Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2019 LX1)

Designation: 2019 LX1 · NASA id: 3842774

Estimated diameter: 33 – 75 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.5) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 18.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

60 kilotonnes – 2.2 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period422.2 days (1.16 years)
Eccentricity.08699367098314527 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.101333714623984 AU
Inclination4.422345917111269° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.00552465181134 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.197142777436628 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.04756 AU = 7,115,578 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude257.4550531788628°
Argument of perihelion88.26061797644232°
Mean anomaly / motion136.3519053729261° / .8527577449598907°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.639 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 21:23:10
Observed2019-06-03 to 2020-01-04 (215 day arc, 26 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty4 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 68 total.

next approach: 2027-03-01

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2187-10-29 Earth 36601.53 42,191,549 km
110 LD
2187-04-11 Earth 13274.02 30,361,190 km
79.0 LD
2180-02-07 Earth 14570.52 32,186,784 km
83.7 LD
2179-06-30 Earth 43843.47 52,393,093 km
136 LD
2172-07-09 Earth 13952.68 10,024,826 km
26.1 LD
2165-10-24 Earth 19375.69 18,428,773 km
47.9 LD
2158-10-31 Earth 46169.84 55,601,425 km
145 LD
2151-01-30 Earth 14440.35 31,402,031 km
81.7 LD
2150-07-01 Earth 40501.48 47,646,529 km
124 LD
2143-07-10 Earth 15683.46 12,071,486 km
31.4 LD
2136-10-23 Earth 13897.03 11,975,992 km
31.2 LD
2129-10-29 Earth 40091.41 47,171,937 km
123 LD
2129-04-02 Earth 13587.51 31,604,039 km
82.2 LD
2122-02-08 Earth 14820.79 32,631,673 km
84.9 LD
2121-06-28 Earth 45701.26 55,075,586 km
143 LD
2114-12-12 Earth 11207.38 20,411,871 km
53.1 LD
2114-07-08 Earth 19440.96 17,179,355 km
44.7 LD
2107-10-24 Earth 13849.64 11,958,447 km
31.1 LD
2100-10-29 Earth 44352.67 53,257,314 km
139 LD
2100-03-24 Earth 13979.87 32,557,335 km
84.7 LD
2093-01-21 Earth 14238.35 30,109,839 km
78.3 LD
2092-06-30 Earth 37101.18 42,582,711 km
111 LD
2085-11-03 Earth 9014.16 11,126,938 km
28.9 LD
2085-07-06 Earth 10011.53 7,749,611 km
20.2 LD
2078-10-25 Earth 32734.60 37,047,642 km
96.4 LD
2078-04-16 Earth 12598.94 29,036,959 km
75.5 LD
2071-02-16 Earth 14818.02 33,234,243 km
86.5 LD
2070-06-25 Earth 50129.01 61,427,600 km
160 LD
2063-12-16 Earth 11788.15 21,686,668 km
56.4 LD
2063-07-07 Earth 21266.12 19,656,628 km
51.1 LD
2056-10-21 Earth 15317.79 13,764,351 km
35.8 LD
2056-06-06 Earth 9102.22 16,943,903 km
44.1 LD
2049-10-29 Earth 48745.73 59,463,410 km
155 LD
2049-03-14 Earth 14300.19 33,163,595 km
86.3 LD
2042-01-07 Earth 13432.07 27,132,192 km
70.6 LD
2041-07-03 Earth 30345.73 32,868,884 km
85.5 LD
2034-10-22 Earth 13328.09 11,705,742 km
30.5 LD
2034-06-15 Earth 8720.19 14,665,982 km
38.2 LD
2027-11-01 Earth 55264.78 68,626,785 km
179 LD
2027-03-01 next Earth 14586.56 33,193,776 km
86.4 LD
2026-06-22 Earth 55855.76 69,771,592 km
182 LD
2019-11-28 Earth 10266.04 16,816,194 km
43.7 LD
2019-07-07 Earth 15392.69 11,333,919 km
29.5 LD
2012-10-23 Earth 28872.89 31,701,147 km
82.5 LD
2012-04-24 Earth 11876.42 27,215,068 km
70.8 LD
2005-02-13 Earth 14852.55 32,890,959 km
85.6 LD
2004-06-25 Earth 48848.99 59,645,175 km
155 LD
1997-11-30 Earth 10518.70 17,643,643 km
45.9 LD
1997-07-07 Earth 16295.47 12,499,505 km
32.5 LD
1990-10-21 Earth 20654.99 20,653,009 km
53.7 LD
1990-05-18 Earth 10219.70 22,010,080 km
57.3 LD
1983-10-30 Earth 50977.92 62,777,118 km
163 LD
1983-03-10 Earth 14542.53 33,495,949 km
87.1 LD
1976-01-10 Earth 13800.39 27,991,414 km
72.8 LD
1975-07-02 Earth 32308.62 35,542,724 km
92.5 LD
1968-10-26 Earth 9704.87 10,286,773 km
26.8 LD
1968-07-01 Earth 8828.17 9,287,389 km
24.2 LD
1961-10-27 Earth 42600.65 51,028,657 km
133 LD
1961-03-24 Earth 13735.34 32,156,891 km
83.7 LD
1954-01-14 Earth 13982.42 28,620,193 km
74.5 LD
1953-06-30 Earth 34049.49 38,082,226 km
99.1 LD
1946-10-22 Earth 12188.33 11,176,791 km
29.1 LD
1939-11-01 Earth 56794.16 70,964,434 km
185 LD
1939-02-24 Earth 14649.47 32,981,905 km
85.8 LD
1938-06-22 Earth 53927.87 66,871,289 km
174 LD
1931-07-07 Earth 11793.57 7,129,515 km
18.5 LD
1924-10-23 Earth 35953.30 41,948,719 km
109 LD
1916-06-27 Earth 40590.01 47,622,714 km
124 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:01:47.250856+00:00.