Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2019 GM1)

Designation: 2019 GM1 · NASA id: 3840791

Estimated diameter: 9 – 21 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.25) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 6.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

2 kilotonnes – 59 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period367.6 days (1.01 years)
Eccentricity.0709665058865124 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.004322780349532 AU
Inclination6.749502796887616° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9330495018458986 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.075596058853166 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01583 AU = 2,368,882 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude187.0866939186166°
Argument of perihelion105.898011100449°
Mean anomaly / motion124.1436021346959° / .9792511798826129°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.051 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2022-03-31 05:56:59
Observed2019-04-03 to 2022-03-28 (1090 day arc, 39 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 101 total.

next approach: 2027-09-28

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2152-10-04 Earth 58588.07 66,821,001 km
174 LD
2151-10-03 Earth 51358.57 56,649,039 km
147 LD
2150-09-30 Earth 44456.54 46,621,582 km
121 LD
2149-09-27 Earth 37644.45 36,746,811 km
95.6 LD
2148-09-25 Earth 31298.71 27,176,770 km
70.7 LD
2147-09-24 Earth 25478.90 18,121,258 km
47.1 LD
2146-09-23 Earth 20611.97 9,993,907 km
26.0 LD
2145-09-22 Earth 17357.54 3,758,187 km
9.78 LD
2144-09-22 Earth 16661.17 2,374,911 km
6.18 LD
2143-09-23 Earth 19479.39 7,827,140 km
20.4 LD
2142-09-24 Earth 24163.45 15,785,602 km
41.1 LD
2141-09-25 Earth 29822.70 24,766,214 km
64.4 LD
2140-09-27 Earth 36195.79 34,307,327 km
89.2 LD
2139-09-30 Earth 43018.96 44,178,969 km
115 LD
2138-10-02 Earth 50004.74 54,247,613 km
141 LD
2137-10-05 Earth 57129.14 64,399,107 km
168 LD
2136-10-07 Earth 64421.69 74,571,654 km
194 LD
2067-02-13 Earth 63586.36 72,596,886 km
189 LD
2066-02-15 Earth 56154.61 62,301,483 km
162 LD
2065-02-18 Earth 48742.47 52,027,206 km
135 LD
2064-02-22 Earth 41591.83 41,900,625 km
109 LD
2063-02-25 Earth 34799.15 32,045,039 km
83.4 LD
2062-03-01 Earth 28438.18 22,615,999 km
58.8 LD
2061-03-04 Earth 22816.89 13,955,546 km
36.3 LD
2060-03-09 Earth 18532.73 6,936,914 km
18.0 LD
2059-03-13 Earth 16167.73 3,871,584 km
10.1 LD
2058-03-17 Earth 14852.22 4,783,480 km
12.4 LD
2057-03-23 Earth 13688.78 8,412,735 km
21.9 LD
2056-04-06 Earth 13285.83 13,340,580 km
34.7 LD
2055-04-29 Earth 13067.51 17,967,053 km
46.7 LD
2054-12-23 Earth 9048.45 21,674,120 km
56.4 LD
2054-05-26 Earth 11829.19 21,039,441 km
54.7 LD
2053-11-11 Earth 11607.22 20,115,207 km
52.3 LD
2053-06-29 Earth 9878.17 21,703,859 km
56.5 LD
2052-10-11 Earth 12501.66 15,810,557 km
41.1 LD
2051-09-27 Earth 12671.58 10,302,119 km
26.8 LD
2050-09-24 Earth 13729.58 5,402,373 km
14.1 LD
2049-09-23 Earth 14680.53 2,768,006 km
7.20 LD
2048-09-23 Earth 13931.99 4,656,451 km
12.1 LD
2047-09-26 Earth 12729.60 9,288,638 km
24.2 LD
2046-10-04 Earth 12335.45 15,044,774 km
39.1 LD
2045-11-07 Earth 11611.77 20,224,503 km
52.6 LD
2045-07-12 Earth 9751.65 20,780,806 km
54.1 LD
2044-12-13 Earth 9950.63 22,673,078 km
59.0 LD
2044-05-27 Earth 10786.33 20,346,048 km
52.9 LD
2044-01-25 Earth 10255.57 21,728,504 km
56.5 LD
2043-04-10 Earth 12504.06 15,923,212 km
41.4 LD
2042-03-28 Earth 12701.39 9,964,799 km
25.9 LD
2041-03-25 Earth 13922.40 4,991,071 km
13.0 LD
2040-03-24 Earth 14759.60 2,698,512 km
7.02 LD
2039-03-26 Earth 13693.75 5,576,985 km
14.5 LD
2038-03-27 Earth 12542.05 10,726,901 km
27.9 LD
2037-03-20 Earth 12519.52 16,824,377 km
43.8 LD
2036-06-05 Earth 10470.32 21,285,318 km
55.4 LD
2036-01-22 Earth 10283.37 21,224,612 km
55.2 LD
2035-07-12 Earth 10765.49 21,691,299 km
56.4 LD
2034-11-29 Earth 9665.14 21,206,145 km
55.2 LD
2034-08-15 Earth 12139.49 19,052,534 km
49.6 LD
2033-09-13 Earth 12613.38 14,083,743 km
36.6 LD
2032-09-26 Earth 13091.84 8,628,389 km
22.4 LD
2031-10-01 Earth 14385.77 4,349,985 km
11.3 LD
2030-10-03 Earth 15294.86 2,708,577 km
7.05 LD
2029-10-03 Earth 15313.31 2,691,408 km
7.00 LD
2028-10-01 Earth 14680.86 3,910,397 km
10.2 LD
2027-09-28 next Earth 13567.42 7,613,075 km
19.8 LD
2026-09-17 Earth 13109.04 12,667,838 km
33.0 LD
2025-08-24 Earth 12887.48 17,583,751 km
45.7 LD
2025-01-19 Earth 10560.25 22,252,617 km
57.9 LD
2024-07-21 Earth 10892.22 20,664,192 km
53.8 LD
2024-02-18 Earth 12445.53 19,618,138 km
51.0 LD
2023-03-13 Earth 12934.17 15,236,751 km
39.6 LD
2022-03-26 Earth 13112.69 10,186,379 km
26.5 LD
2021-03-31 Earth 13957.13 5,774,138 km
15.0 LD
2020-04-02 Earth 14991.73 3,416,663 km
8.89 LD
2019-04-04 Earth 15788.79 3,021,322 km
7.86 LD
2018-04-05 Earth 17339.54 4,986,772 km
13.0 LD
2017-04-05 Earth 20850.20 11,256,907 km
29.3 LD
2016-04-05 Earth 25972.49 19,573,634 km
50.9 LD
2015-04-04 Earth 31976.22 28,838,241 km
75.0 LD
2014-04-03 Earth 38570.85 38,646,926 km
101 LD
2013-03-31 Earth 45599.72 48,765,527 km
127 LD
2012-03-29 Earth 52717.93 59,020,437 km
154 LD
2011-03-27 Earth 60133.18 69,402,570 km
181 LD
1939-10-30 Earth 59089.37 67,510,978 km
176 LD
1938-10-27 Earth 51773.67 57,099,373 km
149 LD
1937-10-24 Earth 44447.50 46,740,418 km
122 LD
1936-10-20 Earth 37521.63 36,581,415 km
95.2 LD
1935-10-18 Earth 30856.56 26,759,558 km
69.6 LD
1934-10-15 Earth 24999.72 17,529,517 km
45.6 LD
1933-10-11 Earth 20069.78 9,321,545 km
24.2 LD
1932-10-07 Earth 17006.62 3,616,028 km
9.41 LD
1931-10-07 Earth 16145.01 2,554,410 km
6.65 LD
1930-10-08 Earth 16476.23 2,918,295 km
7.59 LD
1929-10-10 Earth 18568.01 6,671,022 km
17.4 LD
1928-10-13 Earth 22515.62 13,788,862 km
35.9 LD
1927-10-18 Earth 27760.84 22,378,317 km
58.2 LD
1926-10-21 Earth 33908.17 31,711,888 km
82.5 LD
1925-10-23 Earth 40590.25 41,452,702 km
108 LD
1924-10-26 Earth 47502.19 51,449,824 km
134 LD
1923-10-30 Earth 54631.79 61,613,767 km
160 LD
1922-11-02 Earth 61974.30 71,856,340 km
187 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:14:31.913010+00:00.