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Designation: 2019 LX1 · NASA id: 3842774
Estimated diameter: 33 – 75 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
60 kilotonnes – 2.2 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 422.2 days (1.16 years) |
| Eccentricity | .08699367098314527 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.101333714623984 AU |
| Inclination | 4.422345917111269° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.00552465181134 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.197142777436628 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.04756 AU = 7,115,578 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 257.4550531788628° |
| Argument of perihelion | 88.26061797644232° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 136.3519053729261° / .8527577449598907°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.639 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 21:23:10 |
| Observed | 2019-06-03 to 2020-01-04 (215 day arc, 26 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 68 total.
next approach: 2027-03-01
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2187-10-29 | Earth | 36601.53 | 42,191,549 km 110 LD |
| 2187-04-11 | Earth | 13274.02 | 30,361,190 km 79.0 LD |
| 2180-02-07 | Earth | 14570.52 | 32,186,784 km 83.7 LD |
| 2179-06-30 | Earth | 43843.47 | 52,393,093 km 136 LD |
| 2172-07-09 | Earth | 13952.68 | 10,024,826 km 26.1 LD |
| 2165-10-24 | Earth | 19375.69 | 18,428,773 km 47.9 LD |
| 2158-10-31 | Earth | 46169.84 | 55,601,425 km 145 LD |
| 2151-01-30 | Earth | 14440.35 | 31,402,031 km 81.7 LD |
| 2150-07-01 | Earth | 40501.48 | 47,646,529 km 124 LD |
| 2143-07-10 | Earth | 15683.46 | 12,071,486 km 31.4 LD |
| 2136-10-23 | Earth | 13897.03 | 11,975,992 km 31.2 LD |
| 2129-10-29 | Earth | 40091.41 | 47,171,937 km 123 LD |
| 2129-04-02 | Earth | 13587.51 | 31,604,039 km 82.2 LD |
| 2122-02-08 | Earth | 14820.79 | 32,631,673 km 84.9 LD |
| 2121-06-28 | Earth | 45701.26 | 55,075,586 km 143 LD |
| 2114-12-12 | Earth | 11207.38 | 20,411,871 km 53.1 LD |
| 2114-07-08 | Earth | 19440.96 | 17,179,355 km 44.7 LD |
| 2107-10-24 | Earth | 13849.64 | 11,958,447 km 31.1 LD |
| 2100-10-29 | Earth | 44352.67 | 53,257,314 km 139 LD |
| 2100-03-24 | Earth | 13979.87 | 32,557,335 km 84.7 LD |
| 2093-01-21 | Earth | 14238.35 | 30,109,839 km 78.3 LD |
| 2092-06-30 | Earth | 37101.18 | 42,582,711 km 111 LD |
| 2085-11-03 | Earth | 9014.16 | 11,126,938 km 28.9 LD |
| 2085-07-06 | Earth | 10011.53 | 7,749,611 km 20.2 LD |
| 2078-10-25 | Earth | 32734.60 | 37,047,642 km 96.4 LD |
| 2078-04-16 | Earth | 12598.94 | 29,036,959 km 75.5 LD |
| 2071-02-16 | Earth | 14818.02 | 33,234,243 km 86.5 LD |
| 2070-06-25 | Earth | 50129.01 | 61,427,600 km 160 LD |
| 2063-12-16 | Earth | 11788.15 | 21,686,668 km 56.4 LD |
| 2063-07-07 | Earth | 21266.12 | 19,656,628 km 51.1 LD |
| 2056-10-21 | Earth | 15317.79 | 13,764,351 km 35.8 LD |
| 2056-06-06 | Earth | 9102.22 | 16,943,903 km 44.1 LD |
| 2049-10-29 | Earth | 48745.73 | 59,463,410 km 155 LD |
| 2049-03-14 | Earth | 14300.19 | 33,163,595 km 86.3 LD |
| 2042-01-07 | Earth | 13432.07 | 27,132,192 km 70.6 LD |
| 2041-07-03 | Earth | 30345.73 | 32,868,884 km 85.5 LD |
| 2034-10-22 | Earth | 13328.09 | 11,705,742 km 30.5 LD |
| 2034-06-15 | Earth | 8720.19 | 14,665,982 km 38.2 LD |
| 2027-11-01 | Earth | 55264.78 | 68,626,785 km 179 LD |
| 2027-03-01 next | Earth | 14586.56 | 33,193,776 km 86.4 LD |
| 2026-06-22 | Earth | 55855.76 | 69,771,592 km 182 LD |
| 2019-11-28 | Earth | 10266.04 | 16,816,194 km 43.7 LD |
| 2019-07-07 | Earth | 15392.69 | 11,333,919 km 29.5 LD |
| 2012-10-23 | Earth | 28872.89 | 31,701,147 km 82.5 LD |
| 2012-04-24 | Earth | 11876.42 | 27,215,068 km 70.8 LD |
| 2005-02-13 | Earth | 14852.55 | 32,890,959 km 85.6 LD |
| 2004-06-25 | Earth | 48848.99 | 59,645,175 km 155 LD |
| 1997-11-30 | Earth | 10518.70 | 17,643,643 km 45.9 LD |
| 1997-07-07 | Earth | 16295.47 | 12,499,505 km 32.5 LD |
| 1990-10-21 | Earth | 20654.99 | 20,653,009 km 53.7 LD |
| 1990-05-18 | Earth | 10219.70 | 22,010,080 km 57.3 LD |
| 1983-10-30 | Earth | 50977.92 | 62,777,118 km 163 LD |
| 1983-03-10 | Earth | 14542.53 | 33,495,949 km 87.1 LD |
| 1976-01-10 | Earth | 13800.39 | 27,991,414 km 72.8 LD |
| 1975-07-02 | Earth | 32308.62 | 35,542,724 km 92.5 LD |
| 1968-10-26 | Earth | 9704.87 | 10,286,773 km 26.8 LD |
| 1968-07-01 | Earth | 8828.17 | 9,287,389 km 24.2 LD |
| 1961-10-27 | Earth | 42600.65 | 51,028,657 km 133 LD |
| 1961-03-24 | Earth | 13735.34 | 32,156,891 km 83.7 LD |
| 1954-01-14 | Earth | 13982.42 | 28,620,193 km 74.5 LD |
| 1953-06-30 | Earth | 34049.49 | 38,082,226 km 99.1 LD |
| 1946-10-22 | Earth | 12188.33 | 11,176,791 km 29.1 LD |
| 1939-11-01 | Earth | 56794.16 | 70,964,434 km 185 LD |
| 1939-02-24 | Earth | 14649.47 | 32,981,905 km 85.8 LD |
| 1938-06-22 | Earth | 53927.87 | 66,871,289 km 174 LD |
| 1931-07-07 | Earth | 11793.57 | 7,129,515 km 18.5 LD |
| 1924-10-23 | Earth | 35953.30 | 41,948,719 km 109 LD |
| 1916-06-27 | Earth | 40590.01 | 47,622,714 km 124 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:01:47.250856+00:00.