Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2018 VO9)

Designation: 2018 VO9 · NASA id: 3836242

Estimated diameter: 11 – 25 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.9) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 1.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

5 kilotonnes – 188 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period483.7 days (1.32 years)
Eccentricity.1884723139583945 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.205914231942806 AU
Inclination1.717317806528117° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9786327862131852 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.433195677672427 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00378 AU = 566,084 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude254.2842661336787°
Argument of perihelion189.1562537097434°
Mean anomaly / motion82.03768655836524° / .7442681647721993°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.260 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 20:48:17
Observed2018-11-09 to 2019-01-03 (55 day arc, 48 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 93 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Mars and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 83 of them were approaches to Earth, 7 of them were approaches to Mars and 3 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.979 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.433 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 483.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0038 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2150-02-09 Earth 61709.32 69,084,889 km
180 LD
2146-01-06 Earth 13464.44 4,283,809 km
11.1 LD
2142-03-08 Earth 11493.62 36,001,780 km
93.7 LD
2141-10-21 Earth 29668.04 25,065,328 km
65.2 LD
2138-04-16 Earth 21054.80 53,858,122 km
140 LD
2137-10-04 Earth 60001.16 67,278,136 km
175 LD
2134-05-13 Earth 24967.14 63,296,000 km
165 LD
2130-06-05 Earth 26263.05 66,701,995 km
174 LD
2126-06-28 Earth 25232.13 64,618,644 km
168 LD
2122-07-24 Earth 21781.24 56,694,154 km
147 LD
2119-01-28 Earth 37214.63 35,351,029 km
92.0 LD
2118-08-27 Earth 14173.97 41,415,169 km
108 LD
2114-12-09 Earth 10543.98 827,050 km
2.15 LD
2114-12-06 Moon 10045.53 929,014 km
2.42 LD
2114-05-13 Mars 11320.73 7,718,249 km
20.1 LD
2111-02-27 Earth 7548.78 30,710,168 km
79.9 LD
2110-10-29 Earth 23643.99 17,138,327 km
44.6 LD
2107-04-02 Earth 16982.05 45,271,204 km
118 LD
2106-10-16 Earth 43598.49 44,450,308 km
116 LD
2104-11-30 Mars 12093.15 6,082,696 km
15.8 LD
2103-04-24 Earth 21612.08 55,036,944 km
143 LD
2102-10-06 Earth 63866.56 72,851,525 km
190 LD
2099-05-12 Earth 24316.87 61,390,128 km
160 LD
2095-07-08 Mars 11890.23 6,349,763 km
16.5 LD
2095-05-28 Earth 25697.16 64,931,484 km
169 LD
2091-06-13 Earth 25963.33 65,805,736 km
171 LD
2087-06-30 Earth 25179.30 64,038,753 km
167 LD
2086-02-17 Mars 11569.37 7,067,263 km
18.4 LD
2083-07-17 Earth 23214.40 59,518,026 km
155 LD
2080-02-10 Earth 56771.48 62,666,067 km
163 LD
2079-08-06 Earth 19680.24 51,852,856 km
135 LD
2076-09-27 Mars 11431.70 7,523,315 km
19.6 LD
2076-01-30 Earth 35608.47 33,549,277 km
87.3 LD
2075-09-01 Earth 13584.65 40,123,880 km
104 LD
2072-01-12 Earth 15283.94 6,808,095 km
17.7 LD
2067-12-11 Earth 10422.49 834,791 km
2.17 LD
2067-12-10 Moon 13281.80 592,608 km
1.54 LD
2067-04-10 Mars 14889.34 8,826,993 km
23.0 LD
2064-01-20 Earth 17901.64 10,366,174 km
27.0 LD
2060-02-03 Earth 36748.69 35,389,642 km
92.1 LD
2059-08-30 Earth 14288.94 40,346,115 km
105 LD
2056-02-13 Earth 56450.21 62,597,314 km
163 LD
2055-08-06 Earth 19530.90 50,533,687 km
131 LD
2051-07-18 Earth 22637.21 57,187,444 km
149 LD
2047-06-30 Earth 24362.02 61,027,148 km
159 LD
2043-06-14 Earth 24977.61 62,306,192 km
162 LD
2039-05-29 Earth 24571.15 61,074,428 km
159 LD
2035-05-11 Earth 23057.80 57,290,940 km
149 LD
2031-07-28 Mars 11988.18 7,293,769 km
19.0 LD
2031-04-23 Earth 20192.36 50,763,433 km
132 LD
2030-10-11 Earth 56727.21 63,249,106 km
165 LD
2027-03-30 Earth 15057.94 40,745,984 km
106 LD
2026-10-21 next Earth 37243.98 36,128,411 km
94.0 LD
2022-11-04 Earth 18610.22 10,922,348 km
28.4 LD
2018-12-15 Earth 10372.04 1,008,196 km
2.62 LD
2018-12-13 Moon 11869.42 799,943 km
2.08 LD
2015-02-07 Earth 39348.68 39,318,317 km
102 LD
2014-08-28 Earth 15256.99 41,690,510 km
108 LD
2010-07-23 Earth 22010.69 55,425,393 km
144 LD
2006-06-24 Earth 24549.35 60,844,162 km
158 LD
2002-05-28 Earth 23995.91 59,420,807 km
155 LD
1998-04-28 Earth 20385.74 50,860,081 km
132 LD
1997-10-13 Earth 58305.51 65,776,589 km
171 LD
1994-03-13 Earth 9940.82 32,418,754 km
84.3 LD
1993-10-31 Earth 25935.38 20,848,608 km
54.2 LD
1990-01-22 Earth 17898.03 10,749,265 km
28.0 LD
1986-02-15 Earth 55146.61 61,066,104 km
159 LD
1985-08-08 Earth 19246.27 49,382,020 km
128 LD
1981-07-04 Earth 23869.90 59,254,538 km
154 LD
1977-06-04 Earth 24307.65 60,138,279 km
156 LD
1973-05-02 Earth 21081.85 52,283,027 km
136 LD
1972-10-10 Earth 62414.69 71,543,974 km
186 LD
1969-03-13 Earth 10075.60 32,514,451 km
84.6 LD
1968-10-30 Earth 26025.09 21,086,544 km
54.9 LD
1965-01-26 Earth 21915.51 15,895,734 km
41.4 LD
1964-09-30 Earth 6274.13 28,894,455 km
75.2 LD
1961-02-17 Earth 60484.57 68,494,988 km
178 LD
1960-08-01 Earth 20247.59 51,447,620 km
134 LD
1956-06-28 Earth 24143.18 59,958,790 km
156 LD
1952-05-27 Earth 23961.93 59,029,325 km
154 LD
1948-04-21 Earth 19225.86 48,489,098 km
126 LD
1947-10-15 Earth 52922.95 58,243,079 km
152 LD
1943-11-12 Earth 15170.29 6,753,999 km
17.6 LD
1940-01-28 Earth 25212.98 20,163,131 km
52.5 LD
1939-09-21 Earth 8808.27 31,848,225 km
82.9 LD
1936-02-14 Earth 54751.42 60,560,984 km
158 LD
1935-08-08 Earth 19186.70 49,456,894 km
129 LD
1931-07-11 Earth 23386.44 58,397,371 km
152 LD
1927-06-16 Earth 24680.53 61,375,454 km
160 LD
1923-05-23 Earth 23811.74 58,939,433 km
153 LD
1919-04-26 Earth 20256.38 50,721,536 km
132 LD
1918-10-12 Earth 57619.18 64,822,190 km
169 LD
1914-10-28 Earth 28607.77 24,563,447 km
63.9 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-18T09:20:19.108412+00:00.