| 2147-05-17 | Earth | 30682.99 | 36,520,387 km 95.0 LD |
| 2146-06-29 | Earth | 63011.93 | 44,729,308 km 116 LD |
| 2137-10-08 | Earth | 88525.37 | 69,642,233 km 181 LD |
| 2136-10-23 | Earth | 42874.78 | 10,646,829 km 27.7 LD |
| 2136-01-10 | Earth | 39985.36 | 52,571,204 km 137 LD |
| 2135-09-15 | Earth | 32286.40 | 40,778,204 km 106 LD |
| 2135-03-07 | Earth | 52723.21 | 55,540,415 km 144 LD |
| 2134-07-19 | Earth | 26664.51 | 40,853,020 km 106 LD |
| 2134-05-07 | Earth | 33836.38 | 39,441,860 km 103 LD |
| 2133-06-27 | Earth | 58100.00 | 39,359,613 km 102 LD |
| 2123-10-22 | Earth | 50153.44 | 18,668,375 km 48.6 LD |
| 2120-06-23 | Earth | 50373.73 | 32,059,788 km 83.4 LD |
| 2110-10-20 | Earth | 54816.12 | 24,743,153 km 64.4 LD |
| 2107-06-22 | Earth | 47352.43 | 29,813,581 km 77.6 LD |
| 2097-10-18 | Earth | 59706.84 | 31,157,978 km 81.1 LD |
| 2094-06-17 | Earth | 40918.12 | 26,612,443 km 69.2 LD |
| 2093-07-08 | Earth | 85702.74 | 72,144,189 km 188 LD |
| 2084-10-14 | Earth | 68914.68 | 43,464,986 km 113 LD |
| 2080-07-04 | Earth | 76952.46 | 61,245,595 km 159 LD |
| 2071-10-12 | Earth | 75430.66 | 52,188,035 km 136 LD |
| 2070-10-20 | Earth | 32796.67 | 15,043,464 km 39.1 LD |
| 2067-07-03 | Earth | 74016.76 | 57,737,842 km 150 LD |
| 2058-10-13 | Earth | 73485.55 | 49,521,133 km 129 LD |
| 2057-10-18 | Earth | 31982.49 | 17,022,298 km 44.3 LD |
| 2054-07-03 | Earth | 74735.62 | 58,511,514 km 152 LD |
| 2045-10-12 | Earth | 76356.07 | 53,363,218 km 139 LD |
| 2044-10-20 | Earth | 33493.33 | 13,928,978 km 36.2 LD |
| 2043-08-31 | Earth | 32559.71 | 44,790,746 km 117 LD |
| 2043-03-21 | Earth | 50223.00 | 53,024,561 km 138 LD |
| 2041-07-02 | Earth | 71625.40 | 54,683,203 km 142 LD |
| 2032-10-11 | Earth | 78571.18 | 56,380,874 km 147 LD |
| 2031-10-21 | Earth | 34713.09 | 11,968,631 km 31.1 LD |
| 2031-01-23 | Earth | 46512.14 | 55,484,173 km 144 LD |
| 2030-09-02 | Earth | 32572.73 | 44,366,840 km 115 LD |
| 2030-03-19 | Earth | 50700.68 | 53,446,061 km 139 LD |
| 2029-06-01 | Earth | 28077.47 | 31,367,992 km 81.6 LD |
| 2028-07-01 next | Earth | 70443.49 | 53,287,959 km 139 LD |
| 2022-10-28 | Venus | 54656.70 | 17,659,118 km 45.9 LD |
| 2020-12-16 | Venus | 44017.98 | 10,855,145 km 28.2 LD |
| 2019-10-12 | Earth | 75021.70 | 51,675,352 km 134 LD |
| 2019-02-02 | Venus | 38163.67 | 10,421,202 km 27.1 LD |
| 2018-10-19 | Earth | 32249.46 | 16,148,381 km 42.0 LD |
| 2018-01-29 | Earth | 48844.68 | 56,307,618 km 146 LD |
| 2017-08-26 | Earth | 32364.48 | 45,203,503 km 118 LD |
| 2017-03-25 | Earth | 48909.16 | 51,971,868 km 135 LD |
| 2017-03-18 | Venus | 37674.68 | 13,349,174 km 34.7 LD |
| 2016-06-10 | Earth | 31878.28 | 27,618,878 km 71.8 LD |
| 2015-07-05 | Earth | 77392.33 | 61,902,222 km 161 LD |
| 2015-05-02 | Venus | 38159.78 | 15,938,745 km 41.5 LD |
| 2013-06-13 | Venus | 36883.47 | 17,272,183 km 44.9 LD |
| 2009-09-07 | Venus | 42373.74 | 18,100,320 km 47.1 LD |
| 2006-10-16 | Earth | 65289.75 | 38,480,951 km 100 LD |
| 2005-10-09 | Earth | 30398.20 | 25,791,143 km 67.1 LD |
| 2005-02-09 | Earth | 51509.55 | 56,993,552 km 148 LD |
| 2004-08-16 | Earth | 31694.44 | 45,876,136 km 119 LD |
| 2003-06-16 | Earth | 39105.35 | 26,316,126 km 68.5 LD |
| 2002-07-08 | Earth | 84823.78 | 71,030,719 km 185 LD |
| 1993-10-17 | Earth | 61538.25 | 33,443,863 km 87.0 LD |
| 1990-06-18 | Earth | 42043.37 | 27,017,780 km 70.3 LD |
| 1989-07-09 | Earth | 87803.33 | 74,722,142 km 194 LD |
| 1980-10-18 | Earth | 58468.10 | 29,369,153 km 76.4 LD |
| 1977-06-19 | Earth | 45262.54 | 28,470,267 km 74.1 LD |
| 1968-01-28 | Venus | 57884.37 | 20,042,830 km 52.1 LD |
| 1967-10-20 | Earth | 53002.14 | 22,078,498 km 57.4 LD |
| 1964-06-22 | Earth | 52688.80 | 34,092,570 km 88.7 LD |
| 1955-10-08 | Earth | 87673.74 | 68,427,813 km 178 LD |
| 1954-10-22 | Earth | 41082.02 | 9,045,317 km 23.5 LD |
| 1951-06-29 | Earth | 64228.07 | 46,112,392 km 120 LD |
| 1942-10-09 | Earth | 83063.06 | 62,255,675 km 162 LD |
| 1941-10-21 | Earth | 37896.87 | 8,980,406 km 23.4 LD |
| 1938-06-29 | Earth | 66357.79 | 48,465,375 km 126 LD |
| 1928-10-21 | Earth | 37176.56 | 9,350,444 km 24.3 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:12:15.723294+00:00.