Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2019 US10)

Designation: 2019 US10 · NASA id: 3884238 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 194 – 435 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.68) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 15.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

154.1 megatonnes – 5,744 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period639.5 days (1.75 years)
Eccentricity.3855017089011258 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.452627217047125 AU
Inclination26.94358013492603° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8926369424791716 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.012617491615078 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02154 AU = 3,223,026 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude43.23612468532507°
Argument of perihelion304.1496220551116°
Mean anomaly / motion196.9212841041599° / .5629538691393321°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.451 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-05-04 07:57:39
Observed2012-11-02 to 2019-12-31 (2615 day arc, 52 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 58 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 55 of them were approaches to Earth and 3 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.893 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.013 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 639.5 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0215 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-20

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2199-11-20 Earth 82784.56 43,955,772 km
114 LD
2192-11-22 Earth 87784.71 53,010,849 km
138 LD
2185-11-25 Earth 93476.97 62,756,909 km
163 LD
2178-11-28 Earth 99441.59 72,798,532 km
189 LD
2145-06-04 Earth 75279.15 69,808,913 km
182 LD
2138-06-06 Earth 70501.51 64,788,610 km
169 LD
2131-06-07 Earth 66125.07 60,707,897 km
158 LD
2124-06-06 Earth 62499.14 57,766,813 km
150 LD
2117-06-07 Earth 59499.27 55,927,179 km
145 LD
2110-09-23 Earth 56067.06 70,149,920 km
182 LD
2110-06-06 Earth 57250.55 55,010,603 km
143 LD
2103-10-05 Earth 55266.65 64,086,415 km
167 LD
2103-06-06 Earth 55446.41 54,835,786 km
143 LD
2096-10-09 Earth 54264.40 58,101,385 km
151 LD
2096-06-04 Earth 53987.01 55,192,524 km
144 LD
2089-10-13 Earth 53630.49 52,605,125 km
137 LD
2089-06-03 Earth 52983.05 55,944,659 km
146 LD
2082-10-16 Earth 53353.69 47,935,147 km
125 LD
2082-06-03 Earth 52191.27 56,851,979 km
148 LD
2075-10-19 Earth 53297.14 43,946,587 km
114 LD
2075-06-02 Earth 51685.90 57,794,677 km
150 LD
2068-10-20 Earth 53356.65 40,596,873 km
106 LD
2068-06-01 Earth 51349.06 58,676,011 km
153 LD
2061-10-21 Earth 53503.04 37,778,721 km
98.3 LD
2061-06-01 Earth 51041.95 59,490,644 km
155 LD
2059-07-19 Mars 43990.37 6,673,365 km
17.4 LD
2054-10-22 Earth 53594.47 36,445,043 km
94.8 LD
2054-06-01 Earth 50988.13 59,913,420 km
156 LD
2047-10-22 Earth 53600.87 36,436,138 km
94.8 LD
2047-06-01 Earth 50935.85 59,923,333 km
156 LD
2040-10-21 Earth 53532.96 37,268,212 km
97.0 LD
2040-05-31 Earth 51009.92 59,664,797 km
155 LD
2033-10-21 Earth 53378.60 39,060,390 km
102 LD
2033-06-01 Earth 51150.85 59,061,776 km
154 LD
2026-10-20 next Earth 53235.07 41,672,105 km
108 LD
2026-06-02 Earth 51365.69 58,252,786 km
152 LD
2019-10-18 Earth 53159.55 44,987,341 km
117 LD
2019-06-02 Earth 51778.07 57,325,702 km
149 LD
2012-10-15 Earth 53229.03 49,016,043 km
128 LD
2012-06-02 Earth 52253.36 56,348,385 km
147 LD
2008-10-08 Mars 41480.92 5,877,047 km
15.3 LD
2005-10-13 Earth 53520.71 53,422,858 km
139 LD
2005-06-03 Earth 53008.70 55,458,178 km
144 LD
1998-10-09 Earth 54039.19 58,140,594 km
151 LD
1998-06-04 Earth 53847.92 54,711,519 km
142 LD
1991-10-05 Earth 54841.57 63,400,787 km
165 LD
1991-06-05 Earth 55113.35 54,184,978 km
141 LD
1984-09-25 Earth 55705.58 69,026,904 km
180 LD
1984-06-04 Earth 56685.32 54,126,831 km
141 LD
1977-06-05 Earth 58788.26 54,638,467 km
142 LD
1970-06-05 Earth 61303.10 55,873,928 km
145 LD
1963-06-05 Earth 64535.21 58,032,658 km
151 LD
1957-12-25 Mars 44085.86 6,455,211 km
16.8 LD
1956-06-04 Earth 68597.95 61,412,130 km
160 LD
1949-06-03 Earth 73302.23 66,153,929 km
172 LD
1942-06-01 Earth 78703.61 72,030,073 km
187 LD
1912-11-25 Earth 97993.36 69,734,998 km
181 LD
1905-11-22 Earth 91973.19 59,630,073 km
155 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T16:33:44.647011+00:00.