Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2019 UG2)

Designation: 2019 UG2 · NASA id: 3879285

Estimated diameter: 37 – 82 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 13.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1.1 megatonnes – 39.9 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period317.4 days (0.87 years)
Eccentricity.2031648244721861 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9105881298778956 AU
Inclination23.72372962864494° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7255886523047967 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.095587607450994 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.06184 AU = 9,250,983 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude21.50036973444322°
Argument of perihelion208.3488693818013°
Mean anomaly / motion142.9612333576323° / 1.134282147752244°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.464 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 22:00:08
Observed2019-10-14 to 2019-10-28 (14 day arc, 32 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 85 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 69 of them were approaches to Earth and 16 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.726 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.096 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 317.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0618 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-22

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2165-11-08 Earth 48889.20 56,484,507 km
147 LD
2164-10-13 Earth 64864.60 45,786,789 km
119 LD
2158-10-18 Earth 43557.44 21,616,824 km
56.2 LD
2157-07-06 Venus 54716.39 8,063,151 km
21.0 LD
2102-10-07 Venus 51153.25 5,214,969 km
13.6 LD
2098-10-11 Earth 51246.25 20,312,424 km
52.8 LD
2091-10-15 Earth 76828.79 64,737,951 km
168 LD
2088-01-01 Venus 50179.93 9,943,532 km
25.9 LD
2086-04-09 Earth 57109.55 38,754,693 km
101 LD
2085-10-12 Earth 45655.83 9,047,570 km
23.5 LD
2080-02-17 Earth 58575.80 55,171,851 km
144 LD
2079-11-05 Earth 48464.39 54,287,761 km
141 LD
2079-05-20 Earth 55064.90 54,853,786 km
143 LD
2078-10-12 Earth 66962.86 49,265,829 km
128 LD
2073-03-28 Earth 56873.92 38,045,817 km
99.0 LD
2072-10-14 Earth 43737.20 15,702,101 km
40.8 LD
2068-11-30 Venus 58594.63 14,959,981 km
38.9 LD
2065-10-11 Earth 58176.53 34,150,911 km
88.8 LD
2059-10-21 Earth 43969.60 29,334,431 km
76.3 LD
2054-02-27 Venus 54420.97 7,526,576 km
19.6 LD
2052-10-10 Earth 49910.20 17,460,779 km
45.4 LD
2046-10-29 Earth 46513.60 45,383,984 km
118 LD
2045-10-13 Earth 73757.24 60,107,129 km
156 LD
2039-10-13 Earth 44507.89 10,703,858 km
27.8 LD
2039-05-24 Venus 53374.23 5,591,243 km
14.5 LD
2033-11-15 Earth 50896.20 64,182,598 km
167 LD
2033-05-07 Earth 56807.04 49,088,269 km
128 LD
2032-10-10 Earth 58553.97 34,912,057 km
90.8 LD
2027-03-12 Earth 56917.75 42,250,511 km
110 LD
2026-10-22 next Earth 44366.78 32,868,548 km
85.5 LD
2026-06-19 Earth 42893.99 63,821,319 km
166 LD
2024-08-15 Venus 57876.89 13,780,079 km
35.8 LD
2020-04-12 Earth 57230.71 39,481,147 km
103 LD
2019-10-12 Earth 46443.29 10,185,457 km
26.5 LD
2014-03-09 Venus 50417.47 19,067,014 km
49.6 LD
2014-02-13 Earth 58828.60 57,228,488 km
149 LD
2013-11-08 Earth 49065.75 56,952,532 km
148 LD
2013-05-16 Earth 55797.13 53,078,641 km
138 LD
2012-10-11 Earth 64069.62 44,673,400 km
116 LD
2007-03-20 Earth 56802.01 39,451,513 km
103 LD
2006-10-18 Earth 43659.74 24,463,426 km
63.6 LD
1999-10-11 Earth 49782.12 17,187,993 km
44.7 LD
1999-06-01 Venus 50172.65 10,156,789 km
26.4 LD
1993-10-30 Earth 46701.39 46,456,346 km
121 LD
1992-10-13 Earth 72548.22 58,395,573 km
152 LD
1987-04-01 Earth 56962.05 38,036,163 km
98.9 LD
1986-10-14 Earth 44087.99 12,654,640 km
32.9 LD
1984-08-25 Venus 50373.43 8,417,501 km
21.9 LD
1981-02-02 Earth 60138.29 63,850,511 km
166 LD
1980-11-15 Earth 51047.23 64,507,789 km
168 LD
1980-05-06 Earth 56842.21 49,000,116 km
127 LD
1979-10-11 Earth 58570.95 35,100,207 km
91.3 LD
1974-03-14 Earth 56857.42 41,328,913 km
108 LD
1973-10-20 Earth 44094.36 30,101,794 km
78.3 LD
1973-06-25 Earth 38772.57 64,477,792 km
168 LD
1969-11-19 Venus 50177.48 10,006,351 km
26.0 LD
1967-04-19 Earth 57336.50 41,577,764 km
108 LD
1966-10-10 Earth 49261.66 16,012,250 km
41.7 LD
1961-02-26 Earth 57506.05 48,896,093 km
127 LD
1960-10-28 Earth 46416.59 44,926,907 km
117 LD
1960-05-31 Earth 52011.94 59,228,686 km
154 LD
1959-10-14 Earth 74197.00 60,914,945 km
158 LD
1955-02-16 Venus 50441.58 19,075,314 km
49.6 LD
1954-04-06 Earth 57071.61 38,406,126 km
99.9 LD
1953-10-12 Earth 45012.24 9,516,853 km
24.8 LD
1950-10-18 Venus 60726.83 18,342,395 km
47.7 LD
1946-10-11 Earth 64085.82 44,756,335 km
116 LD
1940-10-16 Earth 43532.46 20,505,042 km
53.3 LD
1936-01-14 Venus 56168.73 10,810,122 km
28.1 LD
1933-10-10 Earth 54207.36 26,790,094 km
69.7 LD
1927-10-24 Earth 45018.36 37,005,960 km
96.3 LD
1926-10-15 Earth 80467.27 70,371,240 km
183 LD
1921-04-11 Earth 57229.57 39,481,855 km
103 LD
1921-04-10 Venus 55005.92 8,651,658 km
22.5 LD
1920-10-11 Earth 46483.09 10,258,110 km
26.7 LD
1915-02-15 Earth 58467.05 55,818,300 km
145 LD
1914-11-06 Earth 48632.70 54,818,999 km
143 LD
1914-05-18 Earth 55411.94 54,091,882 km
141 LD
1913-10-11 Earth 65778.86 47,590,809 km
124 LD
1908-03-23 Earth 56839.64 38,738,628 km
101 LD
1907-10-16 Earth 43541.75 20,309,541 km
52.8 LD
1906-07-05 Venus 55644.15 9,826,534 km
25.6 LD
1902-01-19 Earth 62115.89 72,455,946 km
188 LD
1901-04-25 Earth 57364.38 44,023,909 km
115 LD
1900-10-09 Earth 52004.17 22,324,506 km
58.1 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-17T21:06:25.971181+00:00.