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Designation: 2019 SE9 · NASA id: 3873149
Estimated diameter: 25 – 55 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
76 kilotonnes – 2.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 515.6 days (1.41 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1926662224570347 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.258451697402801 AU |
| Inclination | 3.308682855466174° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.01599056271956 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.500912832086042 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02793 AU = 4,178,179 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 203.1362504368527° |
| Argument of perihelion | 143.7770151618689° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 138.7704534629292° / .698150812190163°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.098 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-09-30 06:19:45 |
| Observed | 2019-06-29 to 2019-11-02 (126 day arc, 112 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 53 total.
next approach: 2026-10-28
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2107-07-15 | Earth | 48996.47 | 54,496,847 km 142 LD |
| 2094-04-08 | Earth | 27661.61 | 72,112,280 km 188 LD |
| 2091-02-02 | Earth | 27856.33 | 72,495,575 km 189 LD |
| 2081-01-10 | Earth | 23337.45 | 61,931,005 km 161 LD |
| 2077-10-29 | Earth | 53583.49 | 59,367,573 km 154 LD |
| 2077-05-15 | Earth | 19386.72 | 53,916,785 km 140 LD |
| 2070-11-30 | Earth | 11742.38 | 40,490,535 km 105 LD |
| 2070-07-23 | Earth | 32807.50 | 32,119,339 km 83.6 LD |
| 2067-04-16 | Earth | 26228.87 | 68,523,231 km 178 LD |
| 2064-02-07 | Earth | 28482.30 | 73,820,211 km 192 LD |
| 2060-10-03 | Earth | 15741.12 | 6,573,566 km 17.1 LD |
| 2053-12-31 | Earth | 20781.21 | 56,531,726 km 147 LD |
| 2053-07-09 | Earth | 56373.34 | 64,913,359 km 169 LD |
| 2050-04-29 | Earth | 23237.22 | 61,629,791 km 160 LD |
| 2047-02-13 | Earth | 28939.60 | 74,742,013 km 194 LD |
| 2043-10-01 | Earth | 14211.79 | 5,056,485 km 13.2 LD |
| 2036-12-12 | Earth | 15654.43 | 46,479,003 km 121 LD |
| 2036-07-16 | Earth | 40671.00 | 42,891,355 km 112 LD |
| 2033-04-09 | Earth | 26685.27 | 69,203,904 km 180 LD |
| 2030-01-20 | Earth | 25425.66 | 66,254,143 km 172 LD |
| 2026-10-28 next | Earth | 52895.83 | 58,487,173 km 152 LD |
| 2026-05-14 | Earth | 19321.00 | 53,158,120 km 138 LD |
| 2019-10-01 | Earth | 14583.04 | 5,408,482 km 14.1 LD |
| 2012-07-28 | Earth | 22753.75 | 19,311,549 km 50.2 LD |
| 2009-03-23 | Earth | 28705.15 | 73,651,475 km 192 LD |
| 2005-12-22 | Earth | 18542.22 | 51,649,618 km 134 LD |
| 2005-07-11 | Earth | 48495.56 | 53,902,543 km 140 LD |
| 2002-04-11 | Earth | 26318.61 | 67,985,968 km 177 LD |
| 1999-01-17 | Earth | 24764.52 | 64,375,445 km 167 LD |
| 1995-11-01 | Earth | 62456.32 | 72,042,162 km 187 LD |
| 1995-05-03 | Earth | 21747.73 | 57,891,729 km 151 LD |
| 1992-02-06 | Earth | 28021.47 | 71,893,737 km 187 LD |
| 1988-10-19 | Earth | 35986.88 | 34,425,694 km 89.6 LD |
| 1988-06-03 | Earth | 12991.08 | 41,948,076 km 109 LD |
| 1981-09-25 | Earth | 12457.80 | 4,225,760 km 11.0 LD |
| 1974-07-30 | Earth | 21169.91 | 17,280,294 km 45.0 LD |
| 1971-03-21 | Earth | 28819.03 | 73,976,123 km 192 LD |
| 1967-07-13 | Earth | 43752.65 | 47,158,460 km 123 LD |
| 1964-04-05 | Earth | 26971.17 | 69,612,457 km 181 LD |
| 1961-01-09 | Earth | 23309.25 | 61,237,989 km 159 LD |
| 1957-04-24 | Earth | 23554.90 | 61,795,334 km 161 LD |
| 1954-01-29 | Earth | 26962.36 | 69,399,944 km 181 LD |
| 1950-10-24 | Earth | 47429.04 | 50,642,253 km 132 LD |
| 1947-02-14 | Earth | 28854.34 | 73,947,496 km 192 LD |
| 1943-10-12 | Earth | 24356.88 | 18,053,566 km 47.0 LD |
| 1929-12-08 | Earth | 14761.09 | 44,635,307 km 116 LD |
| 1929-07-15 | Earth | 38288.66 | 39,567,247 km 103 LD |
| 1926-04-03 | Earth | 27272.76 | 70,536,551 km 183 LD |
| 1923-01-10 | Earth | 23551.01 | 61,831,454 km 161 LD |
| 1919-04-28 | Earth | 22823.28 | 60,272,799 km 157 LD |
| 1916-02-03 | Earth | 27823.54 | 71,488,541 km 186 LD |
| 1912-10-18 | Earth | 36916.16 | 35,713,388 km 92.9 LD |
| 1912-05-31 | Earth | 13437.86 | 42,647,054 km 111 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-24T17:24:51.556307+00:00.