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Designation: 2019 GM1 · NASA id: 3840791
Estimated diameter: 9 – 21 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
2 kilotonnes – 59 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 367.6 days (1.01 years) |
| Eccentricity | .0709665058865124 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.004322780349532 AU |
| Inclination | 6.749502796887616° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9330495018458986 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.075596058853166 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01583 AU = 2,368,882 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 187.0866939186166° |
| Argument of perihelion | 105.898011100449° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 124.1436021346959° / .9792511798826129°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.051 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2022-03-31 05:56:59 |
| Observed | 2019-04-03 to 2022-03-28 (1090 day arc, 39 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 101 total.
next approach: 2027-09-28
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2152-10-04 | Earth | 58588.07 | 66,821,001 km 174 LD |
| 2151-10-03 | Earth | 51358.57 | 56,649,039 km 147 LD |
| 2150-09-30 | Earth | 44456.54 | 46,621,582 km 121 LD |
| 2149-09-27 | Earth | 37644.45 | 36,746,811 km 95.6 LD |
| 2148-09-25 | Earth | 31298.71 | 27,176,770 km 70.7 LD |
| 2147-09-24 | Earth | 25478.90 | 18,121,258 km 47.1 LD |
| 2146-09-23 | Earth | 20611.97 | 9,993,907 km 26.0 LD |
| 2145-09-22 | Earth | 17357.54 | 3,758,187 km 9.78 LD |
| 2144-09-22 | Earth | 16661.17 | 2,374,911 km 6.18 LD |
| 2143-09-23 | Earth | 19479.39 | 7,827,140 km 20.4 LD |
| 2142-09-24 | Earth | 24163.45 | 15,785,602 km 41.1 LD |
| 2141-09-25 | Earth | 29822.70 | 24,766,214 km 64.4 LD |
| 2140-09-27 | Earth | 36195.79 | 34,307,327 km 89.2 LD |
| 2139-09-30 | Earth | 43018.96 | 44,178,969 km 115 LD |
| 2138-10-02 | Earth | 50004.74 | 54,247,613 km 141 LD |
| 2137-10-05 | Earth | 57129.14 | 64,399,107 km 168 LD |
| 2136-10-07 | Earth | 64421.69 | 74,571,654 km 194 LD |
| 2067-02-13 | Earth | 63586.36 | 72,596,886 km 189 LD |
| 2066-02-15 | Earth | 56154.61 | 62,301,483 km 162 LD |
| 2065-02-18 | Earth | 48742.47 | 52,027,206 km 135 LD |
| 2064-02-22 | Earth | 41591.83 | 41,900,625 km 109 LD |
| 2063-02-25 | Earth | 34799.15 | 32,045,039 km 83.4 LD |
| 2062-03-01 | Earth | 28438.18 | 22,615,999 km 58.8 LD |
| 2061-03-04 | Earth | 22816.89 | 13,955,546 km 36.3 LD |
| 2060-03-09 | Earth | 18532.73 | 6,936,914 km 18.0 LD |
| 2059-03-13 | Earth | 16167.73 | 3,871,584 km 10.1 LD |
| 2058-03-17 | Earth | 14852.22 | 4,783,480 km 12.4 LD |
| 2057-03-23 | Earth | 13688.78 | 8,412,735 km 21.9 LD |
| 2056-04-06 | Earth | 13285.83 | 13,340,580 km 34.7 LD |
| 2055-04-29 | Earth | 13067.51 | 17,967,053 km 46.7 LD |
| 2054-12-23 | Earth | 9048.45 | 21,674,120 km 56.4 LD |
| 2054-05-26 | Earth | 11829.19 | 21,039,441 km 54.7 LD |
| 2053-11-11 | Earth | 11607.22 | 20,115,207 km 52.3 LD |
| 2053-06-29 | Earth | 9878.17 | 21,703,859 km 56.5 LD |
| 2052-10-11 | Earth | 12501.66 | 15,810,557 km 41.1 LD |
| 2051-09-27 | Earth | 12671.58 | 10,302,119 km 26.8 LD |
| 2050-09-24 | Earth | 13729.58 | 5,402,373 km 14.1 LD |
| 2049-09-23 | Earth | 14680.53 | 2,768,006 km 7.20 LD |
| 2048-09-23 | Earth | 13931.99 | 4,656,451 km 12.1 LD |
| 2047-09-26 | Earth | 12729.60 | 9,288,638 km 24.2 LD |
| 2046-10-04 | Earth | 12335.45 | 15,044,774 km 39.1 LD |
| 2045-11-07 | Earth | 11611.77 | 20,224,503 km 52.6 LD |
| 2045-07-12 | Earth | 9751.65 | 20,780,806 km 54.1 LD |
| 2044-12-13 | Earth | 9950.63 | 22,673,078 km 59.0 LD |
| 2044-05-27 | Earth | 10786.33 | 20,346,048 km 52.9 LD |
| 2044-01-25 | Earth | 10255.57 | 21,728,504 km 56.5 LD |
| 2043-04-10 | Earth | 12504.06 | 15,923,212 km 41.4 LD |
| 2042-03-28 | Earth | 12701.39 | 9,964,799 km 25.9 LD |
| 2041-03-25 | Earth | 13922.40 | 4,991,071 km 13.0 LD |
| 2040-03-24 | Earth | 14759.60 | 2,698,512 km 7.02 LD |
| 2039-03-26 | Earth | 13693.75 | 5,576,985 km 14.5 LD |
| 2038-03-27 | Earth | 12542.05 | 10,726,901 km 27.9 LD |
| 2037-03-20 | Earth | 12519.52 | 16,824,377 km 43.8 LD |
| 2036-06-05 | Earth | 10470.32 | 21,285,318 km 55.4 LD |
| 2036-01-22 | Earth | 10283.37 | 21,224,612 km 55.2 LD |
| 2035-07-12 | Earth | 10765.49 | 21,691,299 km 56.4 LD |
| 2034-11-29 | Earth | 9665.14 | 21,206,145 km 55.2 LD |
| 2034-08-15 | Earth | 12139.49 | 19,052,534 km 49.6 LD |
| 2033-09-13 | Earth | 12613.38 | 14,083,743 km 36.6 LD |
| 2032-09-26 | Earth | 13091.84 | 8,628,389 km 22.4 LD |
| 2031-10-01 | Earth | 14385.77 | 4,349,985 km 11.3 LD |
| 2030-10-03 | Earth | 15294.86 | 2,708,577 km 7.05 LD |
| 2029-10-03 | Earth | 15313.31 | 2,691,408 km 7.00 LD |
| 2028-10-01 | Earth | 14680.86 | 3,910,397 km 10.2 LD |
| 2027-09-28 next | Earth | 13567.42 | 7,613,075 km 19.8 LD |
| 2026-09-17 | Earth | 13109.04 | 12,667,838 km 33.0 LD |
| 2025-08-24 | Earth | 12887.48 | 17,583,751 km 45.7 LD |
| 2025-01-19 | Earth | 10560.25 | 22,252,617 km 57.9 LD |
| 2024-07-21 | Earth | 10892.22 | 20,664,192 km 53.8 LD |
| 2024-02-18 | Earth | 12445.53 | 19,618,138 km 51.0 LD |
| 2023-03-13 | Earth | 12934.17 | 15,236,751 km 39.6 LD |
| 2022-03-26 | Earth | 13112.69 | 10,186,379 km 26.5 LD |
| 2021-03-31 | Earth | 13957.13 | 5,774,138 km 15.0 LD |
| 2020-04-02 | Earth | 14991.73 | 3,416,663 km 8.89 LD |
| 2019-04-04 | Earth | 15788.79 | 3,021,322 km 7.86 LD |
| 2018-04-05 | Earth | 17339.54 | 4,986,772 km 13.0 LD |
| 2017-04-05 | Earth | 20850.20 | 11,256,907 km 29.3 LD |
| 2016-04-05 | Earth | 25972.49 | 19,573,634 km 50.9 LD |
| 2015-04-04 | Earth | 31976.22 | 28,838,241 km 75.0 LD |
| 2014-04-03 | Earth | 38570.85 | 38,646,926 km 101 LD |
| 2013-03-31 | Earth | 45599.72 | 48,765,527 km 127 LD |
| 2012-03-29 | Earth | 52717.93 | 59,020,437 km 154 LD |
| 2011-03-27 | Earth | 60133.18 | 69,402,570 km 181 LD |
| 1939-10-30 | Earth | 59089.37 | 67,510,978 km 176 LD |
| 1938-10-27 | Earth | 51773.67 | 57,099,373 km 149 LD |
| 1937-10-24 | Earth | 44447.50 | 46,740,418 km 122 LD |
| 1936-10-20 | Earth | 37521.63 | 36,581,415 km 95.2 LD |
| 1935-10-18 | Earth | 30856.56 | 26,759,558 km 69.6 LD |
| 1934-10-15 | Earth | 24999.72 | 17,529,517 km 45.6 LD |
| 1933-10-11 | Earth | 20069.78 | 9,321,545 km 24.2 LD |
| 1932-10-07 | Earth | 17006.62 | 3,616,028 km 9.41 LD |
| 1931-10-07 | Earth | 16145.01 | 2,554,410 km 6.65 LD |
| 1930-10-08 | Earth | 16476.23 | 2,918,295 km 7.59 LD |
| 1929-10-10 | Earth | 18568.01 | 6,671,022 km 17.4 LD |
| 1928-10-13 | Earth | 22515.62 | 13,788,862 km 35.9 LD |
| 1927-10-18 | Earth | 27760.84 | 22,378,317 km 58.2 LD |
| 1926-10-21 | Earth | 33908.17 | 31,711,888 km 82.5 LD |
| 1925-10-23 | Earth | 40590.25 | 41,452,702 km 108 LD |
| 1924-10-26 | Earth | 47502.19 | 51,449,824 km 134 LD |
| 1923-10-30 | Earth | 54631.79 | 61,613,767 km 160 LD |
| 1922-11-02 | Earth | 61974.30 | 71,856,340 km 187 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:14:31.913010+00:00.