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Designation: 2019 UG2 · NASA id: 3879285
Estimated diameter: 37 – 82 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
1.1 megatonnes – 39.9 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 317.4 days (0.87 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2031648244721861 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9105881298778956 AU |
| Inclination | 23.72372962864494° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7255886523047967 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.095587607450994 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.06184 AU = 9,250,983 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 21.50036973444322° |
| Argument of perihelion | 208.3488693818013° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 142.9612333576323° / 1.134282147752244°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.464 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 22:00:08 |
| Observed | 2019-10-14 to 2019-10-28 (14 day arc, 32 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 85 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 69 of them were approaches to Earth and 16 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.726 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.096 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 317.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0618 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-10-22
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2165-11-08 | Earth | 48889.20 | 56,484,507 km 147 LD |
| 2164-10-13 | Earth | 64864.60 | 45,786,789 km 119 LD |
| 2158-10-18 | Earth | 43557.44 | 21,616,824 km 56.2 LD |
| 2157-07-06 | Venus | 54716.39 | 8,063,151 km 21.0 LD |
| 2102-10-07 | Venus | 51153.25 | 5,214,969 km 13.6 LD |
| 2098-10-11 | Earth | 51246.25 | 20,312,424 km 52.8 LD |
| 2091-10-15 | Earth | 76828.79 | 64,737,951 km 168 LD |
| 2088-01-01 | Venus | 50179.93 | 9,943,532 km 25.9 LD |
| 2086-04-09 | Earth | 57109.55 | 38,754,693 km 101 LD |
| 2085-10-12 | Earth | 45655.83 | 9,047,570 km 23.5 LD |
| 2080-02-17 | Earth | 58575.80 | 55,171,851 km 144 LD |
| 2079-11-05 | Earth | 48464.39 | 54,287,761 km 141 LD |
| 2079-05-20 | Earth | 55064.90 | 54,853,786 km 143 LD |
| 2078-10-12 | Earth | 66962.86 | 49,265,829 km 128 LD |
| 2073-03-28 | Earth | 56873.92 | 38,045,817 km 99.0 LD |
| 2072-10-14 | Earth | 43737.20 | 15,702,101 km 40.8 LD |
| 2068-11-30 | Venus | 58594.63 | 14,959,981 km 38.9 LD |
| 2065-10-11 | Earth | 58176.53 | 34,150,911 km 88.8 LD |
| 2059-10-21 | Earth | 43969.60 | 29,334,431 km 76.3 LD |
| 2054-02-27 | Venus | 54420.97 | 7,526,576 km 19.6 LD |
| 2052-10-10 | Earth | 49910.20 | 17,460,779 km 45.4 LD |
| 2046-10-29 | Earth | 46513.60 | 45,383,984 km 118 LD |
| 2045-10-13 | Earth | 73757.24 | 60,107,129 km 156 LD |
| 2039-10-13 | Earth | 44507.89 | 10,703,858 km 27.8 LD |
| 2039-05-24 | Venus | 53374.23 | 5,591,243 km 14.5 LD |
| 2033-11-15 | Earth | 50896.20 | 64,182,598 km 167 LD |
| 2033-05-07 | Earth | 56807.04 | 49,088,269 km 128 LD |
| 2032-10-10 | Earth | 58553.97 | 34,912,057 km 90.8 LD |
| 2027-03-12 | Earth | 56917.75 | 42,250,511 km 110 LD |
| 2026-10-22 next | Earth | 44366.78 | 32,868,548 km 85.5 LD |
| 2026-06-19 | Earth | 42893.99 | 63,821,319 km 166 LD |
| 2024-08-15 | Venus | 57876.89 | 13,780,079 km 35.8 LD |
| 2020-04-12 | Earth | 57230.71 | 39,481,147 km 103 LD |
| 2019-10-12 | Earth | 46443.29 | 10,185,457 km 26.5 LD |
| 2014-03-09 | Venus | 50417.47 | 19,067,014 km 49.6 LD |
| 2014-02-13 | Earth | 58828.60 | 57,228,488 km 149 LD |
| 2013-11-08 | Earth | 49065.75 | 56,952,532 km 148 LD |
| 2013-05-16 | Earth | 55797.13 | 53,078,641 km 138 LD |
| 2012-10-11 | Earth | 64069.62 | 44,673,400 km 116 LD |
| 2007-03-20 | Earth | 56802.01 | 39,451,513 km 103 LD |
| 2006-10-18 | Earth | 43659.74 | 24,463,426 km 63.6 LD |
| 1999-10-11 | Earth | 49782.12 | 17,187,993 km 44.7 LD |
| 1999-06-01 | Venus | 50172.65 | 10,156,789 km 26.4 LD |
| 1993-10-30 | Earth | 46701.39 | 46,456,346 km 121 LD |
| 1992-10-13 | Earth | 72548.22 | 58,395,573 km 152 LD |
| 1987-04-01 | Earth | 56962.05 | 38,036,163 km 98.9 LD |
| 1986-10-14 | Earth | 44087.99 | 12,654,640 km 32.9 LD |
| 1984-08-25 | Venus | 50373.43 | 8,417,501 km 21.9 LD |
| 1981-02-02 | Earth | 60138.29 | 63,850,511 km 166 LD |
| 1980-11-15 | Earth | 51047.23 | 64,507,789 km 168 LD |
| 1980-05-06 | Earth | 56842.21 | 49,000,116 km 127 LD |
| 1979-10-11 | Earth | 58570.95 | 35,100,207 km 91.3 LD |
| 1974-03-14 | Earth | 56857.42 | 41,328,913 km 108 LD |
| 1973-10-20 | Earth | 44094.36 | 30,101,794 km 78.3 LD |
| 1973-06-25 | Earth | 38772.57 | 64,477,792 km 168 LD |
| 1969-11-19 | Venus | 50177.48 | 10,006,351 km 26.0 LD |
| 1967-04-19 | Earth | 57336.50 | 41,577,764 km 108 LD |
| 1966-10-10 | Earth | 49261.66 | 16,012,250 km 41.7 LD |
| 1961-02-26 | Earth | 57506.05 | 48,896,093 km 127 LD |
| 1960-10-28 | Earth | 46416.59 | 44,926,907 km 117 LD |
| 1960-05-31 | Earth | 52011.94 | 59,228,686 km 154 LD |
| 1959-10-14 | Earth | 74197.00 | 60,914,945 km 158 LD |
| 1955-02-16 | Venus | 50441.58 | 19,075,314 km 49.6 LD |
| 1954-04-06 | Earth | 57071.61 | 38,406,126 km 99.9 LD |
| 1953-10-12 | Earth | 45012.24 | 9,516,853 km 24.8 LD |
| 1950-10-18 | Venus | 60726.83 | 18,342,395 km 47.7 LD |
| 1946-10-11 | Earth | 64085.82 | 44,756,335 km 116 LD |
| 1940-10-16 | Earth | 43532.46 | 20,505,042 km 53.3 LD |
| 1936-01-14 | Venus | 56168.73 | 10,810,122 km 28.1 LD |
| 1933-10-10 | Earth | 54207.36 | 26,790,094 km 69.7 LD |
| 1927-10-24 | Earth | 45018.36 | 37,005,960 km 96.3 LD |
| 1926-10-15 | Earth | 80467.27 | 70,371,240 km 183 LD |
| 1921-04-11 | Earth | 57229.57 | 39,481,855 km 103 LD |
| 1921-04-10 | Venus | 55005.92 | 8,651,658 km 22.5 LD |
| 1920-10-11 | Earth | 46483.09 | 10,258,110 km 26.7 LD |
| 1915-02-15 | Earth | 58467.05 | 55,818,300 km 145 LD |
| 1914-11-06 | Earth | 48632.70 | 54,818,999 km 143 LD |
| 1914-05-18 | Earth | 55411.94 | 54,091,882 km 141 LD |
| 1913-10-11 | Earth | 65778.86 | 47,590,809 km 124 LD |
| 1908-03-23 | Earth | 56839.64 | 38,738,628 km 101 LD |
| 1907-10-16 | Earth | 43541.75 | 20,309,541 km 52.8 LD |
| 1906-07-05 | Venus | 55644.15 | 9,826,534 km 25.6 LD |
| 1902-01-19 | Earth | 62115.89 | 72,455,946 km 188 LD |
| 1901-04-25 | Earth | 57364.38 | 44,023,909 km 115 LD |
| 1900-10-09 | Earth | 52004.17 | 22,324,506 km 58.1 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-17T21:06:25.971181+00:00.