Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2019 AE3)

Designation: 2019 AE3 · NASA id: 3837605

Estimated diameter: 9 – 20 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.4) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 2.0 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

5 kilotonnes – 197 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period362.3 days (0.99 years)
Eccentricity.09956206701989563 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9945568421425466 AU
Inclination14.81962313088454° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8955367071700545 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.093576977115039 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00371 AU = 554,378 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude101.6762523882961°
Argument of perihelion268.3417453303829°
Mean anomaly / motion56.94965856171937° / .9937099985395742°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.073 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 20:58:32
Observed2019-01-03 to 2019-01-05 (2 day arc, 23 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 46 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 45 of them were approaches to Earth and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.896 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.094 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 362.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0037 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-07-01

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2118-01-03 Earth 30315.89 31,228,144 km
81.2 LD
2117-01-01 Earth 28410.34 21,116,083 km
54.9 LD
2116-01-02 Earth 28170.43 11,070,385 km
28.8 LD
2115-01-03 Earth 29784.83 1,534,160 km
3.99 LD
2114-01-03 Earth 30839.61 2,649,901 km
6.89 LD
2113-01-05 Earth 33584.39 10,508,958 km
27.3 LD
2112-01-07 Earth 37603.64 19,383,388 km
50.4 LD
2111-01-09 Earth 42493.71 28,773,116 km
74.9 LD
2110-01-11 Earth 48071.38 38,504,814 km
100 LD
2035-06-03 Earth 68515.47 73,247,509 km
191 LD
2034-06-05 Earth 62148.07 63,546,648 km
165 LD
2033-06-09 Earth 55947.70 53,878,926 km
140 LD
2032-06-12 Earth 50081.61 44,288,219 km
115 LD
2031-06-16 Earth 44619.52 34,829,741 km
90.6 LD
2030-06-19 Earth 39650.12 25,676,844 km
66.8 LD
2029-06-23 Earth 35375.70 17,024,514 km
44.3 LD
2028-06-26 Earth 32067.26 9,355,855 km
24.3 LD
2027-07-01 next Earth 29837.33 4,944,080 km
12.9 LD
2026-07-04 Earth 28402.79 8,015,038 km
20.9 LD
2025-07-08 Earth 27737.40 14,613,745 km
38.0 LD
2025-01-08 Earth 32688.53 40,671,209 km
106 LD
2024-07-13 Earth 28039.89 22,003,938 km
57.2 LD
2024-01-03 Earth 30643.89 32,886,310 km
85.6 LD
2023-07-21 Earth 29195.52 29,596,479 km
77.0 LD
2023-01-01 Earth 28826.11 24,802,974 km
64.5 LD
2022-07-31 Earth 30645.05 37,102,688 km
96.5 LD
2021-12-31 Earth 28012.61 16,732,801 km
43.5 LD
2020-12-31 Earth 28333.91 8,921,476 km
23.2 LD
2020-01-02 Earth 29675.18 1,865,745 km
4.85 LD
2019-01-02 Earth 30454.04 778,954 km
2.03 LD
2019-01-02 Moon 31258.65 1,100,076 km
2.86 LD
2018-01-05 Earth 35483.13 14,797,348 km
38.5 LD
2017-01-08 Earth 43053.35 29,508,174 km
76.8 LD
2016-01-12 Earth 51941.46 44,455,317 km
116 LD
2015-01-16 Earth 61522.75 59,451,498 km
155 LD
2014-01-20 Earth 71535.29 74,408,510 km
194 LD
1966-06-04 Earth 61791.41 62,934,625 km
164 LD
1965-06-09 Earth 52645.92 48,493,948 km
126 LD
1964-06-14 Earth 44177.15 34,143,162 km
88.8 LD
1963-06-21 Earth 36846.39 20,192,239 km
52.5 LD
1960-01-03 Earth 29992.71 30,850,150 km
80.3 LD
1959-01-01 Earth 27956.82 16,966,216 km
44.1 LD
1958-01-02 Earth 29293.33 3,213,850 km
8.36 LD
1957-01-03 Earth 32722.16 8,120,164 km
21.1 LD
1956-01-07 Earth 38313.51 20,707,498 km
53.9 LD
1955-01-09 Earth 45453.84 33,790,388 km
87.9 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T15:37:05.354849+00:00.