Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2019 ER2)

Designation: 2019 ER2 · NASA id: 3840113

Estimated diameter: 18 – 39 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.9) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 8.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

28 kilotonnes – 1.1 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period499.1 days (1.37 years)
Eccentricity.1971036215979947 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.231383579799097 AU
Inclination3.602275045163194° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9886734166443919 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.474093742953803 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01090 AU = 1,630,662 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude179.9576822788189°
Argument of perihelion34.4857211709306°
Mean anomaly / motion295.2556108609114° / .7212968519935291°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.178 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 21:06:07
Observed2019-03-15 to 2019-04-05 (21 day arc, 33 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 40 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 34 of them were approaches to Earth and 6 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.989 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.474 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 499.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0109 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-29

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2104-11-02 Earth 29120.26 72,268,703 km
188 LD
2101-07-10 Earth 60657.00 66,859,865 km
174 LD
2100-12-21 Earth 23441.67 59,455,422 km
155 LD
2097-11-11 Mars 15394.70 6,588,874 km
17.1 LD
2097-03-21 Earth 19152.81 6,259,741 km
16.3 LD
2093-10-04 Earth 27590.85 68,808,262 km
179 LD
2089-11-24 Earth 27960.54 69,684,579 km
181 LD
2086-06-10 Earth 19563.23 12,714,322 km
33.1 LD
2082-12-06 Mars 16362.14 8,601,678 km
22.4 LD
2082-09-13 Earth 24081.64 60,525,520 km
157 LD
2082-02-21 Earth 66902.36 73,477,682 km
191 LD
2078-11-04 Earth 29307.50 72,643,146 km
189 LD
2075-07-04 Earth 52379.53 55,254,481 km
144 LD
2074-12-28 Earth 21535.56 55,671,002 km
145 LD
2071-08-08 Earth 14628.97 42,352,072 km
110 LD
2071-03-10 Earth 33288.35 26,122,151 km
68.0 LD
2067-12-03 Mars 18225.71 10,552,907 km
27.5 LD
2067-10-13 Earth 28523.47 70,797,549 km
184 LD
2063-12-02 Earth 26894.50 67,209,075 km
175 LD
2056-09-17 Earth 24973.88 62,419,828 km
162 LD
2052-11-20 Mars 19982.53 13,282,298 km
34.6 LD
2052-11-05 Earth 29118.32 72,300,732 km
188 LD
2049-07-03 Earth 51094.47 53,466,571 km
139 LD
2048-12-29 Earth 21195.84 54,869,093 km
143 LD
2045-03-10 Earth 32432.06 24,914,457 km
64.8 LD
2041-10-10 Earth 28214.75 70,121,407 km
182 LD
2037-11-27 Earth 27389.89 68,235,328 km
178 LD
2037-11-04 Mars 20096.77 13,450,369 km
35.0 LD
2030-09-09 Earth 23261.39 58,643,009 km
153 LD
2030-02-23 Earth 62779.78 67,791,894 km
176 LD
2026-10-29 next Earth 29129.69 72,210,297 km
188 LD
2023-07-10 Earth 64088.45 71,924,938 km
187 LD
2022-12-16 Earth 24147.15 60,887,535 km
158 LD
2022-10-07 Mars 17337.33 9,179,830 km
23.9 LD
2019-03-25 Earth 17112.37 3,411,896 km
8.88 LD
2015-10-07 Earth 28232.99 70,365,927 km
183 LD
2011-12-03 Earth 26794.49 67,173,013 km
175 LD
2008-03-24 Earth 17335.90 3,725,026 km
9.69 LD
2004-10-15 Earth 29462.26 73,745,351 km
192 LD
1939-08-30 Earth 21722.45 56,211,156 km
146 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-25T08:09:37.726555+00:00.