Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2019 ED1)

Designation: 2019 ED1 · NASA id: 3838904 · Sentry Object

Estimated diameter: 8 – 18 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.63) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
On a monitored risk list
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.8 lunar distances.
  • It is on the Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance above zero — 2,207 of them. Being listed is not by itself a warning.
  • The computed chance is about 1 in 77,051, over the window 2070–2103.
  • Palermo -6.25 — below zero, meaning less than the background risk from everything not yet found.
  • Torino 0.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

6 kilotonnes – 242 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period312.0 days (0.85 years)
Eccentricity.3284688665497679 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9001851474595259 AU
Inclination5.332144109103043° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6045023523885598 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.195867942530492 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00109 AU = 162,754 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude341.4835885959514°
Argument of perihelion53.88898821957532°
Mean anomaly / motion39.4455884855246° / 1.15400132992191°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.563 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 07:01:12
Observed2019-03-05 to 2019-03-14 (9 day arc, 49 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 71 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 50 of them were approaches to Earth, 18 of them were approaches to Venus and 3 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.605 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.196 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 312.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0011 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2031-03-24

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2066-03-01 Earth 34666.24 704,325 km
1.83 LD
2066-03-01 Moon 31279.91 309,557 km
0.81 LD — closer than the Moon
2062-08-13 Venus 32454.05 8,702,171 km
22.6 LD
2061-06-17 Earth 46291.24 22,546,536 km
58.7 LD
2060-10-17 Earth 50879.31 58,265,943 km
152 LD
2060-03-01 Earth 35363.33 1,942,132 km
5.05 LD
2055-08-03 Venus 63984.46 21,283,925 km
55.4 LD
2055-06-19 Earth 34092.31 13,649,987 km
35.5 LD
2054-11-01 Earth 51243.12 58,719,389 km
153 LD
2054-03-04 Earth 50739.59 23,218,296 km
60.4 LD
2051-05-13 Venus 29273.98 17,513,235 km
45.6 LD
2049-06-06 Earth 23430.90 22,598,886 km
58.8 LD
2048-11-18 Earth 48116.57 56,913,644 km
148 LD
2048-03-10 Earth 66957.26 44,971,152 km
117 LD
2047-03-29 Venus 35136.55 6,989,636 km
18.2 LD
2043-08-11 Earth 27421.77 42,058,409 km
109 LD
2043-05-07 Earth 26217.29 30,339,683 km
78.9 LD
2042-12-08 Earth 40951.30 52,610,582 km
137 LD
2042-03-16 Earth 82875.30 65,995,525 km
172 LD
2040-03-21 Venus 49193.41 8,261,073 km
21.5 LD
2038-06-02 Earth 83886.66 69,805,599 km
182 LD
2037-09-03 Earth 38589.55 50,173,820 km
131 LD
2037-04-14 Earth 26827.43 30,003,088 km
78.1 LD
2036-12-29 Earth 30037.25 45,472,043 km
118 LD
2036-01-13 Venus 32851.12 20,901,379 km
54.4 LD
2032-06-06 Earth 71168.73 53,356,623 km
139 LD
2031-11-13 Venus 42485.14 5,383,979 km
14.0 LD
2031-09-20 Earth 45200.92 54,714,427 km
142 LD
2031-03-24 next Earth 25456.04 23,613,514 km
61.4 LD
2026-06-12 Earth 56887.41 35,143,932 km
91.4 LD
2025-10-06 Earth 49870.06 57,668,727 km
150 LD
2025-03-03 Earth 28560.93 8,425,526 km
21.9 LD
2024-11-04 Venus 44278.99 4,341,006 km
11.3 LD
2020-08-21 Venus 32127.13 20,231,575 km
52.6 LD
2020-06-15 Earth 48610.60 25,111,527 km
65.3 LD
2019-10-15 Earth 51032.55 58,359,364 km
152 LD
2019-03-01 Earth 34557.85 391,420 km
1.02 LD
2019-03-01 Moon 36650.38 621,645 km
1.62 LD
2014-08-16 Earth 31325.14 45,803,682 km
119 LD
2014-04-26 Earth 26830.12 29,814,666 km
77.6 LD
2013-12-17 Earth 36579.82 50,165,561 km
131 LD
2013-11-05 Venus 31647.38 19,509,237 km
50.8 LD
2009-06-14 Earth 39126.21 15,336,762 km
39.9 LD
2008-10-29 Earth 52728.02 59,956,309 km
156 LD
2008-03-05 Earth 54614.04 28,238,220 km
73.5 LD
2007-02-25 Venus 33578.89 21,498,858 km
55.9 LD
2004-05-31 Earth 80297.89 64,770,156 km
168 LD
2003-09-14 Earth 44570.42 54,842,945 km
143 LD
2003-03-24 Earth 25648.99 23,367,941 km
60.8 LD
2000-06-21 Venus 28757.70 12,488,145 km
32.5 LD
1998-06-06 Earth 24098.48 20,638,468 km
53.7 LD
1997-11-19 Earth 48823.58 57,681,253 km
150 LD
1997-10-03 Venus 63154.94 19,673,468 km
51.2 LD
1997-03-12 Earth 73600.38 53,370,381 km
139 LD
1993-09-22 Venus 44174.36 5,241,331 km
13.6 LD
1993-06-07 Earth 63288.72 42,814,992 km
111 LD
1992-10-03 Earth 50785.24 58,742,387 km
153 LD
1992-03-01 Earth 30740.31 4,859,911 km
12.6 LD
1991-01-01 Venus 47015.68 5,575,178 km
14.5 LD
1987-07-25 Earth 19516.92 38,351,543 km
99.8 LD
1987-05-13 Earth 25651.06 28,162,884 km
73.3 LD
1986-12-19 Venus 52541.24 11,075,735 km
28.8 LD
1986-12-03 Earth 43354.67 54,421,169 km
142 LD
1986-03-16 Earth 85230.01 68,658,949 km
179 LD
1984-03-28 Venus 43185.64 2,624,933 km
6.83 LD
1982-06-09 Earth 56763.86 34,463,443 km
89.7 LD
1981-10-08 Earth 51720.52 59,178,593 km
154 LD
1981-02-28 Earth 34177.45 532,316 km
1.38 LD
1981-02-28 Moon 36887.06 491,518 km
1.28 LD
1980-03-11 Venus 44897.44 5,573,088 km
14.5 LD
1935-02-28 Earth 36040.52 2,790,551 km
7.26 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T23:57:49.151076+00:00.